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You could be right. However, I was just commenting on what is happening. The auto industry is the cornerstone of the German economy and all of the German car manufacturers have this common link. It is the pride of the country. Last year I said... sink or swim, Porsche and VW have been and will be forever attached at the hip, and that blood is thicker than water. Well here they are, the bond now appears to be the strongest it has ever been. I will not attempt to debate what will happen to them other than they will indeed live or die together.
What about Audi?
TagMan
From your idea to (something's) ear.
I certainly hope you are correct.
I envision a world in which the hybrids will be driven by ivory-tower people with an attitude, vs. diesels driven by people who actually want to conserve energy.
But the new batteries will drive mileage very high in hybrids. What you are seeing now is equivalent to the the PC's of the early 80's.
Ding, ding, ding. That, in fact, is the objective.
Well, it has been strongly suggested that the EPA ratings for hybrids will likely have a 30% average negative affect on their fuel economy ratings... virtually eliminating a large portion of their perceived advantage.
The "power" advantage of hybrids has yet to be embraced by the public, but Toyota is hard at work to change the public's perception on this. The idea is to increase the public's awareness from just thinking of hybrids as fuel savers to thinking of them as performers as well.
The LS600hL will help, with a 0-60 time of near 5 seconds... excellent for such a large car. But since that car is too far out of the average individual's budget and attention level, the next step for Toyota is to produce that FT-HS hybrid sports car, which will draw much more public awareness, and equate hybrid with performance all at the same time.
In the mean time, diesel awareness will grow with the introduciton of new models for 2008 in all states. The fuel economy of diesels will be terrific, and if diesel fuel finally takes its proper price position, it will be similar to the price of gas, or even less.
Those that test drive the diesels will be amazed at the performance, and they will appreciate that the driving characteristics will be similar to what they are accustomed to. But those that test drive hybrids will find some models have very unusual driving characteristics, such as the engine turning on and off, and making strange sounds at certain speeds and at braking.
The advantages of the diesels will even appeal to the "intellectual" crowd as well as the blue collar group. The modern diesel will be promoted by Mercedes Benz and marketed as an environmental masterpiece with advantages over the hybrids, such as zero batteries and zero unusual driving characteristics, and especially their great EPA fuel economy ratings. They will be "green" and appeal to the environmentalists and intellectuals. But as we also know, diesels can be engines for the masses, not just the elite... and this can work in diesel's favor. After all, they are also associated with trucks... and America loves trucks. The idea of "bio-diesel" will appeal to the greenies, and intellectuals as well... but bio-diesel also has a down-home heartland appeal... Willie Nelson will likely be in favor of diesels, and he represents yet another group that will embrace the diesel, and poo-poo on the hybrid.
I have been busting at the seams to see where this all goes in the year 2008 and just beyond. History will be written for those powerplants during those particular years, IMO.
My personal prediction is that we will see both technologies improve significantly and do fairly well... better batteries for hybrids, and greater percentages of ethanol. Diesels and hybrids will be "cool"... until the nano technology batteries come to mass market. At that point in time, nearly everything will become electric.
TagMan
2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460
I guess that explains who I really am since our household still owns a 83 MB 300D.
Hybrids are for ivory tower types with atitude?
Hmm I guess that also explains who I really am since early last year I ordered a hybrid Camry and was actually quite excited about it. After seeing the Camry's miniscule trunk space I said the hell with "Mother Nature and all those cute green lizards you see on those hybrid ads" and bought a gas consuming BMW instead.
I guess my identity crisis will be resolved with a hybrid diesel that has ample trunk space and is durable enough to be owned for the long term :surprise:
What about Audi?
I see them the same way Lexus is to Toyota. The only difference is that Lexus is homegrown and Audi is the adopted child in a family that accords it the same love. The only place Audi can go is to BMW, back to Daimler, or oblivion, and I think none of these three things will happen. I would think Audi is very instrumental to their success.
It's unfortunate that Mazda does not make such good cars today.
I heard you loud and clear the first time and I understand the logic. Furthermore, the Porsche press release also mentions consolidation, so it is testament to what you are saying. However, last year you were one of the people who said a Porsche interest in VW is a mistake. Are you now saying the move makes sense?
But will Porsche's new influence sway VW to a better path?
Piesch wants to re-introduce the Phaeton in North America. Yikes! He also wants to introduce a rebadged Chrysler minivan as a Volkswagen. The softer and more luxurious Passat has transformed into a car that turns off the many Passat owners from the 90s. The sporty unique stubby Jetta transformed into a Corolla-like looking car. The biggest and most exciting VW marketing endeavor for 2006 was changing the Golf into a Rabbit (this will help VW like a Taurus will help Ford). Every year as the VW saga continues it just makes me wonder how Porsche will change things especially with Piesch as VW chairman.
VW GTI, VW Eos are exceptions but these low volume cars are not going to change the destiny of VW.
My left side of the brain is telling me this will not work. Maybe I should pay more attention the the right side
As for my high-mileage RX-7 - engine doing well, but the lightweight / cheap plastic interior has a little wear & tear now. Plus it's so low and firm ride, my 40-yr old butt no longer relishes it as a daily commuter... or in the snow of course. As I get the 2008 550i this year the RX will become my weekend fun car on nice days... and as for future mods - take a gander if you can at the March edition of Modified Mag magazine (www.modified.com). I am NOT a mod kind of guy (yet) and only bought the magazine because of a great article in there showing a beautiful car (exact same generation and color as mine) which was EXTENSIVELY modified to go from 255HP up to 420HP, aero kits, the works! :shades: No idea what it cost but looks awesome! Keeping the article for future reference..... some years off for sure!
I'm wondering too, and I am sitting back with my bag of popcorn watching this in the theater with everyone else. If it collapsed like a house of cards it wouldn't come as a surprise. But don't forget that Wiedeking has become a legend in his own time and it is said that he is one of the few people that Steinbrenner, I mean Piech, defers to.
Heap VW with all of its woes on top of that and it's all going to require some brilliance at the top management... and where is that, I ask?
TagMan
VW's management has been pretty inept over the last few years.
From a product standpoint, Porsche is in pretty good shape.
As long as the economy holds up.
I agree that the Panamera is a risk for them, but I think the rest of the lineup is on pretty solid ground.
IMO too. It certainly appears that way and I think most would agree.
Heap VW with all of its woes on top of that and it's all going to require some brilliance at the top management... and where is that, I ask?
I don't know but much of this is on Wiedeking's shoulders. I hope he's not like the captain of the Poseidon who chose to go to the bridge after it capsized.
BTW, regardles of how Panamera turns out, I can't wait for it. I've been anticipating this thing for some 20 years now.
;-)
BTW, regardles of how Panamera turns out, I can't wait for it. I've been anticipating this thing for some 20 years now.
That long? Wow. I've been interested for a couple of years, and I remember mentioning the car in a post to ljflx a ways back on the original HELM forum, when he still posted there.
Are you thinking of getting one... if it's done properly?
TagMan
A lot of that will be my wife's decision since she'll be using it for the most part. I use the workhorse Subaru and the Boxster. She's locked into mid-size sports sedans and absolutely loves the 530. Plus, she can't be tricked with anything less than BMW handling. So if Panamera outdoes the BMW and hits other desirable sweet spots I'm sure she'll jump right on it. I'd like to get her a drive in the Quattroporte with that new transmission just out of curiosity. I don't want to spend that much money though.
Hopefully for you, and with lots of wishful thinking, the car will be sexy, powerful, handle well, be nicely equipped, and be offered at a reasonable price. If all that happens, they will have a real winner on their hands.
TagMan
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TagMan
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TagMan
And remember, there are more wannabe rich folks than there are actual rich folks. This could be the car for them.
Either way, I didn't think we'd see this until the Chinese did it.
TagMan
Luxury buyers are quite resistant. Other car makers have also found it a challenge to sway buyers from Mercedes and BMW. "If you've always bought a BMW and love BMW, why would you switch to another brand?" explains Jim Taylor, head of General Motors Corp.'s Cadillac division.
But today, Lexus lacks the necessary cachet. "For that high-end buyer, we're not on their shopping list," says Bob Carter, head of Lexus's U.S. office.
Marketing, the lifeblood of a luxury brand, isn't a traditional strength for Lexus, which is known more for reliability and customer service. History shows it can be very difficult to change consumer perceptions of a car brand. And luxury buyers, usually older, could be even more stubborn, as they are often highly loyal to the kinds of cars they've previously owned.
One big challenge: high-end luxury cars traditionally target men. They represent 60% of Mercedes buyers and 58% of BMW buyers. But 51% of Lexus's buyers are female, a statistic that mirrors the proportion of women in the overall car market.
To attract men to the brand, Lexus -- long known more for cushy comfort than pulse-racing performance -- is plunging into the sports-car arena in 2008, launching a souped-up high-performance series similar to Mercedes's AMG series and BMW's M models. And later this year, Lexus will announce production details of its "super Lexus" with more than 500 horsepower.
Given the reliability gap, the Hyundai entry may pose more competition to MB than to Lexus. After all, Hyundai was once a partner of MB.
And remember, there are more wannabe rich folks than there are actual rich folks.
The actual rich folks don't have to drive themselves to commute. Given that a HELC costs only about $1000/mo, or $12k per year, a tiny fraction of the income level that one would consider "rich," the actual rich folks probably can't care less what car they get ferried in on a day-to-day basis, so long as it's safe and can get them from point A to point B in a reliable and comfortable fashion. The chauffer/assistant probably costs $40k+/yr; the $12k/yr on the car is probably less than the tax and benefits paid to keep the driver. Think about it, the cost of a HELC is lower than the cost of a part-time nanny; that's how far the automobile as a status symbol has fallen . . . frankly a phenomenom worthy of celebration, as human labor is valued more now in comparison to inanimate objects.
Hyundai's latest move is nothing more than a further step in commodidizing "luxury" cars.
Interesting take. From what I have been reading on this board, I was under the impression that Lexus was nothing more than a marketting company :-) Also, M and AMG are not high-end luxury cars; dah! Must have been a slow day at WSJ.
A slow day for whom? Certainly not for WSJ.
WSJ was referring to performance and not luxury. They were referring to the fact that men are not as attracted to Lexuses as they are to MBs and BMWs.
How about we start saying hello to a new upcoming HELC member. A Hyundai, yes I am not kidding!
Hyundai stuns with Lexus rival
27/03/2007 07:26
If you mistake this striking Hyundai concept car for a Lexus, you won't be too much off track. The Hyundai Genesis concept car is an indication that the Korean carmaker is to show its teeth for the luxury car brands.
The new executive sedan will be unveiled at the New York Motor Show. Hyundai describes the Genesis as a "premium sports sedan" which will go into production next year.
The concept sits on a prototype of Hyundai's all-new rear-wheel drive platform, signaling the brand's desire to broaden its appeal to discerning driving enthusiasts.
Under the bonnet is a newly developed 4.6-litre V8 powertrain, which kicks out more than 220kW. The V8 engine is mated to a 6-speed automatic transmission with a limited-slip differential.
Hyundai claims that the concept can go from 0-100 km/h in less than six seconds.
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Dewey,
The Hyundai Genesis will come in at under $30K, and go up to under $40K, totally loaded. It's definately a shot at Lexus (and others) and it reminds me of Lexus's original LS strategy.
BUT.. It's price will totally exclude it from this HELC board.
I already posted about the car yesterday on the Luxury Lounge, where we can talk about it.
TagMan
Piesch can profit from his "conflict of interest" due to two things. Poor German takeover regulations and weak corporate governance laws. Ofcourse VW shareholders can reject Porsche's lowball offer. But with Piesch's close relationship to a German State that owns 20 percent of VW shares that just aint going to happen.
Whoever said that life is fair :confuse:
Porsche/Volkswagen
Most companies make takeover bids because they want to take over the company they're bidding for. That's why they pay a premium for the shares.
So what should one make of Porsche AG's €36 billion ($47.8 billion) bid for Volkswagen AG? The German luxury-car maker is offering a price for shares in its mass-market rival that is 14% below the closing price on Friday. That is the minimum it can pay under German takeover rules.
That's legal, but hardly generous. Even taking into account the recent rise in VW shares, it puts the target's equity on a discount to both Renault SA and Fiat SpA on an enterprise value-to-Ebitda -- earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization -- basis. That gives little if any credit for the recovery underway at VW.
So why is Porsche going to the trouble of making such an unappealing bid? The reason is simple. It isn't necessarily seeking formal control of VW. What it really wants is to deepen its influence at the minimum cost.
Porsche deliberately triggered the bid by exercising an option to take its stake through 30%. This was timed to take advantage of the sharp rise in VW's shares -- they are up 30% in the past month -- which in turn has driven a gap between the share price and the weighted three-month average price on which any bid's terms are computed.
This means the bid is unlikely to be accepted by many VW shareholders. German rules only require Porsche to make a mandatory bid once, when it busts through 30%. If that is made and rejected, Porsche is free to creep to control of VW without bidding again.
VW shareholders can now either tender their shares at a lowish price in the bid, or hang on despite the knowledge that VW's top brass aren't necessarily aligned with them. As a major shareholder in Porsche, VW's chairman, Ferdinand Piëch, is interested in building a big stake in VW at minimum cost. That's not easy to reconcile with the objective of maximizing VW's value for all stockholders.
That things have come to this is a failure both of German takeover regulation, which makes it too easy to creep to control, and of German corporate governance.
My guess is that the Cayenne (the latest '08) is the closest thing we have on hand to predict the Panamera price range.
Since you mention the low-rent version, it is encouraging to know that the base engine on the Cayenne has been improved. If you've ever checked it out, the previous one was a tragic embarassment, IMO.
TagMan
That's ridiculous.
TagMan
In fact here is some intersting info from a Lexus survey of the Ultra Rich. And yes the ultra rich do drive their cars to Costco and Home Depot just like other mortals.
SOURCE Wall Street Journal
One of the team's early realizations was that the ultra-rich don't have a car. They have fleets of them, often scattered at different homes and vacation spots across the country. And not only did the rich have a lot of cars, some at the team were surprised by how often many buyers changed their fleet, trading cars more often than most people change wardrobes. Some changed cars in three months, either because they changed their minds or wanted the newest model.
That discovery led Lexus to realize that it didn't necessarily have to compete with other ultra-luxury brands as much as complement them. A Lexus sedan may not be as chic as Porsche 911 convertible, but it might be added as the practical daily driver for someone who already has one. Indeed, the team also found that many of the ultra-rich didn't act all that differently from regular Lexus owners, identifying themselves as "upper middle class" and shopping at places like Costco, Home Depot and Target.
TagMan
Ok in that case forget "hello' and I will just say "byebye" Hyundai.
I'm not following your point here. The lowball offer is designed to have no takers. This in combination with Porsche/Peich relationship with the government, and the governments ineptness in corporate matters means IN EFFECT that Porsche with only 30+% controls VW as if they owned 50+%
Would be funny if VW shares suddenly dropped 35% and shareholders were stepping on each other to get to the offer. Maybe it doesn't matter though. I think somewhere down the road Porsche may wind up at 50+%. I also heard that the government might be interested divesting.
VW shareholders can now either tender their shares at a lowish price in the bid, or hang on despite the knowledge that VW's top brass aren't necessarily aligned with them
First of all you mean a 14 % discount to Friday's closing price.
Porsche is merely exercising their call options on VW and are now entitled to buy the shares at a favorable exercise price.
Apparently you are correct it seems to be a done deal but why does WSJ present the facts as if shareholders still have an option to reject the offer?
I can do research but I really dont have time.
Between your clients, family, driving your 335i, reading the WSJ, and posting on Edmunds, it's a miracle if you have time to eat.
TagMan
Care to elaborate? The way I did the analysis is as following: If the commute is even half an hour each way, that's one hour a day. A chauffer/driver/assistant costs about $150-200 per day if put on an annual salary basis. If a person is not making more than $200/hr, he/she is not really rich. Therefore the actual rich folks don't _have to_ drive themselves to _commute_. QED.
I see, logic failure again. "The actual rich folks don't have to drive themselves to commute." does not mean anyone who doesn't drive themselves to commute is "actually rich." Some basics in formal logic: "A therefore B" is the same as "not B therefore not A" but not the same as "B therefore A" or "not A therefore not B."
And yes the ultra rich do drive their cars to Costco and Home Depot just like other mortals.
So how many ultra rich work at the Costco and Home Depot? Notice, I said "commute" not leisure shopping.
Your quoted source regarding several not necessarily luxury cars scattered in different places actually mesh with my earlier statement quite well. If you are making $50k, 100k or more each month (ie. $600k to $1.2mil a year, still the low end of "truely rich"), do you really care about the status value of a car that can be had for only about $1000/mo? Reliability, hence avoiding wasting your time, becomes far more important. The ones who still care about status value of a $1000/mo car are wannabe riches.
BTW, having a driver for commute is not necessarily "acting rich," but a time saver. If your time is worth more, you get someone else to do the day-in day-out repetitive task, in order to have better return on your own time. As simple as that.
I enjoy driving and if I were still working, would never pay a chauffeur to get me from one meeting to another, even though It certainly wouldn't put much of a dent in my budget to do so.
It may not be cost-efficient as you see it, but I don't mind enjoying my life. Driving fine vehicles is a significant part of that.
Guess I'll just have to "take the loss" from your analysis and continue tossing the 545i around. :shades:
Yes. Sorry, I mixed that up with the 30% increase in VW shares over the last month.
Apparently you are correct it seems to be a done deal but why does WSJ present the facts as if shareholders still have an option to reject the offer?
Why wouldn't they have the option to reject the offer?
Porsche only wants 30% stake right now because it gives them control by way of their relationship with the government who is a 20% shareholder. Accordingly they are using the rules to their advantage and are only making the offer because the law requires them to. Am I missing something?