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Are automobiles a major cause of global warming?

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Comments

  • volvomaxvolvomax Member Posts: 5,238
    Sort of like how prohibition didn't work because it was too extreme, but the net result was a big decrease in alcohol consumption after repeal. People still smoke but the stigma, expense and clean air laws have whacked those numbers way down.

    whoa there big fella.
    I have NEVER seen any study or data that claims that there was a "big" decrease in drinking after prohibition was repealed.
    Heck, look at alcohol sales today. Big BIg business.
  • volvomaxvolvomax Member Posts: 5,238
    I agree with some of your hybrid comments and the economics of them don't really compute (they may compute for me since I drive cars ~10 years).

    But they may have unintended benefits to the owners as well - the hybrids all have gizmos that train the drivers how to get the highest mpg and lots of people have turned into full fledged hypermilers. The gizmos make people think as they commute and they get feedback on how their behavior affects their mpg.

    That kind of training carries over to regular cars too, and the egg under the accelerator trick may actually begin to get inbred.


    Tell that to Al Gore's kid. :D

    Sorry, but I see hybrids zipping down the highways here at well over the posted speed.
    Hybrids are simply a social status symbiol,nothing more.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    If I personally have that many people in my own very small circle of family and acquaintances, surely it happened a lot of other people for many many reasons, not just the cost of gas.

    Read down to paragraph 7, and you'll see that sales of small-cars have gone up 1.7%. Not exactly "many people" in many peoples' book.

    http://money.aol.com/news/articles/_a/small-car-sales-up-despite-death-risk/2007- 0820091009990001

    If we teach people conservation techniques and help people learn that waste is stupid and not so hard to avoid, then people can have their luxuries and conserve too.

    If you take 100 or 200 million peasants in China or in India, give them factory jobs, and some $ to start buying scooters, basic cars, and TV's ... you have taken people who have used little or no energy, and now have energy-consumers. This is happening in many areas of the world. Many areas of Asia did not have roads and private autos 30 years ago; now there are traffic jams.

    As the world prospers and economies grow we are taking hundreds of millions of people who basically USED 0 energy BEFORE, and no amount of conservation lowers that. The world is increasing its energy usage ... it is not about conservation; the problem globally is people are moving up into using some energy. This is a very big world and there are still very, very many people who would be happy to have 50% of the energy usage that you have!

    You probably think you're a conservationist in terms of energy whil at least 50% of the world thinks you live like a king.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Your implied attitude has become in my eyes:

    "throw up your hands, forget conservation, nothing we can do will help"

    I refuse to accept that attitude in my own life.

    The air in California has been cleaned in the last 30-35 years by a combined effort involving regulation, education, conservation, and clean air programs.

    Preaching conservation and legislating clean air works.

    Everything I do helps a little, and as a little person on this big Earf, that should be all I can hope for. Combined efforts of a lot of people helps a lot. It's not linear, but it is recognizable.
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    depends what you consider warmer. if the one degree increase in temp over 100-200 years is warmer to you, then technicly, the planet has warmed since the last ice age. but, if you take out the little ice age, and look at likely temps from the medival warm period, then no, the planet hasn't really warmed up. It all depends on your timeline.

    I hope we're not talking about an opinion here, because the melting point for ice isn't based on that. Did medieval time era also record accelerated recession of glaciers and breaking off of polar ice?

    Why is it so hard to understand that it is better for nature to take its course than us imposing our will on it? If you believe in evolution, is there such thing as accelerated evolution?
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    So that is why Al Gore left office with a million bucks in his pocket, and is now worth well over 100 Million dollars. You think he has not cashed in on the GW fortune?

    Do you really believe that anti-GW folks aren't making millions by sticking to their side of the story? That would be naive.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    Then I'm sure you would have been trying to bail water on the Titantic. ;) Sure if some people bailed it would have floated a little longer.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    Why is it so hard to understand that it is better for nature to take its course than us imposing our will on it?

    We are part of nature, so how is imparting our will unnatural? ;)
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    I guess "artificially flavored" is just as good as "all natural" to you. ;)
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    We're all gonna die. Why not try do a very little each to try and make Earf just even slightly more hospitable and human-friendly for the generations to come after us?

    Without "baby-step-progress," we'd all be living in caves or at best huts.
  • dennisctcdennisctc Member Posts: 1,168
    Actually, if you care about the environment so much AND also your wallet - Go buy a Ford Focus with ULEV. It's a lot cheaper than a Toyota, pollutes as little, gets about the same gas mileage for 08, and there's no expensive batteries to replace down the line!! Ohh but then Hollywood elites wouldn't be seen dead in a Focus!!!
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    Perhaps Titanic wouldn't have gone down the way it did, if people weren't so stubborn, that they could do no wrong.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    My TCH is cleaner than the Focus ULEV. And the Segway I commute to work on every day is FAR FAR cleaner than both of them !!! LOL

    There are a lot of PZEV cars that are not hybrids...see this page:

    Not only Hybrids are the clean car choices

    Hybrids are just one available option when it comes to clean cars. They are not the end-all, be-all.
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    One doesn’t need to be an extremist to do his/her part. Anybody who tries to make a point using Hollywood and like (for or against something) is no different than those celebrity folks. What is wrong with being just you, and doing your part as best as you can? To what extent you can handle is more telling of your abilities to understand your needs and balance them against your wants.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    Conservation is fine, it is a good attitude. But it has not stopped the increase in energy usage; it has only slowed it down a little. We have been making things more efficient for the last 35 years, and people have insulated and changed lightbulbs ...

    But conservation does not reduce energy consumption or CO2 emissions, because there are simply more people at the supper table every evening. And many of the newcomers are still hungry, and the door's still open.

    The solution to the energy problem and CO2 emissions only comes when you can give people plentiful quantities of non-carbon-based fuel. Until we can discover/harness other energy sources, people will demand more and more carbon-fuels to make their lives comfortable.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    You and I are not on totally separate pages.

    Conservation is something that should always be taught and encouraged.

    But like I stated in an earlier post, "multi-pronged" attacks are best for large problems.

    Alternative, non-carbon-based fuels are definitely important and advances in that area are important.

    I think the idea of harnessing ocean waves for power is one of the ideas whose time has come. Encourage your Congressman to look into that.

    Any and all affordable alternatives should be on the table. Massive research needs to be done in all applicable areas.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    You and I are not on totally separate pages.

    So you don't agree that the global population is increasing? You don't agree that more and more people are increasing their living standards and the accompanying energy usage? Is one of your prongs to keep down the masses of people such that they never have an auto, a refrigerator, or a TV because global energy usage goes up? Tell us what you would say to the billions of people who want the comforts and energy usage you have? What is your plan for providing energy to the 100 million or so people who will be added to the world next year? Do the math!
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    Well since people have evolved, the rules of physics apply to us, we're born and we die, I would say we're natural. And since humans are natural our actions are natural. All species are striving to multiply and secure their existence and comfort within this natural universe. I do not see humans as being anything above natural. If we were unnatural, that would make us god-like.

    Humans have evolved naturally to using their intelligence to shape and try and control nature. This is a totally natural course. I don't know if it's a religious thing or human ego, that somehow we're "above being natural".
    I find it rather silly and ecocentric that some want to apologize for our existence and the effect we have on the planet. The only way I know that we could not effect nature is that we didn't exist. 6 Billion people living as cavemen, or as in 500AD, or 1800AD, or whatever is going to have quite an effect.

    I simply fail to see why we should apologize for existing, and deny that we are natural, and what we do is a natural effect of the evolution of our intelligence!

    We try to do what is best, but there really is no positive action that doesn't have some negatives to it. We get a lot of positives from using energy, and yes there are some negatives that result from that. Even the best chef making the best meal, eventually ends up producing nasty waste. :D
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Like any issue, people (and studies) disagree - here's one page that says that booze consumption fell by 60% as a result of the prohibition experiment. 60% is big in my book. :shades:

    You can find other studies that claim alcohol deaths or cirrhosis rates didn't change so much but consumption (and we're talking gallons here I think) is down since prohibition.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Whew, take a Chillus Pillus Dudeus.......

    1. The Global Population is increasing.

    2. More and more people are increasing both their living standards and the accompanying energy use required to fuel that living standard.

    3. Of course I would not deny someone the joys of living to a certain standard which they could achieve with their own successes.

    4. What would I say to the billions of people who want the comforts and energy usage I have? "Live your life frugally and with common sense. Do not waste. Teach your children well. Pay attention to your health. If you believe in an afterlife, live your life with the hope of achieving peace upon your death."

    5. It's not my job to have a plan for providing energy for all the 100 million new people every year, so I don't have a "plan" for that. There can be no on single "plan" for that.

    My part in the overall scheme is to live my life as I would expect others in similar circumstances to also live. I'd like to see millions of people using Segways instead of cars to commute every day.

    But "want" in one hand and "spit" in the other.........
  • jd10013jd10013 Member Posts: 779
    Alternative, non-carbon-based fuels are definitely important and advances in that area are important.

    and they will come. But, there are two ways to do it.

    1. Let things go as they are. Oil, gasoline, all energy will continue to rise. gas will cross $4, then $5, and so on. At that point, the private sector will see the oprotunity to make some money. capital will flow to where it will do the most good (the most prommising tecnology) and as always happens, somebody will build the better mouse trap. Heck, $2.50-3.00 has givin us hibrids, upcoming plugins, fuel cell research and god knows what else. imagine what $5 will do.

    2. Have the government(s) impose a buch of regulations, mandates concerning what energy you will use. That will drive capital to pet projects, companies that lobby the best, home state companies, and cronies. and in the end, the most promising tecnology will get shortchanged, the consumer won't get what he wants, or even a choice and the economic impact of sudden jumps in energy prices and most everything we buy will cause untold damage to the economy as people see thier buying power erroded. and with consumer spending 70% of our economy, it just get uglier from there.
  • jd10013jd10013 Member Posts: 779
    The air in California has been cleaned in the last 30-35 years by a combined effort involving regulation, education, conservation, and clean air programs.

    And its still amoung the dirtiest in the country/world. great work there. you may not have power the entire day, but at least huston has worse air quality.
  • jd10013jd10013 Member Posts: 779
    I really don't know what your getting at. what does the melting point of ice have to do with average global temps?

    you asked if I thought the planet had warmed up, and I told you it depended on what timeframe you used. more or less, yes and no. because if you go back only 150 years (when the last ice age ended) then yes. the planet has warmed up. its what ended the little ice age. But, if you go back to before the little ice age (about 900 AD) then no, its not much, if any warmer today.

    what does that have to do with the melting point of ice?

    the only thing I can gather from you post is that your suggesting we're accelerating the natural warrming process? If thats what your saying, there is no evidence of it, as temps haven't risen significantly. a couple degrees at best.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Yesterday, Phoenix had its 29th day this year of 110+ degree weather. Old record was 28 days. We still have about 2 weeks of chances to extend the record.

    I can attest that the last two months have produced the two highest monthly electricity bills since I moved into my home in April 2004.

    If this does not turn out to be the hottest summer ever in Phoenix, it will be in the top echelon.

    PS This has no bearing on my opinion and is not evidence of anything. It's just a factual posting related to heat. Nothing more should be read into it. I'm not assuming anything, making any hidden statements, not subliminal, etc. Just a report of a fact.
  • scook13scook13 Member Posts: 3
    When I lived in Wichita Falls Texas in the summer of 1980 we had 45 days straight of 110+ degree weather. At this time (and throughout the 70's) we were being told by the environmental "experts" that an ice age was upon us and we, humankind, were causing it because we use aerosol hair spray and underarm deoderant.

    I don't know if your point is that your hot summer is evidence of global warming but I live in Washington state now and we've had one of the coolest summers in my memory. Your hot summer and my cool summer are both evidence of nothing.
  • dennisctcdennisctc Member Posts: 1,168
    Then that proves it!! GLOBALING WARMING IS REAL!!! It's happening in Phoenix!! Wow, who'd of thought Phoenix would have these temps in the middle of August!!!!
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    I was in Dallas that summer visiting my uncle, as a 16-yr-old. I do remember it well. We went swimming almost every day that summer, so the heat just meant FUN FUN FUN for us at the City pool.

    The DFW area had 69 days that summer of 100 degree plus weather and broke records on 29 individual days.

    I don't think WF had 45 days of 110+ weather. Maybe you are thinking of 100+ days.

    June 1980 in WF is the 7th hottest June ever.
    July 1980 in WF is the hottest July ever by 1.9 degrees.
    August 1980 in WF is the 4th hottest August ever.

    You had a lot of hot days but not 45 110+ days in a row. In fact, 1980 still only holds 16 days in June-August which are record hot days.

    Included in the 79 total 100-degree days at Wichita Falls are streaks of 42 consecutive 100-degree days from June 23 to August 3, 28 consecutive days of temperatures greater than 102 degrees, and a remarkable 10 straight days of at least a high of 110 degrees.

    The warmest temperature ever recorded in Wichita Falls was set three times during this heat wave. On June 25, the high of 114 degrees surpassed the previous record of 113 degrees set in August 1964. Two days later, on June 27, Wichita Falls reached a high temperature of 116 degrees again breaking the record. This new record stood for one day, as Wichita Falls warmed to a high of 117 degrees on the 28th. This remains today as the warmest temperature recorded in the Wichita Falls area.


    See the charts here and re-live the heat wave of 1980:

    Weather charts for WF through the year

    P.S. This summer in Phoenix we had a streak of 18 days of 109+ degree days and set the record for most 110+ days in a row. Means nothing per se in regard to Global Warming, I'm just reporting it.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    re-read the post. A PS has been added for all the smarty-pantses around here.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I was bummed that Ford ditched the 2.3l PZEV Focus. That engine was torquey and clean. Anyone know why?

    Prius is still the Hollywood darling. Anyone see the "Girls Next Door" episode where Holly goes and gets one with custom magnetic graphics?
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    Now try to imagine what it would be like, if those regulations weren't in place.
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    So, you can't rely on "experts" no matter what they say, right? Then, what criteria do you use to believe in one (anti-GW) but not the other (pro-GW)?
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    Well since people have evolved, the rules of physics apply to us, we're born and we die, I would say we're natural. And since humans are natural our actions are natural. All species are striving to multiply and secure their existence and comfort within this natural universe. I do not see humans as being anything above natural. If we were unnatural, that would make us god-like.

    No, that would be supernatural. :)

    Why are we scared of WMD? Isn't nuclear fission/fusion a natural process? It happens all the time!
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    scook13,

    As an addition to my last post, Phoenix also had a 41 day stretch this summer of 100+ days. One day less than the WF 1980 Summer 100+ Streak.

    Means nothing per se in regard to Global Warming, I'm just reporting it.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    I never said we shouldn't worry about WMD? And yes they would be natural.

    Isn't nuclear fission/fusion a natural process?

    Fusion and the emission of radiation are some of the most natural, frequent, and prevalent process there are in the universe.

    It happens all the time!

    Yep. In terms of WMD though it happens very infrequently.

    Back to GW. How do you folks rank the typical GW scenario of 100 years in the future, relative to the other threats we face a species. I know the media and our former VP certainly spend an inordinate amount of time on it. Where's the media attention and concern about the more serious threats to humanity?

    There was a show on Science Channel a few months ago which summarized a survey of the world's top scientists in various fields, and ranked the threats to civilization. I can't remember whether GW made the list or where it did. Did anyone see that show?

    If your philosophy is that if mankind just "treaded lightly" on the Earth, we would be rewarded with a shangri-la, you are naieve. Nature has no concern or feeling for us. We sit on an insignificantly small rock, around an insignificant medium-small star, in an average galaxy amongst many millions. If we don't get naturally eliminated by a large comet, or even worse a gamma-ray burst from a super-nova, then nature gets us in a billion years or so as the sun turns into a Red Giant. Our ancestors will have plenty of solar-power. ;) GW, changing coastlines and the migration of some people over a 100 years does not really compare the power of non-manmade catastrophes that can and will eventually happen.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    When I lived in Lake Havasu it was over 100 degrees most of the time day and night from April to October. It was Africa HOT... Then it got cold in the winter. Main reason I sold that house and moved to Kona in 1985. I like it 80 degrees year round. If we could just get the overall climate to cooperate in a nice inexpensive place to live all would be well. I think the people close to the coasts should be selling and buying up land in Norther Canada.... That is if they believe all the GW hysteria. Nothing we do is going to change it enough to avoid what the GW people are predicting.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    I think TV ranks way up there as a threat to civilization so I missed that show. :shades:

    Gagrice, didn't you see my rant about moving to the northern climes when GW hits? It's still going to be dark there 8 months out of the year.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    That will add to the carbon footprint. All the extra lights for 8 months of the year. What always amazed me in the Arctic was how much energy the oil companies used to keep lights going across the oil field. The light pollution was so bad you could not really enjoy the stars or Northern lights. If you drove about 20 miles South on the haul road you could get away from the man made lights.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    check your carspace mail for a message from me Gary....

    I'm driving this weekend, so I guess my carbon footprint is goin up!!!!
  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    again, I think the real problem here is just too many people.

    Ever since “An Inconvenient Truth,” Al Gore has been the darling of
    environmentalists, but that movie hardly endeared him to the animal rights
    folks. According to them, the most inconvenient truth of all is that
    raising animals for meat contributes more to global warming than all the
    sport utility vehicles combined.

    The biggest animal rights groups do not always overlap in their missions,
    but now they have coalesced around a message that eating meat is worse for
    the environment than driving. They and smaller groups have started
    advertising campaigns that try to equate vegetarianism with curbing
    greenhouse gases.


    So the animal rights groups are mobilizing on their own. PETA is outfitting
    a Hummer with a driver in a chicken suit and a vinyl banner proclaiming
    meat as the top cause of global warming. It will send the vehicle to the
    start of the climate forum the White House is sponsoring in Washington on
    Sept. 27, “and to headquarters of environmental groups, if they don’t start
    shaping up,” Mr. Prescott warned.
  • robertsmxrobertsmx Member Posts: 5,525
    I think your dictionary is missing an extremely common word: “artificial”. If I asked Jerry Jones (Dallas Cowboy's) about what made wrinkles go away from his face, his response just might be "naturally". Do you happen to live in LA? :p

    Somehow I wouldn’t call dropping of a bomb as a natural event.

    How do you folks rank the typical GW scenario of 100 years in the future, relative to the other threats we face a species. Where's the media attention and concern about the more serious threats to humanity?

    They should be addressed too, but what is the point of putting a night vision camera at the front door for security while leaving the back door open? Just because there are more threats, you can’t keep marking off some that, in your opinion, are “minor”. Besides, you don’t have to listen to politicians and businessmen to figure things out for yourself. You should be able to analyze it for yourself, and act responsibly. Extremism is a dangerous thing.

    If your philosophy is that if mankind just "treaded lightly" on the Earth, we would be rewarded with a shangri-la, you are naieve. Nature has no concern or feeling for us.

    Are you saying that we should have no concern for nature? There are certain things that can’t be avoided. We will likely run out of oil in the foreseeable future. Does that mean it is okay to just take it all out and burn it, just because it is going to happen anyway?
  • iluvmysephia1iluvmysephia1 Member Posts: 7,709
    TV show and they do mention GW, but, for some inexplicable reason, when they started explaining what GW is I turned the station. The power of that remote!

    2021 Kia Soul LX 6-speed stick

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    It may be easier for us to define "natural" as the opposite of artificial. Not man-made, basically.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    They should be addressed too, but what is the point of putting a night vision camera at the front door for security while leaving the back door open?

    I would agree that GW should be studied and addressed, if there was a solution. Just telling people to conserve and decrease their lifestyle has not worked and will not work - it is not a solution. The money and brain-power should go towards accelerating alternatives. To use a Titantic analogy again, people on the ship would be better served to work towards getting off the ship, rather than studying the damage and how the ship is sinking. We can spend all the money we want studying the climate and CO2 emissions, but it really doesn't stop it.

    Does that mean it is okay to just take it all out and burn it, just because it is going to happen anyway?

    Neither you or I, or the U.S. government can stop it. As you say in that statement - there is no alternative (its going to happen anyway); without working on a solution. Instead of having 100 scientists and $6 billion spent on studying whether GW is happening and how much, and 100 scientists and $6 billion working on alternative energy, if we put 200 scientists and $12 billion to work on alternative energy we'd have alternative energy faster. The money and time being spent studying the climate does change the CO2 emissions.
  • kernickkernick Member Posts: 4,072
    But man is natural. As soon as you take a religious perspective that somehow man is above nature, then you open the pandora's box that everything man does to exist is hurting or distorting nature.

    Man was a natural being 1 million years ago in Africa, as Neanderthals, as Cromagnons, and as present. Man was a part of nature and affected nature then and now. Everything we see is natural. Humans are not some unnatural, supernatural or god-like being that can exist without affecting our environment, and therefore we should delude ourselves and feel guilty for effecting the environment.

    I am not saying we should intentionally destroy our environment, but on the other hand we should not feel guilty to use the resources of the Earth to make people happy and comfortable. And the fact is that using any sort of resource is going to have some negatives to it. If you own a car or house, or just buy food that is shipped from around the world, consider that to get that item, you have used resources and created waste-products.
  • sidious6688sidious6688 Member Posts: 80
    I agree that man is natural, but probably not a boon to other species on earth.
    This said, while the earth may be warming there is no proof that man is the cause. Thirteen thousand years ago the last ice age ended to to warming. I'm fairly certain this is not ;inked to human industrialization. The earth has gone through numerous cooling and heating cycles, I'm confident its normal. The assumption by many that humans are behind it all is sheer arrogance. :mad:
  • jd10013jd10013 Member Posts: 779
    Haven't had a chance to really parse it yet, but could the pendulum be swinging back? Though not all over the place, I have been seeing more and more of it.

    http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_i- d=b35c36a3-802a-23ad-46ec-6880767e7966
  • jd10013jd10013 Member Posts: 779
    you could say that about every state in the country, making all the feel good measures in cali rather uneffective, pointless, and costly.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    telling people to conserve and decrease their lifestyle has not worked

    I think a lot of conservation efforts have worked - energy star appliances, CAFE standards, tougher building codes, cogeneration, low flow showerheads, you name it.

    I've worked at home since '83 - bet I've saved the need for one new gas refinery all by myself. :shades:

    Here's a good example of conservation efforts:

    Glass Houses
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Big Al will have the big one now that his consensus has shrunk to a smattering of scientists. Of course he has made many claims before that were found to be false. Like inventing the Internet.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Got to consider the source, as usual. Inhofe had his own agenda (just like Al Gore).

    Got a link for you Gary. You might like the Glass Houses one I just edited in my other post above too. :shades:
This discussion has been closed.