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The Current State of the US Auto Market

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Comments

  • nvbankernvbanker Member Posts: 7,239
    What evidence is there that the two Malibu strategy didn't work well?

    In case you've been living on Mars since 2007, GM went bankrupt, was bailed out against tax payers' wishes, and is still struggling and the tax payer is virtually guaranteed to lose 11 digits of money!

    that's well over $10,000,000,000 (nearly double by most estimates) in losses thanks to the insane idea of bailing out GM.


    I've read potentially $50 Billion after the fuzzy math is sorted out - but that's the main reason I won't buy anything GM from any country - of course, that's not a big shift in my position anyway given the majority of their product offered anyway.

    Bailing them out would have been sort of ok by me, had it been done the proper way - with a pre-packaged bankruptcy FIRST, blowing out the bad labor contracts, crappy product, overdone dealer network, etc., THEN LOANING them the capital to move on, more like Chrysler was done in the 70's, - that money was all paid back, BTW.

    Most professors agree - GM will still not make it, and will need bailing out again, or will ultimately fail without government subsidy forever - like the railroads. It wasn't cut enough, the culture hasn't changed, and the mission is still wrong.

    Until the mission becomes making cars people want, and want to keep, and building them to last a minimum of 10 years or 150,000 miles before they break - instead of putting as much metal out there, if it means rental fleets, so be it, as cheaply as they can - they will not make it in this world. They still don't get it.
  • lemkolemko Member Posts: 15,261
    Heck, andre, you have a 56 year-old Mopar product! Now, THAT'S longevity.
  • andres3andres3 Member Posts: 13,729
    $50 billion is probably a somewhat accurate figure. The $20 billion in losses figure is just in stocks, the losses at today's market prices will be around $20 billion on stocks alone.

    When you throw in all of the white collar corporate welfare (which costs many times more than blue collar welfare), the tax subsidies, tax exemptions, and other government intervention that benefited GM, I'm sure the costs to taxpayers in losses exceeds $50 billion.
    '15 Audi Misano Red Pearl S4, '16 Audi TTS Daytona Gray Pearl, Wife's '19 VW Tiguan SEL 4-Motion
  • andres3andres3 Member Posts: 13,729
    Bailing them out would have been sort of ok by me, had it been done the proper way - with a pre-packaged bankruptcy FIRST, blowing out the bad labor contracts, crappy product, overdone dealer network, etc., THEN LOANING them the capital to move on, more like Chrysler was done in the 70's, - that money was all paid back, BTW.

    I agree, making the company undergo some pain, letting them feel some pain, would make a bailout far more palatable. I'd still be against it though, on the grounds that Chrysler has had 30 years post-bailout to figure out how to make a car last 10 years or 150,000 miles, and they have failed to do so.
    '15 Audi Misano Red Pearl S4, '16 Audi TTS Daytona Gray Pearl, Wife's '19 VW Tiguan SEL 4-Motion
  • berriberri Member Posts: 10,165
    I like the looks of the new Durango too. I'm probably in a very small minority, but I actually like it more than the JGC. However, when I told someone I know who works in the automotive industry (not a manufacturer) the response was a rather quick "you don't really want to buy a Chrysler do you". No elaboration, so I'm not sure if it's because of quality, resale, or whatever.
  • boomchekboomchek Member Posts: 5,516
    I'll confess that I rather like the latest iteration of the Dodge Durango.

    Our good friends have a new top model Durango. They absolutely love it, and this is after owning a 3 year old Acura MDX, before that a 5 year old Mercedes GL450 suv, and before that a BMW X5.

    We rode in it a few times and I drove it once, and it's a a very nicely styled and finished SUV. Lots of power too from the Hemi V8. Once a bunch of us guys took it for a night out and the car accelerated with no lag or hesitation with 7 guys weighing about 200lbs each.

    2016 Audi A7 3.0T S Line, 2021 Subaru WRX

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    unexpectedly shift into sport mode

    A Buick with an identity crisis. ;)
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    How's reliability on the new JGC? Any better nowadays?

    My roommate's dad had one, and it was very problematic, which really backfired for Chrysler because he's a fleet buyer and started getting Toyota Tundras for his business.

    He's retiring, and his son's taking over. They're looking at Ford EcoBoost pickups to try to lower TCO.

    But I'll echo the sentiment above, I had a Mustang, then a Chevy, then an Escort, before I started buying imports. I always had a reason why I changed brands, but not recently.

    Could simply be because modern cars are more reliable, meaning all of them are. I just haven't seen a reason to change brands, except when you're shopping in a segment where that manufacturer doesn't compete (ex: very few brands still make minivans).
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    My 'Bro's experience with electronic Gremlins and then the "Floating Lifter" design cured him from his Mopar history...for good, this time!

    He's dumping the '04 JGC today for the Sorrento. Lifters clack away when it's cold so he'll warm it up before delivery! ;)
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    2008 CR-V with 60K was in the shop for a tranny reflash. Maintenance only for that gem of a CUV.

    I'm not used to that!
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    Excellent Post!

    Hello, GM Board? Are you listening? Probably not but soldier on, anyway "Old Chaps"!
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Lifters clack away when it's cold so he'll warm it up before delivery!

    To be fair the DI engine in the new Sorrento has a characteristic clatter as well.

    DI is great but they don't make the best sounds, especially if you pop the hood open.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    "According to an analysis of new car retail registrations from R. L. Polk & Co., American brands accounted for 36.8 percent of cars bought by Americans age 25 to 34 in 2012, up from a share of 35.4 percent in 2008. Meanwhile the share of Japanese brands for the same age group plummeted from 50.6 percent to 42.9 percent during that period."

    Young Car Buyers Shift Preferences from Japanese to U.S. and Korean Brands
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Sonic > Aveo
    Focus > old Focus
    Dart > Caliber

    And all of them are more appealing to young buyers.
  • greg128greg128 Member Posts: 529
    So far, so good, although it only has about 2,000 miles on it. So, I'm not exactly one to use as a benchmark for reliability.

    Well obviously you are a complete idiot for buying a truck that will break down once a week, cost $8000 a year in repairs and lose 90% of its value in six months.

    P.S. I really like those Ram trucks and would take one over a Toyota that needs a new frame every 10 years.
  • dieselonedieselone Member Posts: 5,729
    edited March 2013
    P.S. I really like those Ram trucks and would take one over a Toyota that needs a new frame every 10 years.

    Yeah whatever.

    I have a friend that has put 20k trouble free miles on his 2012 Ram Crewcab Sport. It's a very nice truck. I have another friend that has an 08 Tundra CrewCab Limited with 70k miles and no issues. I've driven it several times and I like it. Particularly the powertrain, just gobs of power. The ride is bit jittery and the steering is to light IMO, but overall it seems like a solid truck. Actually I know several guys who've bought new trucks over the past year or so, Fords and GMs too. So far they're all pretty happy.

    The Tundra wouldn't be my first pick by any means, but it would be the truck I'd put money on to go 10 years with the least amount of repairs compared to the domestics.

    The guy I mentioned with the Ram sport traded in an '04 Titan with 160k miles. He said he never had trouble with it and really like it. He test drove every 1/2 ton and for him it came down to the F150 vs the Ram. He chose the Ram due to getting a better deal (Ram had some healthy rebates) and he was unsure of the Ecoboost even though he really liked it on the test drive.
  • jpp75jpp75 Member Posts: 1,535
    My first vehicle was a Ford. After my family had problem after problem with those I got a Chevrolet for my first car and somehow it was way worse than the Fords. I bought a Honda in 1998 and never regretted it. Ford seems to be winning back some market share but not GM. The new Malibu wasn't even close to its competitors in sales numbers. It's really hard to see how GM survives much longer.
  • jpp75jpp75 Member Posts: 1,535
    How could anything be worse than the Aveo and Caliber?
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    To be fair, Aveo was a Daewoo, really.

    Not that the new ones aren't.
  • greg128greg128 Member Posts: 529
    edited March 2013
    $50 billion is probably a somewhat accurate figure. The $20 billion in losses figure is just in stocks, the losses at today's market prices will be around $20 billion on stocks alone.

    Sorry but I feel compelled to refute your post. FACT: If the US sold all 300M
    shares of GM stock today it would amount to about $10B leaving about $10B still owed. That would mean they would have paid back about 80% of the bailout.

    Incidentally that $10B is about what our government borrows in 2-1/2 days, and what it spends in 1 day.
  • tlongtlong Member Posts: 5,194
    Sorry but I feel compelled to refute your post. FACT: If the US sold all 300M
    shares of GM stock today it would amount to about $10B leaving about $10B still owed. That would mean they would have paid back about 80% of the bailout.


    You're forgetting the years of income tax breaks the Feds are giving GM.
  • andres3andres3 Member Posts: 13,729
    How could anything be worse than the Aveo and Caliber?

    Do you remember the Dodge Neon? Complete utter trash.

    I feel violated that they were legally allowed to sell those :lemon: here in the USA.
    '15 Audi Misano Red Pearl S4, '16 Audi TTS Daytona Gray Pearl, Wife's '19 VW Tiguan SEL 4-Motion
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    In this case, the lifters were telling a huge story as opposed to "noise". ;)
  • andre1969andre1969 Member Posts: 25,681
    P.S. I really like those Ram trucks and would take one over a Toyota that needs a new frame every 10 years.

    Oddly enough, my uncle, who went with me when I bought the Ram (we used his '97 Silverado as a trade in), said that if the Dodge dealer pissed me off, let's go look at the Toyotas!

    The construction company he used to work for used to buy Toyotas for their light-duty trucks...stuff like the old T-100 and first-gen Tundra. They tended to have good luck with them. When that company got bought out, around 2007, they sold off a lot of their inventory fairly cheap, and he considered buying one of their Tundras, but didn't have the money at the time.

    I do prefer the Ram over the Tundra, but I don't really see anything wrong with the Tundra. But, whoever thought the day would come that a Dodge would have a less plasticky looking interior than its Toyota competition! :P
  • anythngbutgmanythngbutgm Member Posts: 4,277
    edited March 2013
    A good friend of mine who was a former GMC/Buick service manager has one of the first Tundras from 07', will be curious if he really needs a frame in 4 years like you claim... :sick:

    Btw, care to explain your theory for these trucks?

    link title

    Hmm, checked the carfax on a bunch of these and didn't anything regarding frame replacement and these are 10 years old... :confuse:

    925 more = misprint?
  • dieselonedieselone Member Posts: 5,729
    I do prefer the Ram over the Tundra, but I don't really see anything wrong with the Tundra. But, whoever thought the day would come that a Dodge would have a less plasticky looking interior than its Toyota competition!

    When the current Tundra was introduced 6 or so years ago it was an impressive truck. But since then Ford and Ram have gone through several updates. I really like the Ram.

    I'm going to buy something in the next year or so. I'll look at the new Suburban and updated Expedition again. I really like the Durango, but it's a bit small for us. As for pickups it's a toss up. I'll checkout the new Silverado too.

    Last night on TV our local Ford dealer had a commercial for up to $9k off of f150 SuperCrews. That almost makes me want to go buy one now;)
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    Sorry but I feel compelled to refute your post. FACT: If the US sold all 300M
    shares of GM stock today it would amount to about $10B leaving about $10B still owed. That would mean they would have paid back about 80% of the bailout.

    Incidentally that $10B is about what our government borrows in 2-1/2 days, and what it spends in 1 day.


    It never ceases to amaze me why apologists always like to quote some totally unrelated number to justify their aim.

    "We could feed X number of people for a year for what we spend on FAA Air Traffic Control daily".

    Totally unrelated numbers, and the conclusion is just as meaningless.
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    A fellow down the street bought a new Tundra 4-5 years ago. He had been pining for a year for a new Chevrolet truck, but he said the dealership treated him like crap, and he was extremely skeptical about having them do any service work if it became necessary. He said they acted as if he had no alternatives in vehicles. They were wrong.

    He went to the Toyota dealership and came home with a Tundra, fully loaded. AFAIK, he's had zero problems with his Tundra, and really likes it.

    Just one example, but it shows how a poor dealer experience can run off sales.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I wonder what % of the frames had that issue.

    FWIW Dana paid Toyota $25 million in a settlement since they supplied those frames.

    The interior on the Tundra does feel cheap and plasticky, though, especially for the price levels. The updated one looks better, but we'll see.
  • dieselonedieselone Member Posts: 5,729
    Sorry but I feel compelled to refute your post. FACT: If the US sold all 300M
    shares of GM stock today it would amount to about $10B leaving about $10B still owed. That would mean they would have paid back about 80% of the bailout.

    Incidentally that $10B is about what our government borrows in 2-1/2 days, and what it spends in 1 day.

    It never ceases to amaze me why apologists always like to quote some totally unrelated number to justify their aim.

    "We could feed X number of people for a year for what we spend on FAA Air Traffic Control daily".

    Totally unrelated numbers, and the conclusion is just as meaningless.


    I agree 100%.
  • dieselonedieselone Member Posts: 5,729
    I wonder what % of the frames had that issue.

    FWIW Dana paid Toyota $25 million in a settlement since they supplied those frames.


    Also, wasn't that related to the Tacoma?

    Anyway, I have a good friend who's owned 3 Tacomas consecutively and hasn't had an issue with any of them.
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
  • nvbankernvbanker Member Posts: 7,239
    (ex: very few brands still make minivans).

    Huh? Only Ford doesn't make minivans.....

    Uplander (Upchucker to me) GM
    Caravan - Town & Country (Fiat)
    Quest (Nissan-Renault)
    Sienna (Toyota)
    Odyssey (Honda)
    Sedona (Kia/Hyundai)
    CX-5 (Mazda)
    R-350 (Benz)
  • nvbankernvbanker Member Posts: 7,239
    The new Malibu wasn't even close to its competitors in sales numbers. It's really hard to see how GM survives much longer.

    AND, Malibu sales are heavily weighted to fleet/rental sales.

    GM won't survive without more Gov't help. Only the Buick in China will give them some longevity, but they'll continue to bleed in the US.
  • andre1969andre1969 Member Posts: 25,681
    A couple years back, my uncle got his '97 Silverado stuck in the mud, and we used my old '85 to pull it out. When I crawled under his '97 to find someplace to attach the chain, I was a bit disturbed about how badly it seemed to be rusting. I think it was only a matter of time before something major let loose on that truck.

    My '85 in contrast, looks pretty bad because the rocker panels and lower doors are starting to rust pretty bad, as well as around the rear wheel openings. But, underneath where it counts, it still seems pretty solid.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    edited March 2013
    Uplander is long gone, Traverse is a crossover.

    Sedona is also out of production. I'd like to see the KV7 concept reach production, though.

    CX5? Oh, you probably meant the Mazda5. Yeah, that's a vanlet I guess, but very small, and only seats 4+2.

    R350 doesn't have sliding doors

    So really just 4 options. I consider Grand Caravan/Town & Country/Routan just one set of clones.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Trucks are abused a lot, plus they're the vehicles out there in the snow when the roads are treated with salt.

    Having said that, it was easy to find plenty of trucks with 250k miles plus, without any effort actually, so they're still quite durable.
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    I totally agree.

    Since 1974, I've owned Ford, GM, Dodge, Toyota and Mitsubishi trucks.

    Living in the South probably has influence, but I've never experience frame rust on any of the trucks I've owned.

    In fact, looking back over all those vehicles, not a single one ever left me stranded, and most of them never had any significant drivability issues, although some of them did experience other problems, none of them being severe.

    Maybe I have just been extremely lucky...
  • andre1969andre1969 Member Posts: 25,681
    One thing that's been rough on our two trucks, is that they've tended to sit around a lot, and often just parked on the grass. That will take its toll over time.

    My '85 Silverado was bought new, by my Granddad, that summer. It got used quite a bit, until he got sick in late 1989, and then passed away in 1990. After that, it tended to sit around a lot. My uncle would drive it every once in awhile, and so would my grandmother. I was living with her at the time, and I'd take it to college about once a week. But, since it didn't get used all that often, we tended to park it out of the way, off the driveway and on the grass.

    Grandmom gave it to my Mom and stepdad around 1994 or 1995. They didn't use it much, but would put it into service towing their boat, hauling hay, stuff to the dump, etc. And again, since they didn't use it all that much, they'd often park it out of the way...and on the grass.

    Mom sold it to me in late 2002, and at that point it only had about 109,000 miles on it. And, by then, it was starting to rust. I lived in a condo back then, and would usually park it out on the street. At least it was on pavement, but it was against a curb. Sometimes it would be back at my grandmother's house though, and again, on the grass. When I moved into the house, it didn't have much of a driveway, so again, the truck was often on the grass, until I had my garage built in 2005, and a large gravel driveway put in in early 2006. Nowadays, the truck is at least on the gravel, but the years have taken their toll. It's up to around 139,500 miles, and the drivetrain is running strong, so I'm guessing it'll be rust that sends it to its grave.

    As for my uncle's '97 Silverado, it was his main source of transportation until 2002, when he bought an early 2003 Corolla. I forget how many miles it had on it when it got demoted to "second vehicle" status, but I do remember the second transmission rebuild was around 108,000 miles. :blush: Oh, and he had a bad habit of parking it on the grass, as well. It was up to around 140,000 miles when we traded it on the Ram. I let him use the Ram...bought it partly for him, sort of to serve double duty in replacing his truck, but giving me something to drive as well. I've just told him to keep it off the damn grass! :P
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    I agree with you. Over the years, I've probably seen a couple hundred of what should have been nicely preserved older model cars from the 30's-60's, parked in dirt-floored barns. Almost without exception, the floorboards were rusted (sometimes completely through) because there wasn't any vapor barrier.

    Sadly, if they had simply parked those cars on top of a $10 6-mil layer of polyethylene, placed out on top of he dirt floor before the cars were parked long term, the cars would have been in much better shape.
  • andres3andres3 Member Posts: 13,729
    You mean saying My neighbor "A" owns a business that loses only 100,000 dollars a year, while pointing out neighbor "B" owns a business that loses 10,000,000,000 similar to GM, and then pointing out I have a neighbor "C" that owns a business that loses 5 times that amount (50 billion) isn't a good argument for why neighbor B runs a great business?

    :P :P ;);)
    '15 Audi Misano Red Pearl S4, '16 Audi TTS Daytona Gray Pearl, Wife's '19 VW Tiguan SEL 4-Motion
  • uplanderguyuplanderguy Member Posts: 16,094
    Huh? Only Ford doesn't make minivans.....

    Uplander (Upchucker to me) GM


    As ateixera pointed out, it's been gone for five model years. Stop by a Chevy dealer often? ;)
    2024 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray 2LT; 2019 Chevrolet Equinox LT; 2015 Chevrolet Cruze LS
  • andres3andres3 Member Posts: 13,729
    As ateixera pointed out, it's been gone for five model years. Stop by a Chevy dealer often

    Perhaps the one's that didn't go to fleets took that long to sell off, and there were some sitting at dealers? ;)
    '15 Audi Misano Red Pearl S4, '16 Audi TTS Daytona Gray Pearl, Wife's '19 VW Tiguan SEL 4-Motion
  • uplanderguyuplanderguy Member Posts: 16,094
    I had an Uplander once as a rental (besides owning one). On the other hand, I've had many a Toyota rental.
    2024 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray 2LT; 2019 Chevrolet Equinox LT; 2015 Chevrolet Cruze LS
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    You mean saying My neighbor "A" owns a business that loses only 100,000 dollars a year, while pointing out neighbor "B" owns a business that loses 10,000,000,000 similar to GM, and then pointing out I have a neighbor "C" that owns a business that loses 5 times that amount (50 billion) isn't a good argument for why neighbor B runs a great business?

    By golly, I think you've got it!

    I know, it always works for me when I get pulled for speeding...

    "Why, yes, officer. I was doing 60 in a 25 mph zone, but there are drivers on the Interstate running 90-100mph, so you should excuse me and go after them!".

    Works every time...NOT!!!
  • uplanderguyuplanderguy Member Posts: 16,094
    Looks like GM has a few frame issues as well...

    I think it's fairly obvious that numbers come into play here. GM (and Ford and Chrysler) had sold many, many, many more trucks than Toyota, yet Toyota had the issue enough that it became a large issue for them...and not the others.
    2024 Chevrolet Corvette Stingray 2LT; 2019 Chevrolet Equinox LT; 2015 Chevrolet Cruze LS
  • tlongtlong Member Posts: 5,194
    I think it's fairly obvious that numbers come into play here. GM (and Ford and Chrysler) had sold many, many, many more trucks than Toyota, yet Toyota had the issue enough that it became a large issue for them...and not the others.

    Agreed. Sort of like all the talk of Honda trannys and Toyota sludge - issues that were big for those brands, but long in the past and noteworthy mainly because of those brands' high reliability. When GM or C have tranny failures, it's not even news...

    Somebody just posted about a second tranny rebuild on a truck (I believe it was a Chrysler) in ~110K miles. I've driven six different cars I've owned to over 100K, two of them over 200K miles. Honda, Acura, VW, Mazda, Toyota, Mercury. I've NEVER had a transmission repair in any of them. None of them were US-nameplate trannys, even the Mercury Villager (Nissan engine/tranny).
  • busirisbusiris Member Posts: 3,490
    And, I agree.

    Every model has its weakest point, and folks prone to make a point at any cost can always find ammo on the Internet to prove their point.

    Like I stated in an earlier posting, since the mid 70's, I've owned every domestic brand pickup truck, along with a few imports. I've never had any issue with frame rust.

    Tacomas had a higher incidence of rust, due to inferior materials provided by a sub-supplier (which accepted responsibility for the inferior product).

    The problem of inferior quality subsystem components can happen to any manufacturer.
  • nvbankernvbanker Member Posts: 7,239
    Stop by a Chevy dealer often?

    Obviously, I NEVER stop by a Chevy dealer...... Ever.
  • scwmcanscwmcan Member Posts: 399
    A big factor in the frames rusting is that it seems most trucks still don't have rustproofing on them from the factory ( or at least they didn't as re entry as ten years ago), where cars have had rustproofing pretty much figured out for a while now, I think due to the thicker metal that used to be used on tricks ( and probably still is on the frames etc. ) that it wasn't as apparent until the damage went too far ( the old Japanese trucks were as bad as the old Japanese cars up here, they rusted away just looking at them, the power trains on the other hand were pretty much indestructible). I haven't looked at recent trucks so don't know if they have rustproofing now or not.
This discussion has been closed.