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Comments
Regarding the dome, that might be the downfall - 70s-80s residential construction "workmanship" (sarcastic quotes).
You are correct on homes built in the 1970-80s. Some very shoddy practices. I remember one contractor that got run out of San Diego county, ended up in Anchorage AK. He built a whole string of concrete slab, CA style houses and sold them cheap around 1971-72. By the 1990s they were all torn down as the slabs cracked. 100s of homes here in San Diego built in the 1960s did not have any steel in the slabs. My brother in law had to tear his entire slab out and replace it.
Here is the place for Stever to get that perfect air his wife needs. It is a bargain. Not to mention Kaiser operates a hospital on the Big Island.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/92-8477-Bougainvillaea-Dr-Ocean-View-HI-96704/2108914655_zpid/
Hawaii would be more of a place to visit than live, for me. The humidity would get to me, and I kind of like things cool.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/94022-Covey-Ln-Coquille-OR-97423/2100672676_zpid/
I've heard they just love transplants from California in Oregon
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/5320-State-St-Salem-OR-97317/80483580_zpid/
There are a lot of hills in the Salem area, maybe that has something to do with it, and it is on the border of the cold Columbia River outflow in winter that can make suburban Portland an icy mess. I wouldn't want to live too close to Portland either - it somehow has a greener friendlier image, but it is just as much of a rat race as Seattle, and becoming just as expensive, too.
The community, described by the builder as “a unique development that will be one of a kind in Corinth,” will certainly be a far cry from the wrinkled jeans-and-cowboy-hat society of Canyon Lake Ranch. Long Lake is a gated and guarded Chinese-themed community marketed in China to ultra-rich Chinese nationals interested in contributing a million dollars to a U.S. government-sponsored visa program as an expedited way to obtain American citizenship, secure an advanced education for their children and diversify their investments outside of China.
The luxury homes are available for anyone to purchase but are being marketed and sold in China as part of the federal government’s EB-5 visa program.
“The EB-5 investment is completely separate from the purchase,” says Vivian Tsou, Lelege’s president and chief operation officer, explaining that the million-dollar investment does not guarantee or pay for a home in the Long Lake community.
http://www.dentonrc.com/local-news/local-news-headlines/20150321-lake-draws-dreams.ece
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/29/business/international/chinese-cash-floods-us-real-estate-market.html?_r=0
Buying residency is a key reason real estate is hot in my area too - people escaping just in case the axe falls back home in the kleptocracy
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/4346-Witherby-St-San-Diego-CA-92103/16951239_zpid/
Here's a million dollars in my zipcode:
http://www.windermere.com/listing/WA/Bellevue/737-99th-Ave-NE-98004/43820487
50/50 chance it is bought by sketchy offshore money.
This disco era gem is only 1.1MM:
http://www.windermere.com/listing/WA/Bellevue/10607-NE-19th-Place-98004/43770290
Definitely not slowing in this area:
https://www.redfin.com/blog/2016/06/denver-seattle-and-portland-are-the-hottest-markets-of-2016.html
I don't even want to look at recent "sold" listings.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1514-Kaualehua-Pl-LOT-Y6-Hilo-HI-96720/2100146052_zpid/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=emo-propalert-image&rtoken=4cbf105f-017c-4adb-b3df-099b9999274d~X1-ZUyw47n4pa9fk9_5i26a
What would a home with ocean view cost in your area. This one did not last long on the market. I love the Hawaii property taxes. Under $1500 a year for this beauty.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/15-Kahoa-St-Hilo-HI-96720/557581_zpid/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=emo-propalert-image&rtoken=dd3b997e-b2fe-4fa4-b63f-91222786948d~X1-ZUyw47n4pa9fk9_5i26a
This will be what we look for if we decide it is time to sell out here and move.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/15-1093-Ala-Heiau-Rd-Keaau-HI-96749/537072_zpid/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=emo-propalert-button&rtoken=a4887d3f-073f-4d57-a57c-714c6bb9b75d~X1-ZUyw47n4pa9fk9_5i26a
Or buy this and move the whole family to Hawaii. I may try and stay here when I get my wife motivated to fly again.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/28-3514-Hawaii-Belt-Rd-Honomu-HI-96728/2103705749_zpid/
We looked at a house earlier in the week in Mesilla, and the detached garage wasn't even locked. And the owner had a huge Sears toolbox and all sorts of yard equipment just sitting there. The few crooks that are around just go around trying doorknobs, since plenty of people don't bother locking stuff up.
What gets me most about that teardown house is that it sold for 53K in 1988 (it's also on the corner of a fairly busy street, not a tranquil location). The 70s house sold for 200K in 1993. Both are now seven figures. I sincerely doubt either will be worth 5-10x + their present asking price in another 20-25 years. And don't dare ask where the money is coming from, it's not all Californicators, maybe not even the majority.
The tear downs to me are beyond belief. My son in law sold his mom's place in Austin TX when she passed away. It was a quarter acre right in town. The family cleared about $300k and the home was torn down. They built a McMansion that sold for $900k. Looking at real estate in Austin, makes San Diego seem cheap. Hard to find much under a million and they are HUUUGE. 5,000 sq ft seems to be the median size. A home my size on the lake in Austin is $3 Million and up.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1503-Manana-St-Austin-TX-78730/29342307_zpid/
3MM for a house in Texas? I'll have to take a rain check. I am sure it is cool, but there are other places I would rather be, and lots of nice enough cheaper houses there. I have no desire for lakefront or 5000 sq ft either. I don't get the monster house fetish, unless someone has 8 kids.
Austin has nothing that I desire. The high prices caught my attention. Another negative to TX is very high property taxes. 2% or higher. If you paid full price on that Austin house your taxes would be in the $60k per year neighborhood. If you like the PNW, WA is better than OR. No income tax and you can find reasonable prices in many areas. Living just across the river from Portland would give you the best of both states.
I really like having 3,000 sq ft on one level. Much easier to be organized and keep an open guest bedroom. One room is for when the grandkids visit. They keep their toys all in that room. I don't think I would like down sizing.
I don't think I would ever need more than 2000 sq ft, or even less. When I was a kid we only ever had one house near 3000 sq ft, and it seemed immense. Even a 2000 sq ft house was more than ample. Once they hit a certain size, it is just more space to heat/cool and clean. Larger ones really add to the profit margins of developers anyway.
I think it's to the point where in-migration can stop now. We're full.
We have no income tax here, but lots of other taxes, some of them regressive, to compensate.
Also another estate sale here - wonderful house, likely one owner, time warp dream. Awesome building with a location to match, but the price shows the reality here.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-property-hamptons-idUSKCN0WJ151
Down, Down, Down
"I’ve Never Seen Anything Like This Before" - The Housing Markets In The Hamptons, Aspen And Miami Are All Crashing
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-27/“i’ve-never-seen-anything-housing-markets-hamptons-aspen-and-miami-are-all-crashing
I like that the ZH article mentions money laundering as a key factor - which is is. Few people want to admit this, not to mention address it or do anything to curtail it. I won't believe anything is changing until Vancouver and Seattle start to see a change.
Our new dear leader claims to represent normal people, but I doubt he will do anything about this issue. The US historically doesn't do much about money laundering and shady investments. IMO, foreign purchases should have a tax even greater than what exists in BC, and vacant housing bought by said "investors" should also be taxed heavily if unoccupied. We need infrastructure, let the gilded few who are fleeing before the axe falls at home help pay for it.
I think youngish people in this area easily have the least affordable housing in history - and the ones before who could buy when it cost nothing moan about the whine of their successors. Ugh.
Pringles can of shame - I see that a lot. Great name.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3012-Via-Viejas-Oeste-Alpine-CA-91901/17059981_zpid/?utm_source=email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=emo-propalert-button&rtoken=190aa596-eb76-4007-a50a-0b164b9034e8~X1-ZUyw47n4pa9fk9_5i26a
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/15/homebuilder-sentiment-spikes-7-points-trump-has-them-feeling-fantastic.html
Regarding the boom, I have a sick feeling we're going to have a hot economy for a year or two and then another crash of 2008 proportions. It's already overheated in a lot of areas, and I don't know if the Fed can cool it. Real estate will be involved, too.
If anything, IMO, there should be taxes on offshore purchases, especially as the authorities have no desire to actually see where money is coming from.
CA seems like a cool place to visit, don't know if I would want to live there. Probably not the best place to retire. I am sure many can say the same for where I live now, where taxes aren't particularly low either. On the other hand, I've know of some relatively low amenity areas like Texas and the southeast where rates aren't low either - but prices are low.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/34603-F-Pl-Ocean-Park-WA-98640/2105317817_zpid/
WA isn't bad outside of Seattle, but taxation here is fairly regressive. Eastern WA draws in a lot of retirees, along with less crowded western WA areas - but many aren't the most prosperous either. If one is from Seattle or Orange County etc, there will be adjustments.
In a way, like the old joke:
The young economist looks down and sees a $20 bill on the street and says, “Hey, look a twenty-dollar bill!”
Without even looking, his older and wiser colleague replies, “Nonsense. If there had been a twenty-dollar lying on the street, someone would have already picked it up by now.”
If it was a true bargain, it probably wouldn't still be around.
Problem with HI is there aren't a ton of highways for the Touareg
I heard this project is nearing completion - noteworthy because it IMO acts as a vehicle for sketchy-at-best money to come ashore for cleaning, and for residency to be purchased at the same time. This kind of thing does not help the insane local real estate market - more empty units to sit alongside all of the vacant expensive condos and houses in my area. We are becoming Vancouver, and not in a good way.
http://www.pinnacleonthepark.com/
Publicly subsidized high rises here that mix (manipulated) market rate and Section 8 renters aren't common here, and I think the few that have existed have been via developers lobbying government, rather than the government blindly issuing handouts. But it should be OK, the coming trickle down wave will create more than enough funds to pay for everything
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/5600-N-Leslie-Pahrump-NV-89060/2096860470_zpid/
I like this one also and I could buy it before we sell this place. A lot of house for the money. Keep both until we are settled. Planning a two day trip out next month to look over the place.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2851-Winchester-Ave-Pahrump-NV-89048/62707075_zpid/?z7&utm_source=email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=emo-savedhomeremind-image
The first one does look cool from the air though, appears to have a little dirtbike track or something behind it, would be fun.
NV might be nice in the winter, summer could get a little balmy - but maybe not a big stretch from inland SD.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/3331-Winchester-Ave-Pahrump-NV-89048/62707217_zpid/
Is the second one a flip? 2x the prior sales price in under a year - seems optimistic. I don't know how many old cars I would want - maybe a few for frequent drives in the nice sun, although the 199F average summer temperature might get old fairly fast. All of that land would make good parts car storage too, I am sure the zoning people would ignore it
Here are a couple typical listings in my zipcode, what bargains:
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/1641-108th-Ave-SE-Bellevue-WA-98004/48956805_zpid/
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/10008-NE-16th-Pl-Bellevue-WA-98004/48837733_zpid/
The second is a mind boggler. That is about the size of home I own in Evansville, Indiana that I cannot get rid of for $65,000. Same size home and quarter acre lot. Something mighty fishy about the whole thing. County still has it appraised at $599k which is still crazy high. Looking at others in that vicinity, they are just crazy priced. And building more McMansions for someone with lots of loot. This place doesn't even have a view of the water.
http://www.zillow.com/homedetails/9831-NE-19th-St-Bellevue-WA-98004/48854373_zpid/
That mcmansion is pretty bad, and knowing that area, a 1950s bungalow that sold for 20K in 1965 (or 80K in 1985) was sitting on the lot before money moved in. Greater chance than not that it will sell to offshore cash buyers who go through no financial vetting upon arrival. Definitely no waterfront on the east shore of Lake Washington for that money, although maybe some views if one wants a more simple house.
I still crack up at the weekly reviews on this site so much tacky stuff out there, proving that money can be inversely proportional to taste and sense, and a lot of it making that local mcmansion look like something by Wright or Le Corbusier.