I am still reading the Muller report itself. Have not found where he said anything about cutting CO2. The News reports seem to fill in the blanks as they see fit.
Coming from Berkeley would make it suspect in my book. I don't trust anyone North of the Orange County border to be honest. :shades:
I would like to see the results of the last 10 years a little bit clearer. I contend if CO2 is the cause we have generated progressively more over the last 100 years. If it is a major factor there should be no downturn in the temperature. I know we are well below normal the last two summers.
And you can see how someone sitting in the earliest snowfall since the Civil war would be skeptical of a warming trend.
I have not read Freakonomics yet. Never available at the library. I think they realized they were shy in the first book on GW and went to IV to get some additional insight.
In addition to being a Berkeley physic prof, Muller is also a faculty senior scientist at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. One of the scientists on his team just won a Nobel Prize. Bunch of quacks eh? :P
Brings back memories...
"The Berkeley group’s research even confirms the infamous “hockey stick” graph— showing a sharp recent temperature rise—that Muller once snarkily called “the poster child of the global warming community.” Muller’s new graph isn’t just similar, it’s identical." (calacademy.org)
The real proof in the pudding will be whether the Koch foundation pulls its funding. Right now they are the single biggest contributor with that 25%. If they leave, then we'll know AGW is real.
Muller was a big nuke proponent btw; not sure if that's changed since the Fukushima nuclear plant meltdownd. (WSJ op ed)
One of the scientists on his team just won a Nobel Prize. Bunch of quacks eh?
I believe Barrack Obama and Al Gore also won a Nobel Prize. Too bad it has become so political of late.
At any rate this was a preliminary report and the research is far from complete with this project. They also must be terrific speed readers because the report said they had studied, in detail some 1,600,000,000 records. Yes, 1 billion 600 million. Hmmm...
And nah, they took random samples of the data. That's how they concluded that both the bad weather stations and the good weather stations came up with the the same results.
It's like me and my gas records. I've probably had a bunch of incorrect readings over the last 12 years, and the pumps were all different. And yet you could pull out a few dozen out at random and come up with the same lifetime mpg as the whole mash of them show.
Actually if you look at the funding the largest portion was from the Feds, at $188k. I doubt Koch cares one way or another. Most of the scientific work in the Oil Fields of Prudhoe Bay was funded by the Oil Companies. That makes it easier to monitor what they find.
This work was supported in part by the Director, Office of Science, of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231 ($188,587)
How can you tell a legitimate scientist from a paid mouthpiece? We would like to think all our Congressmen and President was honest. The almighty dollar corrupts any and all.
I will say this group seems to be taking an honest approach. Here is their statement. Not the refined statement by the government controlled media sources:
Is it time now to end global warming skepticism?
Our study addressed only one area of the concerns: was the temperature rise on land improperly affected by the four key biases (station quality, homogenization, urban heat island, and station selection)? The answer turned out to be no – but they were questions worthy of investigation. Berkeley Earth has not addressed issues of the tree ring and proxy data, climate model accuracy, or human attribution.
As far as being identical to the hockey stick, you should compare the two instead of reading the MSM accounts. I don't see it that way. Notice the errant black line of deception?
The hockey stick comparison, iirc, was for the land surface numbers of BEST vs the hockey stick graph. Muller's group is apparently going to tackle ocean temps next.
I don't understand what you are trying to indicate with the graph and the black line comment. But going back 1,000 years, the temps sure look to be warming no matter which line you pick.
I read the Koch Foundation statement earlier. It's notable for what it doesn't say (they could have simply put a face palm image up instead, lol).
It's fun watching the attacks, including saying that Prof. Curry doesn't agree with Muller at all. But if you read Curry's latest (and not the deniers or the MSN), she's pretty much okay with all that's come out of BEST to date. (judithcurry.com)
I think where the problem lies is not in whether or not the earth is warming. It is what causes it and the solutions. The eco nuts think you can cure all problems by wasting more money. That was obvious at Copenhagen and other meetings of THE CULT. It gets pretty ridiculous when they blame volcanic action on manmade Climate change. And they have. GW is purely a Liberal agenda to gain more control of the masses. That is why the Conservatives are so against it. If it was purely science and proven science fine. It is a case of " Been there done that" back in the 1970s when it was global winter. I think people are tired of crackpot science pushed by idiots like Carl Sagan and Al Gore. If left to them we would not have achieved what we have in space travel today. I personally have no desire to live in a cave and watch Al Gore spin lies on TV. His lies and those he has gotten to go along with him have shut me off on the subject. I will take real scientific minds like Robinson or Myrhvold and here them out.
PS the lone black line at the end of the hockey stick. Obviously added for shock value. I want to see the chart for the last 10 years. If it is cooling the whole theory of CO2 being the culprit becomes suspect.
I think where the problem lies is not in whether or not the earth is warming.
I think the deniers have figured that they've lost that battle so they are personalizing the argument by attacking anyone ("the cult" - sheesh, give us a break) who suggests that dumping CO2 into the air may not be such a good idea.
The data will speak for itself, and the Koch Brothers will insure that the data is reliable.
Whether it's going to continue to warm, or whether it's anthropogenic or a sun cycle or ocean oscillation, they're all valid questions to research and spend tax dollars learning about. Attacking the data and interpretations of the results is appropriate but all the bombast directed at individuals is just a smoke screen. I mean, really, Carl Sagan was one of the biggest skeptics around in his day and contributed a lot of good science.
I would suggest dumping CO2 is NOT a bad thing. After all without it nothing green would grow. I don't think it has been proven to be the cause of global warming. Most ice samples show increased CO2 levels following GW.
The deniers for the most part do not believe man is the major contributor to climate change in either direction. There are 31,000+ scientists that do not agree with the so called AGW consensus. I think the Muller study shows just what the media does with a little bit of data.
IF man's increased output of CO2 is the major cause of GW, we would not be in a cooling trend the last 10 years. And the latest I have read is increased coal usage could be contributing to the cooling.
As far as Carl Sagan goes, we would have not advanced as far as we have with men exploring space if he was in charge of the space program. I don't consider misleading children as advancing good science.
And Al Gore does in fact head up a Cult of liars set on pushing an agenda that is counterproductive to the advancement of man.
We now have right at 7 billion people sharing this planet. I see two choices. Kill off about half of them or bring them up to a decent standard of living. Hopefully by teaching them to be self sustaining. That will generate a lot more GHG. So we better learn to live with whatever it causes.
It has become a political football. And further proof is the two Green companies that have failed today. Taking with them MILLIONS of our tax dollars. Buying the science that politicians want is the name of the game.
Building of those failed rockets probably provided decent jobs. Not likely as much ended up in the pockets of campaign contributors, as with the Green Agenda waste.
Solyndra $535 million gone, 1100 jobs for less than a year. That is about half a million a job. I don't think you are seeing the Green agenda for what it really is. We went through it in the late 1970s with wind and ethanol. The GOP and Bush did not learn and allowed it to be pushed again as subsidies for the farmers both corn and wind. It is never ending. Unless it is self sustaining it will only be a drag on our economy. We do have satellite technology from our past rocket failures. This is at least the 2nd time we have wasted billions with little or nothing to show for for green dream. The only green that is sustainable is making greenbacks. And that is not going to happen by padding the pockets of big contributors.
I want you to think about what you just said. Either way the Chinese are funding it. We have more than once in the last couple years paid companies big bucks to develop Green alternatives and they end up building the factories in China. And the worst part is we borrowed the money from China to do it.
It really makes little difference who gets to put their name on the patent. It is the company that builds and sells the widget that gets rich. If we are not going to get our hands dirty mining the resources and building the solar panels and wind generators we are going to be left behind in our sterile environment.
Just because Apple and Nike make everything in sweatshops doesn't mean it'll be that way forever. Even if that doesn't happen, there'll be all kinds of siting issues and grid hookups for our engineers to figure out.
I agree, as we bring the third World up, our standard of living will go down to meet them. The days of union janitors having fancy homes and summer cottages in the UP are coming to an end. What some here have forgotten is the conditions in places like China and India were a LOT worse than they currently are. I doubt the current Chinese sweatshops are a whole lot worse than my mom and grandmother worked in during the war in Los Angeles. My uncles were millwrights in the Union shops and made good money. If not for them we would not have gotten by. That was not that long ago.
I don't know who you are agreeing with, but the standard of living is going up in China. Not sure about India.
Look at Mexico; higher wages and benefits there have resulted in reports of some companies moving production to the US since the savings are so good anymore (GM and the Silverado crew cab for example). I don't see our standard of living going down.
If our standard of living as a country is not going down, WHY OWS? I thought that was what all the occupying was about. My standard of living has never been better. How about yours? I would guess it puts US in the 1% we here all the screaming about.
I know that China and Mexico are coming up. Probably India as well. The reason GM can bring back production here is the realistic UAW contracts that now pay around $15 an hour for line work vs $30 per hour.
Wow! This guy is about as hypocritical and clueless as AG.
A European program to charge airlines for their greenhouse-gas emissions could raise round-trip ticket prices from the United States by more than $30 starting next year. Environmental groups and some travelers praise the European Union's Emission Trading Scheme as a way to curb climate change. The goal is to spur airlines and manufacturers to build more efficient planes like Boeing's 787 Dreamliner.
"Hopefully, this will help them do that a lot faster," says Thomas Buchen, 65, who has flown 4 million miles by traveling as far as Dubai from his home in Williamsburg, Va., to build golf courses. "We're trying to be as environmentally friendly as we can."
LOL! If the 4 million miles isn't enough, he converts land into energy intensive (watering and maintenance) places where the wealthy - with large carbon footprints - can travel to.
What isn't science, when it fails to recognize that it has to be cold for some amount of time beforehand for snow to stick, and this snow stuck to the tune of 2+feet? My memory has not failed me, and I certainly don't see any warming in the 51 years I've been on the Earth.
Where is the sea-level rise? The maps of the coastline, and the beaches themselves are almost in the same exact spot as when I visited them 45 years ago. The inn I go to in Cape May NJ is right across the street from the ocean where people over 100 years ago went stayed to go to the beach.
Science isn't about people looking to make a name or fortune for themselves either, by liberating their desire for the Defining Moments of Mankind, to happen during their lifespan.
Sea level at Cape May reportedly has been rising ~4mm a year during the 20th century per a Princeton funded study you can find at environmentnewjersey.org. (pdf file)
Some of that is attributed to warming and some to land subsidence.
I don't have the time to even begin to refute why that report is next to useless. What is intersting, is that you look back at that report from 6 years ago, and you note how many of those estimates and predictions have not come true, and the Change has been revised downward.
How inconvenient for climatologists that their hockey-stick is broken in the last decade.
I see the article did still use that less-referred to term of "global warming" though. Maybe climatologists came to their senses to stop trying to sell "warming" to people who were getting snowed on anytime during 6 months of the year!
GW and the Doomsday of the Mayan Calendar are probably running neck-and-neck on the list of concerns of most people.
Insignificant, unsubstantiated theories that I have seen throughout History, that are shown to be false or overblown.
Auto exhaust, factory emissions, etc. are insignificant compared to the forces of Nature. The energy striking the Earth from the Sun ALONE, is several orders of magnitude greater than any energy/pollution effects Mankind could create. The Wind, Tides, tectonic plate movements, and geothermal energy of Nature also dwarfs man's effects.
Mankind's auto emissions have about as much effect as having all the vehicles on Earth, face 180-degrees opposite the rotation of the Earth, and running them all, to try and stop the Earth from rotating in its current direction.
Prof Richard Muller had spent two years trying to discover if the mainstream scientists were wrong but concluded they were right. Temperatures are rising and his results, he concluded, “proved you should not be a sceptic, at least not any longer”. Case closed.
But is it? Not according to Prof Judith Curry, a member of Prof Muller’s team, who claims the same findings have shown that global warming has stopped – plunging the rest of us into a quandary of what and who to believe
When Prof Curry heard that Prof Muller was saying that the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) findings would put an end to climate change scepticism for good she was horrified. “This isn’t the end of scepticism,” she exclaimed.
“To say that is the biggest mistake he has made. When I saw he was saying that I just thought, ‘Oh my God.’”
Prof Muller, of Berkeley University in California, and Prof Curry, who chairs the Department Of Earth And Atmospheric Sciences at America’s Georgia Institute of Technology, were part of the BEST project that carried out analysis of more than 1.6 billion temperature recordings collected from more than 39,000 weather stations around the world.
Prof Muller appeared on Radio 4’s Today Programme last Friday where he described how BEST’s findings showed that since the Fifties global temperatures had risen by about 1 degree Celsius, a figure which is in line with estimates from Nasa and the Met Office.
When asked whether the rate had stopped over the last 10 years he said they had not. “We see no evidence of it having slowed down,” he replied and a graph issued by the BEST project suggests a continuing and steep increase.
But this last point is one which Prof Curry has furiously rebuttted. In a serious clash of scientific experts Prof Curry has accused Prof Muller of trying to “hide the decline in rates of global warming”.
She says that BEST’s research actually shows that there has been no increase in world temperatures for 13 years.
She has called Prof Muller’s comments “a huge mistake” and has said that she now plans to discuss her future on the project with him. “There is no scientific basis for saying that global warming hasn’t stopped,” she says.
“To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.” New research also seems to back up Prof Curry rather than Prof Muller.
So it was as I stated earlier MSM putting their own interpretation on the study. I don't see anything on her site that refutes the fact that the last decade has not shown an increase in Global temps.
So all in all, I am ok with what is going on in the BEST project. The PR situation is still a problem, but the media aren’t helping here. In any event alot of people are now looking at the data. The BEST team is taking seriously the more serious critiques and are sorting through them. Progress is being made!
I found this link from your Curry site interesting:
The issues regarding climate change have not been sufficiently scrutinized. Errors, misstatements, partial statements, evasions, and lack of cooperation and candor, even ad hominem attacks are used by the proponents of global warming instead. Senators Rockefeller (D-VA) and Snowe (R-ME) called for the suppression of skeptics. Others suggest that Nuremberg Trials be held for them. Science is not conducted that way.
This international global warming lobby is large, organized, heavily funded, and mean. Whatever their the agenda may be, it is not science. Their actions are reminiscent of earlier arrogant powers imprisoning and suppressing Galileo or Giordano Bruno's burning at the stake for the heresy of suggesting that the Earth was not the center of the Universe.
The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a UN organization formed within the United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP). This should sound alarms for those familiar with the politics of some of the power brokers within the UN itself. Many are decidedly anti-capitalist and anti-American. For example, consider the statement of Maurice Strong made at the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro: "Isn't the ONLY hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?"
Yes I read that. And the charts are so tight you cannot get a good idea about the last decade. It would appear the temps are relatively flat. That tells me AGW theory is flawed. If we and our fossil burning is the cause there should be NO flat spots only onward and upward. The AGW crowd can try to have it both ways. I just don't buy it and I don't believe the general public does either.
It'll be fun to see what BEST comes up with when they look at ocean temps. It took Muller two years to review the land data studies.
Something tells me they aren't going to find a smoking hockey stick there either. In spite of all the media rumblings, the land data appears to have held up well.
Canada May Miss $6.7 Billion Carbon Offset Bill by Exiting Kyoto Protocol
Canada, the country furthest from meeting its commitment to cut carbon emissions under the Kyoto Protocol, may save as much as $6.7 billion by exiting the global climate change agreement and not paying for offset credits.
The country’s greenhouse-gas emissions are almost a third higher than 1990 levels, and it has a 6 percent CO2 reduction target for the end of 2012. If it couldn’t meet its goal, Canada would have to buy carbon credits, under the rules of the legally binding treaty.
Canada, which has the world’s third-largest proven oil reserves, would be the first of 191 signatories to the Kyoto Protocol to annul its emission-reduction obligations. While Environment Minister Peter Kent declined to confirm Nov. 28 that Canada is preparing to pull out of Kyoto, which may ease the burden for oil-sands producers and coal-burning utilities, he said the government wouldn’t make further commitments to it.
“Canada is the only country in the world saying it won’t honor Kyoto,” said Keith Stewart, an energy and climate policy analyst for Greenpeace in Toronto. Under a previous Liberal government, Canada was one of the first countries to sign Kyoto in 1998. The current Conservative government made a non-binding commitment at 2009 United Nations talks in Copenhagen to reduce emissions by 17 percent by 2020 from 2005 levels, in line with a pledge by the U.S., its biggest trading partner.
Hallelujah! Now does anybody know if the United States also signed on as non binding to this eco-terrorist power grab disgised as a treaty??
As Ann Barnhardt so eloquently stated (google her videos on YT; they are well worth it) in her news flash to Senator Lindsay Graham (or maybe it was Willard "Mitt" Romney; I can't remember)...
paraphrasing: "...just in case you haven't heard, there's a 9 quadrillion fusion ball out there called the Sun which influences the weather infinitely more than anything man made could..."
BRAVO CANADA!!! Now will any other nation with CAJONES follow their lead on this fraud???
Has anybody bothered to mention to these idiot-crats that carbon dioxide is the plant species oxygen?? Anybody bothered to send them the videos of the milkweed plant that was fed excess amounts of CARBON DIOXIDE side by side with one grown with normal amounts?? The excess carbon fed plant (remember this is a "pollutant" to these pinheads) grew about 35% larger. Hence if there's "too much" carbon dioxide produced, guess what?? The plants and grasses will utilize it?!?
This "Climate Change" fraud, along with Agenda 21 (Google it also for a little leisure reading but have a barf bucket handy) is an elitist attack on humanity plain and simple.
In today's news a couple of prominent climatologists admitted, that after going over 20 years of statistics and predictions, that their own hurricane predictions over the 20 year period were meaningless and not anywhere near what actually occurred. It was so bad they they will not be doing hurricane predictions in the future.
This brings into question how any of the current climate modeling techniques actually work. It is certainly a slap in the face to all the experts who are using climate modeling to assure us that the world will end if we don't give Al Gore and developing nations billions of dollars to staunch the flow of green house gasses.
But we set a record high temp a couple of days ago. Snowfall is half normal - it's so bad the few remaining snowmen couldn't take the stress anymore and they all committed harakiri while jumping into Lake Superior. All that's left are some torsos and miscellaneous body parts along the beach.
We got 20 inches of snow in our local mountains last week. Snow at Christmas is very rare here. Now it is back to our normal 75 degrees and beautiful. We put up with all the Fruits, Nuts and Flakes to have this kind of weather. Last week we were 10 degrees below normal. I was ready to move to Hawaii. Had the wood stove going day and night to keep the chill off the house.
I did mention that burning wood at $350 per cord is about 1/3rd the cost of Propane. I just hauled two PU loads of nice Eucalyptus for next year. Needs to dry out and be split.
After 3 or 4 extremely cold and snowy winters here in eastern Kansas, so far this year we have caught a break. No snow at all and fairly mild weather overall. 20's at night but warming up to the high 40's during the day. I love it and hope it continues like this.
“Among climate scientists—people who spend their lives researching our world—there is no debate regarding the reality of climate change and the fact that humans are the primary cause”
I didn't want one (well, there was an ulterior motive to kick my wife off my laptop. :shades: ).
The mostly warm weather sure is saving on the heating bills around here though and I bet the cities and counties are liking not blowing their budget on plowing. The guys who get through the winter plowing driveways and parking lots must be having trouble making truck payments.
Still early though; the weather service over in Marquette has downgraded the blizzard warning to a winter storm warning, but we could still get a nice dump tomorrow.
The guys who get through the winter plowing driveways and parking lots must be having trouble making truck payments.
One person's blessing is another person's misery. For every action there is a reaction. I have slowed my flow of propane by burning more wood. I did buy some to get real dry wood. BTU wise wood is much cheaper. Now it has warmed up and mid 70s are forecast into the distant future. What is really strange is the over night temps. This time of year we get a lot of 30s over night when it is clear. The last week it has not dropped below 50 at our place. We feel like we are in the sub tropics.
Another unforeseen reaction just came out today concerning recycled paper towels.
AP) MONTREAL - Here's something to keep in mind the next time you reach for a paper towel in a public washroom.
A study by Laval University in Quebec City finds bacteria thrives on the paper products, even unused towels.
And, it says some of those germs could be transferred to you after you've washed your hands.
The study looked at six brands of paper towels, all sold in Canada. It found all six brands had germs, with recycled towels being the most heavily contaminated.
Cyclic or apocalyptic? Bummer about all the trees dying in Austin where the Statesman reports they had the hottest year on record in '11, but I'm enjoying the snow pics from Valdez and Cordova from the Alaska Dispatch site.
Tanker carrying supplies for stranded Alaskan village gets stuck in thick ice flows as it crosses the frigid Bering Sea
A Russian tanker carrying desperately-needed fuel supplies for the far northern Alaskan city of Nome keeps getting stuck in thick ice flows as it crosses the frigid Bering Sea in the dead of winter.
Fortunately, the 370-foot tanker Renda is escorted by a specially-designed Coast Guard ice breaker, the USCGC Healy, whose extra-thick hull is capable of crashing through ice several feet thick.
But that means going is slow. The two ships are covering just five to six nautical miles a day, even though they still have more 300 miles of sea ice to burst through before they can reach Nome.
They have been blocked by bad storms this fall. I wonder why Nome is buying fuel from Russia? They will be paying $10 a gallon for fuel oil if it has to be flown in. Better button up the place and head to AZ for the Winter.
My take is do what you can and don't spend a fortune on Gore type scams. I don't really think man can make enough difference to change the climate. We are going to exhale more CO2 no matter how many people we kill off.
The fuel barge from the Lower 48 waited too long to head north and couldn't get there because of weather. The US icebreaker was ~4 days further north on some rescue mission iirc and couldn't help out. That was back in November when hurricane force winds battered the coast. (link)
I'm jonesing for some real weather - the ~5 inch dump the other day didn't cut it. Went for a snowshoe ranger tromp a while back and everyone walked in their sneakers.
You want to snowshoe, sounds like Cordova is your place to be.
ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) -- Dozens of National Guard troops have arrived to help an Alaska fishing town dig out from massive snows that have collapsed roofs, trapped some people in homes, and triggered avalanches.
Cordova is used to snow, but not like this season's blanketing.
The Guard reported more than 18 feet of snow has fallen in the past weeks, although the National Weather Service did not immediately have a measurement.
"There's nowhere to go with the snow because it's piled up so high," said Wendy Rainney, who owns the Orca Adventure Lodge.
37 years in Alaska and I never got to Cordova. I have friends that have a fishing permit for there. They invited me and I never made it.
My son's job shut down because -15 degree weather in Wasilla. Kind of early for that kind of cold. I am sure most of AK would go for a little of the warming trend.
Fun town; floated the Copper one year and a friend there had gone to Anchorage, but left their Subaru at the take-out for us and the keys to his house under the floor mat. Took the ferry back to our cars at Valdez a couple of days later.
Alaska is getting all the fun weather this year. Valdez has around 6' on the ground, 18' has fallen. I don't think we've gotten 18 inches.
It's not too late to get there, but you may want to wait until it's salmon berry picking time. Assuming extreme summer weather doesn't hammer them.
Comments
http://www.berkeleyearth.org/study.php
http://muller.lbl.gov/
Coming from Berkeley would make it suspect in my book. I don't trust anyone North of the Orange County border to be honest. :shades:
I would like to see the results of the last 10 years a little bit clearer. I contend if CO2 is the cause we have generated progressively more over the last 100 years. If it is a major factor there should be no downturn in the temperature. I know we are well below normal the last two summers.
And you can see how someone sitting in the earliest snowfall since the Civil war would be skeptical of a warming trend.
I have not read Freakonomics yet. Never available at the library. I think they realized they were shy in the first book on GW and went to IV to get some additional insight.
Brings back memories...
"The Berkeley group’s research even confirms the infamous “hockey stick” graph— showing a sharp recent temperature rise—that Muller once snarkily called “the poster child of the global warming community.” Muller’s new graph isn’t just similar, it’s identical." (calacademy.org)
The real proof in the pudding will be whether the Koch foundation pulls its funding. Right now they are the single biggest contributor with that 25%. If they leave, then we'll know AGW is real.
Muller was a big nuke proponent btw; not sure if that's changed since the Fukushima nuclear plant meltdownd. (WSJ op ed)
I believe Barrack Obama and Al Gore also won a Nobel Prize. Too bad it has become so political of late.
At any rate this was a preliminary report and the research is far from complete with this project. They also must be terrific speed readers because the report said they had studied, in detail some 1,600,000,000 records. Yes, 1 billion 600 million. Hmmm...
2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460
And nah, they took random samples of the data. That's how they concluded that both the bad weather stations and the good weather stations came up with the the same results.
It's like me and my gas records. I've probably had a bunch of incorrect readings over the last 12 years, and the pumps were all different. And yet you could pull out a few dozen out at random and come up with the same lifetime mpg as the whole mash of them show.
This work was supported in part by the Director, Office of Science, of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231 ($188,587)
Here is Koch's take on the study:
http://www.charleskochfoundationfacts.org/2011/10/foundation-statement-on-berkel- ey-earth-surface-temperature-project/
How can you tell a legitimate scientist from a paid mouthpiece? We would like to think all our Congressmen and President was honest. The almighty dollar corrupts any and all.
I will say this group seems to be taking an honest approach. Here is their statement. Not the refined statement by the government controlled media sources:
Is it time now to end global warming skepticism?
Our study addressed only one area of the concerns: was the temperature rise on land improperly affected by the four key biases (station quality, homogenization, urban heat island, and station selection)? The answer turned out to be no – but they were questions worthy of investigation. Berkeley Earth has not addressed issues of the tree ring and proxy data, climate model accuracy, or human attribution.
As far as being identical to the hockey stick, you should compare the two instead of reading the MSM accounts. I don't see it that way. Notice the errant black line of deception?
Hockey Stick:
The hockey stick comparison, iirc, was for the land surface numbers of BEST vs the hockey stick graph. Muller's group is apparently going to tackle ocean temps next.
I don't understand what you are trying to indicate with the graph and the black line comment. But going back 1,000 years, the temps sure look to be warming no matter which line you pick.
I read the Koch Foundation statement earlier. It's notable for what it doesn't say (they could have simply put a face palm image up instead, lol).
It's fun watching the attacks, including saying that Prof. Curry doesn't agree with Muller at all. But if you read Curry's latest (and not the deniers or the MSN), she's pretty much okay with all that's come out of BEST to date. (judithcurry.com)
PS
the lone black line at the end of the hockey stick. Obviously added for shock value. I want to see the chart for the last 10 years. If it is cooling the whole theory of CO2 being the culprit becomes suspect.
I think the deniers have figured that they've lost that battle so they are personalizing the argument by attacking anyone ("the cult" - sheesh, give us a break) who suggests that dumping CO2 into the air may not be such a good idea.
The data will speak for itself, and the Koch Brothers will insure that the data is reliable.
Whether it's going to continue to warm, or whether it's anthropogenic or a sun cycle or ocean oscillation, they're all valid questions to research and spend tax dollars learning about. Attacking the data and interpretations of the results is appropriate but all the bombast directed at individuals is just a smoke screen. I mean, really, Carl Sagan was one of the biggest skeptics around in his day and contributed a lot of good science.
The deniers for the most part do not believe man is the major contributor to climate change in either direction. There are 31,000+ scientists that do not agree with the so called AGW consensus. I think the Muller study shows just what the media does with a little bit of data.
IF man's increased output of CO2 is the major cause of GW, we would not be in a cooling trend the last 10 years. And the latest I have read is increased coal usage could be contributing to the cooling.
As far as Carl Sagan goes, we would have not advanced as far as we have with men exploring space if he was in charge of the space program. I don't consider misleading children as advancing good science.
And Al Gore does in fact head up a Cult of liars set on pushing an agenda that is counterproductive to the advancement of man.
We now have right at 7 billion people sharing this planet. I see two choices. Kill off about half of them or bring them up to a decent standard of living. Hopefully by teaching them to be self sustaining. That will generate a lot more GHG. So we better learn to live with whatever it causes.
It has become a political football. And further proof is the two Green companies that have failed today. Taking with them MILLIONS of our tax dollars. Buying the science that politicians want is the name of the game.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-31727_162-20127308-10391695/another-solyndra-electri- c-car-battery-maker-facing-financial-hardship/?tag=nl.e875
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2011-10-31/beacon-power-backed-by-u-s-loan-guar- antees-files-bankruptcy.html
Solyndra $535 million gone, 1100 jobs for less than a year. That is about half a million a job. I don't think you are seeing the Green agenda for what it really is. We went through it in the late 1970s with wind and ethanol. The GOP and Bush did not learn and allowed it to be pushed again as subsidies for the farmers both corn and wind. It is never ending. Unless it is self sustaining it will only be a drag on our economy. We do have satellite technology from our past rocket failures. This is at least the 2nd time we have wasted billions with little or nothing to show for for green dream. The only green that is sustainable is making greenbacks. And that is not going to happen by padding the pockets of big contributors.
It really makes little difference who gets to put their name on the patent. It is the company that builds and sells the widget that gets rich. If we are not going to get our hands dirty mining the resources and building the solar panels and wind generators we are going to be left behind in our sterile environment.
Look at Mexico; higher wages and benefits there have resulted in reports of some companies moving production to the US since the savings are so good anymore (GM and the Silverado crew cab for example). I don't see our standard of living going down.
btw, Freakonomics says it pays to be optimistic.
I know that China and Mexico are coming up. Probably India as well. The reason GM can bring back production here is the realistic UAW contracts that now pay around $15 an hour for line work vs $30 per hour.
Only a wealthy country can afford demonstrations, environmental regs, and a social safety net.
I've always lived on the margins myself because I don't like working that hard. You don't own stuff, it owns you. I'd do just fine in Mexico.
A European program to charge airlines for their greenhouse-gas emissions could raise round-trip ticket prices from the United States by more than $30 starting next year. Environmental groups and some travelers praise the European Union's Emission Trading Scheme as a way to curb climate change. The goal is to spur airlines and manufacturers to build more efficient planes like Boeing's 787 Dreamliner.
"Hopefully, this will help them do that a lot faster," says Thomas Buchen, 65, who has flown 4 million miles by traveling as far as Dubai from his home in Williamsburg, Va., to build golf courses. "We're trying to be as environmentally friendly as we can."
LOL! If the 4 million miles isn't enough, he converts land into energy intensive (watering and maintenance) places where the wealthy - with large carbon footprints - can travel to.
http://travel.usatoday.com/flights/story/2011-10-31/Greenhouse-gas-tax-could-inf- late-airfares/51018748/1
What isn't science, when it fails to recognize that it has to be cold for some amount of time beforehand for snow to stick, and this snow stuck to the tune of 2+feet? My memory has not failed me, and I certainly don't see any warming in the 51 years I've been on the Earth.
Where is the sea-level rise? The maps of the coastline, and the beaches themselves are almost in the same exact spot as when I visited them 45 years ago. The inn I go to in Cape May NJ is right across the street from the ocean where people over 100 years ago went stayed to go to the beach.
Science isn't about people looking to make a name or fortune for themselves either, by liberating their desire for the Defining Moments of Mankind, to happen during their lifespan.
Some of that is attributed to warming and some to land subsidence.
How inconvenient for climatologists that their hockey-stick is broken in the last decade.
I see the article did still use that less-referred to term of "global warming" though. Maybe climatologists came to their senses to stop trying to sell "warming" to people who were getting snowed on anytime during 6 months of the year!
GW and the Doomsday of the Mayan Calendar are probably running neck-and-neck on the list of concerns of most people.
Insignificant, unsubstantiated theories that I have seen throughout History, that are shown to be false or overblown.
Auto exhaust, factory emissions, etc. are insignificant compared to the forces of Nature. The energy striking the Earth from the Sun ALONE, is several orders of magnitude greater than any energy/pollution effects Mankind could create. The Wind, Tides, tectonic plate movements, and geothermal energy of Nature also dwarfs man's effects.
Mankind's auto emissions have about as much effect as having all the vehicles on Earth, face 180-degrees opposite the rotation of the Earth, and running them all, to try and stop the Earth from rotating in its current direction.
But is it? Not according to Prof Judith Curry, a member of Prof Muller’s team, who claims the same findings have shown that global warming has stopped – plunging the rest of us into a quandary of what and who to believe
When Prof Curry heard that Prof Muller was saying that the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) findings would put an end to climate change scepticism for good she was horrified. “This isn’t the end of scepticism,” she exclaimed.
“To say that is the biggest mistake he has made. When I saw he was saying that I just thought, ‘Oh my God.’”
Prof Muller, of Berkeley University in California, and Prof Curry, who chairs the Department Of Earth And Atmospheric Sciences at America’s Georgia Institute of Technology, were part of the BEST project that carried out analysis of more than 1.6 billion temperature recordings collected from more than 39,000 weather stations around the world.
Prof Muller appeared on Radio 4’s Today Programme last Friday where he described how BEST’s findings showed that since the Fifties global temperatures had risen by about 1 degree Celsius, a figure which is in line with estimates from Nasa and the Met Office.
When asked whether the rate had stopped over the last 10 years he said they had not. “We see no evidence of it having slowed down,” he replied and a graph issued by the BEST project suggests a continuing and steep increase.
But this last point is one which Prof Curry has furiously rebuttted. In a serious clash of scientific experts Prof Curry has accused Prof Muller of trying to “hide the decline in rates of global warming”.
She says that BEST’s research actually shows that there has been no increase in world temperatures for 13 years.
She has called Prof Muller’s comments “a huge mistake” and has said that she now plans to discuss her future on the project with him. “There is no scientific basis for saying that global warming hasn’t stopped,” she says.
“To say that there is detracts from the credibility of the data, which is very unfortunate.” New research also seems to back up Prof Curry rather than Prof Muller.
http://www.express.co.uk/features/view/280948/Is-global-warming-over-
So who bought off Muller, is the question? Who can you believe? Why don't we ever get honest reporting from US sources?
Discussion with Rich Muller" by Judith Curry
"I had a 90 minute meeting with Richard Muller this evening.
I have to say that there isn’t much that we disagree on."
judithcurry.com
(my bolding. :shades: This blog post followed the WSJ article and Curry's interview).
So all in all, I am ok with what is going on in the BEST project. The PR situation is still a problem, but the media aren’t helping here. In any event alot of people are now looking at the data. The BEST team is taking seriously the more serious critiques and are sorting through them. Progress is being made!
The Media LIED to push their AGW agenda.
The issues regarding climate change have not been sufficiently scrutinized. Errors, misstatements, partial statements, evasions, and lack of cooperation and candor, even ad hominem attacks are used by the proponents of global warming instead. Senators Rockefeller (D-VA) and Snowe (R-ME) called for the suppression of skeptics. Others suggest that Nuremberg Trials be held for them. Science is not conducted that way.
This international global warming lobby is large, organized, heavily funded, and mean. Whatever their the agenda may be, it is not science. Their actions are reminiscent of earlier arrogant powers imprisoning and suppressing Galileo or Giordano Bruno's burning at the stake for the heresy of suggesting that the Earth was not the center of the Universe.
The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a UN organization formed within the United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP). This should sound alarms for those familiar with the politics of some of the power brokers within the UN itself. Many are decidedly anti-capitalist and anti-American. For example, consider the statement of Maurice Strong made at the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro: "Isn't the ONLY hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?"
http://www.grassrootinstitute.org/system/old/GrassrootPerspective/HockeyStickSca- ndal.shtml
The above statements make the IPCC and the UN the Enemy of the United States of America.
And is your link from Curry or a commentator on the site?
PS
It is a link directly from Curry.com
http://judithcurry.com/2011/10/31/best-and-the-implications-for-peer-review/
Something tells me they aren't going to find a smoking hockey stick there either. In spite of all the media rumblings, the land data appears to have held up well.
Canada, the country furthest from meeting its commitment to cut carbon emissions under the Kyoto Protocol, may save as much as $6.7 billion by exiting the global climate change agreement and not paying for offset credits.
The country’s greenhouse-gas emissions are almost a third higher than 1990 levels, and it has a 6 percent CO2 reduction target for the end of 2012. If it couldn’t meet its goal, Canada would have to buy carbon credits, under the rules of the legally binding treaty.
Canada, which has the world’s third-largest proven oil reserves, would be the first of 191 signatories to the Kyoto Protocol to annul its emission-reduction obligations. While Environment Minister Peter Kent declined to confirm Nov. 28 that Canada is preparing to pull out of Kyoto, which may ease the burden for oil-sands producers and coal-burning utilities, he said the government wouldn’t make further commitments to it.
“Canada is the only country in the world saying it won’t honor Kyoto,” said Keith Stewart, an energy and climate policy analyst for Greenpeace in Toronto. Under a previous Liberal government, Canada was one of the first countries to sign Kyoto in 1998. The current Conservative government made a non-binding commitment at 2009 United Nations talks in Copenhagen to reduce emissions by 17 percent by 2020 from 2005 levels, in line with a pledge by the U.S., its biggest trading partner.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-02/canada-may-escape-6-7-billion-bill-by-e- xiting-kyoto-protocol.html
As Ann Barnhardt so eloquently stated (google her videos on YT; they are well worth it) in her news flash to Senator Lindsay Graham (or maybe it was Willard "Mitt" Romney; I can't remember)...
paraphrasing: "...just in case you haven't heard, there's a 9 quadrillion fusion ball out there called the Sun which influences the weather infinitely more than anything man made could..."
BRAVO CANADA!!! Now will any other nation with CAJONES follow their lead on this fraud???
Has anybody bothered to mention to these idiot-crats that carbon dioxide is the plant species oxygen?? Anybody bothered to send them the videos of the milkweed plant that was fed excess amounts of CARBON DIOXIDE side by side with one grown with normal amounts?? The excess carbon fed plant (remember this is a "pollutant" to these pinheads) grew about 35% larger. Hence if there's "too much" carbon dioxide produced, guess what?? The plants and grasses will utilize it?!?
This "Climate Change" fraud, along with Agenda 21 (Google it also for a little leisure reading but have a barf bucket handy) is an elitist attack on humanity plain and simple.
This brings into question how any of the current climate modeling techniques actually work. It is certainly a slap in the face to all the experts who are using climate modeling to assure us that the world will end if we don't give Al Gore and developing nations billions of dollars to staunch the flow of green house gasses.
2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460
I did mention that burning wood at $350 per cord is about 1/3rd the cost of Propane. I just hauled two PU loads of nice Eucalyptus for next year. Needs to dry out and be split.
2013 LX 570 2016 LS 460
Gingrich Kills Chapter on Climate Change in Upcoming Book (National Journal)
In weather news, Mild weather redefines winter landscape (Washington Post)
PS
It is caused by you wanting a polluting iPad.
The mostly warm weather sure is saving on the heating bills around here though and I bet the cities and counties are liking not blowing their budget on plowing. The guys who get through the winter plowing driveways and parking lots must be having trouble making truck payments.
Still early though; the weather service over in Marquette has downgraded the blizzard warning to a winter storm warning, but we could still get a nice dump tomorrow.
One person's blessing is another person's misery. For every action there is a reaction. I have slowed my flow of propane by burning more wood. I did buy some to get real dry wood. BTU wise wood is much cheaper. Now it has warmed up and mid 70s are forecast into the distant future. What is really strange is the over night temps. This time of year we get a lot of 30s over night when it is clear. The last week it has not dropped below 50 at our place. We feel like we are in the sub tropics.
Another unforeseen reaction just came out today concerning recycled paper towels.
AP) MONTREAL - Here's something to keep in mind the next time you reach for a paper towel in a public washroom.
A study by Laval University in Quebec City finds bacteria thrives on the paper products, even unused towels.
And, it says some of those germs could be transferred to you after you've washed your hands.
The study looked at six brands of paper towels, all sold in Canada. It found all six brands had germs, with recycled towels being the most heavily contaminated.
(I'm reading Moyashimon at the moment so you struck a nerve.
A Russian tanker carrying desperately-needed fuel supplies for the far northern Alaskan city of Nome keeps getting stuck in thick ice flows as it crosses the frigid Bering Sea in the dead of winter.
Fortunately, the 370-foot tanker Renda is escorted by a specially-designed Coast Guard ice breaker, the USCGC Healy, whose extra-thick hull is capable of crashing through ice several feet thick.
But that means going is slow. The two ships are covering just five to six nautical miles a day, even though they still have more 300 miles of sea ice to burst through before they can reach Nome.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2083542/Tanker-carrying-supplies-strande- d-Alaskan-village-gets-stuck-ice-flows-crosses-frigid-Bering-Sea.html?ito=feeds-- newsxml
Still can't believe the idiots waited so long to try to get the first barge in - Nome ordered the fuel last May.
Best GW headline in a while:
Is Global Warming A Bipolar Disorder? (Forbes)
I'm jonesing for some real weather - the ~5 inch dump the other day didn't cut it. Went for a snowshoe ranger tromp a while back and everyone walked in their sneakers.
ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) -- Dozens of National Guard troops have arrived to help an Alaska fishing town dig out from massive snows that have collapsed roofs, trapped some people in homes, and triggered avalanches.
Cordova is used to snow, but not like this season's blanketing.
The Guard reported more than 18 feet of snow has fallen in the past weeks, although the National Weather Service did not immediately have a measurement.
"There's nowhere to go with the snow because it's piled up so high," said Wendy Rainney, who owns the Orca Adventure Lodge.
37 years in Alaska and I never got to Cordova. I have friends that have a fishing permit for there. They invited me and I never made it.
My son's job shut down because -15 degree weather in Wasilla. Kind of early for that kind of cold. I am sure most of AK would go for a little of the warming trend.
Alaska is getting all the fun weather this year. Valdez has around 6' on the ground, 18' has fallen. I don't think we've gotten 18 inches.
It's not too late to get there, but you may want to wait until it's salmon berry picking time. Assuming extreme summer weather doesn't hammer them.