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Six o'clock is a common navigation term. But I was clear and succinct in saying "6" as a flight term.
That has nothing to do with safety. Nor really does it have anything to do with saving gas since if they really wanted to do something about the worse offenders, they would require the builders of gas guzzling SUV's to abide by something close to a MPG requirement. Heck they don't even HAVE to post MPG if they don't want to. Why should I slow down if my car could get better MPG's at top speed than those trucks do?
That's what folks are talking about when they say speed limits are set for other reasons other than what the "engineers" say is "safe".
"Of all speed related fatalities, 94 percent occurred on roads with a posted speed limit of 55 miles per hour or less."
That quote should put most of this whole argument to rest. There ya go. 94% happened on roads with a lower than 55mph speed limit. Since we have pretty much agreed we are talking about speed on otherwise empty rural interstate, that means that that's only 6% of fatalities happened there.
And I saw that report too. I didn't get the point of what they were trying to say. So the police give a 10 mph cushion. It makes perfect sense to me. Why would you want to write a ticket for less than 10mph over on an interstate. That would be ignorant and would move the "speed limit" law to pure harrassment.
Could you imagine a policeman telling you that driving 67 in a 65 was unsafe? With a straight face? When he probably hit 80-90 mph to catch you in the first place. Yeah sure.
Perhaps someone knows how to find this in the network's archives of their Monday night 6 pm news shows.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Of course, that is why 94% of accidents happen at under 55 mph. In the locales with huge vehicle concentrations, cars can barely move. My average speed per week according the trip computer is 25 mph. So it's safe to say if I get into an accident in most probability I will be under 55 mph.
And when you normalize these numbers across the continental United States, the number are so high level they are absolutely meaningless.
But some believe that some numbers are better than none no matter how flawed these numbers are.
Harry
Yep It does. Thanks. But it doesn't change my opinion the numbers are essentially meaningless.
The QEW is a zoo.
What was he professor of? Nihilism? :=) While I understand the notion that statistics can be selected, etc. to distort, the notion that one cannot cull any useful info or come to any reasonable conclusions from NHTSA data is without merit. Of course, I don't think the professor was wrong, but rather the overeaching conclusion from what he said.
There are thousands of variables that need to be considered for their affect in order to say anything meaningful about any one of them.
No, only to be absolutely, 100% sure to 100% accuracy. Thankfully, knowledge and conclusions can be obtained from far less. Otherwise, we would know nothing about our ultimately unknowable (to 100% accuracy) universe.
Most of the variables you list are fairly constant over a large population set and therefore can be discounted.
For example, data can show that more accidents occur at nite than the day. To claim "but maybe it rained more often at nite, so really it's safer during the day" would be specious. Rain is fairly evenly distributed over day and nite and does not affect the conclusion.
Actually that is incorrect and this may be the source for all of the confusion. If you talk to a meteorologist they will tell you there is a proclivity for a better probably of rain at certain times within a 24 hour time period.
Therefore rain is not evenly distributed over night and day and the whole kit-and-kaboodle is just plain incorrect. What they heck are we going to talk about now?
I probably drive faster than you and I pass when I need to, which is often. It's just that I have no illusions about reality.
my quote, fronm the NHTSA:For vehicles traveling 10 miles per hour above or below the average speed, crash involvement rates are 6 times those for vehicles traveling within 10 miles per hour of the average speed."
you:
I dare say that backs up my assertion that it's the speed differential that causes more problems than just speed.
I never disputed that assertion, but it's not related to the quote I cited since that applies to all "differentials" (including none), not just large ones.
The relationship you try to establish between absolute speed and crash involvement is far from "intuitively obvious."
I qualified that as not obvious to everyone :=)
I didn't ask about what I knew. I asked what you meant. I know about the Theory of Relativity, but if you refer to it as T, I would have no idea what you meant.
But I was clear and succinct...
In all the years that I've been reading your posts, I've yet to have those words come to mind :=)
Sure, and often it's just to raise cash. But the question (I thought, but who knows...) was whether higher speeds increase risk of accident and bad result. Actual posted speed limits (and the rationale for them) is quite irrelevant to that.
94% happened on roads with a lower than 55mph speed limit.
Um, not exactly. Non-interstates 55 mph: 44%. Interstates 55-65 mph: 12%. Non-interstates under 50 mph: 44%. So, 56% occurred on roads at 55 mph and higher. And the vast majority of accidents occur on local roads, due to intersections, etc.
I didn't get the point of what they were trying to say.
They were trying to say that the risk of accident and the severity of the result is greater at higher speed. Which is true.
If only :=) Since only one statement referred to rain, that seems unlikely.
If you talk to a meteorologist they will tell you there is a proclivity for a better probably of rain at certain times within a 24 hour time period.
Really? Which times? More at day or at nite? And give us the 10 day forecast while you're at it :=)
...the whole kit-and-kaboodle is just plain incorrect.
I agree. I am now totally against kit-and-kaboodling as Inconsiderate.
"If you torture your data long enough, eventually it will confess."
What a beautiful statement! This is the essence of statistics: data manipulation. Translated to alternate terminology, be careful how you draw statistical correlations from a data set because if you want it to support an assumption, it will support it, but that does not make it true! Correlation does not equal cause and effect. Statistics can paint a wonderous masterpiece from an otherwise meaningless mountain of numbers, but you have to view the result with an open mind to come to an accurate conclusion.
Hasn't anyone anything inconsiderate to write about?
What's Ohio about? I resemble that.
Cellphones are still my big beef. Some people must have cauliflower ear. I'm almost at the point that I wish they do get cancer of the brain from the radiation...
Left turners not paying attention and moving between oncoming cars because they're preoccupied with their cellphone -- that's a problem Then there 's the speeders with a cellphone pushed against their cheek.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Eh, cellphones.... better than someone sucking down the last few drops from a Big Gulp as traffic in front slows to a stop...... 6 of one, 1/2 dozen of another..... Distractions are distractions.
This thread really needs humor. I got lost in the nit-picking and stayed away. Data misuse is one of my favorites.
Cellphone conversation takes attention away more than drinking (soda) while driving. I recently had to make cell calls while driving and it did distract me. The soda can or Speedway Big Gulp doesn't distract me nearly as much. I suppose some folks might be enjoying their Big Gulp too much and get lost in it.
It's the preoccupation on the cellphone that's got me aggravated. I'm tempted to scan the internet for jammers again.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
I haven't been hit for over 15 years on the open road. However, I've been hit so many times in carpool line, that my car has been completely repainted, one section at a time. Everytime that happened, my car was in park, once even in a parking space.
How many of those have a cell phone in their ear?
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
I've even caught some friends talking on their phone to another friend in the car behind them.
Wow, distraction is so bad even the school has made cell phone rules for the parking lot.
What happens if they are caught talking on cell phone and driving around kids? They get detention???
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Has anyone noticed how inconsiderate school bus drivers have become lately?
Not really, but give it up...what have you seen?
Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if they're PO'd...I can't tell you how many times I've seen oblivious drivers go right past them in the opposite direction when the lights are flashing and even when the stop sign is unfolded...it's as bad as the crosswalk ROW problem.
I think that's up there in "inconsiderate acts while driving". Talk about lazy...how much trouble is it to signal? I'll admit to doing it in the rare case when I'm on the interstate with no one within a 1/2 mile, but otherwise I always signal.
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
This truck couldn't make the turn due to stopped traffic and his insistence on making the turn blocked traffic going the other way. Why couldn't this idiot think for a minute and realize he is making a bad situation twice as bad.
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
Now I remember why I haven't been on this site in nearly a year.
PS- I'm trading in the Trailblazer for a Hummer H3 soon. See you on the highway.
It's their eyesight. If they park any further from the building, they might get lost. They drive by memory, so if they cut you off, it isn't because of the cell phone in their left hand or the burger in their right, they honestly didn't see you! :P
Now I remember why I haven't been on this site in nearly a year.
Reading your insightful, topical and considerate post, I remember, too!
I'm trading in the Trailblazer for a Hummer H3 soon.
Downsizing? Wow, the guy from Tejas is turing into an antik. Whoda thunk it?
I'd get 2 to compensate.
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Good day to be on I-75 coming out of Florida today. 04 Honda Odyssey 100mph from Tampa to the boarder. Nice.
On a related note, while cruising along with the traffic at 75 on I-80 yesterday, I saw a bike approaching from behind at high speed. Whe he went past me, I'm estimating he was going somewhere from 100-110mph, no helmet, not a racing style bike. A second guy was a bit behind him, coming along at the same speed, wearing a helmet, but not looking comfortable at the speed. As he passed me, he came up on a semi in the right lane, and when he hit the "dirty air", his back tire waobbled pretty good. He's gonna need to do some laudry for sure!
I'm just glad I didn't get to see them turn into grease spots on the highway!
http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20050621/us_nm/health_cellphones_dc_3
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
2020 Acura RDX tech SH-AWD, 2023 Maverick hybrid Lariat luxury package.
"Directing attention to listening effectively 'turns down the volume' on input to the visual parts of the brain," he added in a statement.
So logically it is not just cell phones but conversations with passengers and even listening to the radio.
That being said I was behind this one car stuck in stop and go traffic on I-55 going to work last week. The driver of the car was talking to the person in the passenger seat. About half the time the drivers head was turned towards the passenger. As traffic was creeping forward so was this guy with his eyes firmly on the passenger of his car carrying on a conversation. I would have hated to see what would have happened if the guy in front of him stopped unexpectedly.
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D