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http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/02/business/global/with-a-mall-boom-in-russia-pro- - - - - - - perty-investors-go-shopping.html?ref=todayspaper&_r=0
And then you have this story in which the Times acknowledges for the first time what just about all of us knew a long time ago. That the Democrats have their own tea party and they are just as nuts as the republican tea party.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/02/us/politics/some-liberals-say-obama-squandered- - - - - - - -his-tax-leverage.html?ref=peterbaker
This thing about the Russians makes sense for them, and would for us also if we had a much smaller economy, and mostly everyone close to poverty...We`v got what we`v got and that has enabled many millions of people to have a much better life....I have gotten to the point where I admire the Russians as a people, and I also listen to what Putin has to say....and I must admit he makes sense about Syria...The middle east being such an unstable area and the overthrow of all the monarchs creating even more un stability .....I don`t have all the information, and that is one of the things the taxes pays for---people that do--- Good luck this New Year, and think about Pauley`s Island and Myrtle Beach as safe havens for investments
Now that the cliff has been avoided and Boehner chewed out, can't wait for the debt ceiling drama just around the corner. Markets are going to be fun.
This is symptomatic of the spending problem which hasn't even been reduced, but rather has been increased ($4 trillion over 10 years CBO). Are the markets going to react to that increased deficit spending? I don't see mention in reports by the mainstream media, but townhall, breitbart, daily caller, blaze give more facts. I see the markets going up, then lower volume, then another fall in February as the debt limit cliff is approached.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Yep. Now we know how Obama got corp execs to endorse the tax increase. $225mln to Goldman Sach's for real estate, $225mln to hollywood for movies (which I'm sure will have violence and guns), $25 mln to Nascar for a track. It goes on and on and I'm sure he gave out promise of corp tax cuts.
Has there ever been a bill without lots of pork? It comes from both sides with every bill.
I think Thomas Jefferson buried funding for museum in Virginia in the Bill of Rights!!
I certainly agree with that.
I'd like to see the list of which congressmen put on each of the pork riders for the cliff and Sandy bills. Someone here may know how to find that info.
But I see ups and downs for the financial markets as we waddle and mud our way through the fiscal problems this year if there's no effort to actually cut any spending.
I'm most insulted by the money for Hollywood support--for actors who think they should tell us whom to vote for and tell us what our views on certain subjects should be, well, just because they are on the movie screen or on TV screens (TV programs also got support money).
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Don't know if you've read links to Paul Krugman (an ultimate liberal who'd endorse the dems if they wanted to bring lions from the wild onto US city streets) stories I put up here (NY Times of course) but basically he thinks cutting spending is nuts and will curtail the economy and that we should instead just spend more and more because there's no end to creditors who want to lend us money and interest rates have decreased during our deficit increase as proof of this. He also says what happened in Greece and Spain can't happen here because we have our own currency and just can print whatever trillions we need if creditors have a change of heart in the future. He also says Obama can just print the money if the Congress doesn't yield on on the debt ceiling, citing national security. He has actually written this at least once every week since before the election on the NY Times op ed pages. But he's 100% for a tax increase. So I wrote him back. My question to him was that if there is an insatiable demand for our debt by foreign countries and whoever else, than why do we need a tax increase that is a small percentage of our deficit increases. Won't taking money from people who would have spent it in the economy or used it to create jobs also damage the economy just the way reduced spending would? The same people will just loan us a bit more money anyway and cut interest rates even more because there's a neverending line of people out there to finance us according to his thinking. Of course I don't expect any answer from him because there is none.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Actually every piece of "pork" in the bill was an extension of existing tax breaks and support for each extensions came from either side.
Making laws is a lot like making sausage...
I've already tried - it's not easy. It's all done in committee and all pretty much back room deals.
I'm most insulted by the money for Hollywood support--for actors who think they should tell us whom to vote for and tell us what our views on certain subjects should be, well, just because they are on the movie screen or on TV screens (TV programs also got support money).
This is the only one I have found any information on. It was supported by a Republican from Los Angeles:
"The tax break for the entertainment industry was backed by corporate behemoths such as Disney and Time Warner and GOP Rep. David Dreier of San Dimas (Los Angeles County), who chaired the powerful House Rules Committee before retiring at the end of this congressional session, according to the Sunlight Foundation."
That is a very simple formula. It is based first on the Party in control and second on seniority in Congress. For decades Ted Stevens (r) and Robert Byrd (d) got the most pork for their states.
http://www.mpaa.org/about/ceo
http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2013/01/03/aapl-going-to-hover-but-head- ed-for-425-says-gundlach/?mod=yahoobarrons
With that said my No.1 positioned investment remains the fidelity growth fund mutual which has really moved since the recession. I have never sold anything out of this fund because I've always loved its positions.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=FDGRX+Interactive#symbol=fdgrx;range=5y;compa- re=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;sourc- e=undefined;
I'm also big into the Franklin small cap value fund which has performed even better and of course I remain big into Apple.
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=FRVLX+Interactive#symbol=frvlx;range=5y;compa- re=;indicator=volume;charttype=area;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;sourc- e=undefined;
This quote from the article:
“Not because I’m a bond guy or stock guy, but because I’m a market guy. I’ve been around for a long time and I know that when something goes vertical like Apple did from $425 once the bubble pops it goes back down to the point at which it lifted off.”
So where the hell does he see a bubble in a stock that has moved solely because of its rapid earnings and cash growth (which actually exceeds earnings) both of which continue to grow at high rates vs the S&P and which has such a low multiple coupled with an out of this world Balance Sheet. Bubbles are a term for highly speculative stocks with weak earnings (or even heavy losses) and weak Balance Sheets that usually trade on rumors and hearsay to suck people in. They have much much higher multiples than Apple, on order of 8=20X Apple's multiple. This is a guy that is doing nothing but looking at charts and assuming the growth in share value has nothing to do with real world financials and earnings. He's a geek.
As he says , he is a market guy, but I would take that with a grain of salt, as he really is a brilliant bond guy......
As we have discussed `on many rainy days` aapl is a quarter to quarter type of company....The earnings will be coming pretty soon, but I do think the competition is now also coming, so a conservative outlook is in order....I `believe`, but that doesn`t matter unless they deliver...Seven hundred dollars to five hundred dollars is just some sort of manipulated deal.....Tony
Len, I'm sure you know that you are preaching to the preacher. I get infuriated when I have to listen to people like this guy but yet the folks interviewing him on CNBC do not follow up and ask him the very same questions you are asking above. I mentioned this before, but it would be fantastic if you were to appear as a guest on CNBC.
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/01/03/will-this-apple-bear-ever-be-ri- - ght.aspx
A couple of years ago I remember you wishing one day that you would have a thousand shares....At that time I also started to take a position, and it declined from say four hundred the three thirty or somewhere like that .I closed the start of the position out, as I use discipline....No matter what I will sell if something goes against me.....Subsequently I have taken quick gambles on the earnings, and am right most times, but when wrong admit it...
As I follow aapl regularly, just as though I own it, I have come to realize how difficult it is to hold for the long term....Decline and look terrible for no discernible reason, the soar when reason come back...
As we approach earnings , as usual, things look bleak......You know as well as I that one day they will genuinely disappoint and that day will be a poor one for the stock....Possibly people are anticipating this report to be it.....I do think they rushed the 5 to market to stop the Gal 3, but other than that I would think they can control what they report, due to accounting gimmicks..
There is alot aapl can do in the future to head off any real swoon, they have `cannons in the closet`, and one is a good increase in the dividend.....Think about it , they have hundred + billion, and any purchase they make is usually very small...Those funds are just waiting to be deployed, and another good way would be to buy their own stock in conjunction with the div increase.......Further just the replacement market for new and improved products is enormous.....Just one positive thing after another... Tony
At one point in my career I was on the floor of the NYSE when Xerox was the hot stock...It was a wonder to watch the specialist just step up to the plate and buy any and all sellers no matter the size---paint the tape---and then watch the hordes of traders -investors come to the aid of the specialist...Stuff was done with eights back then...and the stock was stopped in it`s tracks on a decline, then advance under what was huge volume....I tell you the time of the small investor is in peril. and so are many of the old Mutual Funds...
Someone will probably put out a rumor next week and aapl will have a decent rally only to be pushed back down before the earnings report, and I am going to bet the earnings are o k ---but after that I`l a leery guy
Tony
I just listened to a voice reason on AAPL. I am 100% certain that this is the most manipulated stock in history. Take a look at this video from Andrew Tonner.
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/01/04/even-after-todays-sell-off-appl- es-still-a-screamin.aspx
Pay attention to Apple's capital expenditures once they release their financials late this month. I've said a few times they have had a big run-up in capex the last year and the question is will they keep spending at the run rate of the September quarter. If so whatever they are developing is still not ready. If they slow appreciably it means they are entering a testing phase. I would never make a claim that this company is failing to innovate in the face of that level of capex. IMO anyone that doesn't point it out either doesn't look at Balance Sheets and cash flows or wants to keep it a big secret. I'd expect any responsible person to point to it wonder what is Apple up to.
Re manipulation - A perfect strategy is to deadpam the company and then once that affects the stock bring out the chart geeks to point to technical trading to bring the stock lower. The issue here is that any company with the cash resources Apple has can then start to buy back its stock at cheaper prices. That's why I think anyone that puts a price target on the company that is 2X its cash and can make the difference up in less than 4 years is out of their mind. It opens the door to Apple's own management getting a 51% controlling interest if they want to get super agressive.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1097001-apple-s-cash-horde-is-an-asset-not-a-lia- - - bility?source=yahoo
Now in my news feed, I get articles - glorified press releases - that ABC Law Firm is investigating Zipcar's Board of Directors for negligence in performing their fiduciary duty claiming they accepted too low a price. These firms are basing their claim on either analysts target prices or the IPO price.
Is this common when a company is bought out? Or is it the financial ambulance chasers looking to get a couple of million to go away?
Here is one of the press releases:
BALA CYNWYD, Pa.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jan. 5, 2013-- Law office of Brodsky & Smith, LLC announces that it is investigating potential claims against the Board of Directors of Zipcar, Inc. (“Zipcar” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: Zip) relating to the proposed acquisition by Avis Budget Group, Inc. (“Avis”).
Under the terms of the transaction, Zipcar shareholders will receive only $12.25 in cash for each share of Zipcar stock they own. The investigation concerns possible breaches of fiduciary duty and other violations of state law by the Board of Directors of Zipcar for not acting in the Company’s shareholders' best interests in connection with the sale process to Avis. The transaction may undervalue the Company and will result in a loss for many shareholders. For example Zipcar stock traded at $15.00 as recently as May 27, 2012 and $28.69 on May 10, 2011. In addition, an analyst has set a price target for Zipcar at $13.00 per share.
If you own shares of Zipcar stock and wish to discuss the legal ramifications of the proposed transaction, or have any questions, you may e-mail or call the law office of Brodsky & Smith, LLC who will, without obligation or cost to you, attempt to answer your questions.
It sounds like ambulance chasing to me.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1100001-2013-stock-picks-11-out-of-142?source=ya- - - - hoo
http://m.nbcnews.com/business/lexus-unveils-car-anticipates-road-danger-1B785255- 0
I just finished reading something about aapl`s secret holding list---the holding of where they invest the horde of cash.....It gave me an insight ,so sharing that, if aapl decides to just build on the hoard, they won`t want to be paying much out...sort of like us not wanting to dip into our savings or investments to buy a car :-) sort of a partial negative to me.....aapl looks like it is firming up to stay in this narrow range until earnings....I might buy some
All the electronic stuff that the car companies have, can be overdone...If Lexus has a system that sees something three hundred feet away, it can disable the car like what happened to Charlie the other day, or even worse slam on the breaks and cause a wreck.....I think I would pass on those gimmicks...
It really is getting difficult to come up with meaningful individual picks in the market....and the new tax rates are meaningful to me....more than fifty percent..and if I were to go for long term cap gains, I`d probably just loose money...Got to go for gains any way I can get them....Tony ps As I suggested a while ago JPM was a buy at the thirty five dollar decline, so if any decline like that happens again I`d be a buyer as I was....I guarantee Wells will be increasing their dividend---that`s Mr Buffets style---and other banks will follow suite ....I`m still scarred of most of them, but so what
Sounds like a few solid muni bonds/funds would be tailor made for you. Wouldn't that solve your new tax rate problem?
2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460
In any case, that explains why the car suddenly died in the passing lane on a busy Interstate road. They gave me a nice 2013 ES loaner to use while they waited for the parts to arrive. I picked up the car just yesterday and everything looks fine. Both dealers told me that the fuel pump going bad is extremely unusual, but it happened on our car. Amazing, but we are thankful that nothing really serious happened while we were quickly losing acceleration.
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/01/14/how-scary-are-apples-iphone-cut- - - s.aspx
Here is another and stinging article that states the WSJ was extremely irresponsible in reporting this story:
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11812352/1/something-is-terribly-wrong-just-not-w- ith-apple.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO
As far as Apple is concerned it is a Love/Hate relationship with progressives. They love the products and hate the company.
This is extremely interesting. After the market closed today, AAPL was showing a high of $520. I could not understand when it reached that level today. Now I see that the high was actually $507.50. Something is rotten is the state of the trading market. Disgusting!!
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-bloggers-seem-convinced-wsj-134140681.html
Apple’s stock took a beating today on these reports. If you don’t smell stock manipulation here, I have a bridge to sell you.
Our seller of 713,000 shares last Friday can buy those back and pocket a cool $23 million. I see some slime ball hedge fund like Quantum playing games. They did it in 2008 with oil prices. Why not Apple in 2013? The small investor is not in a good position.
If the next phone were to be a wider one, like the Gal 3 , of course they would cancel the narrower glass.....Maybe there is more than just manipulation going on now that the stock has declined so much......Maybe the earnings etc are worse than expected, but if not it sure won`t take but a couple of days to make a big dent in the declined stock.....That will sooth some hurt feelings...:) Tony
http://www.forbes.com/sites/markrogowsky/2013/01/15/did-the-wsj-get-punkd-on-app- - - le-or-is-it-rotten-to-the-core/?partner=yahootix
Having all this come out ahead of earnings may prove to be incredible if earnings are high and note the growth numbers over a year ago cited in the article. Hardly goes with the story's being spun, the overlooking of all negative things on Amazon and the overplaying of Samsung Galaxy sales. What I really don't get is the extraordinary sales projections on Apple. They certainly didn't come from Apple so you have to wonder who went so high. On top of that you hardly needed high Apple earnings to support the low multiple it had even when it was at $700. The issue for me is why doesn't Apple come out and say something. Then I thought about that. If I'm Apple's CEO I ask the attorneys if the company did what it legally had to do in reporting its data. Then I sit back with $135 a share in cash and say OK guys keep driving it lower so that management can buy it out. There are many ways to head off a lower share price but Apple is not taking any of them despite having the assets to do anything it wants to. Note this article:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1113231-dear-apple-board-this-is-how-you-defend-- - - the-share-price?source=feed
Here's analyst and blogger earnings estimates for next weeks report:
http://tech.fortune.cnn.com/2013/01/15/apple-revenue-earnings-smackdown-q1-2013/- - - ?source=yahoo_quote