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Cash for Clunkers - Good or Bad Idea?

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Comments

  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    At the rate the amendment votes are going, it may be midnight Friday before this gets done.

    Well, maybe not - looks like the last amendment is up to add housing reform to the clunker bill.

    We should pass a law constitutional amendment that you can't tack unrelated amendments onto other laws brought before the Congress.
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    This is the 'Puppies are cute' ammendment. Who will argue against it? It's meant primarily to throw sand in the gears. That's business as usual.

    Next case.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    I've wondered the same thing. The government obviously misjudged, by a wide margin, the amount of incentive it would take to increase vehicle sales, although $1000-$1,500 would have probably been insufficient to prompt a lot of people to act.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    "either myself, my wife, or one of my kids will be driving that same nissan 15 years from now with 200+k miles on the engine. try that with a ford."

    I think your perception of Ford quality and durability are dated. Same goes for GM and, to a lesser degree, Chrysler. Unfortunately for the domestic brands, it apparently takes years for perceptions and bad memories to catch up with reality.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    I guess it depends on how it would structured, but when your clunker could possibly sell for $2,000, perhaps more as a trade-in, like my van, I agree that $1,500 isn't much incentive if that's all you'd get for trading it in.

    I *think* it just passed. They are wishing everyone a happy August recess. Now they're calling the roll again. CSPAN needs closed captioning for the legislatively impaired, like me.
  • roxanne3roxanne3 Member Posts: 23
    Initially, I thought this was an ABSOLUTELY wonderful idea !!! Even though my car didn't qualify, I knew lots of others would, and for the FIRST time, I thought - WOW, finally some stimulus money that is really going where it should - to the people instead of the corrupt politicians and lobbyists! That feeling didn't last too long. Now I hear that the clunkers must be destroyed AND destroyed on the dealers lot so that they cannot even be used for scrap. So this really is a TERRIBLE idea. Please tell me if I have gotten this wrong ( I really am hoping that I am wrong but I have a sinking feeling that I'm not). :mad:
  • dmdcashdmdcash Member Posts: 15
    You're not Roxanne...they must pour a solution into the engines to kill them immediately.
  • kathyc2kathyc2 Member Posts: 159
    Then it will be deemed a success and Congress will throw more money at it.

    You better get used to having government as a business partner.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    "do you think a fifthteen year old Nissan or Toyota is going to be worth more than $4500?"

    There's more than one way to consider the value of a used vehicle. Messages in this discussion almost always compare the $3,500/$4,500 figure with trade-in value. Indeed, that's what's used in the C4C program, but it's not the only relevant number for people to consider. As we know, but rarely mention here, while trade-in value on a vehicle may be less than $3,500/$4,500, the retail value on that same vehicle can exceed those figures, whether in a sale-by-owner or by dealer. That's relevant for those who choose to sell their vehicles privately rather than trading them in.
  • akumaakuma Member Posts: 70
    Well sure, except for the fence-sitters who needed to be dislodged by C4C and stimulate the auto biz. You may have been reading about some buyers who were rather upset that they bought just before C4C came into being.

    $1575 a year alone is not a huge justification to spend $18000. That's an 11 & 1/2 year payback.

    But with C4C, it's an 8 year payback AND you aren't upside down in the loan. So easier to bail out if you wish.


    actually, with C4C, the payback is probably considerably less than 5 years (assuming gas prices don't change much). because a 5 year old Fit would probably still sell for over $6,000 (private party might be over $8,000), and you wouldn't have to pay for any significant repairs or service in that time frame. mostly you would just get oil changes, maybe an air filter here and there and possibly tires, brake pads, and wipers. you would have to pay more in the form of collision and comprehensive insurance (a few hundred dollars a year), but liability is less on compact cars than on mid-size SUVs like the Explorer.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    "We should pass a law constitutional amendment that you can't tack unrelated amendments onto other laws brought before the Congress."

    I believe this is an excellent idea, although I'll acknowledge there are probably some factors I haven't considered.
  • dmdcashdmdcash Member Posts: 15
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    "Who in their right ind would pay 50% of new car MSRP for a six year old truck with over a 100,000 miles on it."

    Those who simply can't afford a new one. For these folks the relationship between the prices for new and used isn't relevant.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    The big question now. Have the dealers already spent the extra $2 billion? If so how many will they sell past the $3 Billion before the NHTSA cries UNCLE?

    Did the Senate ever mention where the money is coming from?
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    Yeah, how will they know when they've spent the $3 billion. They didn't seem to know when they had blown through the first billion.
  • KCRamKCRam Member Posts: 3,516
    Did the Senate ever mention where the money is coming from?

    From the industry trade Automotive News article on the vote:

    "The $2 billion is to be transferred from a renewable energy loan-guarantee program funded under the stimulus package that was enacted last February. Congressional leaders have said they intend to replenish the Department of Energy funds."

    kcram - Pickups/Wagons Host
  • kathyc2kathyc2 Member Posts: 159
    My guess is the taxpayers who have yet to be born!
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    Sorry you're wrong about that.

    The vehicle can be torn apart and sold off by anyone, the trader, the dealer or the scrap yard. The parts will be recycled onto other vehicles of the same model. The engine and tranny and frame will be recycled to become part of some structural beam or dishwasher or door frame for the next 20 or 50 years.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    Don't confuse facts with misinformation.

    Facts are no fun lets just spew completely ignorant statements they are so much more fun.
  • imidazol97imidazol97 Member Posts: 27,669
    >We should pass a law constitutional amendment that you can't tack

    I second that.

    2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,

  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    I think two of the three major automakers in Ch 11 is pretty much a 'certainty' of immediate collapse, or at least enough to ring a rather loud alarm bell---given that no automaker had come out of Ch 11 previously in America since 1934.

    James Madison died 200 years ago, in a very different economic climate, when America was totally isolationist, agricultural and in no way tied to a global economy.

    You'd find it very difficult to be a strict devotee of James Madison in this modern era---but may he rest in peace nonetheless.

    Definition of a Pittance: 1/636th of the $$$ given to the Pentagon every year?
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    "I'm not sure there are that many people who will qualify for cash for clunkers, or even want to qualify," said Aaron Bragman, an auto industry analyst with IHS Global Insight. "We're already seeing the pace of sales begin to slow down in Ohio and some of the states where the program has been really hot."

    Senate OKs more cash for 'clunkers' (LA Times)

    And what's eligible? From James Riswick, our Automotive Editor:

    "I checked the Edmunds Cash for Clunkers eligibility list and as it turns out, coming up with my Keep Your Clunkers list wasn't that hard.

    1) '95-'98 BMW 7 Series: A clunker, are you serious? The 1997 BMW 750iL was a Bond car for Pete sake. The PT Cruiser was not.

    2) '91-'92 BMW 850i: A super '90s 12-cylinder BMW coupe or a Caliber? Hmm. That's like asking me Teri Hatcher or Adele? Sure, one's a whole lot younger, but ...

    3) '97-'98 Audi A8: Yet another beautifully grandiose German luxury limo. Easy choice."

    The rest of the list is at Thoughts from the Curb: Keep Your Clunkers (Edmunds Daily)
  • dave8697dave8697 Member Posts: 1,498
    As the owner of an '01 Silverado 4X4 ext cab that stickered for $31k new, I wouldn't give more than $4500 for the Tacoma you describe at 6 yrs old and 110k mi. My much better equipped and much better condition truck with one fifth the miles on it could barely get me $9k today at 7 yrs old. I bought a '99 Sonoma ext cab V6 auto with 88k miles on it two years ago for $2500.
  • fintailfintail Member Posts: 58,404
    Fun story. All of those cars should be worth more than $4500 on the open market, unless they have needs, so the good ones won't be claimed. However, those cars all have hugely expensive appetites if they aren't maintained by the book...so if they have been neglected, it might not be the worst idea to clunk em and let their parts live on in other cars....you can do $4500 worth of repairs to any of those and just scratch the surface.

    Regarding the others on the list...I am pretty sure no Supra, W140, Defender, Cobra, Vette, or 968 will meet its fate this way. The Range Rover however...a 1995 Range Rover with needs can't be worth $4500, and it can eat a man alive in maintenance costs.
  • elroy5elroy5 Member Posts: 3,735
    If you think sales were slow before C4C, wait until after it ends. The party will be over, and a lot of salesmen will have to go home.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    The point is that it is only worth buying a Tacoma new. There are some cars you should only buy new and some you should only buy used.

    Tacomas, Accords, Camrys and Civics are all typically better bought new not used.

    For 10,000 you can buy a whole lot of domestic full size pickup.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    The Range Rover however...a 1995 Range Rover with needs can't be worth $4500, and it can eat a man alive in maintenance costs.

    I have put less then 2,000 dollars on plenty of Range Rovers with needs. Even cars that ran and were drivable but needed air springs or had other issues.

    A full Air suspension rebuild with new springs, compressor, control block and labor is over $3,000 dollars last time I checked.

    Pretty much every repair on those P38A Range Rovers is a minimum 1,000 dollars.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Pretty much every repair on those P38A Range Rovers is a minimum 1,000 dollars.

    That is just about the same figure with our LS400 using the Lexus dealer. Though most issues were $1200. Like resetting the airbag light. Normal service always seemed to creep up to that $1000 figure. Until we found a good indie about 5 years ago. Now it is like any other vehicle to maintain. Our local Lexus dealer is a rip-off. And the main reason we would NEVER buy another Lexus. And yes it qualifies for the C4C, and no not a chance would we subject it to that kind of death.
  • ck90211ck90211 Member Posts: 161
    Not only Lexus but I think all branded dealers are rip-offs on services, because they have a captive market for warranty services (comes out of manufacturer's pockets), so they always overcharge or over-prescribe services. For out-of-warranty services, if the customer is sucker enough not seeking 2nd (or 3rd) opinion, or if the car is towed in (more hopeless), then they will go after even more $.
  • joegiantjoegiant Member Posts: 90
    Well Shifty, we just confirmed a supreme court justice (for life!) yesterday who I'm rather certain happens to agree with your statement, "James Madison died 200 years ago..." and all the rest of those old white guys as well. Who needs to actually READ the words in this crotchedy old constitution anyway? Bill of Rights? Who needs 'em anymore? That thing was written along time ago...in a very different economic climate, when America was totally isolationist, agricultural and in no way tied to a global economy. (Or the UN for that matter!)

    Yep, the 55 signer's of The Declaration would mount a second revolution were they alive today, no doubt. $4500 to trade in your old inefficient horse for a more..."economical" new one? King George wannabe's tryin' to pull a fast one on us boys? On second thought, put those pitchforks down fella's. We're not Tea Partyin' anymore. We're celebrating!!! The country has lost it's collective mind!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Hmmm...as a famous Russian comic who landed on these shores once said, Whaaaaaaadduh country! :)

    All kidding aside though Shifty, I happen to think out of all the extremely dumb things that have come out of our government over the past 40 years or so, this crumb they've allowed to fall to the floor from their ruling elite tables, is a godsend. Helping alot of hurting folks out there on a number of fronts as 'spyder has so correctly pointed out in his numerous posts. Glad to see the yahoo's approved the other 2 billion last night...before their "summer break". Poor lil' overworked senators... :sick:
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    It's not the dealers that are spending the funds it's the buying public.....YOU! When YOU eventually get around to trading in your Ranger it will be YOU that gets the benefit.
  • kdhspyderkdhspyder Member Posts: 7,160
    This pricing issue has almost nothing to do with the two different vehicles. The Silverado is a much more capable vehicle with more power, more towing, more room and a smoother ride. No question about that.

    The pricing issue only concerns supply and demand...even 5 yrs down the road.

    If there were 1 million Silverado's made that year and and the year after that and the year after that and the year after that and now 4 yrs later there are another 1 million new Silverado's being offered by GM at ever-lower prices - and most importantly - the demand for large V8 trucks is shrinking that means that too much supply is chasing too little demand.

    OTOH if the Tacoma only sold maybe 100K units each of those 5 yrs and again this year but the V8 truck drivers are abandoning their big rigs for something smaller there might be 200K or even 500K buyers looking to buy 100K new units...the rest are bidding up the prices of the remaining USED units. That assumes that there are any used units being offered. One of the hardest models to buy at auction is a Tacoma.

    It's just supply and demand.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Reality check: Trucks win in Cash for Clunkers game
    Because of distorted sales figures, Ford's Escape cross-over SUV, not the Corolla small car, tops the list for most popular clunker buy.


    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Despite the government's top-ten Cash for Clunkers sales list's exclusion of large trucks, two full-size trucks were actually among the top-ten buys and a small crossover SUV, not a compact car, was the most popular overall.

    An independent analysis by Edmunds.com using traditional sales measurements, tallying sales by make and model, disputed the government's results which showed small cars as the top choice for shoppers looking for Clunker deals.

    For example, the Ford Escape crossover SUV, instead of being the seventh-most popular vehicle under the program, as the government ranked it, was actually the best seller, according to Edmunds.com.

    The government uses a more arcane measurement method that subdivides models according to engine and transmission types, counting them as separate models.

    The Escape is available in six different versions including two- and four-wheel drive and hybrid versions. The government counts each version as a different vehicle using guidelines from the Environmental Protection Agency. Only the front wheel drive, non-hybrid version made the government's top ten list.


    It is good we have Edmund's to tell US the truth about this program. Though I am glad to see Ford getting their fair share. They being the only Domestic that is standing on their own two feet.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    The real list of cars bought under the CARS program:

    Rank Vehicle Includes Includes 4WD Includes Hybrid
    1 Ford Escape Yes Yes
    2 Ford Focus No No
    3 Jeep Patriot Yes No
    4 Dodge Caliber Yes No
    5 Ford F-150 Yes No
    6 Honda Civic No Yes
    7 Chevrolet Silverado Yes Yes
    8 Chevrolet Cobalt No No
    9 Toyota Corolla No No
    10 Ford Fusion Yes Yes
  • gracenumber2gracenumber2 Member Posts: 19
    I thought same thing and I too bought a fully loaded Nissan that I will drive for years ( I traded a Ford Bronco) for a great deal and for the same reason -Fucus or Fusion just didn't have it for me.. ..... I THINK reson so many bought Focus is because the Focus had a big manf rebate and that plus the C4C put one in a new car for around 10-11K... Just my opinion, but the rebate not so big in Aug so time will tell.
  • 100chuck100chuck Member Posts: 149
    My Escape 4cyl FWD averaged 23 mpg over the first tank full of gas the SHO I traded in was at 16-17mpg so a big improvement for me an extra 100 miles of cruising.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I think the Escape is a good choice. My brother in law bought a 2009 V6 and got 24 MPG on his first trip up to Canada and back from here in San Diego. He rarely drives under 75 MPH. He loves it. Traded a 2006 Explorer that he was real disappointed in. Bought the 06 Explorer used and only kept it a year. He says the Escape was more like his 1996 Explorer that he kept for 12 years.
  • newdavidqnewdavidq Member Posts: 146
    " James Madison died 200 years ago, in a very different economic climate, when America was totally isolationist, agricultural and in no way tied to a global economy. "

    I don't think the passage of time diminishes the value of the moral principles upon which this country was founded. Whenever I read a sentence which contains absolutes such as "totally isolationist" and "no way tied to a global economy" which are demonstrably false, I begin to suspect the value of the opinion presented. In 1830 (Madison was still alive; he died in 1836) the US share of world manufacturing was 2.8%, the UK's was 9.5% and China's was 29.8%. Tobacco and Cotton were important US exports.

    My point was this: C4C takes taxpayer money and gives it to other taxpayers based on a political decision which favors one group of people over another. The automobile is a big part of the American economy and way of life. We all love our cars for more than just their ability to get us around. I don't think we love our refrigerators in the same way.
    So its easier to sell an idea which appeals to many Americans.

    But the devil is in the details; cost of administering the program and all of the other problems talked about on this forum.

    When all is said and done I believe this will prove to have been a bad idea and that's all I have to say on the subject. (Whew!)

    Regards. DQ

    PS: Next time you view your checking account statement, give a thought to writing a check for $4500 to, say, one of your neighbors who looks like he could use a new car. And those pittances; the federal budget is a collection of pittances so how else to address the budget if not a "pittance" at a time; " A pittance here, a pittance there......."
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    The cost of administrating the program was set at 50 million dollars. Even if they go a little bit above that it is a fairly inexpensive administrative cost.

    Unless of course you are of the conspiracy mindset that the cost is really 500 million dollars and that is why all the money ran out so fast. On another forum I have people that will not be dissuaded from their opinion that all the money is gone because it cost 500 million to administer the program. They absolutely are set in that belief and even when the dust clears and they total up the number of rebates and it equals pretty close to 950 million they will still swear up and down that the cost was actually much higher. They cooked the books is what they will say, took the money from some where else you can't trust the government.

    I don't necessarily trust the government all the time either but the way this money will be spent seems fairly simple to account for.
  • 100chuck100chuck Member Posts: 149
    "I don't think the passage of time diminishes the value of the moral principles upon which this country was founded." Like slavery and the extinction of the original inhabitants ? Every decision made by the government involves politics that's why we have elections to select representatives who are align with your views.
  • kathyc2kathyc2 Member Posts: 159
    Sounds like the numbers the government put out were "fishy"!
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Good catch, Gary.

    That's very important because now it goes from the whole top 5 being import branded to the whole top 5 being domestic brands. Plus 8 out of top 10 are domestic nameplates, and the other two are made-in-the-USA.

    Much, much better results.

    Plus it makes more sense - given it's domestics that are being "traded" in.

    I don't see why the government would report it any other way, this is just a mistake on their part.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Yep, the 55 signer's of The Declaration would mount a second revolution were they alive today, no doubt. $4500 to trade in your old inefficient horse for a more..."economical" new one?

    What if people were paying $3000 per year for imported horse feed? ;)

    I'm sure they would try to increase the sales of more efficient hybrid horse/ponys. :D
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    either myself, my wife, or one of my kids will be driving that same nissan 15 years from now with 200+k miles on the engine

    Keep in mind that's really a Renault, isn't it?

    Not exactly known for their longevity. My brother owned one in Brazil, and it fell apart. It was so bad he drove to a Honda dealer, broke down, and dealership employees actually had to push the car the last hundred feet or so.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    I would guess they are just pulling the raw numbers from the cars.gov site when deals are submitted.

    It makes sense because as far as the computer is concerned those different drive train types are entirely separate models. They generate different mile per gallon figures and the VIN breaks would be different too.

    This is why I am not surprised that they aren't releasing more information right now. The people working on this program are spending all their time trying to get deals through the system. They need to clear that backlog and won't worry about getting the sales statistics right till the backlog is gone.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    Was it not our own John Adams who said: "America does not go abroad in search of monsters to destroy.”

    Try standing up in Congress and saying that today. :P

    The Constitution was never met to guide everyday affairs, which reflects the wisdom of our Founding Fathers. To try and extract solutions to modern problems from the Constitution, and apply it to things like C4C, or Immigration, or Highway Infrastructure, is to flounder in subjective interpretation---much like Biblical scholars have done. Tower of Babel--a hundred voices shouting at once.

    It is a very broad (and rather sparse) document that outlines basic principles. It doesn't tell you how to do specific things. That's what the system of Checks and Balances was set up to do.

    If you want to burn a house down for CERTAIN, just put rigid dogmatists in charge of Fire Control.

    C4C + the D2 bailout money, was a response to a really serious emergency--the utter and certain collapse of the Auto Industry.

    To be sure, this "stimulus" to car sales will not carry through much beyond C4C. Sales will flatten out perhaps in the future. But the benefits will also carry through, as the D3 shed excess weight, re-organize, close dealerships, launch new products.

    C4C gives something more than a sales spurt---it gives TIME to the D3.

    All in all, even with the warts, SMART MOVE imho. :shades:
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I think if they pitch the "8 out of the top 10 are domestics" they would get a lot more public support.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    I am sure they will too once they realize it is happening. I am sure there are plenty of car people at the NHTSA that know an Escape has many different trim levels with different engine choices but they are all still an Escape. I am sure those people are way too busy now to bother bringing that up to the people totaling up the data and handing it to the white house and other PR people.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    So do you think a fifthteen year old Nissan or Toyota is going to be worth more than $4500?

    First off, I never said 15 years old, please don't put words in my mouth.

    But, to answer your question literally, the only '94 4Runner for sales within 150 miles of my zip is this one:

    1994 Toyota 4Runner SR5$10,000152,256 mi.4 door, 4X4, SUV, MANUAL 5SPD, 2.4L I4, Stock# 015351T. Dealer: Kia of Coatesville (Coatesville, PA ~ 101 mi. away)
    888-252-6074 Email DealerCARFAX Record Check

    To be fair that dealer is insane.

    I broaded the search to 93-95 4Runners within 100 miles of my zip, and found 9 of them priced from $2500 to $5000.

    Notably, only 1 out of 9 of those is priced below the $3000 C4C incentive.

    Think about it, though, what matters here is the margin. Even if you get $4500 for the cheapest 4Runner, you're still really only getting a benefit of $2000. Most would get little to no benefit vs. trading when the time is best for them, and without the restrictions and paperwork involved with c4c.

    To a lot of people, that's not worth it. If you still need a mid-size, you're probably going to spend over $20 grand. So the discount is 10% or less. Even for a well equipped Focus it's only a 12% discount.

    That's why you don't see people lining up to trade 4Runners.
  • british_roverbritish_rover Member Posts: 8,502
    Had a woman in yesterday with a Grand Cherokee that would qualify for a C4C deal. She had thought about doing it but I could give her 4,000 real money for the Grand Cherokee and she could buy a used car for half the price of a new one.

    Plus she wanted to stick with a SUV and no new SUVs would give her the 4,500 dollar credit.

    This plan is going to stimulate business above and beyond the 250,000 or 750,000 transaction limit.
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