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Comments
I've pretty much abandoned my navigator. Just plug into google maps and let the Bluetooth voice guide me.
However, I agree that an internal Navigation system is not a necessity with today's mobile phones with all kinds of GPS apps. The approximate cost of an Nav system is not that expensive - most cars come with a hard drive data storage system which Nav systems also use. It is integrated with the audio system.
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
Either way, it will be interesting to watch!
I always feel like I have to be on "Big Oil" side every time I open this forum, I'm practically in their pocket, even though I don't even own their stocks (except a small position in Ensco, which is down 70 percent from when I bought it). It's just so easy to complain about those guys and their evil cousins, i.e. mythical boogeymen speculators, I try to be a voice of reason here, even though I know I'll get tomatoes thrown at me.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
Here's my question. When there is a shortage, such as when converting to summer grade, or when a refinery closes, oil goes up in price......but, no matter how big the shortage, there is always enough. I understand price based on demand and supply, but, I have never heard of us actually running out or being short (at least not for decades) - so why should the price go higher - does that make much of a difference for demand?
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
I paid $8.88 for a container that is 20% less wt. than two months ago but 30 cents more than two months ago. Amazing how coffee companies get away with a huge cost increase by selling 20% less at the same price!
A dozen eggs cost me $3.69. I don't ever remember paying that much for a dozen eggs. I understand that the price increase is due to the killing of millions of chickens due to this virus that is affecting chickens. That's a 30% increase in price in less than 30 days.
I paid $8.99 for a two-pound hunk of sharp cheddar that I paid $7.69 for a month ago.
Let's hope gas prices continue to drop in price to make up for the huge increases in the cost of food.
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
2020 Acura RDX tech SH-AWD, 2023 Maverick hybrid Lariat luxury package.
I think they'll price their product to try to hit a perfect ratio between production/sell rate (volume) and total revenue. The supply/demand equation works not just at its extremes (shortages), but in the middle, too. Price is too low - you turn away couple of guy, pumps run dry in the afternoon, or a few hours before a refill, at the refinery lines grow, price is too high - some of your guys will idle by the pumps several times a day. Price just right (for you) - you keep everybody busy all day.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2018 430i Gran Coupe
We have the extra oil on the market from the middle east to drive down pricing to put the frackers out of business because they were supplying oil directly to the US and were hurting sales of the old oil sources.
But no matter what goes on in the controlled market, there's always someone standing up for the oil companies.
In no other business will the prices jump in unison from Lower Michigan to Kentucky to the same exact price within less than 24 hours. That would be collusion in any other business.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
@dino001, good comment. My brother inherited some Exxon/Mobil so I figure it's just going from my pocket to his.
Had to buy eggs at a store last week. The neighbor's chickens are on a won't sit-down strike. Can really tell a difference.
Week isn't shaping up good for a visit to the Mazda dealer. Maybe Wednesday....
'24 Chevy Blazer EV 2LT
People are crazy and the vehicle manufacturers bet that way. Indeed as gas goes down truck sales will go up and hybrids will drop. Gas was cheap when I bought the Prius so I got a nice deal. Since when my wife is working (soon back; had an unplanned summer off) she's popping around here and there. The Prius makes a lot of sense and she's very happy with it.
I'm always aware of MPG figures when I buy but they're nowhere near my deciding factor. The 5 I got because of space. When I don't need that it might be CX3 time.
There was very little sympathy to them (as it shouldn't) when they had to consolidate to survive in 90s (Exxon-Mobil, Chevron-Texaco, Conoco-Phillips, BP-Amoco, etc. Many were seriously damaged and looked bankruptcy in the eye. A friend of mine delivered in 90s contracted equipment for Shell to an empty parking lot, because the contract was canceled.
Nobody should feel sympathy to these guys - they are not necessarily "nice" people, as they got hardened by reality of booms and busts. In exchange, we should not make them boogeymen for everything that ills our society, either.
I want cheap gas, too. I want cheap bagels and coffee, yet Dunkin Donuts or Einstein would not lower their price, even though they buy coffee beans for less and spend less on gas to deliver their goods to stores. But we understand it's "business". So is gas.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
Contracted oil prices is another thing that may prevent gas prices from going down at the same pace - many E&P companies hedge their production, i.e. lock in price of their product. Those hedges is one of the reasons why the smaller "unconventional" (read fracking) domestic companies are not yet in bankruptcy, as they have another year or two guaranteed $70-$90 per barrel for their product up to certain volume. This means whoever buys from them will try to pass that further, or take a hit (they won't do it voluntarily). That's another variable, often forgotten by many.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
Oil companies use the FIFO approach regarding inventories. FIRST IN, FIRST OUT. What that means if they purchased crude at $65 a barrel 4 months ago and today the buy crude at $39 a barrel, the $65 a barrel crude is refined and resold as gasoline and other distillates first which had the higher cost. When they begin to refine crude that cost $39 a barrel, the prices of the by-product will fall.
I believe the oil companies can go to the LIFO inventory calculation (LAST IN, FIRST OUT) only once if I remember my Accounting 101 info correctly. They are not permitted to change inventory costs at will.
But the price of the distillates of crude is also controlled by speculators.
It is not as simple as we would like it to be to determine gasoline costs.
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
That says nothing that addresses the outright lies the oil companies have foisted on the public over the decades. They cry the blues until oil hits $4 gal, then all is right with the world. Their pricing does not adhere to any way, shape or form to modern economic principles. Fact is, they do practice collusion. They get away with it by paying for politicians.
In no way do I feel sorry for them.
I linked a report several days ago outlining fracking costs as making money at $30/bbl.
I dumped any investments I had in oil companies right after the craziness in 2008 when it was clear the only place for oil prices to go was down (I didn't believe for an instant oil would hit $200/bbl).
I would think this correction is long overdue. Fed is still planning to raise interest rates (250 basis points is the guess) in 30-60 days. It really won't hurt much and retirees with IRA's and CD's might see a slight increase on the return when they renew their terms on their investments.
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
Do you really thing you'd see some of them having stock prices going 90%+ down from their highs if they were making money at $30/barrel? You can't have it both ways - if this is all vast multi-year conspiracy, as you have continuously proclaimed for last five years and they are all making such enormous amounts of money, the sector should not sit at current lows and the stocks should not price in bankruptcies of some of those guys.
Of course they all want gas for $4/gallon. They got it for a while and then it stopped. It wasn't a conspiracy, it was a combination of objective and subjective factors, with multiple players playing to the same direction. Then it all turned. Long speculators got crushed, short speculators are getting rich. Then it will overshoot, bunch of those operations will get closed (some already have been) and the oil will get back up, which for you invariably will be another proof of ever-reaching conspiracy.
Unlike you I simply don't have knowledge what "correct price" for oil and gasoline is. One that can sustain current supply and not crush the demand. I only hear that somewhere between $50 and $70 was the range, where many of those levered guys barely made a buck six months ago (but many still have hedges at $70-90 until some time next year), but those with healthy finances will do OK - not "great", but they'll live alright. The levered guys will go away, or get bought for pennies. The $50 breakeven is moving down, partly due to lower competition for things like sand and water, partly due to maturing technologies. So perhaps it's $45 today, or maybe $40. Saudis make money on much less, $15 or so, but their budget (social programs) has expiration date, if current prices persist. They are overpumping because they want to wipe out the US guys and stick it to Russia for not cooperating in 2009 crash (they was the reason why oil went to $30 then). They can do it for couple of years. May be enough to wipe out shale guys, may not. Then we will see.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2024 Genesis G90 Super-Charger
Exactly. Everything's on sale at the moment. Even though my 401(k) balance has dropped over 10% in the past week or two.
Fortunately I've got a few years before I need it. Starting to reallocate the assets to lower the risk.
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2015 Subaru Outback 3.6R / 2024 Kia Sportage Hybrid SX Prestige
Let me put it in this way. Do you believe that in next 10-20 years the market will go up or down from this point? If it is up, then it's time to shift money to more risky assets, not less. The best thing is do nothing, just increase the contribution, if you can.
2018 430i Gran Coupe
2018 430i Gran Coupe
Fortunately I've got a few years before I need it. Starting to reallocate the assets to lower the risk.
And this too shall pass.
The sun will come up tomorrow,
We have been here before.
Look at the glass as half full.
Don't you hate overly optimistic people?
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
Just checked out a book from the library that will inform me on how to maximize my (and my wife's) Social Security. Even though that's 15-20 years from now, it never hurts to be prepared.
Gotta remember to make notes.
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2015 Subaru Outback 3.6R / 2024 Kia Sportage Hybrid SX Prestige
blockquote>
Perfectly stated: When the big crash came in 2008 I wanted to get $100k on my line of credit and invest it. I just couldn't do it, but I would have more than doubled my investment, in 7 years!
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
2018 430i Gran Coupe
List this among my nuttier ideas but wouldn't this make a good beginning of a Lincoln Ranchero? Wonder what it would take?
http://albany.craigslist.org/cto/5153462971.html
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible
I ran into an old school friend who became an investment councillor. I said with all your knowledge you must be doing well in the stock market.
He said we have a saying at work...we manage money for the wealthy, and we take a bus to work.
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible
'11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S
Add into that some other factors: Lots of people are afraid China may not do anything to shore up their market and there may be yet another big down night for China tonight, so those folk folks didn't want to end today in the market and closing was down more than it should have been. Also, margin calls have been going out and people have had to sell stocks including many they didn't want to sell to raise funds, so the market has gone down more than it should have. Looks like a better day tomorrow, followed by a few days of remorse and selling.
When more doom and gloomers are on the channels, start looking for purchases.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
Perfectly stated: When the big crash came in 2008 I wanted to get $100k on my line of credit and invest it. I just couldn't do it, but I would have more than doubled my investment, in 7 years!
I usually reinvest my dividends but I was going to start using them to pay off the Mustang note. Now if I reinvest I'll be buying at a much lower price. I'm looking for another source of car payment money now. Can't afford not to buy low.
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible
2017 Cadillac ATS Performance Premium 3.6
"And it has 4 doors...not sure where they sit in the rear.
Now that would be a classy way to take your produce to market."
Yeah, just build a plywood box on top to class it up.
I imagine those rear doors are welded shut to maintain rigidity with that rear roof section removed. I assume this is either a factory retrofit or done by a specialty shop that builds for the funeral industry. The ad says it has a stainless steel bed. I wonder if it's removeable and what's underneath.
That's the trouble when you watch Fast & Loud while looking at CL ads.
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible