Hybrids & Diesels - Deals or Duds?

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Comments

  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."I could see someone getting 4 mpg in a Z06. Thirty-three is possible too, going down hill for many miles with a 25 mph tale wind.

    Some people enter calculated mileage while others enter mileage from the car computer display. I have a mileage computer feature in my CRD. I have seen has high as 38mpg, but that was going 52 mph, coasting down a slight grade for several miles.

    As to your real world mileage, I can see the 44 mpg and can easily believe low to mid-fifties. I have been there and done that myself in the early eighties. Sixty-two is probably doable, but I would have to see it. "...

    I think your above quote makes a strong case for leaving the EPA estimates alone. Again most folks simply ask what is real world (what is any archtypical driver getting). The of course you project what ones individual figures will be.

    This to me is more useful and usable than saying I get between 4-33 mpg. I have never gotten anything under 22 even in heavy heavy traffic. I have gotten 32 but in truth that was about as exciting as watching paint dry. (as a base line EPA 19/28 mpg)

    To me, the real issue is "the Emperor has been wearing no clothes for a good while" Case in point: HUGE % variance in the Prius vs others such as TDI/HCH.
  • jonnycat26jonnycat26 Member Posts: 101
    Starting with a warm engine, just like the EPA does for their tests, I do in fact achieve that 60 MPG estimate.

    Now John, don't be misleading like this. You know the EPA only starts with a warm engine for Highway tests, because people have to drive (typically) to get to a highway entrance. CITY tests are done with a cold engine.
  • john1701ajohn1701a Member Posts: 1,897
    > Many of your posts embrace EPA findings to support your arguments

    I compare real-world to real-world.

    I compare EPA to EPA.

    There is no crossing over as you imply, so differences pointed out are geniune.

    .
    > so what if the Prius gets more mpg

    The highest MPG (while also delivering SULEV or better) is the point.

    It does matter. Why is energy conversion a factor if the outcome is higher anyway?

    JOHN
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    To $2.56 in Potomac just now, diesel still at a pretty painful $3.39. Just an FYI.

    -juice
  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    The differences are genuine and not because is EPA vs EPA, etc. as you claim. There is a significant variance between test and real world. They are related and more closely than you admit. That is what I see as do a few others here.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    The difference is smaller than the EPA's, but it still exists.

    -juice
  • john1701ajohn1701a Member Posts: 1,897
    > There is a significant variance between test and real world.

    Duh!

    That's why I don't cross compare. Those claims that I do are totally bogus.

    Boy, the entertainment value of these posts is top-notch. Hearing statements that the energy conversion is more important that the actual resulting MPG is great. Ha!

    Combustion engines are one of the poorest choices for energy utilization anyway. Electric motors are much better choice. And "full" hybrids are only just beginning to take advantage of that. Later, they'll be using the engine even less and just keep the electricity as electricity (via a plug) rather than doing any conversion in the first place. Try that with an "assist" or non-hybrid.

    JOHN
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Regardless of method, overall MPG is what matters.

    Glad you are starting to come around to what I have been saying all along. Also as I have said almost every oem has a diesel option, that gets better fuel mileage that the comparable gasser model. All of these are essentially off the shelf technologies. There are cars on the road in Europe as we speak that make the Prius, TDI and the HCH , as good of mileage they do get , look like fuel guzzlers! AND these are SUB $12k CARS!!!!

    I also like cost per mile and also not having to front 7400 dollars or so more for the privilege too. :)
  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    You do not cross compare because you would see that there is a problem.

    So what is plugging your car in going to solve?. So where are we going to get that electricity? From some stinky coal fired plant? What about a gas or oil fired plant? More greenhouse gases and other pollutants. More wasted energy. You will still pollute, one way or another.

    Those losses are that you poo-poo are significant. Look at the up front financial loss. Simply cannot be justified.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Later, they'll be using the engine even less and just keep the electricity as electricity (via a plug)

    With the state of the art in batteries where it is today, practical plugin hybrids are "Pie In the SKY". They are as far from realistic as the hydrogen fuel cell. Maybe in 10 years. As crappy as the Prius handles today, can you imagine another 300 lbs of battery. With the current parameters of usage, 20 to 80% of the capacity, 300 more lbs of battery would be lucky to carry you 15 miles. You would need close to 1000 lbs of battery to get any decent range from the plugin Prius. Going with new lightweight diesel technology is the answer to our fossil fuel usage.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    quote gagrice-"With the state of the art in batteries where it is today, practical plugin hybrids are "Pie In the SKY".-end quote

    Only PART of that statement is correct. :shades:

    The CalCar plug-in Prius is REAL and is on the road TODAY. Here is the site for more details.

    http://www.calcars.org/priusplus.html

    The "impractical" part of the situation is the added cost - about $12,000 per Prius at last count.

    So it is "doable" today, meaning it is not "pie in the Sky" but the costs are prohibitive.

    And about this comment:

    "As crappy as the Prius handles today, can you imagine another 300 lbs of battery."

    The Plugin Prius would be a COMMUTER CAR, not a RACE CAR. Handling is LOW on the list of priorities when you talk to new car buyers. I got over the thrill of taking a 55 MPH curve at 80 MPH about the same time I had kids.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    The Plugin Prius would be a COMMUTER CAR, not a RACE CAR.

    I have studied the Edrive systems at length. I cannot see how in the next ten years they will become feasible. Battery technology seems fairly stagnant for the last several years. Lithium Ion has a whole new set of drawbacks for use as automotive batteries. As close as I can tell they are planning to try and sell the system with Lead acid or NiMH batteries. Then you read the fine print that says the system as it has been tested can only go 10 miles at 34 MPH. That is golf cart speed. Why bother? As a commuter for CA it has to be capable of battery operation at freeway speeds of at least 65 MPH. I don't think it is close to that yet. Give them 10 years then Maybe if they find investors. If you are very interested in the research you should dump a few million into getting them off the ground. They will need a lot of money when they go to market and get past the EPA. This will change the safety dynamics of the Prius considerably. I applaud them for their effort. I still think it is "PIE in the SKY"
  • john1701ajohn1701a Member Posts: 1,897
    > Glad you are starting to come around to what I have been saying all along.

    Nope.

    I still disagree.

    Installing systems like HSD into new models of popular vehicles is the plan and always has been. People buy whatever they have always preferred, only it is cleaner and more efficient.

    Downgrading to an economy class car to achieve higher MPG is a compromise that's unacceptable.

    JOHN
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    One of the vendors I have used, did the body work on and donates some of his time to the Stanford University's "sun vehicle". I got a fairly in depth technical briefing on this experimental vehicle. Not to bore folks, but my take was: not ready for commercial prime time.

    In another separate issue,I was able to get both technical briefing and rides in the Stanford University's DARPA entry to the remotely piloted diesel VW Tourareq before the "race off" . This entry happened to win the Mojave Desert remote "race." Many articles have been written about this effort.

    http://www.darpa.mil/grandchallenge/
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."Nope.

    I still disagree.

    Installing systems like HSD into new models of popular vehicles is the plan and always has been. People buy whatever they have always preferred, only it is cleaner and more efficient.

    Downgrading to an economy class car to achieve higher MPG is a compromise that's unacceptable"...

    Not many folks have issues with folks (like you) paying more for essentially less. What issues they might have: if folks( like you foist it) on the mass market in the guise of "regulation/s". Even in CA they will place a limit on how many hybrids can use the commute lanes solo.

    It is disengenuous when democratic leaders such as an elected leader (seen on CNBC today) from the State of New York supports higher fuel prices and then when he gets them, complains loudly that now the oil companies needs to be investigated and possibly taxed more!!?? So now the position is reversed from make em pay higher per gal prices to drive, to : gee, energy is a right not a privilege now. : ( :) And the Republican Party is killing the middle class. .... What drivel.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Downgrading to an economy class car to achieve higher MPG is a compromise that's unacceptable.

    There we finally agree. That is the reason I don't see the Prius in my future. It is a downgrade from all the vehicles I have ever owned. Get me into a full sized PU that gets 35 MPG and can pull a 5000 lb trailer and you got something. Do I believe that is possible with HSD? Not only NO, but positively NO! Honda has got it right. hybrid for the small cars diesel for the bigger vehicles. The Prius is one of the "In-betweener" vehicles. Too small and uncomfortable for long trips where a Suburban is superb. Too big for an errand car where most of the trips are 2-3 miles. It is like my Passat without good handling. Not practical IMO, at least for my taste. Compromises I am unwilling to make to save a few bucks on fuel.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I would agree. I have absolutely nothing against a diesel Toyota Landcruiser that gets 30-35 mpg! If it did, why would you get a smaller car? :) And I think therein lies the conundrum.

    Prius's have great cachet at political cocktail parties, but I don't attend too many of those anymore. :(:)
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Prius's have great cachet at political cocktail parties

    I don't eat that part of the chicken :shades:
  • jonnycat26jonnycat26 Member Posts: 101
    It is like my Passat without good handling. Not practical IMO, at least for my taste.

    And that, right there, is the Prius in a nutshell. IT's got the room of a Passat, great milage, but with horrible handling, a god awful interior design, and ergonomics that are... bad. I should have never traded my VW in for a Prius.
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    To $2.56 in Potomac just now, diesel still at a pretty painful $3.39. Just an FYI.

    -juice

    $2.65 today in Indiana, and it was $3.19 on Sunday.
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    john's hope for the future

    Looks like hybrids will remain the popular choice for cost per mile.
    JOHN


    Remember my reply in post 512 - "The spike in diesel prices is short term'

    Hybrids are STILL not cost competitive and John is still a poor analyst of the present and poor predictor of the future.
  • mitchcmitchc Member Posts: 39
    I think in any good diesel vs. hybrid discussion, you have to include the physical advantages of diesel fuel vs the gasoline used in a hybrid.

    Should supplies of gasoline get low or unavailable during a crisis, the diesel driver can easily stock up on biodiesel stored in plastic containers in their garage or yard. It is, after all, a partially renewable resource. If a true 70's style gas crunch returns, I plan on buying a 100 gallon tank and having one of the local biodiesel distributors fill it up. By my calculations, that would give me 4 months of daily driving in my Jetta TDI! Check out this article about folks down in Miami after Wilma - paying $20 for a gallon because no one had gas:

    http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2002587354_webwilma27.html

    By the way, diesel is down to 2.99 in San Antonio vs 2.50 for unleaded regular. Of course, for several weeks during August & September, it was 30 cents cheaper than regular.
  • boilermaker2boilermaker2 Member Posts: 131
    Nice discussion. Not sure the Prius deserves the shellacking it is getting but that's for another post.

    I traded in a 2004, F-150 Crew Cab 4x4 with a 4.6 and nicely appointed for a 2005 Jeep Liberty CRD Sport, somewhat nicely appointed. There was a $2k difference (about) in the trade. Here was why:

    -First, I drive 25k a year. Even at a $.30 difference in price (which is more of an averaged normal that is a little more realistic than the difference right now at $.80), I clear over $1k/year in fuel alone.
    -being honest with myself, I need a truck once a month. I have access to a trailer. The jeep can pull 5k# and can carry over 1k# This is more than what I did with the F-150
    -Jeep payments are less per month
    -Jeep insurance is less (haven't figured this one out yet, probably because of the MSRP)
    -My wife was afraid to drive the truck . She likes to drive the jeep. This could be good or bad... ;)
    -I can actually get out of the Jeep in the two car garage which held the truck and Villager (was making payment on house and truck and could not get in or out of either :blush: )

    Drawbacks?
    -I liked to throw my muddy & stinky boots/clothes in the bed of the truck (once a month +/-)
    -truck was much quieter
    -road like a dream
    -my 4 year old fell in love with it

    So, the decision was lopsided and there were drawbacks but I still have a vehicle that is fun to drive, gets better gas mileage, will tow anything I want it to tow and go anywhere I have any business going. That's why I made the switch from larger to smaller and gas to diesel.

    What say you?
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    Diesels are all round superior to hybrids in terms of running costs, manufacturing costs, flexibility in town and highway, they are winning hands down

    quote -Jean-Martin Folz, chief executive of PSA Peugeot Citroen, which currently manufactures diesel engines in a joint venture with Ford, questioned the commercial prospects of hybrid vehicles.

    "They do not have long-term economic prospects because they are a lot more expensive to produce [than diesel engines] with the same results," he said-end

    :P
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    Not sure the Prius deserves the shellacking it is getting but that's for another post.

    The shellacking is directed more at the Prius opinions of one or two individuals than it is at the actual Prius.

    I don't have a problem with hybrids as long as they are not subsidized by tax cuts or otherwise subsidized by government and allowed in carpools lanes when there is only one occupant of the vehicle. Let the hybrids succeed or fail on their own merit. Special treatment by government should be reserved for minority's and the poor. ;)
  • gemini5362gemini5362 Member Posts: 17
    As far as I am aware none of the automobile manufacturers makes a hybrid diesel. I am not sure why they do not do this.. It seems to me that you would significantly increase the gas mileage in a Prius if you replaced the gas powered 4 cylinder engine with a diesel 4 cylinder.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Speaking of politics and rubber chicken; but one of the reasons why no one has made a hybrid diesel was the "reading of the tea leaves" during the Clinton Administration. Seems like the USA government gave the biggie three automakers app 1.5B in R/D money to come up with "clean slate" state of the art high mileage passenger vehicle engines. So each of the three automakers coincidently ALL came up with very high mileage ( 75-90 mpg) DIESEL engines. Seems like when the government gave them the R & D monies they failed to let the big three automakers know beforehand that diesel was NOT part of the long term politically favored strategy for high mileage engine products!!! As a consequence the R&D project that the taxpayers paid 1.5B was conveniently shelved. I also understand that Toyota and Honda wanted to be included as part of the biggie 5 but they were left off the gravy train. So seeing the writing on the wall they pursued the inferior gasser but more politically favored hybrid concept. So whether or not diesel has a growth trajectory like SUV's ( to 12% of the passenger vehicle fleet in 25-27 years) remains to be seen. But realistically 1.5B was squandered with no real result other than prototypes and shelves full of research.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Gary, methinks you overestimate your understanding of the E-Drive Plugin Prius. Here are some excerpts from the E-Drive FAQ page, found at this url:

    http://www.edrivesystems.com/Edrive-FAQ.html

    Q5: What is the driving experience like with an EDrive equipped Prius?
    A: After the nightly re-charge, the vehicle can be driven in EV mode until the vehicle speed exceeds 34mph. At this point the engine may start in order to warm up the emission control system. After the emission system is warmed up, the Prius will use the gasoline engine whenever higher speeds or power levels are needed, but will always (for the first 50-60 miles) inject electricity to reduce gasoline consumption. It is possible to drive in EV mode at speeds over 34mph and up to 55mph if the power requirements are low enough. The dashboard mounted display will always tell you if you are using gasoline and if not, how far you can press the accelerator without turning the gasoline engine on. In low speed city driving and 55mph freeway driving it is possible to average over 200mpg. More aggressive driving over 65mph will lower the efficiency to 100mpg or less. For example, 75mph freeway driving could result in less than 80mpg. During the 50-60 mile boost period, the Prius battery display will show either 7 or 8 green bars (ie full). After the boost mode, the display (and vehicle performance) will be identical to a standard Prius.

    Q6: Why the big difference between 55mph and 75mph?
    A: Because of the configuration of the Prius, electric use is limited to 21kW and often less. At speeds over 34mph, the electrical contribution is more or less constant. You may find at 55mph that 1/4 of the power is coming from gasoline and 3/4 from electricity, but at 75mph the contribution may be 2/3rd gas and 1/3rd electric. Even though the electric contribution is the same in both cases, the gasoline contribution (and thus mpg) can be dramatically different.

    Q7: Can I really get over 200mpg with EDrive on my Prius?
    A: Yes, but it requires low speeds (55mph freeway) and mild acceleration in city driving. Most Prius EDrive users will likely get closer to 100mpg.

    OK, so if you read that correctly, it says:

    1. 200 MPG is possible at 55 MPH freeway speeds and low speed city driving.
    2. It's not a golf cart at all - it's a fully operational normal Prius with EXTRA BATTERY CAPACITY to make it drive in EV mode longer and more effectively.

    My personal commute is about 10 miles one way, ALL city streets, with speed limits no greater than 45 MPH. I'd be willing to bet that there are a few hundred thousand people in the USA who have a similar commute.

    For people like that, who want a car ONLY for a commute in low speed city driving, the Plug-in Prius is almost the perfect solution in regard to the MPG they will be able to achieve.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    A: Yes, but it requires low speeds (55mph freeway) and mild acceleration in city driving. Most Prius EDrive users will likely get closer to 100mpg.

    Say the average driver does get 100 MPG with this modification. I'm not saying it is impossible. The person that just keeps his Prius stock can drive 200,000 miles on the $12k he saves, if gas remains at $3 per gallon. So there is never going to be a BE point with this modification. NO ONE on this forum has shown proof that batteries will come down in price. So how can the Edrive ever be anything but a novelty for the wealthy techno-geek? You also ignored the fact that making any modification to the weight distribution in a car changes the handling characteristics and may require EPA approval. Emergency personnel are somewhat fearful of the batteries in the hybrids to start with. Now you triple the battery size and potential for shock hazard. Give me some logical practical reason for this modification.

    That said, if Toyota or any other auto manufacturer were to build a plug-in hybrid I would be more inclined to give it credence.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    You know, all this talk about a "break even point" and "hybrid premium" is starting to get old and ridiculous.

    No one in the history of buying cars has bought a car, kept it until it became economically unfeasible to repair, then made any money on that purchase. Cars decline from new price to (in some cases) zero dollars. It's a "lose-lose" situation even buying ANY kind of car.

    But as long as you are GOING TO HAVE A CAR PAYMENT ANYWAY, you might as well have a vehicle that costs less to fuel and to operate.

    My last tank in my HCH lasted me 31 days and went 700 miles. Cost me $32 in gas for the month. That's the kind of low operating costs I want. I'm always going to have a car payment anyway.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    But as long as you are GOING TO HAVE A CAR PAYMENT ANYWAY, you might as well have a vehicle that costs less to fuel and to operate.

    That thinking is a big part of the problem in this country. I do not buy a car until I have saved enough cash to buy it. Giving money a lending institution is no different than to the oil companies. Rich people own both. That is a false economy. The interest on a $20k car is 3 times what you spent for gas. Where did you save anything with that logic?
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Very few people who have DAILY JOBS they have to commute to can afford to pay cash for a car. I know the owner of my company does that, but no one else I know personally or peripherally has EVER purchased a car with cash money.

    That's just a rare thing, so paying interest on a car loan cannot be considered illogical. To me, it's just another mandatory cost of living, just like mortgage interest, credit card interest, bank fees, ATM fees, etc etc. Welcome to "living paycheck to paycheck" USA.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    WOW!? :(:)
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    What do you expect him to say? He makes diesels, of course he believes in them.

    That's like asking the president of a fan club what he thinks about his idol.

    It's marketing-speak. Might even be true, but it certainly doens't mean anything coming from that source.

    Next, we ask Subaru's CEO what he thinks of AWD. Stay tuned. :D

    -juice
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    They're making a comeback, but let's see how they fare before we declare them a success. I still think more people would buy a used Civic or Corolla vs. a new Fit or Versa.

    -juice
  • PF_FlyerPF_Flyer Member Posts: 9,372
    I don't think a lot of folks, myself included, see the break even point as "mythical". It's a simple matter of dollars. Let me illustrate how I think a lot of folks look at it with a simplified example to see what you think...

    I'm Carless Joe and I need to buy a new car, and I'm considering a Honda Civic. Oh, they have a hybrid version of it! I've read a lot of stuff on the Edmunds forums saying that they're great. So I go to the vehicle detail pages and look at the specs and pricing. I want the best mileage I can get and like everyone, don't want to spend more than I have to.

    So I look to compare the non-hybrid DX model with the 5 speed and the HCH. TMV pricing on the DX in my area is $14,995 and on the HCH is $22,400, a difference of $7,405. I've got a friend at the bank ;) and I'm getting a 0% no money down loan over 5 years (to keep the numbers simple and clear here) So the cost to purchase each vehicle is going to be the TMV number. Now I've heard that the HCH is going to save me a LOT on gas, and from reading the gloom and doom, I'm guessing that gas is going to average $4/gal over the 5 years.

    The EPA numbers on the HCH are 50/50 city/hwy and on the DX are 30/38. Wow... I could be getting 50 mpg vs 30mpg!! And driving about 15,000 miles per year, I bet that the extra cost of the hybrid is going to be covered with no problem.

    Taking out the trusty abacus, at 50mpg I would be using 300 gal per month with the HCH, and the 30mpg with the DX would be using up 50 gal/month. So I'm using 20 gallons LESS per month with the HCH! I'm digging it! (back to the abacus)

    Lessee... gas is gonna be $4/gallon... wow... over 60 months (5 years) I'll be using about 1200 gallons less. That's $4,800!!!

    Uh oh

    $7,405 minus $4,800 means that the HCH is going to cost me $2605 more over the 5 years. And that's assuming $4 gas. :cry:

    Moral of the story.... this is a bottom line issue for a lot of folks. If you feel that paying the extra money is worth it, great. But I think that the premium is far from mythical at this point.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Welcome to "living paycheck to paycheck" USA.

    I did that for over 30 years. Then I got fed up with giving a big chunk of my paycheck to some fat cat banker. If you keep a car 5 years past the payoff you should have saved more than enough to buy a new one. I am saving now for my next car. And I get to keep that interest I used to hand over to the credit union. It is easier than you think to get out of the interest trap that most Americans are stuck in. It was easier to justify when all interest was a write-off. it is all loss now.

    PS
    Same goes for CC interest. Think how fat your 401K would be if you put that 10% CC interest in the retirement pot instead of the BofA pot.

    Saving on fuel costs is such a small part of the average American household expenses. Too bad they don't teach good economics in school.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    But I think that the premium is far from mythical at this point.

    Exactly my feelings. If Toyota & Honda were the Green companies they claim to be they would have added the hybrid option to the stripped vehicles instead of all the doo dads and bling bling electronics. They are only trying to appeal to the folks that are after the leading edge in technical wizardry. The family that just need a good car that gets good mileage are not included in their hybrid plan. Maybe someday. I doubt you will ever see a "value package" Civic or Corolla hybrid.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I would also agree! I would seriously consider a Honda/Toyota hybrid at $12,500. If all you do are golf cart related, so to speak.... why not get a golf cart? I would be a serious buyer of a Honda CTDI 15-23k (depends on what form it takes when it hits the USA market)

    Any dummy can pony up 25,000-45,000 when 12.5k will do!!?? :(:) The essential dilemma is those that can pony up all cash 25-45k are normally not dummies.
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    What do you expect him to say? He makes diesels, of course he believes in them.

    That's like asking the president of a fan club what he thinks about his idol.


    Your conclusion is that automakers that make diesels believe in diesels.

    OK, I'll accept that. So who else makes diesels and therefore must be a biased, believing, fan of diesels? :surprise: Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Hyundai, BMW, Mercedes, Fiat, Volkswagen, Mazda, General Motors (Saab, Chevrolet, Opel, GMC, etc...), Ford, and many, many more.

    Do they make more diesels each year or hybrids? Diesel.

    Nissan, General Motors, Honda, and Ford have all publicly stated that hybrid cost is too high and that the cost must be reduced before hybrids will be cost effective for automakers and consumers. And these are all makers of or planning to make hypebrids. Why? Perhaps because of the marketing only.

    I don't buy your poor attempt to discredit Folz. If there is a business case for hybrids, Folz will support them.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    quote gagrice-"Saving on fuel costs is such a small part of the average American household expenses. Too bad they don't teach good economics in school."-end quote

    I understand economix just fine. But until I win the lottery, I won't be able to live my life with the intent avoiding paying interest, and neither will the vast majority of Americans.

    So back on topic - My point was that if you are going to ( because of circumstances beyond your own control) have a commuter car and a car payment, you might as well get a car that has minimal operating costs, and at the same time has good creature comforts, clean emissions, and rock solid reliability, the HCH is a fine choice.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I understand economix just fine. But until I win the lottery, I won't be able to live my life with the intent of avoid paying interest, and neither will the vast majority of Americans.

    Sadly that is the economics we are being fed by the wealthy in this country. You can have it all right now. A car with all the frills and great mileage to boot. Nothing down and $400 a month. Oh but you will save $50 per month on gas. I don't buy into it anymore. I learned the hard way.
  • moparbadmoparbad Member Posts: 3,870
    The break even point is a myth to hybrid buyers. They don't comprehend the cost difference of hybrids or don't care or they would not purchase a hybrid.
    Buying a hybrid is the same as buying a Hummer H2, neither purchase is going to save you any money compared to Civic DX or Corolla CE.
    The same case can be made for some of the diesels on the market.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I would agree! The only question is are there enough of (those people) a market to support this going forward (now to plus 15-20 years)

    Seems CA, not too long ago legislated a 2% total vehicle fleet requirement for electric cars. Shoot not even the environmentalists who pushed for this are buying these !!!! You also get a parking space equivalent to a handicap space and FREE electrical hook up!!! Needless to say the legislative types dont talk too much about this falling almost completely flat!? They also don't talk about the MTBE 2-4 billion dollar legislative fiasco either. !!!
  • snakeweaselsnakeweasel Member Posts: 19,592
    So back on topic - My point was that if you are going to ( because of circumstances beyond your own control) have a commuter car and a car payment, you might as well get a car that has minimal operating costs, and at the same time has good creature comforts, clean emissions, and rock solid reliability, the HCH is a fine choice.

    If I may interject here for a moment, the additional monthly payment on a hybrid as opposed to a comparable vehicle will be more than the gas savings that a hybrid offers in most cases. So yeah its great that your saving $50 a month in gas but your car payment is $65 a month more. You lose out on a month by month basis for the life of the loan. Your HCH in a majority of cases is not the way to go if you're looking for cost savings.

    2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D

  • winter2winter2 Member Posts: 1,801
    Let us break this down a bit further. Assume a 0% loan for 48 months Loan payment for the DX would be 312.40/month while the HCH would be 466.67/month. Now let me add the 20 gallons of extra fuel the DX would use monthly at $4.00/gallon or $80. The total DX payment would be 392.40 or 74.26 less per month than the HCH. That is a 3564.80 savings or 891 gallons of gas at $4/gallon or 26,736 miles of driving the DX over the life of the loan. So if I am surmising correctly, you can drive the DX for over 86K miles for what it would cost you to drive the HCH for 60K miles (assuming 15K/year). The BE point for the HCH is 5.78 years of driving. I hope I have this right.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    This is paraphrased from a recent LA Times review of the 2006 HCH, and I have given the consideration that a 2006 Civic EX can be bargained down to $19000.

    Let's say I was interested in a 2006 Honda Civic and I was debating between the sedan and the hybrid.

    With a navigation system, the hybrid costs $23,350; a similarly equipped Civic EX sedan costs $20,560. Let's even make it WORSE for the hybrid shopper and say you can get the EX for $19,000, making the hybrid cost $4,350 more.

    The combined fuel economy of the non-hybrid is 35 mpg; the hybrid, 50 mpg, a theoretical difference of 15 mpg. In five years of average driving (15,000 miles per year), I would save 643 gallons, or $1,929 (assuming a gas price of $3 per gallon), with the hybrid. Combined with the current tax deduction (a savings of $580 in my tax bracket) I recoup 80% of the hybrid premium in five years.

    If I were to buy the Honda Civic hybrid in January 2006, the numbers look even better. The federal tax deduction becomes a credit worth $2,100. Combined with my fuel savings, you would pay for the "extra hybrid premium" in about 5.3 years.

    And Toyota has issued a command to the hybrid engineers to cut the hybrid component costs by 50%. So even less expensive hybrids are coming in the next 2-3 years.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Do you honestly think there isn't one of those manufacturers that doesn't also wish they had a hybrid?

    Note how few (if any) of them sell diesels in the US currently.

    -juice
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Do you honestly think there isn't one of those manufacturers that doesn't also wish they had a hybrid?

    No I don't. I think they are all dragging their feet in hopes that the whole hybrid mania will peter out. That includes big talking Toyota. Any manufacturer would rather sell diesel than hybrid. It is already proven to make them more money. Notice Toyota took a hit this last quarter. Could it be the drag of selling too many "Loss Leader" Prii? If not what cut into their fat profits.
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