Hybrids & Diesels - Deals or Duds?

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Comments

  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Why? Is it numbers? Or is it that diesels save for NOx and PM are really that clean?

    I might add that there were plenty of diesel vehicles for a long time. Semis have always been diesel. Mercedes sold 80% of their cars as diesel in the 1980s. Every mfg company sold diesel cars last time there was a gas crunch. SO I also ask, why were they not concerned back then?
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    This is not to sidestep your question in any way, as you know I am not one of the ones who complain about diesels. :) I tend to look at it from a forward point of view and I think one of the problems with advancing R & D to the point where diesel emissions can be technologically mitigated to even lower levels (better) than gassers, gassers will indeed be at a decided disadvantage. (as it has been all along) And with ALL that entails or has consequences.

    So one operative way to look at it (using the VW Jetta's. Given lower emissions for diesel; what is the rational for (now) 32 mpg vs 49 mpg? Why (@3.00 gas/diesel) .09375 cents per gal vs .061224?
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Even a "phony" PZEV is still a PZEV. That's less polluting than other cars which do not achieve PZEV. Regardless of how it's done, it needs to be done more often.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    gary says, "Every mfg company sold diesel cars last time there was a gas crunch. SO I also ask, why were they not concerned back then?"

    Because we as a society got smart and started realizing that health costs cost us ALL more money. And the EPA started actually trying to keep the air clean.

    Back in the old days of cigarettes, even the AMA Journals were allowing cigaretts advertising and letting doctors promote one brand or another !!

    Then we got smart and realized the dangers of the chemicals in cigarettes.

    Similary, we have gotten smart and realized the danger of diesel exhaust.

    I'm all for a TRULY CLEAN diesel vehicle. Let's get one on the road in the USA, let the EPA rate it a 9.5 on air pollution, and let the MPG competition begin in earnest, with a level playing field. Right now the diesels are handicapped by the dirtiness of their exhaust.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    http://www.orlandosentinel.com/features/lifestyle/orl-ledestory2006jul20,0,28000- 16.story?coll=orl-home-lifestyle

    We are about to see a very big one, though, as Jeep rolls out a Grand Cherokee with a Mercedes-Benz diesel engine. It's a 3.0-liter, turbocharged V-6 with 215 horsepower, and -- unlike the old, loud, Italian-built diesel four-cylinder engine offered in the Jeep Liberty -- this engine is the latest thing. Jeep is dropping the diesel Liberty because that diesel's exhaust is too dirty to meet new federal standards, but there is no such problem with the Grand Cherokee diesel, called the CRD, or common rail diesel, describing a method of delivering fuel into the engine.

    The EPA rates the Grand Cherokee CRD at 19 miles per gallon in the city, 23 mpg on the highway, which hardly makes it a Toyota Prius. But keep in mind that those figures are for a four-wheel-drive, full-sized SUV that can tow up to 7,400 pounds. The smallest gas engine offered in the Grand Cherokee, the 210-horsepower, 3.7-liter V-6, is rated at 17 mpg city, 21 mpg highway, but can tow only 3,500 pounds. The diesel can tow as much as the 5.7-liter, 330-horsepower Hemi V-8.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."let the EPA rate it a 9.5 on air pollution, and let the MPG competition begin in earnest, with a level playing field"...

    The majority of GASSERS do not even come close to this goal!! So to say that 99% of the diesels need to meet this goal is disingenuous. Level playing field? The real reason this is made mentioned of is that it has not been for the purposes of discussion from the 1970's. So no, they are NOT handicapped by the exhaust. They are handicapped by market share and the resultant lack of (COST) R & D dollars that took gassers 30 plus years or at least a generation to get to. Want a parrallel example? Hydrogen power is ALREADY a reality! It gets 22 mpg in a Honda Civic. But at 18 dollars per gal (by weight), I think even you can acknowledge the realities behind these types of numbers. This is not even counting the expodentially greater use of oil fuels used in the processing of hydrogen fuel.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    If the new clean diesels coming to the USA in 2008 want to compete with the hybrids of 2008, on a LEVEL playing field, they must match the hybrids in

    BOTH high mileage AND cleanliness of emissions.

    Else the comparison is rigged in favor of one or the other.

    ruking1 says "Hydrogen power is ALREADY a reality!"

    Yes it is, in a million dollar car. That's what the FCX has cost thus far.
  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    I own a Jeep Liberty CRD and it is not so noisy. I have over 11K miles on it and it has quieted down significantly over the past 2K miles. I guess it is finally broken in.

    As to the engine being dirty, it is no more and no less dirty than most contemporary diesels. Fit it with a PM filter and it will be pretty clean. NOx will be an issue but unfortunately there is no way for me to retro fit a NOx reduction system. If I could I would.

    As to your comment about having a diesel as clean as a gasser, that will happen in the next year or two. Gassers have taken 36 years to get to the point where they are now. Diesels will do it in only a very few years.

    I would also like to address another comment you made concerning PZEV. You find a phony PZEV rating as acceptable as one that is truly genuine? Could you take a few moments to explain that to me?
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."If the new clean diesels coming to the USA in 2008 want to compete with the hybrids of 2008, on a LEVEL playing field, they must match the hybrids in "...

    This is truly a false construct.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    winter2-"I would also like to address another comment you made concerning PZEV. You find a phony PZEV rating as acceptable as one that is truly genuine? Could you take a few moments to explain that to me?"

    Sure. This should be easy and fast.

    PZEV is a measurement of tailpipe emissions. If those emission levels are low enough, the vehicle qualifies for the PZEV rating. This makes it a very clean car.

    So:

    Regardless of HOW the PZEV rating is achieved, a clean car is a clean car.

    That's why it's going to be OK with me when the clean diesels hit the road - clean is clean is clean.
  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    Please note that PZEV rating is also a measurement of evaporative losses from the fuel system. It does not involve tailpipe emissions alone.
  • ivan_99ivan_99 Member Posts: 1,681
    ...they must match the hybrids in

    BOTH high mileage AND cleanliness of emissions.


    Why?

    I want the torque and range.

    I’ll assume that the hybrid is lower in emissions…I’ll take the slightly higher polluter that has a significantly longer life span and can be disposed of (eventually) cleaner.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    If the new clean diesels coming to the USA in 2008 want to compete with the hybrids of 2008, on a LEVEL playing field, they must match the hybrids in

    I would expect the hybrids to do likewise. They need to be rated equal to the diesel SUV in towing capacity. None of the hybrids are able to pull much more than their own weight down the road. For that a bit of emissions should be given up.

    I see a willingness to compromise if it is to the advantage of the person buying the hybrid. Not for the person buying a diesel. I do not see why a diesel of a given weight and size should be required to have any better emissions than the lowest rated gas vehicle in that class.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    If you think the 2008 Tahoe Hybrid and the DC/MB Hybrid SUVs are not going to have towing capability, I think that would be incorrect.

    Everyone knows diesels are made for towing. As hybrids mature, they too will get higher towing ratings.

    Hybrids are still about the idea of achieving higher MPG from a smaller ICE (thus less emissions) and doing it cleanly.

    Towing is a "future consideration" right now.
  • houdini1houdini1 Member Posts: 8,356
    Maybe in your "world" not in everyones.

    2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460

  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    To which part of my comments are you referring?
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Towing ability is important to many buyers. They would like to get good mileage while doing it. Diesel is the ONLY option to get both. So compromise on emissions is made. Not that much though. Only in certain areas such as NoX. Most new diesels have decent PM filters.

    I don't see any chance of HSD type hybrids having towing capability. That is probably why Toyota will come out with a diesel Tundra before a hybrid Tundra. They don't want their macho truck to get a wimpy image.
  • alp8alp8 Member Posts: 656
    That whole Dust to Dust analysis of cars STILL has not been peer reviewed or critiqued in any meaningful fashion. People just trot out the numbers and then draw all sorts of conclusions. That article (in reason.org?) was a complete waste of time, and it reveals why you can't trust anything written there. It was a nice try, however. I'm sure it persuaded those of us who have poor critical thinking skills. And it provides support to those of us who are anti-hybrid.

    I'd like to see ALL the assumptions made in the analysis, not just a few of them.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I'd like to see ALL the assumptions made in the analysis, not just a few of them.

    I think it may be a lengthy read. I have to consider it valid in the fact that it agrees in part with Toyota's own Life Cycle Analysis. Toyota claims that the Prius in manufacturing puts out considerably more airborne emissions in 4 of 5 pollutants studied. Their claim is those pollutants are counteracted in the driving of the Prius vs the gas equivelant. car over the 100,000 mile life. Toyota left out some of the emissions such as NMOG & carbon monoxide. One important pollutant is mainly spewed out in manufacturing & Production. That is PM particulate matter. There the Prius is about 75% worse over the life of the car than the gas only version.

    So until someone comes along with a valid study that refutes with science the one we have, I will consider it accurate. I don't see any bias. The top vehicle in the study was a Toyota. Just because the hybrids are so polluting in manufacture and visible makes them seem clean. I don't think they are. Are they building any of the high polluting parts in the USA? If not that should give us a clue as to the true facts.

    It has nothing to do with the emotion some have for hybrids or diesels. I get emotional about the fuel savings and driveability of a diesel vehicle. That does not make it better. Only better in my mind. No matter what someone else may post negative about diesel cars & trucks I like them.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Indeed this might account for a portion of the extra cost that comes attached to the Prius.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Here is the link to the non technical CNW report. It is a 458 page Word document. The only arguments refuting the study are based on emotion nothing logical.

    “If a consumer is concerned about fuel economy because of family budgets or depleting oil supplies, it is perfectly logical to consider buying high-fuel-economy vehicles,” says Art Spinella, president of CNW Marketing Research, Inc. “But if the concern is the broader issues such as environmental impact of energy usage, some high-mileage vehicles actually cost society more than conventional or even larger models over their lifetime.

    Dust to Dust
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    I’ll assume that the hybrid is lower in emissions…I’ll take the slightly higher polluter that has a significantly longer life span and can be disposed of (eventually) cleaner.

    Why would you think that the diesel can be disposed more cleanly than a hybrid? Just curious. It's 12v lead-acid battery is larger in many cases.
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    As has been discussed at other sites ... this 'study' by Spinella is severely flawed in its assumptions and conclusions.

    For example it assumes that all Toyota hybrids will die at 100,001 miles while some gassers will go 300,000 miles. Hardly a 'scientific' methodology.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    gary says, "Toyota claims that the Prius in manufacturing puts out considerably more airborne emissions in 4 of 5 pollutants studied. Their claim is those pollutants are counteracted in the driving of the Prius vs the gas equivelant. car over the 100,000 mile life. Toyota left out some of the emissions such as NMOG & carbon monoxide. One important pollutant is mainly spewed out in manufacturing & Production. That is PM particulate matter. There the Prius is about 75% worse over the life of the car than the gas only version. "

    Gary, you make me work too hard !!!

    Do I have to AGAIN go look up the study I located which stated that the Prius, YES, INDEED, pollutes SLIGHTLY MORE during manufacturing, but that over the life of the vehicles, the gas equivalent vehicles pollute FAR MORE? Something like 37% more if I remember correctly.

    The PM created during the manufacturing of the Prius has something to do with a diesel engine being used somewhere during the process, probably during the delivery of the parts. Once the "clean diesel" fuel is everywhere, this will go away, right Gary? :)
  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    Actually, you are not quite right about the battery in a diesel being bigger.

    I have a Jeep Liberty CRD and the battery is about the same size (physical dimensions) as one found in a Toyota Highlander six cylinder. It does however, have 200-300 amps more cold cranking power.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    This is to add to winter2's comments and to address kdsynders observation that the diesels battery is "bigger".

    SIZE per se does NOT matter. Indeed my Toyota Landcruiser has a (# 24) BIGGER) sized battery. (vs a 95H , smaller diesel). What will probably be of issue is the manufacturing, disposal and ultimately recycling (rebirth) procedures. So at issue is what is the gig for the hybrid batteries. The history channel had a recent program showing how hybrid batteries are made. It does not appear that the recycling procedure is an easy one. :) However this is a SWAG on my part. The program did not cover the death and rebirth portion of which we are familar with on the lead acid battery.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    First: the lead acid batteries in a non hybrid car are much less of a problem than the NiMH batteries in the hybrids. Lead acid batteries have been recycled for decades into new lead acid batteries. You get a core charge for returning your old battery. I have never seen a car with a 100 lb lead acid battery.

    Second: the mileage stated in the CNW report for the Prius is 109k miles. Toyota LCA is based on 100k miles. The odds on the average Prius NiMH battery lasting much over 100k miles is all speculation at this point. I have only heard of a very few Prii going past 100k miles. Out of 828 Prius owners reporting their mileage, only TWO Prius Classics are past 100k miles. A lot of weight has been given to one cabby in Vancouver that got 190k kilometers before Toyota gave him a new one. When we have dozens of happy Prius owners reporting in here that they have more than 109k trouble free miles, we should accept that number as valid. I am waiting for the first to post here.

    Third: the pollution spewed into the air wherever the hybrid parts are manufactured is not Slightly more. It is on average 30-50% more than a conventional gas car. It is only after several years of driving does the ICE only car pass up the Prius for emissions. My question is will a PZEV ICE only car ever put out as much pollution as a hybrid? The report would lead me to believe NO.

    Once the "clean diesel" fuel is everywhere, this will go away, right Gary?

    It will be many years before clean diesel is mandated for the ships & trains delivering cars & parts from overseas. I am not sure that Toyota included transportation in the Manufacturing and Production of their Prius LCA.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."It will be many years before clean diesel is mandated for the ships & trains delivering cars & parts from overseas. I am not sure that Toyota included transportation in the Manufacturing and Production of their Prius LCA. "...

    I am absolutely amazed at these same environ types who TOTALLLY overlook these sources of MASSIVE pollution.

    To my mind and I have said this upfront and unhedged that this has been a monumental mistake. and continues to be a monumental mistake. Yet it is totally glossed over by those very same "environ types."
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    gary says, "Third: the pollution spewed into the air wherever the hybrid parts are manufactured is not Slightly more. It is on average 30-50% more than a conventional gas car. It is only after several years of driving does the ICE only car pass up the Prius for emissions."

    Actually, it IS slightly more. ( Oy Veh, why do I have to keep repeating myself? )

    http://www.greenhouse.gov.au/transport/publications/lightvehicles.html

    See the PDF. See that chart at the top of Page 26. It shows the data FROM THE TOYOTA STUDY which shows the level of "Material and Vehicle Production" emission levels.

    The Prius is at about 42 and 25, where the gas vehicle is at 35 and 22, respectively.

    Then look at the last bar, which is the TOTAL EMISSIONS LIFETIME.

    The Prius is at 170 and the gas vehicle is at 270.

    So, during manufacturing, Prius is SLIGHTLY more polluting, that's true. But the Prius MORE THAN RECOVERS THAT DEFICIT by being far far less polluting by the end of the lifecycle.

    The PDF article discusses diesels also. See later pages for diesel information, if you are interested.
  • imidazol97imidazol97 Member Posts: 27,691
    Does that article from Australia include the manufacturing of the vehicle, which would include the batteries, and include the diposal of vehicle, which would include the batteries?

    I scanned and only found mention of "drive cycles."

    2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,

  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Does that article from Australia include the manufacturing of the vehicle, which would include the batteries, and include the diposal of vehicle, which would include the batteries?

    GLAD YOU ASKED !!! :D

    The Toyota study in the chart I mentioned above has the "recycle/disposal" level of the vehicles EXACTLY EVEN.

    It's not more polluting at all to dispose of the Prius, because it's recycled at a higher percentage than the gasoline equivalent, by design.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I guess we need to establish are we talking about the 1997 Prius used in the Australian study or the much heavier Prius II currently being sold in the USA. The Toyota chart I have in front of me is for the New Prius. It clearly shows a SIGNIFICANT increase in PM, SoX, NoX & CO2 for the New Prius over an unknown ICE only vehicle, during manufacture & Production. If as has been mentioned several times the ICE only vehicle is PZEV it would over the Life of the car be less polluting than the Prius. That is due to a significantly higher level of pollution during the manufacturing and Production of the Hybrids and specifically the Prius. Can anyone address that proposition with current scientific data? I do not believe that evidence can be presented that a Prius will over its life cycle pollute less than an equal ICE only PZEV car.

    So all that is left for the person buying the hybrid is will I be able to recoup the additional cost through a savings in gas and maintenance. If so it is a good car to own.

    To address CO2/GHG global warming the Prius has not lived up to the claims of lower CO2 levels if it is not getting the EPA mileage. The person getting 50 MPG in his older Civic HF will be putting out less CO2 than the average Prius owner getting 47.6 MPG. And that Civic HF will have put out a SIGNIFICANTLY lower amount of CO2 in its manufacture & Production.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    I do not have the new study. Can you link it?

    Also - does your study have MULTIPLE DATA POINTS, or is it only showing numbers based on mfg and production? In other words, what about the rest of the life of the vehicles, after production?
  • alp8alp8 Member Posts: 656
    If someone can provide a link of blogs, etc. that discuss/analyze the report, I'd like that. I have not found a good discussion of this report.

    Life Cycle Analysis is very complicated, and always requires lots of assumptions.

    I do agree that this type of analysis is the right approach to picking a "green" vehicle. Nonetheless, one cannot ignore LOCAL issues, such as air quality. Severly impacted air basins may need transportation approaches that decrease local air pollution while increasing pollution outside of the air basin. I breathe the air where I live, not where the Toyota factory is. And my first priority is to maintain some minimal level of air quality where I live. Some pollutants are essentially local issues (smog) whereas others are global issues (GHG). I believe you have to analyze them differently.

    As an aside, if the Prius, for example, contains metals that are costly to manufacture (more costly than "steel"), those metals should (and do) bring a higher recovery value at the time of salvage. I wonder if that was figured in.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    You should really do a goggle of the auto salvage industry!! Actually that is where I have gotten the yearly salvage and average age of passenger vehicle fleets. While the "specter of increased worth" in so called higher worth salvage able materials is alluring, it is NOT the panacea one would think. Believe it or not, the recycling "garbage" industry is HIGHLY HIGHLY competitive. That is the good news. The bad news is it is becoming even more competitive. :)

    I would also say that since the average salvage age is at 8-8.5 years, there is probably a dearth of real world data for (specifically) the Prius and for obvious reasons. 2006-8/8.5 years= 1997/1998) :) This is not to say there are NOT instances of Prius' being totalled etc, but those are decidedly statistical anamoly's.

    As a comparison, I fully expect my VW Jetta TDI to have as a min 200k- 213k miles. There is really no reason NOT to expect a min of a 20 year life cycle (current projection 500k). I also have two Toyota Landcruisers at the 11 /13 year mark and again see no problem with a min of 20 years.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    treehugger.com has a lengthy one.

    and remember, this dust to dust study was paid for by GM. It also uses a 100K mile Prius versus a 300K mile Hummer, meaning many more Priuses will have to be recycled/destroyed/manufactured than Hummers, at a 3 to 1 ratio, thus the increase in "energy used".

    It's hogwash basically.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    It ain't happening! As many HYBRIDS that have been turned loose in the LA metropolitan area, combined with the MASSIVE decrease in LIGHT truck and SUV sales, and the AWARENESS of the goal of less unleaded regular fuel USE; the measured air pollution has NOT changed. (lessened) Let alone given/shown any statistically sustainable link.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Hey - listen to this:

    A hybrid owner/driver is ONE PERSON. That one person SHOULD DO as much as he/she can do, and should not be expected to do more than that.

    Cleaner air will take place when more PZEV cars hit the roads. And when CARB gets it's clean air programs all in place. And when the TRULY clean diesels start being sold new.

    But remember, as Gary always says:

    Most of the air pollution in that area is from cargo ships in the ocean, and the EPA and CARB have no control over that situation.
  • alp8alp8 Member Posts: 656
    LOL - dude, the SEATS in your Jetta won't even last 150K miles

    :-)

    and don't forget, a lot of those Jettas are driven in the northeast and midwest, and no cars are lasting 300K miles out there

    at least they don't rot out the way they used to

    God, remember the pitting and rusting out of the 60s and 70s?
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ...""LOL - dude, the SEATS in your Jetta won't even last 150K miles

    :-)

    and don't forget, a lot of those Jettas are driven in the northeast and midwest, and no cars are lasting 300K miles out there

    at least they don't rot out the way they used to

    God, remember the pitting and rusting out of the 60s and 70s? "...

    My upholsterer would hope that you are correct!! :)

    Another: ya got me on whether or not the bodywork was galvanized on the 1970 VW Beetle (I am guessing not but I really don't remember or even made it a point to know or not); on which I put 250,000 miles with at least 5/8 years in Wash DC area, upstate NY and southern FL; AS is the VW Jetta TDI IS GALVANIZED. To boot the (TDI) car operates in NORCA. (Translation: low rust (no snow where it is run, and longer distances to almost anywhere one wants to go.) :) But your point is well taken, the time frame and the mileage are probably NOT normal. :)
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Question: Who funds your research?

    Answer: All research is self-funded. We have subscribers who look for different types of results for various industries ranging from automotive to home improvements. Like a magazine, we use research as our “editorial content” and hope that the quality and comprehensiveness of that content is sufficient to generate subscribers.

    In all we have thousands of subscribers in scores of industries ranging from publishing companies to Wall Street Brokerage Houses; from automakers and dealers to government agencies.

    We are independent and as such have frequently offended some of our largest subscribers including virtually all of the automakers at one time or another. They do not, however, cancel subscriptions because unlike internal research that attempts to “prove” rather than analyze a point, we are trusted for (if nothing else) our independence.


    Funding is the same as for Consumer Reports. I would like to see the documentation that claims that GM funded this report. You have also repeated the same incorrect data on the Prius and Hummer in prior posts. Have you even read the 458 page summary of the report?

    Here is part of one answer in the report to another groundless accusation.

    Since you feel it necessary to go "online" with your views, please feel free to do so. Note, however, that anyone who is interested in truth rather than perceptions, reality vs. wishes, clarity instead of myopia, conversation instead of blind rage, can and is encouraged to send legitimate questions which we will answer as thoroughly as possible. If the data is incorrect or if some of our calculations or assumptions are not accurate, we are more than willing to re-address the issue. Anything less would be a crime against society.

    Warmest regards,
    Art Spinella
    President
    CNW Marketing Research, Inc.


    This answer along with the rather rude accusation is in that report. Along with dozens of others both positive and negative. If anyone is interested in the report and its findings it would behoove them to read the summary. Making false claims about the report does not give the poster any kind of credibility unless they can produce facts to refute what is in the report.
  • PF_FlyerPF_Flyer Member Posts: 9,372
    Can we please get out of this "trying to prove something" mode?

    This is about the 500th time we've gone around this circle and it's really getting tiresome.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Most of the air pollution in that area is from cargo ships in the ocean, and the EPA and CARB have no control over that situation

    That is not true. They have complete control. They are not exerting it because of the politics involved. It is easier to make the masses pay the price than a few big corporations. Not only are they allowing ships to burn very dirty diesel, 3000 PPM sulfur, new ships being built are able to run on bunker oil. Bunker oil is the stuff left after crude is distilled. It is almost like tar. The newer designed engines will run the stuff. The advantage is it is very cheap. The disadvantage is it is very dirty. The current mandate for clean off-road diesel is 2012. A lot can get lobbied away in 6 years.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    gary says"You have also repeated the same incorrect data on the Prius and Hummer in prior posts. "

    There is nothing incorrect about what I posted. The Hummer was given a 300,000 mile lifespan and the Prius a 100,000 mile lifespan. Ask your hero Mr. Spinella himself.

    I do care that people supposedly put out "scientific studies" and do something totally anti-science like that. It gives hybrids an unnecessary and undeserved black eye.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Whether they have no control over the cargo ships or cannot for political reasons do anything about it, that is still the major pollution problem.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I am glad you are starting to see (don't really want you to necessarily agree) one of the points I have been making for too many posts.

    But some interesting perspectives. (LONG ARTICLE (continues on app 3/4 of a full page, A6) so it is not necessarily a sound bite able piece.)

    T WSJ, pg A1, Wed August 2, 2006, Reality Check "How California Failed in Efforts To Curb Its Addition to Oil" by Jefferey Ball

    big mistakes and unintended consequences (my take)

    ..."California launched its alternative fuel drive as an energy-diversification effort following the 1979 global oil shock. When oil prices fell back, the state shifted its emphasis to fighting air pollution. Since then,California has rolled out mandates and subsidies for alternative fuel DEMONSTRATIONS (my sic) along with broader rules forcing the oil and auto industries to clean up their conventional fuels and internal-combustible engines. The ASSUMPTION (my caps) was the one-two policy punch would induce the industries to shift away from oil.

    But the market hasn't responded the way California intended."... Meanwhile the industries made their conventional products clean enough to meet the states pollution limits.

    The upshot: The alternative-fuel push has helped to scrub California's air, but it has done so by forcing improvements in fossil fuels and the cars that burn them. IT HAS'T CURBED CALIFORNIA'S OIL CONSUMPTION, BECAUSE IT HASN'T MEANINGFULLY DEPLOYED ALTERNATIVE FUELS."... (MY CAPS)...

    ..."In response, California officials repeatedly soften the rule. They ended up letting the industry comply largely with a COMPROMISED (my caps) technology: hybrid cars."....
    ..."but they still burn fossil fuel.

    Still trying to salvage a poor policy decision (my take)

    ..."California regulators had turned their clean-air rule into a veiled attempt to improve fuel economy. And fuel economy, the auto companies noted, is something only the federal governmanet has the legal power to regulate."...
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    http://www.forbesautos.com/news/features/2006/phevs/plug-in-hybrids.html

    But purchase-intent data from CNW Marketing Research indicates that consumers might be losing interest in hybrids.

    The price premium that consumers are willing to pay for gas/electric hybrids and the number of car-shoppers willing to consider buying a hybrid have both been dropping this year. CNW research shows that the average premium a new-car buyer is willing to pay for a hybrid peaked in the second half of September 2005 at $3,142. It has been declining ever since. The most recent figures from May put the average premium consumers are willing to pay for a hybrid at $1,957.

    High fuel prices drove increases in the price premiums, Spinella said. The decline is likely a result of families having built higher gas prices into their household budgets and the availability of other fuel-efficient vehicles.

    The number of new-car buyers willing to consider buying a hybrid vehicle peaked in the second half of November 2005 at 39 percent of those surveyed by CNW. As of May, that figure is down to 22 percent and it's certain that even fewer are actually buying hybrids. "Only about 60 out of a thousand people who consider a hybrid actually buy one," Spinella said. "To give you a reference point on that: Of every thousand people who consider a Toyota Camry Hybrid, about 350 buy them."

    This reduced interest is one factor driving incentives for hybrid cars. While a year ago there were virtually no dealer incentives being offered on any hybrid model, according to CNW data, incentives for hybrids are rising quickly. Average out-the-door incentives (which include cash and other deals) in July 2006 for the Toyota Prius were $1,100; $1,400 for the Honda Accord Hybrid; $800 for the Honda Civic Hybrid; $1,600 for the Ford Escape Hybrid; and $1,900 for the Mercury Mariner Hybrid.


    I know lots of hybrid owners, and none of them are getting any "out the door incentives" like Mr. Spinella describes.

    I'd like him to do some REAL RESEARCH and FIND some of those hybrid buyers who are getting these incentives. They DO NOT EXIST !!!!

    What about the sales number for Hybrids? Still UP UP UP, Mr. Spinella !!!

    This man has an anti-hybrid agenda, and he has a way to get publicity, and he will be hurting the hybrid car movement.

    This is bad for EVERYONE.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    The Hummer was given a 300,000 mile lifespan and the Prius a 100,000 mile lifespan. Ask your hero Mr. Spinella himself.

    Just to keep the record straight: As estimated in the CNW report,
    Hummer 1 average life expectancy 379,000 miles
    Hummer 2 average life expectancy 197,000 miles
    Prius average life expectancy 109,000 miles

    The military H1 is built for many years of hard use. I don't find that mileage unreasonable.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    A friend, (when he was in the service) had (command) of 52 Humvee's. I was able to get rides in each of the different models. At that time, the vehicles were built for a min of a 14 year lifespan. (ridden hard and put away wet, literally)

    So germane to the thread, does making three hybrids take more energy than making 1 Humvee? (or whatever) This should be an absolute no brainer, but I would not want to assume anything. So if I keep a Jetta 300k vs 3 Prius's, 100k each, that is 18k vs 75k. I would anticipate also, the per mile cost being lower for the Jetta than the Prius and that is with the required unscheduled maintanance on the Jetta.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    What about the sales number for Hybrids? Still UP UP UP, Mr. Spinella

    Are they? The Prius sales through June are 10% behind last year at the same time. Even with the fat incentive offered this year. The TCH is new so no data to go by. The Accord and Insight are all but finished. The HCH is not selling real well. They are being discounted in some areas of the USA. The Hybrid SUV sales are down with all the other SUVs. My local Toyota dealer had 3 HHs on the front lot marked near invoice.
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