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This is why I am looking forward so much to the Fit. It will have the plusses of their hatches from decades past, but the advantages of a larger, more modern car and pricing (I hope) in the same ballpark as Korean competitors. It will be a winning formula, and I can't figure out why it's taken Honda so long to bring the Fit here.
As far as Civic is concerned, I'm sure Honda has a pretty good idea of where it wants to take it next. I'm guessing 120-130 HP for base Civics, 140-160 HP for EX, and about 200 HP for Si (which may not happen with the launch, but a year later, as has been typical of Honda).
As for the next-generation Civic, it will likely get a new 1.8-liter I-4 engine with direct injection rated at around 125-130 bhp (SAE) for the normal version and 145-155 bhp (SAE) for the i-VTEC version, but with better fuel economy than the current 1.7-liter engine found on current US-market Civics.
With minor improvements to this engine (117 HP), and coupled to lighter weight of Jazz/Fit, it may be possible to hit 40 mpg in city!
So when is it getting here again?
Even at $15K, a loaded Jazz with reasonable performance should do quite well.
BTW, TMV on 2005 Civic LX/Auto is $16.5K. With manual, it may be around $15.5K.
You build a car, and let it sell on its merits. That is why Civic LX sells quite well at $16.5K (the ongoing TMV), and Civic EX at more than that.
BTW, sometimes people are happier with smaller, fuel efficient cars. Ask my wife. I wanted Accord LX as the second car, but she insisted on Civic. The "market" price difference between Civic EX we bought and and Accord LX was less than $2K.
But, I couldn't complain about getting 30-31 mpg in city. That is the primary duty of the Civic anyway. Besides savings in the initial cost, it doesn't hurt to save $20/month either.
Consider also that the Fit will be competing against an all-new Rio and Accent. If you have not seen photos of the new Rio or Accent yet, I encourage you to take a look. The new Rio 5-door is IMO the most handsome small 5-door I have seen yet. If the quality of the car is anything close to what Kia did with the new Spectra, I think Honda will need to get fairly close to the Rio (and Accent) in pricing to make a go of it. Buyers may be willing to pay a small premium for the fabled Honda reliability, and for fuel economy if Hyundai's new engine in the Rio and Accent doesn't match the numbers on the Fit's engine. But if Kia and Hyundai offer their cars like they do today under $10k and the Fit comes in at $13-14k comparably equipped, that will be a big difference if the Korean cars are any good.
Worthy of note I think is that the Fit (Jazz) is considered to be the top supermini in Europe. And that is against very strong competition, most of which we don't have in the U.S. The Fit should clean up in the U.S., depending on how good some upcoming models are.
___Honda didn’t go through all the trouble of trying to copyright or verify there are no copyright issues with the name “Fit” only to bring in the 4 door “City” or “Aria” sedan.
___With that, the Fit’s Cd, frontal area, and weight are “tall” in comparison to the City’s. In the real world, this is probably good for another 1 - 2 more mpg out on the highway from the “City” if similarly equipped.
___Good Luck
___Wayne R. Gerdes
___2000 Honda Insight 5-speed #203 - 92.5 lmpg
But it will be a NEW model, not the current Fit/Jazz/City sold in most of the world, especially since Honda plans a new version of the Fit/Jazz/City very soon anyway. Slightly bigger interior-wise to better accommodate American-sized passengers, the new US-market Honda Fit will likely get a new i-VTEC 1.5-liter I-4 engine that uses the L-series engine block but will use the technology pioneered on the K20B engine, notably the use of direct fuel injection. This means 115-120 bhp (SAE) engine output with the same fuel efficiency as the 1.3-liter I-4 i-DSI engine found on the current Honda Fit and at least SULEV emissions certification.
The current model was introduced in Japan in 2001 and Europe in 2002 making it between 4 and 5 years old. This is Honda’s typical model cycle, although they have been stretching them out recently.
However, the 2005 Fit/Jazz received a bit of a makeover. Nothing major, but it received a few enhancements.
Do you think that this is a “last year of the generation” change, or is Honda going to try to keep the current model going for another year?
I think that the arrival of the new US Fit will probably coincide with the arrival of the second generation JDM Fit and Euro Jazz. The question is, when is the second generation coming out?!
Honda could very well keep the old platform and spruce up the looks to appeal to the same Scion market. This would be a very wise decision as most buyers will have no idea. Another case in point is the Ford Focus for 2005. Europe got a whole brand new platform, the US just got new sheetmetal, but basically the same car.
No one will know until more details are released, obviously.
Personally, I think it's a perfect car for the next four Bush years when the dollar declines 35%+ against a major international currency...
I went to a Honda dealership in Carlsbad (CA) back in February, when all the rumors were circulating from that article in the Nihon Keizai that said the Fit would be coming in November '04.
When I asked the dealer, right away he said it would be coming in November. Then he went to "go get a brochure on the Fit" and came back saying that American Honda was focusing on the pickup truck (Ridgeline) and that they were putting all of their resources with that project. Therefore, the Fit wouldn't come for another few years until at least the 2006 model year (fall 2005).
I really doubt Honda will introduce the Fit in the US next year, at the same time as the redesigned Civic. Instead, look for Honda to intro the Fit at the 2006 Detroit or NY auto shows, followed by sales in Spring 2006. This is also consistent with Honda's announcement about a small car (below the Civic) being introduced here in 2006.
I still think that Honda may unveil the Fit replacement as early as January 2005 at the Detroit International Auto Show, though it's possible they may show it in a "concept car" form there. To give time for Honda's new factory in Brazil to ramp up production (and to make it possible to incorporate the direct-injected i-VTEC engine that I think will be installed on the US-market Fit), Honda could start sales of the revised Fit in the US market in January 2006 as the first of the 2007 models.
Also, introducing the Fit as a 2006 model would let the Civic move a little bit upscale without leaving a hole in the lower end of the line-up for an entire year.
When it comes to introducing several models during a specific model year, I think Honda could pull it off. They have the Odyssey, Accord Hybrid, and the RL this fall, the Ridgeline in Spring and the Civic next fall. They could easily squeeze the Fit in somewhere.
Remember 2003 when Honda introduced the new Accord, Civic Hybrid, Element, AND Pilot all in one model year.
In the pedestrian rating it received the highest score in the supermini class of three stars (out of four). The only other car to even achieve three stars was the Daihatsu Sirion and that was in 2000 when they used the less stringent pedestrian test.
In other words it's already a very safe car for its size. The most expensive 2005 Jazz even offers Vehicle Stability Assist.
They will need to increase the size a little to incorporate side-curtain airbags, but it probably won't be a huge difference. Considering the current pedestrian crash ratings and the size of the current model, the car itself doesn't need to be changed a lot to bring it up to four stars. The important factors for pedestrian crashes are the space between the hood and the engine block, and the way the hood deflects the impact of the pedestrian (usually by lifting up the back of the hood).
As for the American-sized passengers. When you see the Jazz in person, it is no doubt a very small car, but it is quite tall and the interior is very spacious relative to the exterior size. If you look at the Scion xA, it is structurally identical to the Toyota Ist sold in Japan. However, the xA is only about 5 inches longer than the Fit/Jazz. Honda will want to keep the Fit small to differentiate it as much as possible from the Civic.
I was a Honda Civic owner for many years, and got bored of the same old styling and lack of utility in the sedan, so I bought a Scion xB -- a lot more fun than the Civic!
If Honda has to introduce a production model Fit at one of the auto shows before they start selling it, then I don't see how the redesigned Fit will be here next year (since it would be first available in Japan around June). If they do introduce the redesigned Fit here at the April NY show, they'll have to start selling it in Japan at the same time.
I do agree that Honda will sell the Fit not only to compete against the Scion xA/xB hatchbacks, but also to compete against the plethora of low-cost automobiles coming from Hyundai and Kia.
Even so, to my eyes, the Prius is the best looking hatchback in the U.S. market, and the xB the most distinctive. These are the kind of cars I would have expected from Honda. Looks like the Product Planners at Honda are asleep at the wheel.
Selling the 5-door Civic would also help move the Civic brand upmarket, but I think the arrival of the Civic 5-door depends on which vehicle will be used for the "Latitude". If that's still the name.
(sorry for going off topic!)
Realistically though, the Insight and Prius, and tC and RSX are more liftbacks, rather than real hatchbacks. Just a thought.
However unlike Toyota, Honda doesn't sell any "regular" hatchbacks in the US.
The Fit/Jazz, Civic 5-door, and FR-V/Edix could together take a big share of the market since they cater to such a wide range of people. Honda is paying attention to the SUV, minivan, and even the recreational pick-up users, but not enough to the younger people (many of whom have their entire car buying futures ahead of them).
What is a "liftback"? I thought that was Toyota's made-up term for "hatchback". They started calling their hatchbacks "liftbacks" in the mid 70s when they introduced the first Corolla hatchbacks--er, liftbacks. Actually, Toyota has a sixth hatchback/liftback: the Celica.
When does a hatchback/liftback become a "wagon"? The Matrix and xB, for example, look a lot like small wagons. Edmunds.com includes them in the "Wagon" category. They call the Prius, tC, xA, RSX, Insight, and Celica "hatchbacks."
It is almost a specialty category within Hybrids (2 seater, very "interesting" design).
Regarding terminology. I offer my apology for the confusion I may have caused. I also didn't know Toyota was the one that made up the term. Thank you for calling that to my attention.
In my opinion...the difference between a "liftback" and a hatchback is the shape of the rear of the vehicle. The liftback has a more gradual decline, with the top sloping down. The rear window is usually large and appears to be more horizontal (RSX, tC, '86-'89 Accord hatchback). This conveys a sportier, more streamlined image. The rear opening is also not as useful for putting in/taking out large items.
For hatchbacks, the rear hatch is much more vertical with a smaller window (height-wise). There is minimal decline in the roofline from the center on the car towards the back and the end drops off abruptly (Fit, Matrix, xA, Civic Si). This leaves the interior with more useable space. In many cases, the bottom of the door is almost level with the top of the rear floor space (usually not the case with "liftbacks").
Wagons usually have a larger rear cargo space and more of the car extends past the rear wheels. A good example of this is the Euro/JDM Accord wagon vs. the Civic 5-door, or the Focus wagon vs. 5-door.
Conclusion: Liftbacks (maybe they should be called sportbacks?) are typically known as sporty cars. Even though they both have backs that are technically hatches, the Scion xA and tC are hardly in the same category. Seems funny to include the xA in the same category as the Celica. Apart from the size difference, the xA and Matrix have a very similar body size.
OK...back to the Fit.
However, with the price of gasoline (petrol) not likely to come down soon, I think Honda will have to offer more fuel-efficient cars over the next few years. As such, that's why we'll see the second-generation Honda Fit in the US market, and it's very likely that Honda will replace the CR-V with vehicles based on the FR-V/Edix "tall wagon"; the upcoming Acura RDX small SUV will be based on the FR-V, and it may also spawn a Honda-badged model called Latitude. I wouldn't be surprised that the second-generation Honda Element due in a couple of years will also be FR-V derived, too.
I agree with the future introduction of more fuel-efficient vehicles, I just wish they would have started earlier. I think that Honda will also try to maximize the fuel efficiency of its larger engine vehicles with IMA and VCM, which it is already starting to do.
I think it is likely that there will be a hybrid CR-V and it would be neat to see the diesel CR-V in the US. The engine is very quiet, smooth, and clean. In Europe, the diesel contains much less sulphur (95% less I believe), which allows for filters to be placed on the emissions that take out much of the particles. Of course, I don't think diesels will ever shed their image of being dirty, and noisy, so in the eyes of the American consumer having Honda introduce a diesel might be a bad idea. In Europe it is a different story. I heard an estimate that 52% of the CR-Vs sold next year in Europe will be diesel, and there will be a diesel FR-V.
Jazz/Fit, OTOH, will sit in a price class that isn’t being served by Honda at the moment (Civic DX likely costs as much as a loaded Jazz could) and that also includes a hatchback offering under $15K.
The audience for an Element is limited a lot because of its interior and exterior design. It really doesn't work as a family car. People who want an Element probably wouldn't jump for the FR-V and vice-versa. They are quite different. The CR-V is not very big, and it's car-based, but it is distinctly an SUV.
The FR-V is more of a compact MPV. I'm pretty sure Honda would market it similar to the way they did with the 1st Gen Odyssey. It is meant for those families who want the 3+3 seating versatility and room without having to purchase a higher ground clearance SUV. It could serve quite well underneath the Odyssey, which has really grown up into a large, expensive minivan.
There is a possibility that the FR-V may take some of the CR-V sales, but I think the two vehicles are different enough to allow them to be sold here at one time.
The Fit would have no competition within Honda except for maybe those people who are looking at a Civic DX, but want a smaller car. There is some price overlap, but that would only be with the loaded Fit and the bare bones Civic DX.
Having the Fit in the US would be an invaluable asset for Honda for many reasons.