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Paying more than MSRP for (new) Hybrids, Depreciation/Value of used Hybrids

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  • fiqtirfiqtir Member Posts: 1
    The HCH is a fully loaded vehicle, and yes, you pay a premium for the hybrid technology. It is not likely that you will ever recover the cost of that premium over the life of the vehicle, but with gas prices on the rise the recapture time is speeding up. But when factoring in the premium, I keep in mind the $2000 federal tax deduction that I was able to get and the corresponding reduction in my state taxes. Additionally here in Virginia, Hybrids are HOV-1, meaning you can drive in the HOV lanes by yourself. Answer this question, would you pay a daily premium to do 55 MPH all the way to work while the rest of the commuting world is sitting in traffic. It was a simple decision for me, pay the "premium".
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    This topic is about resale values and hybrid premiums - that's why I discuss them.

    Just posted yesterday. 2004 Prius package # 6 purchased with 17,000 miles. They bought it for under $20k. A good buy showing the actual resale value of the used Prius. Someone lost a lot of money in one year on that car. You keep saying hybrids are better. The only criteria I see for that is better mileage. There are cars that are better for emissions if that is your main reason for buying a car. For me usefulness and handling are far above mileage and emissions.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    As Ronny Reagan said in the famous debate,

    "Well, there you go again."

    Once again, Gary, you have taken the sale of ONE SINGLE CAR and proclaimed the resale market of Hybrids as "showing the actual resale value of a used Prius."

    As I have told you before, "one car sale does not a trend create." :D

    Look at Edmund's TMV, which if you look at the details of where TMV comes from, it is based on CUMULATIVE ACTUAL DEALER SALES NUMBERS.

    So I ask you to riddle me this, Gar-Man: is one instance of a car selling for a great price a valid indicator that ALL CARS of that model will sell for a low price?

    (hint: no ) ;)
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    quote Gagrice-"You keep saying hybrids are better."-end quote

    I think the owners of the vehicles are a pretty decent indicator - a 94% "would buy again" rating for the Prius speaks volumes.... :D
  • spechybridspechybrid Member Posts: 1
    I recently purchased a 04 HCH.

    Should have a license plate frame made to read:

    "My Other Car is NOT an SUV"!

    SUV's eat your heart out at your 13mpg guzzler's...

    Patrick
    Santa Monica, Ca :shades:
  • SylviaSylvia Member Posts: 1,636
    Are you guys trying to get this discussion closed with your personal digs on each other?? Please, restrain yourselves, stop the personal barbs at each other and not ruin it for everyone.

    The other option is I can take the name-callers and make them read-only. If you like, I can do that. I really don't want to close the discussion because 3-4 members just can't behave themselves.
  • sinepmansinepman Member Posts: 137
    That statistic is astounding. I read that too. Goes to show you how well engineered this car really is. I hope the future brings us more of this type of technology.
  • sinepmansinepman Member Posts: 137
    Enjoy your vehicle!! You made a excellent choice!!
  • otis1otis1 Member Posts: 142
    I think the resale values of hybrids will depend partially on the scarcity of the used car supply. My plan is to purchase a highlander hybrid this summer. If I like it, I'll keep it for years and years (assuming nothing goes wrong). for as many miles as we drive, we'll have made up the "hybrid premium" and enjoy a technically sound car.

    If after 6 months, we determine the car is not the right fit, I think we'll have no trouble selliing it. we'll probably take a smaller hit on depreciation because the used HH supply will be scarce initially- this way we don't pay the "hybrid premium" because the amount we lost in that 6-12 month period should be comparable (perhaps less) than had we bought a gas-highlander.

    As far as resale values go for the long term, after checking my crystal ball, I think resale of hybrids will fall in line with other cars. either the hybrids are a fad and production will slow down or stop, therefore the supply will eventually meet the demand (zero). or the hybrids are for real, and as popularity increases, so will production and again things will equal out.
  • electrictroyelectrictroy Member Posts: 564
    Surely they must realize that the battery & electric motor cost money & add to the price of the car?

    troy
  • markdelmarkdel Member Posts: 56
    You can buy a HCH for other reasons than paying or not paying a premium, or for reasons other than resale value.
    I bought my HCH becaue I would end up with the same monthly payment as I had for my Saturn VUE (6cyl, AWD), and end up filling a smaller tank fewer times each month -- therefore having a new positive cash flow considering that I live on a fixed income. :)
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    It's no different than any other "premium", which is defined as:

    "An unusual or high value: Employers put a premium on honesty and hard work."

    It is something you receive which has additional benefits.

    In this case, the benefits of hybrids being "better gas mileage, lower emissions, better resale value, lower cost of fueling, the ability to achieve incredible (92 mpg for Insight) fuel efficiency, ability to automatically AutoStop at red lights, tax deductions, HOV privileges (depending on state), reduced foreign oil dependency, act as a portable A/C generator (Chevy/GM hybrid pickups), ability to drive up to 30 mph on battery alone (Escape Hybrid), etc etc."
  • mirthmirth Member Posts: 1,212
    ...to sum up your list, the advantages are:

    1. better gas mileage
    2. lower emissions
    3. better resale (???)
    4. better gas mileage
    5. better gas mileage
    6. better gas mileage
    7. Tax deductions (offset by higher price, so questionable as an advantage)
    8. HOV lanes (where?)
    9. better gas mileage
    10. portable generator (w/o much better gas mileage)
    11. better gas mileage
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    3. better resale because in the history of US auto sales, any car in a line which is higher in features than lower cars in the line (DX, LX, EX, Hybrid) will maintain that relationship throughout the life of the car. A 2003 DX will sell for less than a 2004 LX which will sell for less than an EX which will sell for less than a Hybrid.
    7. Zero tax deduction for non hybrid drivers means anything a hybrid driver gets is gravy.
    8. HOV lanes in Virginia.
    10. 19 MPG versus 17 MPG - not much, but better than nothing at all.
    12-99. Better gas mileage !! :D
  • mirthmirth Member Posts: 1,212
    A 2003 DX will sell for less than a 2004 LX which will sell for less than an EX which will sell for less than a Hybrid.

    Well, yeah, but that's because a DX costs less than a LX which costs less than an EX which costs less than a Hybrid. It's the depreciation that's key.

    Didn't know Virginia allowed hybrids in HOV lanes. Good if you live in Virginia.
  • daysailerdaysailer Member Posts: 720
    As I've said, different people may value the same things differently. If one values fuel economy more than the purchase price of the fuel alone, then the hybrid premium may be justified, for them. But that isn't an economic decision, it is based upon intangible value. There's nothing wrong with that; we each spend our money based upon the value that we expect to receive, tangible or otherwise, consciously or not (charity notwithstanding).

    I hope that those who've bought hybrids ARE satisfied with the value received. Eventually, that may lead to the production of better hybrids that approach cost parity with conventional alternatives and I may consider a hybrid. But I won't attempt to justify the purchase in economic terms unless the premium is diminished to the point that it can be recovered in fuel cost savings within a reasonable period. That is far from the case today.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Each person can make their own deals and rationalizations, but my "premium" over a similarly equipped used 2004 EX on the lot the same night I bought my HCH was only $1524, which I would make up in less than 4 years with the fuel savings alone......YMMV :D
  • daysailerdaysailer Member Posts: 720
    However, I certainly do not consider the HCH to be the equal of the EX in performance and utility, therefore, that comparision does not establish the "premium".
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    in both performance and utility....

    my bad.....:)
  • sinepmansinepman Member Posts: 137
    I believe you are right about that. Only thing is that there is a little less boot space.
  • future1future1 Member Posts: 103
    I am thinking of trading in my 2003 Honda Civic Hybrid, 22000 miles, CVT transmission, 6 cd changer. What do you think is the fair price to expect from the dealer?
  • SylviaSylvia Member Posts: 1,636
    My guess (and opinion) is that you will do better selling as a private party. Why let the dealer have all the premium?

    Use our Used Car Appraiser and see what the various numbers are - - - - trade-in, private party and dealer retail (what the dealer sells it for after they buy it from you).
  • otis1otis1 Member Posts: 142
    let's assumes we're talking about short term- say less than 5 yrs. When I think of resale, I often think of it in terms of a percentage of the original cost. I'm just going to make up some numbers, but I think they're pretty reasonable. let's say the hybrid car and the equivalent gas car prices are $34000 and $30000 respectively. But let's say the car depreciates to 60% in 4 years so the resale values are $20400 and $18000. So in a way you got back $2400 of your $4000, so your "premium" was $1600. So if resale values for hybrid options are GOOD, then the residual is going to be higher- lets say 64.7% as an example, then the premium is ZERO (both cars lost $12000).

    You can throw in whatever numbers you want to the equation. I think for the HCH, the numbers will probably be even more favorable. I just briefly checked the price difference of a 2003 EX vs Hybrid and there appears to be a $3000 difference in resale value- LARSB quuotes only a $1500 difference in price when new. so theoretically, you would save $1500 plus the savings in gas by buying a hybrid and driving only 2 years.
  • rolson1rolson1 Member Posts: 25
    There are several unknowns in this brew of vehicles.
    1. What will the market bear on a vehicle with potential $5000 repair?
    2. How long will that battery really last?
    3. Will there be vehicles costing less to drive per month (lease) than the crap shoot of buying a used gas/electric?
    No one...and don't quote statistics on best evidence because the evidence of resale on Hybrids was and IS driven by what the dealers are willing to pay...since there are few vehicles to be had...and fewer customers doing the CO on those vehicles....the future looks rosy!!

    My wife had a Prius for 9,700 miles...it was everything it was cracked up to be...except it liked to eat front tires...after the third set we returned the car...the newest Prius...hopefully addresses the front end weight on a vehicles tires...that are sorely pressed to take that kind of transfer of energy. Miles per gallon was unreal, even in the cold climbs of Minnesota...and there is something delightful about being snuck up on...by a car in your own driveway...but it had issues that couldn't be resolved by the design at hand. And therein lies the problem with discussing the Hybrids re-sale; what happens when the engineers get it right? What happens to all their "practice" cars? If I knew that...I would be in a gold domed palace outside of Detroit, and each night, on their way home, the domestic auto moguls would pay homage to me.....
  • midnightcowboymidnightcowboy Member Posts: 1,978
    Too bad you got rid of your generation 1 Prius, the problem was the OEM tires weren't speced for the correct load rating. The problem was long ago resolved by repalcing OEM tires with one with the correct load rating.
  • sinepmansinepman Member Posts: 137
    The CRV gets pretty good mileage without an IMA but you're definitely right. I bet it would EASILY get over 30 MPG. I can't imagine why it's not even in the cards. Sounds like a great idea.

    My friend just called me and said he was at a dealership down in Fort Lauderdale and was looking at the Ford Escape Hybrid. The dealer wanted $10k over list for the vehicle!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! This is why Ford will NOT succeed with hybrids. Their dealers are too greedy. I know this was an issue with Toyota too, but it is MORE blatant with Ford. If hybrid technology is to succeed, we have to prevent this gouging.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    and there might be. There are gouging laws in many states in a variety of different industries. Too bad the car dealers can get away with that crap....they rob you bad enough without resorting to actual robbery, which is what that is....
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    The dealer wanted $10k over list for the vehicle

    Not just Ford. One gentleman just bought a Lexus RX400h and the dealer wanted $15k over MSRP. He gave the guy a real deal at $10k over MSRP. If people would just hold their anxiety and let the dealers sit on these cars the prices would come into line. My local Honda Dealer wanted $3000 premium on Accord Hybrids & Odyssey EX models. They sat a long time till a sucker came along.I find it a sad state of affairs and one reason I have gotten turned off by the hybrid craze. If Toyota was as concerned with the environment as they say, they would stop this overcharging. I don't believe for a minute that they cannot influence the dealers to stick with MSRP.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    quote gagrice-"If Toyota was as concerned with teh environment as they say, they would stop this overcharging. I don't believe for a minute that they cannot influence the dealers to stick with MSRP."-end quote

    Once again, I already toll ya:

    Toyota FROWNS upon overcharging and REWARDS dealers who do not do that with extra vehicles (extra profit).

    They talk with the checkbook and hit those guys in the pocketbook.

    I got an email from a fleet dealer that said:

    "We wanted to let you know about a special shipment we received from Toyota for not selling the Prius over MSRP."
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I remember when you posted that. I have always been a hard nose, walk out the door vehicle buyer. It is just hard to imagine anyone even paying MSRP for any vehicle ever made. That is why I never bought a Miata. I wanted one in the worst way. The dealers would not budge and I have done fine without it. As much as you like the hybrids. I truly believe this kind of price gouging will hurt the hybrid technology. Most buyers are not willing to spend more money to lower emissions. The Civic hybrid still costs $3555 more than the top of the line Civic EX W/side air bags. That is why they don't sell like the Prius. If Toyota had something comparable in an ICE only, you would not see the numbers that the Prius is putting up. The Prius is different and the American public are suckers for anything different. Plus Leonardo bought a couple.
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    ...and anyone interested in saving money on diesel ought not hold their breath. Jeep is guilty of ripping off their customers on the new Liberty. They're charging over list as well. It's not only hybrids. Just so happens that hybrids are HOT so they are trying to get what they can get. Remember the PT Cruiser and VW Bug? Last I checked those weren't hybrids!!!
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    Arnold bought the Hummer too... does that mean the mainstream are buying it? How many Prius buyers do you think bought the Prius because Leo bought one? That's ridiculous even to mention that!! Now that supply problems are not an issue, the Prius is selling in many stores for LESS than MSRP. Within a few years you will not see these premiums. The PT Cruiser was selling for MSRP + 3k.. now it's the opposite. You can get 'em for a few bucks over tissue. Hybrids.... it's just the beginning. Get used to folks! It's only gonna get better.
  • rorrrorr Member Posts: 3,630
    The concept of dealers 'gouging' customers for ANY hot vehicle probably dates back to ancient Babylon. Remember, MSRP stands for 'manufacturers SUGGESTED retail price'. If you don't like the price, and the dealer feels that he can get a sucker.....er, customer...to pay the inflated ADM price, fine. You don't HAVE to buy from him, and he doesn't HAVE to sell to you.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I believe that is what I said. Any car that is selling for MSRP is a rip-off. If you wait they will come down. The Passat TDI's were selling for MSRP + $1000 at the end of the year. I just paid several hundred dollars under Invoice for a fully loaded TDI wagon. It is a waiting game. When a company like Toyota creates an artificial shortage, buyers should be wary and let them rot on the lot. Your PT Cruiser comparison is interesting, as they are nearly worthless in trade. Will poor resale be the future of the hybrids? Only time will tell.
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    The PT Cruiser was a fad. Just a Neon with a different body. Diesel cars are selling below invoice because there is no demand for them. Demand for hybrids will be high as long as gas is selling for over $2.00 gallon. I expect the resale market for hybrids will do very well for the forseable future.
  • deweydewey Member Posts: 5,251
    " I expect the resale market for hybrids will do very well for the forseable future"

    We dont know about the foreseeable future. If you look at current hybrid resales they are nothing short of brilliant. But that is merely a reflection of two things:

    1)The novelty of hybrid technology
    2) Low supply of new hybrids

    In the future hybrid technology will be as unique as anti-lock brakes and the supply of hybrids will be plenty. Also the obsolesence of current hybrid technologies in the future may occur faster than other automotive technologies.

    Not a promising prognosis for future resales! Dont you think so?
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    Only time will tell. Since there only seems to be one major player in the full hybrid market, Toyota hybrids should enjoy good resale for the next three years. Don't forget, the previous gen Prius is still fetching good prices. The next gen (3rd) Prius probably won't be around for another 3 yrs. My crystal ball tells me that these resales over the next 3 yrs will be VERY high. After that, it's anyone's guess. Perhaps a friendly side wager is in order? If I lose, I'll buy you lunch :P
  • railroadjamesrailroadjames Member Posts: 560
    I've got 22K on my '04 Prius and the tires are still good for at least another 10K. I've heard a few complaints about tires thru some of the hybrid threads and I was concerned about the OEM tires. Seems that it was all for naught, at least as I see it so far.
    As to concerns about batteries, that too seems unfounded. Toyota has stood behind their batteries from day one and the warrantee says volumes as to the reputation of them.
    The Prius and its sales have skyrocketed these last few months and the lines are still forming to purchase them. Seems there's no end in sight for the Prius and its popularity.
    Railroadjames( a car for the times)
  • jpricejprice Member Posts: 58
    Try selling a 76 hp car on any showroom in America. I don't want any stock in the company that attempts it.

    The ICE in the Prius is 76 hp. I'll take all the Toyota stock I can get!

    jprice SoCal '05 Silver, #1, 4400 miles, [non-permissible content removed]. mileage 45.5MPG
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    Way to go!!! If you buy that stock, within 5 yrs, you MAY be owning a part of the largest car company in the world.
  • falcononefalconone Member Posts: 1,726
    Good luck with your lean green machine! What OEM tires did you switch to?
  • john500john500 Member Posts: 409
    Paying even MSRP is insane, let alone paying more. To keep everyone grounderd, one person isn't going to save the world from environmental disaster. All customers should look at hybrid car purchases in terms of their personal potential gasoline cost savings first, with heroic thoughts about saving the environment second. If Ford is serious about getting hybrid vehicles to the public, they should regulate the dealers to ensure that the vehicles get to the customer at or near MSRP. Otherwise, they stand to lose big-time in the increasing hybrid market. Knowing Ford, the Escape hybrid will probably get 1 mpg better in real-life testing than a comparable internal combustion engine and the hybrid will have tons of mechanical malfunctions. Just what I want to spend $10,000 extra for.
  • john500john500 Member Posts: 409
    Paying even MSRP is insane, let alone paying more. To keep everyone grounded, one person isn't going to save the world from environmental disaster. All customers should look at hybrid car purchases in terms of their personal potential gasoline cost savings first, with heroic thoughts about saving the environment second. If Ford is serious about getting hybrid vehicles to the public, they should regulate the dealers to ensure that the vehicles get to the customer at or near MSRP. Otherwise, they stand to lose big-time in the increasing hybrid market. Knowing Ford, the Escape hybrid will probably get 1 mpg better in real-life testing than a comparable internal combustion engine and the hybrid will have tons of mechanical malfunctions. Just what I want to spend $10,000 extra for.
  • rorrrorr Member Posts: 3,630
    "The ICE in the Prius is 76 hp. I'll take all the Toyota stock I can get! "

    I didn't say "a car with a 76 hp ICE", I said "a 76 hp car". You are aware, aren't you, that the IMA adds a fair amount of additional hp to the total?
  • PF_FlyerPF_Flyer Member Posts: 9,372
    Avoiding the "I HAVE to have that" urge has been something I've been able to do pretty well to this point in my life. For sure, we all get tempted now and then, but if it seems like a stampede, I generally step out of the way.

    I think the premium that some people are willing to pay for cars in general have really resulted in vastly higher car prices than we should be looking at, and at the moment, I think that hybrid offerings are in the same boat. As long as there is a portion of the buying population, that's willing to pay EXTRA to have it now, there's no reason to expect anything but higher prices. If I was a manufacturer, and people are clamoring to buy something from me at a higher price than I put on the vehicle, why wouldn't I milk that for all it's worth??

    The "I gotta have it" folks also seem prone to disappointment when the product doesn't quite match their expectations. The Lexus RX400h thread comes to mind...

    I'll try to bring up paying more than MSRP at the chat tonight and see what everyone has to say. Stop in and put in your two cents!

    PF Flyer
    Host
    News & Views, Wagons, & Hybrid Vehicles


    The Subaru Crew Chat is on tonight. The chat room opens at 8:45PM ET Hope to see YOU there! Check out the schedule
  • rorrrorr Member Posts: 3,630
    Can't do the chat thing tonight so I'll throw in my .02 here:

    When a car is NOT in demand, and dealer's are sitting on 90 days worth of inventory, I don't think anyone here would have any problem with trying to get a car below factory invoice, dipping into whatever holdback may be on the car. After all, the law of supply/demand holds: large supply, low demand = great prices for the buyer.

    So why should anyone get irate at the opposite? High demand and low supply will NATURALLY mean higher prices. Why not higher than MSRP? MSRP is, after all, a purely arbitrary number set by the manufacturer and has next to nothing to do with the 'real' cost associated with the vehicles manufacturer. If demand for the car at MSRP is outstripping supply, then why WOULDN'T the dealer ask for more than MSRP?

    If the asking price is higher than you want to pay, DON'T BUY. Why is this so difficult to stomach?
  • PF_FlyerPF_Flyer Member Posts: 9,372
    The free market at work. No gun to anybody's head making you go out and buy the "hot" vehicle of the moment. Just because someone else is willing to pay MSRP + $X doesn't mean I'm going to run out and pay MSRP+$X+$1 and get in a bidding war. That's the kind of stuff you see hapeen at some auctions where people get the "fever" and run up the price of things WAY over there real value.

    Some want to make a case that the extra you pay for a hybrid will be made up in the gas you save while you own the vehicle. I don't think that's the case if you buy at MSRP, nevermind at MSRP+

    Although, as we can say in a lot of these topics... your mileage and opinion may vary! :)
  • midnightcowboymidnightcowboy Member Posts: 1,978
    I thought only Honda had the IMA and that Toyota used the HSD system. Are you announcing a Toyota-Honda merger or would thant be Honda-Toyota. would it than be Tonda or Hoyota ?

    The bad thing about the Prius is that the 76 hp ICE makes it almost the slowest Toyota around the best performance is 0-60 in 10.2 seconds with a full charge.

    More on topic: HAHs were selling $2,000 below MSRP now they have crept back up in price becuase of gas higher than $2.00 a gallon.

    And Priuses or Priui are available, without wait, at MSRP sporadiaclly if you are not picky about colors or options.

    The key item I have found is how quick you want hte car :)

    anyway I like Honda's 240 hp ICE 6-speed :)

    later,
    MidCow
  • sinepmansinepman Member Posts: 137
    For a few bucks more you get the better looking Acura TL (but no 6 spd) :mad:
  • midnightcowboymidnightcowboy Member Posts: 1,978
    Actually, I seriously looked at the TL but the few bucks more was actually $8K and I decided it wasn't worth the difference. The TL has a 6-speed though :) , only the older style 2003 and earlier didn't offer a 6-speed ( then it was only the CL-S). There were other factors also: regular gas, extremely low insurance rates (Not considered perfromance at all by insurance, even though rated at 0-60 mph in 5.9 seconds) and 2.9% financing at the time.

    Is is all about MSRP and paying less or more. The 6-speed Accord Coupe with NAV was right at invoice. The car was a couple of hundred less, but with options they wee in between invoice and MSRP. The TL without nAV was $1,500 under MSRP and only $500 under with NABV due to NAvs popilarity.

    I would have gotten the HAH if it had a manual shift. Could have bought one with NAV for $31K.

    I think have seen the pricing and wait on the Prius come down as the latent demand is satisfied and there are more and more alternatives. In 2006 the prices will fall as the Jazz, A3, and BMW series 2 become avialalbe. They will fall even further when low sulpher diesel is available and Honda and BMW import diesels.

    Now the true test on hybrids will be when the current set ( not the genration OPrius I, too few) begin approaching the traction battery warranty limits , 8years, 80,000 miles 9 oh yes CA 10 years 100,000). Since the real influx was 2 years ago and the average driver ( i am not sure any hyper-miler is really average) drives 15,000 to 20,000 miles per year The battery life will really be tested in 4-5 years from 2003 or 2007-2008. If resale begins to fall, which most are predicting it will, then you will no longer have to pay above MSRP or even MSRP for hybrids.

    If you paided above MSRP, just consider yourself an early innovator.

    Cheers,

    MidCow crus'n in 6th :shades:

    P.S. - I once paid $800 over MSRP for a Honda 1500 GL
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