Subaru Crew - Future Models II

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Comments

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Why? It's fun to speculate. Especially when we know we'll get something soon.

    I bet that Blitzen gets the plain H6. Maybe 217hp, tops.

    -juice
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    I think the Blitzen H-6 was discussed some time ago, IIRC.

    Bob
  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    I guess I don't enjoy speculation that much. Too many variables to consider (displacement, means of induction), plus I wonder sometimes whether what I'd like to see for my own vehicle is on par with the majority of the North American market's desires.

    After almost 3 years and 46K miles in the Forester, I can see some changes in my own wants/needs. For example:

    1. I don't need the ground clearance that I thought I would. Not going into the Pine Barrens or onto rutted rural Southern roads as much as I'd thought.

    2. I would always like more acceleration and passing power, especially since most drivers in the Northeast Corridor think the red and white triangular sign means "floor it" and those already in traffic refuse to make room for those ""flooring it" into traffic.

    3. I am not towing at all, nor do I foresee towing.

    4. Nimble handling at speed trumps all.

    5. I think a Forester-sized vehicle has all the cargo capacity I need. I may have to rethink that should we have children, but I would not want anything larger than a Legacy-sized vehicle. The larger question there is "just how much stuff does one family need to carry?"

    Just a sampling of my thoughts.

    Ed

    PS: Bob - I didn't recall it. Short-term memory loss, maybe.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Subaru has to grow to remain (mostly) independent. I bet it took a lot of effort to convince GM that they could do the SUW on their own.

    So that means they need to appeal to a broad range of US buyers, who demand displacement and torque.

    I don't see the 2.0T Forester fitting that image. An american buyers would walk into the showroom, see a 2.5 X model for $19 grand, then a 2.0 XT model for $25 grand, and buy the bigger 2.5 for less money.

    Even if it's a 2.5T, they'd have to change the labels so that it would be more distinguished.

    There are precedents here. BMW used the label "Z3 2.3" even when everyone knew it was a 2.5l engine. That was to distinguish the 2.8. When they went to a 3.0, then finally they started using the proper 2.5 label.

    So you can't have a 2.5 X and a 2.5 XT with different engines, it'll confuse the heck out of customers.

    So maybe they should put a 3.0l turbo in the Forester. Don't you love my twisted logic?

    -juice
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Ed: interesting thoughts, I'll rebut some of them:

    * ground clearance may not be critical to 90% or more of Forester buyers, but if they lower it any more it'll look even more like a wagon and noone will buy it. Call potential buyers fickle, but it's true

    * everyone agrees here, let's see some more power

    * I don't tow often enough to argue strongly against that, but again, to be considered an SUV this is a pre-requisite

    * nimble handling at speeds => Legacy Turbo, it's just not the Forester's mission

    * Forester doesn't need to be any bigger because the SUW can play that role

    But I see it as a city/suburb fun-run vehicle, for pointing and squirting, errands to Home Depot, etc. Not an autobahn stormer, which its short wheelbase and tallish height prevent it from being anyway.

    -juice
  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    Good points all, juice. All current Subarus exhibit good handling at speed, just some (Impreza, Forester) are more nimble than others (Legacy, OB).

    I like the "point and squirt" analogy and find it more appropriate for 75% of my driving. You'd think I'd be more into whitewater than flatwater kayaking based on that, but when I'm in the water taking in the scenery is a big part of the equation. Again, I thought I'd be driving more in the country but I don't know if/when that will happen. It does seem to be the "erranding" car of choice: I went to the grocery store a couple of weekends ago and came out to find six first-gen Foresters, including my own, all parked next to one another in the lot. Felt like being at the dealer.

    I have never considered the Forester an SUV and still don't; it's a tall, boxy wagon. It reminds me most of the Subarus of old, when they had they letter designations instead of model names. Subaru has marketed it as an SUV (in North America) and does so even more with the second-gen model. The S turbos, STis and Cross Sports are evidence that the rest of the world doesn't think of it in exactly the same way. Maybe I'm in denial?

    Ed
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I just like the feel of smaller cars, they are more fun to drive. I don't want to see the Forester trying to be a Grand Tourer - it's not.

    Keep the wheelbase short, tighten the turning radius, add power, keep weight down. That's about it.

    I'd be thrilled with 220hp on a Forester Premium, no more no less. Under $25 grand, street price. That's possible because 5 speed Premiums are in the $22k range now.

    My wife spends more time on the highway and suburbs, so she'll get a 2009 Legacy H6/H6 turbo next time around.

    -juice
  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    Yes, that is just fine with me, juice. How they choose to get that 220hp into the car is up to them. Just don't upset the weight balance and make it too nose-heavy.

    Ed
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    Ed,

    I just printed out the specs on the vehicle. There's really not a whole lot to mention about it other than it's a Blitezn Wagon with the NA H6 engine. Let me know what specifically you need to know.

    Ken
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    Ed- How they choose to get that 220hp into the car is up to them. I basically agree but it would be nice if it had good low-end torque.

    -Frank P.
  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    Ken: If it's just an appearance package on a N/A H6 Legacy wagon, then the Blitzen 6 isn't much to get excited about.

    Frank: your point exactly. US and Canadian drivers are apparently more interested in low-end torque than the rest of the world market. I guess I should've modified my statement to say "I don't care if it's 2.0T, 2.5T, 3.0N/A, 3.0T or whatever." Give me 220hp and a healthy amount of torque, but don't upset the Forester's balance.

    Ed
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    Ed,

    Well, it does get:

    Porsche design 17" aluminum wheels
    Aluminum front lower arms
    Rear side performance arm
    215/45ZR17 tires
    All the Blitzen trimmings

    Ken
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Frank: yes, that would be a bonus. I always tend to haul a lot in mine. "Haul" having dual meaning. :-)

    I'd love to try the 217hp 2.0l from Japan, to see if lag is a problem.

    -juice
  • cptpltcptplt Member Posts: 1,075
    slightly OT but why don't Subaru supercharge? is that technically more of a problem or less?
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    on the new-found importance Subaru has (finally!) discovered in design. If Subaru is serious about this, in the future no one will have to make excuses or apologies for what Subarus look like. This is indeed good news!


    Bob


    http://forums.i-club.com/forums/showthread.php?s=&threadid=266857

  • bluesubiebluesubie Member Posts: 3,497
    IMO, the S/C would be a better fit in vehicles like the Baja if you look at your average N. American buyer. The typical person wants that low-end grunt.

    The ST-X had an s/c and there were issues with reliability (I think that company went out of business or something along those lines). There used to be pics on the i-club of the ST-X being pushed into the truck at a car show because it wouldn't start. :-)

    I heard from a pretty good source that the '03 Legacy at the NY Auto Show (April '02) had an s/c in it. I heard from another source that it could be true, although an S/C probably wouldn't show up in the Legacy and they were possibly just testing different configurations.

    -Dennis
  • bluesubiebluesubie Member Posts: 3,497
    That IS a very interesting link.

    "To be honest, our design has not been so good," said Kiyoshi Sugimoto, chief general manager of Subaru's design department. "If we don't admit this, we could be headed in the wrong direction."

    -Dennis
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    I don't think this is any secret. You can't read a report on a Subaru*, in which styling is not mentioned in some sort of negative way. At least that's true regarding the current Impreza, and most recently, the Baja.

    It's a good sign that Subaru has finally recognized this, and is taking strong steps to rectify it. Unfortunately, it will take at least 5 years to get the whole lineup up to snuff. From what the article says, this new design team probably won't be able to overhaul the complete lineup before MY06. MY06 is when the next-generation Impreza is due I believe.

    * = The exception to this would be the Legacy sedan. I think most people will agree that of all Subarus, the Legacy sedan, especially the GT, is a quite handsome vehicle. I think the Outbacks are also good looking, but the Legacy GT sedan is the best looking, IMO.

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Superchargers are more of a leach at low rpm and affect EPA mileage more than turbos, which come on boost at high rpm, outside the parameters of the EPA dyno test. Their top speed is something like just 65mph.

    Subaru is already borderline with the CAFE numbers.

    Bob: that is good news. Now people may start buying Subies because of their design, not despite it.

    I'd rank styling like this:

    Legacy GT
    Legacy L/SE
    Outback monotone
    Outback two-tone
    Forester
    Impreza
    Baja

    Though with the new face on the Impreza, it would move all the up to 2nd or 3rd.

    Still, only the GT is truly handsome.

    -juice
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    your ranking is pretty much spot on.

    Bob
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    Ditto to that. I also think the GT sedan is the best looking Subaru.

    I just hope that when Subaru starts to implement it's new looks, they don't end up looking like everyone else. Make it look good, but unique.

    Ken
  • beanboybeanboy Member Posts: 442
    Forget gasoline, Subaru should come out with a modern, H4 diesel. Design it for the new low-sulfur fuel coming out in 2006. Get great low-end grunt, fuel economy numbers would be boosted substantially, and a clean diesel fits well with Subaru's take on poking fun at big SUVs.

    -B
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    But they have no practical experience with them, and it's not part of their heritage.

    Just presenting the other side of the coin.

    Maybe Isuzu could engineer it for them. Sell them in Europe first, then, if they succeed, bring them here slowly.

    -juice
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    You must have been reading some of my earlier posts... ;)

    Yeah, in Europe, 30% of cars are diesels! That's a huge market to ignore. As it now stands Subaru has less than 1% of the European market, according to this link. If they offered a diesel over there, who knows what their sales might be. Even if it becomes only 2%, they've doubled their sales.

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Fuel efficiency is everything when gas costs $5 per gallon, so AWD is a tough sell in southern Europe. If they focus on the Baltics, and offer diesels, they'd have a shot.

    -juice
  • beanboybeanboy Member Posts: 442
    Hats off to VW for not only offereing diesels in multiple cars, but actually having ads for them! Mercedes is back with a new diesel as well. Only a matter of time before the perception of diesel in the US will be changed. Subaru is a trend-setter, so hopefully it will be a reality, perhaps with a little help from GM and Isuzu, tehe.

    Perfect option for the Subaru line of cars.

    -B
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    for diesels to be successful here, they need to offer a low-sulphur diesel fuel, which is available in Europe. I believe MB is waiting for that to happen, before they bring back diesels here to sell.

    Bob
  • beanboybeanboy Member Posts: 442
    I'm sure the so-so fuel economy versus the 2WD competition hurts sales. Subaru also doesn't have a small model available anymore. The Impreza is over 3000 pounds now! While a small model wouldn't work in the US, I think a diesel would. C'mon Subaru, get crackin'!

    As far as future models go, GM is offering the Avalanche in 2003 sans cladding, wonder if Subaru will get smart and do the same for the Baja.

    Although I really don't agree with bigger is better, a tall wagon/SUV off the Legacy platform would be nice for Subaru sales, along with a higher-output H6.

    PS Mercedes has decided to wait until low-sulfur fuel is available.
  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    Rhetorical question: Should Subaru try to be all things to all people or strengthen its position in a niche which it created for itself but in which others now compete?

    Ed
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    It's interesting, the VW ads tout the range of the TDI, and never even mention the type of fuel.

    Subaru should remain a niche make. It can redefine what the niche is, however. In the past, it was "quirky snow vehicles", now it could be "AWD Performance".

    No FWD, AWD only please. All engines should remain boxers. Those two are absolutely essential.

    -juice
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    we sell low particulate diesel fuels:

    http://www.premiumdiesel.com


    this is informational-- not a sales pitch. but by and large you are correct.


    -Colin

  • beanboybeanboy Member Posts: 442
    Is still in the Soobie niche. They already make a car in size class. I understand they are a small company part of the reason they sold a bit to GM. Still, the competition seems to be moving faster nowadays, and Subaru can't sit back and let their models, motors and transmissions (where is the 5-speed?) lag.

    -B
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    So, would it take gas prices to increase to European levels to force a migration to diesel? Are the two prices correlated?

    Ken
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    From a consumer perspective, diesel prices fluctuate far less than gas prices. Around me, diesel is expensive, about $1.40-1.70 for the past couple of years. Gas prices have ranged from $1.10-$2, so there's much more variation.

    But diesel buys you more range, so even at 20% more cost you'll spend less on your total fuel bill.

    -juice
  • beanboybeanboy Member Posts: 442
    Is still in the Soobie niche. They already make a car in size class. I understand they are a small company part of the reason they sold a bit to GM. Still, the competition seems to be moving faster nowadays, and Subaru can't sit back and let their models, motors and transmissions (where is the 5-speed?) lag.

    -B
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    Here's Part II of that link I posted the other day. "High performance" and "diesel" can be mentioned in the same sentence. Also, if I'm not mistaken, BMW (a brand that built its image on performance) makes some very fine high-performance diesels for the European market.


    Bob


    http://www.car-truck.com/chryed/buzz/b102902.htm

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Wow, 1300 ft-lbs may even be enough for paisan! :-)

    I think he's gone faster than 222mph in his Trooper, though.

    -juice
  • strider98strider98 Member Posts: 89
    Holy Keerap! That shoots all other estimates I've seen out the blowhole. Man, almost makes me wish I had waited...

    Seth
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    so you'd pay $35,000 for a WRX STi?

    I wouldn't, so it doesn't matter if I waited. of course with Subaru's depreciation I might pay $20,000 in 2006 for a 3 year-old WRX STi. ;-)

    -Colin
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    1300ft-lbs. Yummy!

    nah highest the trooper has been is 120 and that was downhill.

    -mike
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    Colin- I don't think that $35k is an unreasonable price for what is essentially a street-legal race car. However, I don't think I'd be interested in a used WRX STi at any price. It would be too likely to have been abused and maintenance costs would be too much of an unknown.

    -Frank P.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    $35k is too much. I'd like to see $30k.

    People shopping in the $35k range expect no excuses. It would need a moonroof, leather, and upgraded carpet, trim, headliner, etc. But then it would become a botique car, which I'd hate to see.

    Smaller turbo on the standard WRX, and quicker? Sounds good.

    Look at that, a proper 3 spoke steering wheel. C'mon Subaru, dump the overpriced Momo 4 spoker.

    -juice
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    Frank-- by that logic you wouldn't have bought a used M3 either. I did. ;-)

    -Colin
  • strider98strider98 Member Posts: 89
    would hopefully be a little (and I mean a very little) bit less than that, because most people would feel that is way too much to pay for a Subaru and opt for the lower priced and easily capable WRX.
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    consider other 280 - 300 HP cars in the market.

    Mustang GT, 350Z. is the WRX STi more capable? surely. but $35,000 is a lot more than those cars cost.

    It has to beat those two cars handily plus beat or seriously threaten the performance of more expensive cars like the Mustang Cobra, Corvette and M3.

    -Colin
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Not really, a 350Z hits $35 grand easily. They start at $27 or so, but I doubt you'll see any in dealer for less than $30 or even $32k.

    A GT Mustang couldn't hope to keep up, and still doesn't get the Cobra's IRS.

    The only direct competitor would be the EVO, so if Subaru prices is at $35k and then Mitsu offers the EVO for $30k, they will sit on dealer lots collecting dust.

    I think the problem is there isn't a defined niche yet, and Subaru and Mitsubishi are playing a chess match to see where prices will end up.

    If you think about it, they could even be spreading false rumors, hoping that Mitsu matches that false price, so Subaru could come in substantially lower.

    -juice
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    juice--

    without ADM a 350Z does not hit $35k easily. and all the early ones are optioned to the gills-- you'll see some in dealers come Spring that are below $30k.

    anyway...

    -Colin
  • bluesubiebluesubie Member Posts: 3,497
    Like I've said before, Autoweek has been wrong in the past. They said the WRX would get 213 h.p. ;-)

    -Dennis
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