Subaru Crew - Future Models II

1165166168170171446

Comments

  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    I agree about consolidating GM. In fact, I've been saying that for years. To date, only baby steps have been taken in that direction. My guess is that GM would have to be close to bankruptcy for them to take the drastic actions that are needed, IMO.

    Bob
  • subearusubearu Member Posts: 3,613
    There is a key to the 'future' engine in this post #8459 by Subearu:

    "the 3.0-liter flat-six...is being considered for a future performance-oriented Legacy...may or may not be turbocharged."


    -Brian

  • dzartmandzartman Member Posts: 112
    Cool to be back in Subaru Crew!

    --dave
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    There was a V6 GM engine in Saabs several years ago. It didn't work out well for saab IIRC.

    -mike
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    "• Everyone here (except me) thinks a *true* Subie truck is just wrong.

    • Everybody (including me) thinks *sharing* a Subie engine/drivetrain with GM is a bad idea—but we know it's going to happen, sooner or later."

    Not EVERYONE! :)

    -mike
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    unlike Colin, I do think an H-8 is at least plausible, especially if you think in terms of "flagship." A turbo H-6, no matter how good, will not have the "image" that an H-8 will have. I'm assuming we're talking about a GT-type vehicle, as opposed to an all-out performance vehicle. I see this flagship as a luxury GT, along the lines of a bargain Lexus SC430, or Mercedes CLK430.

    Bob
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    While they are at it might as well make a sedan version and take on the Q45s/LS430/etc

    -mike
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    • 8-cylinder engines remain "special" in the minds of many, especially those who might purchase such a vehicle.

    • Like the original SVX, this engine would not be shared with "lesser" Subarus, therefore further enhancing its special status.

    • One of the reasons the premium Acura RL has not been the sales hit anticipated, is because it has a V6 engine, whereas all its (main) competitor, Lexus, offers a V8.

    • The Ford F-150 and Chevy Silverado have been the best selling vehicles in America for over a decade. That suggests to me that there's plenty of room for even more truck/engine diversity.

    • GMC does not share all the negative "image" baggage; that many, if not all, their car divisions have.

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    What, are you nuts, here's Bob going off on a Subie truck tangent again...?

    Wait, someone already said that!

    Welcome back Dave, it's been ages! Where you been hidin'?

    Bob: I do agree with some of your thoughts, especially GM's truck image being worlds ahead of its car image. And the volume thing, to amortize costs. But I see it differently.

    We have some new info to digest: Canada is getting a special base Outback with the H6. Think about that for a minute...

    -juice
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I've gathered my thoughts. The crystal ball is clear:

    * the H6 will become the base engine in the Outback for 2005 (optional on 2004s though)
    * the VDC and LL Bean will get the H8 in 2005, and finally will become the premium upscale models they currently aspire to be
    * the SVX shares the H8 and production volume is reasonable

    Audi's 2.7T is a great engine, but even those models got V8s for the image. The next S4, too.

    What about GM? They might plagiarize a couple of Subies, then again maybe not. The Baja is struggling in terms of sales, that may kill the Borrego idea.

    Did you guys see the ads for huge rebates on Saturns now? That's it, GM officially killed what was left of Saturn's uniqueness. Chevy will get a Vue clone, the L series is an Opel and a flop, the Ion doesn't look good (leopard skin pillar stickers?). What's the point?

    GM should eliminate Pontiac (which only pretends to be sporty) and phase out Buick (customers are dying off, literally, anyway). I'd even cancel Saturn, just keep the sales model and make all GM divisions sell their cars that way.

    -juice
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    << * the VDC and LL Bean will get the H8 in 2005, and finally will become the premium upscale models they currently aspire to be
    * the SVX shares the H8 and production volume is reasonable >>

    Do you really think the VDC/Bean would get/share the H-8 with an SVX-type vehicle? I don't. If the H-8 does occur, I think it will only occur on the "El-Primo" Subie, whatever that is, and some "special" GM truck.

    I really think only a full-size, or full-size-lite* "truck" (where 8-cylinder engines are the rule, rather than the exception) can generate the kind of sales volume needed to make such an engine economically feasible.

    * = Tundra size

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    There is also the 2005 SUW, so maybe that will get the H8. Remember, it'll probably weigh about 4000 lbs, heavier than any current Subie and perhaps a bit much for the H6 in its current form.

    Let's see how the Passat W8 sells, but the VDC could target that car. Priced lower, it could be the bargain 8 cylinder AWD of the car world, not a bad angle to take if you think about it. The W8 is a little too costly, maybe $35k MSRP would do.

    -juice
  • nematodenematode Member Posts: 448
    1) The VDC and LL Bean variants will be ditched by 2005. The H6 will be the standard engine in all the Outbacks as it should have been in the frist place. All other Legacy based vehicles will only get the 2.5L (except the GT, see below). Leather and some other goodies will be options in the OB but traction control and VDC will be standard as will HID lamps.
    2) The GT name will finally mean something. The GT will finally be a GT as a result of a fire breathing 2.5L turbo making 275hp and 275 ft/lb of torque by 2006. The GT will be actual top of the line (not the Outback) Subaru and get everything standard. That includes leather, VDC, HID, traction control, heated everyting, fancy stereo and anyting else you can think of. It will only be available totally loaded. You will only have the option of an 5-spd auto or 6-spd manual. It will be able to take over small countries and change the tides too.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    That would make the base model too expensive. H6, VDC, HIDs? You're talking about adding at least $2-3 grand to the base price.

    I guess if you rely on the Legacy L/SE picking up the slack, that might be OK.

    But then you'd have a HUGE gap from the L to the GT. Probably a $10 grand gap, big enough to drive a Kia through.

    -juice
  • lucien2lucien2 Member Posts: 2,984
    that L/SE won't be around long. It will go away at some point soon like the LSi, the LS, the Brighton, etc. Like you said earlier, it is a temporary trim level to "hold" the space while the trim-level lineup gets re-vamped in advance of a big power GT and a H-6 base OB.
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    My guess is that they will be getting the same engine, with the same state of tune, be it a 2.0 or 2.5.

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I'm not sure it will go away - it's selling quite well. When the H6 and turbos arrive in the other models, then there will be something left to distinguish those, so the L/SE could remain.

    Makes sense to me, Bob. I'm thinking the next Forester should be registered as a truck to get away from the CAFE restrictions, too. Baja did, so now that Subaru started doing that, they might not stop. The 2005 SUW, too.

    -juice
  • nematodenematode Member Posts: 448
    The MSRP for a base OB is currently $23.5k and there are 2 dealers here (STL area) that sell the base WITH AUTO for $22.6k. I have never seen a manual OB there but I bet one could be had for just under $22k without much hunting. What I want Subaru to do is add H6, VDC, and HIDs to the base OB and sell it for an MSRP of under $25k ($24.5k would be the target). If I was in charge, this should have been done in 2001 and that price would have easily held. One can get a V6 Camry / Accord (I know it apples and oranges) plus a few options for $22.5k. The Subaru would add AWD, VDC, and HIDs (and its wagon-ness) none of which which you can get on the Camry / Accord for about $2000 more. $500 for the H6, $1000 for the AWD, $500 for the VDC system. Option packages with leather, better sound, moon roof, all kinds of heaters, power packages, off road group, oil cooler for towing, and related goodies would take the maximum price to $30k or about $2000 more than a fully loaded to the gills Camry / Accord.

    "But then you'd have a HUGE gap from the L to the GT"
    The L and the GT would be essentially separate "brands". The L is what is it....value. The GT would just be to take customers from Volvo/Audi/Saab. It would the crown jewel of Subaru if I had my way. For example the GT sedan would have the 275hp engine + everything for $38k ($39k for the wagon). It would be a larger WRX with more sedate design. It would be about $6k less than the way overpriced BMW 330xi and about the same price as the Volvo XC70. About $4k less than the Audi A6. If you want Subaru to be a premium brand that can safely crack the $30k barrier you have to offer premium vehicles. I dont consider the VDC premium or upscale. I dont think most people do either.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I don't know about this whole premium strategy. Let's face it - it bombed. Badly. There is a 2002 VDC selling at Fitz for $25,571. With freight!

    What is the MSRP for those? $33k? That's a pretty severe erosion in value and resale. Not at all upscale traits.

    And I've pointed out before - the year after the H6 arrived, combined sales of the H4+H6 were actually lower than the H4 alone. That's a disaster, higher costs, lower sales.

    So, forget premium. VW filled that slot anyway, with the 4Mo and the W8, and soon the Touareg and Phaeton. Instead, go for pure performance. It's worked so far - Impreza sales doubled.

    So I say go with Performance and Value. Remove the word "premium" from the vocabulary completely.

    -juice
  • nematodenematode Member Posts: 448
    The whole thing went down just as I, and some others, predicted when the price for the VDC was announced. My reason was simple: Its was priced far above what the market would tolerate for its performance / content / name. The price was borderline silly. No I take that back....its was just plain silly. It would have done much better if:
    1) The MSRP of the H6 VDC was closer in line with other V6 vehicles that are not premium brands (well under $28k fully loaded). They could have ditched the fancy stereo and the LL Bean variant and just made the OB a better car all around by making the H6 and VDC standard and offering a 5spd (see below).
    2) The H6 did not feel like such a dog off line OR a 5spd manual was an option. Something that sparked of a little performance. The H4 is almost too good I guess because even though the H6 is better in every way it just does not translate to every day driving to the tune of $3000-6000 difference.
    3) It had other things that could provide more value other than AWD....like HID, navigation, more power (like in the 250-275 range like an Envoy). I dont count the sound system (which is excellent) as content because to most value minded customers its not really a selling point and you could do much better in the aftermarket for the price difference (if it really matters that much to you). Perhaps in the $60k range one would pay more for the Levenson system but not at $30k.

    Even the price we got for my wifes OB Ltd. was on the high end of where I thought fair market value was for that car. If other cars in at $25k from brands on par with Subaru have V6s then the OB should have the H6 standard + AWD + one more thing (price, even more content) to attact customers.

    Premium, performance, and value all go together. I would not separate them. I think that VW filled the niche because Subaru dropped the ball. They totally misread what the makret would would tolerate. They could have sold a $32+k car but it need to have what other $32+k cars (Acura/Lexus/Audi) have like close to 250hp, HID, manual transmission and so on. BUT what Subaru did was add an anemic H6 (with the auto), fancy stereo, and VDC (which about 23 people care about even though its really cool) to the OB Ltd which was selling at $25k (street) and raise the MSRP to $33k. Thats an $8000 bad idea. Not in retrospect either because I said it way way back then too. They could have just asked me and I would have told them. Well, I told them anyway but nobody listened.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I agree with #1 - and my strategy would have been to launch the LL Bean first - because everyone fixated on the $33k price tag of the VDC and never looked at its merits.

    For #2, I think a 5 speed auto is what's needed. A 5 speed manual would have brought it more good press, but not sales. I think 93% of cars are bought with automatics, plus autos fit the character of that car.

    Not sure I agree with your 3rd point. The price was too high. They should have offered just the H6 at first, then slowly introduce VDC, Macintosh, and maybe HIDs and a Nav system later, as stand-alone, low volume options.

    Reviews basically went like this: competent overall but THIRTY THREE GRAND? They simply could not get over the price.

    So I sort of disagree with the whole concept of taking Subaru, a traditionally value-conscious brand, upscale. It's an oxymoron.

    What if you could choose 2 out of these 3:

    Performance
    Value
    Luxury

    What would you choose? To me it's easy, value and performance.

    -juice
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    Wow, a 2002 VDC for just $25.5K? That's incredible.

    I dunno about the SE trim staying around too long either. Subaru also had the "30th Anniversary Edition" on the previous generation L 1-2 years before they switched the line. It's the same thing Honda does before they do a model change.

    Yes, the H6 VDC was priced above what the market would bear but I do think it has strategic significance in trying to make the impression of a "premium" Subaru model. VW certainly didn't get there overnight with their Passat line. Remeber when it was a clunky, middle of the road kind of vehicle? Perceptions take a while to change.

    Ken
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    The L moved up to become the L/SE when the GT went way up in price with heated leather, VTD, and shiftronic. But the next GT will likely be well equipped too, so there is room for an L and an SE, IMO.

    I still say they should bring back a Brighton with a 2.0l to help CAFE numbers.

    -juice
  • nematodenematode Member Posts: 448
    I did not think it was a bad idea but I did think they way it was executed was just about worst way I could think of. I dont think they needed to take the whole brand upscale. I think the GT and Outback would have been enough. The first think that should have hit was marketing hype....there was basically none. The WRX had its "legend" from the WRC but the VDC had nothing.

    I really like your idea of stand alone options. Things like nav, stereo, and HID could even be installed at the dealer if needed in a matter of 20 minutes by a tech. The offering of stand lone options appeals to me because they could then test what people wanted and then make the popular options standard. It would have been cool if the H6 was a $1000 on any Legacy. Or standard on the LSE. I would have sold it as follows: Why on earth would anyone get a Camry or Accord when you could get AWD, better dynamics, H6 AND similar reliability for the same price!!!.

    By the way we would have LOVED the VDC for $26k. Even $27k and perhaps given it a look at $28k. My wife drove it again a few weeks ago since he car is basically paid off (next week) just to make sure we were not too harsh on it. Nope, the first impression was correct. Nice car but not worth the upgrade over her H4 OB Ltd. I pretty sure she is going to hand on to her H4 for a while.
  • kenskens Member Posts: 5,869
    Sweet! Gives me goose bumps!

    Ken
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    because it's in Alaska?

    :-D

    -Colin
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I think more modular designs are in the future. Subaru pre-wires the tweeters and subwoofers, why not do the same for a plug-and-play nav system? It would require an antennae I guess, but it shouldn't be too much work. As a bonus, they could sell it through SPT to every Subaru owner.

    They have OnStar, and that uses satellite signals, so in some models the equipment might even be in place (I know little about the technology so feel free to correct me if I'm way off).

    Same with HIDs, sell it as a stand-alone kit, along with other accessories. It would be no different than a bike rack. And you could use the Chase Visa bucks, so it would sell well, I bet.

    -juice
  • lucien2lucien2 Member Posts: 2,984
    I think SOA still needs to keep manual options in the lineup, even if there is a 5EAT as well. Juice's numbers are more or less right, but not for BMW; something like 60% of those sold here are sticks. And thanks to the WRX, Subaru is poaching some of those same folks. I really am amazed when I go to BMW meets how many of these guys are walking away from the new M3, straight into the arms of Subaru. And a lot of them have OBs or Foresters as 2nd vehicles. Heck, look at Colin! So I completely agree with the brand focus on performance and value, but let me stir my own pot in the next performance Legacy!
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    No way, 60%? Maybe of the 3 series or Z3. But all the 7s are auto, most 5s too.

    I'll take a 540i 6 speed, any day, but the wagon only comes with auto! :-(

    -juice
  • nematodenematode Member Posts: 448
    I asked this very question to a large dealer in the area when I was looking at the 325 wagon. I was enamored with the 3 series wagon for a week but when I actually drove it I decided it was about $5k over what I would pay for a small wagon and every wagon on the lot he had was auto. His estimate was that it was 75% overall were autos with the 3 series a little lower. Dont forget that BMW sell a lot of cars to people who want the badge. Most dont come here.
  • rplumrplum Member Posts: 48
    too bad the picture attempts the next day didn't work out eh? I guess nothing can be proved......

    :-D

    -someone must be watching ? ! :)
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    I posted over in the Meet the Members area but figure it is worth posting over here for discussion.


    GM has a great 5EAT tranny that is used in the CTS and the BMW 3 series including the AWD 3 series. It might be worth it for FHI to harness some of that GM influence to use this as an in-expensive way to get a 5EAT tranny in their vehicles. Here is a link to the tranny.


    http://www.gm.com/automotive/gmpowertrain/transmissions/hydra/apps/5l40.htm


    -mike

  • subearusubearu Member Posts: 3,613
    that tranny is a shiftronic type too. Bring it over!


    -Brian

  • bluesubiebluesubie Member Posts: 3,497
    RP - Hey, what's up lurker? Are you biting your tongue, or what? :-D

    5EAT - I seem to recall 5EAT mentioned in an article on apexjapan.com that had an interview with an FHI exec. I think he said they were working on one.

    -Dennis
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    5EAT is coming with the all-new Legacy, for MY05. After that, I'm sure it will trickle down to lesser Subies.

    Bob
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    Is why design an all new one? Why not just use a GM one?

    -mike
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    A) it may not fit, and/or work with the Subie AWD. Remember, the Subaru uses a trans-axle, and the CTS doesn't. And...

    B) it was probably in the works long before GM got involved with Subaru.

    Bob
  • subearusubearu Member Posts: 3,613
    the article mentioned it used the 5EAT for the 3-series AWD.


    -Brian

  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    Not sure, but it's not a trans-axle.

    Bob
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    I'd think the BMW AWD would be trans-axle, it doesn't have a transfer case I don't think?

    Just some food for thought especially for subaru to save some $$$$

    -mike
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    My understanding of a trans-axle is, that the output shaft is integral with the tranny. The front axle exits the tranny, just like that found on a FWD car. The BMW, and others, have the output shaft added on at the back end of the transmission, much like transfer case. There's then a short driveshaft that then goes to the front differential, again much like those on trucks and SUVs.

    I'm not sure it would be less expensive, or as efficient. With a Subie trans-axle, you don't have the additional driveshaft, and associated hardware.

    I could be wrong, but I don't think so.

    Bob
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    The engine torque limit of 221 lb-ft means it won't work in the STi and Legacy GT, though.

    Not sure about fit, but at least Bimmers use a longitudinal layout as well.

    -juice
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    Only because it's mass produced and used in several cars. (if you look at the link there are at least 1/2 dozen cars using that tranny)

    You may be correct about the transaxle though, but there may be a version of the tranny that has transverse outputs, kinda like the H2 using the same transmission as the corvette, the vette one has a lightly different output method IIRC.

    -mike
  • locke2clocke2c Member Posts: 5,038
    you're not wrong, Bob.

    but I don't know that switching to that style would be more expensive than developing to a 5 speed automatic transaxle...

    transaxle is only an advantage when you have a lower-equipped FWD model. if you don't have one of those, as Subaru does not in the US and may never have at all for vehicles using the 5spd AT, then there's no problem adapting the chassis & suspension to a tranny with a separate front differential.

    -Colin
  • kullenbergkullenberg Member Posts: 283
    I saw a news bit in the Jan C&D mag that mentioned a single turbo on the H6 motor, also a 5 speed man-u-matic tranny. That would be my ideal outback ( minimal power loss at altitude!).
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    http://www.geocities.com/dansixtyseven/photopagespiral.html

    The photos aren't great, and they're white cars in the snow! Notice that there appears to be tape over the Forester's "model/engine size" badge on the rear hatch. Hmmm...

    Bob
  • paisanpaisan Member Posts: 21,181
    Love the CB antenna on the STi!!! :)


    -mike

  • lark6lark6 Member Posts: 2,565
    Interesting also to note that the turbo Forester has 1998-2000 alloy wheels.

    Ed
  • rshollandrsholland Member Posts: 19,788
    My guess is that they just had those wheels available with snow tires. Other than the styling, those older wheels I think are interchangeable with the current wheels.

    Bob
Sign In or Register to comment.

Your Privacy

By accessing this website, you acknowledge that Edmunds and its third party business partners may use cookies, pixels, and similar technologies to collect information about you and your interactions with the website as described in our Privacy Statement, and you agree that your use of the website is subject to our Visitor Agreement.