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General Motors discussions

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  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    Looks like GM is allowing a gas guzzler to be built! But again if you can pay $100,000 for it you probably can afford the fine.

    GM hasn't run its fuel economy test yet, but in a previous release from the General, it expects the ZR1 to be the most fuel-efficient 600-hp vehicle on the market. Juechter did say that the ZR1, "will be somewhat less [fuel-efficient] than a Z06," which is currently rated at 15/24 by the EPA, "and we expect a small gas-guzzler tax [on the ZR1]." Production will be limited to 2,000 units each year for worldwide consumption and pricing will be revealed sometime this month.
  • obyoneobyone Member Posts: 7,841
    Check this out. Couldn't find any better proof of the vette's ability to save someone's life.

    Corvette crash
  • m1miatam1miata Member Posts: 4,551
    The first C4 Corvette, I do believe was the last crash test, and did well. It was a 4 star, and did not have an air bag. And to answer the question of a smaller car being safe, all I can say is that it should be. The BMWZ3, SLK have a good safety record, with a low death rate. The Older Miata has a lower death rate than many other cars. A lighter, and more agile Corvette would be a kick to drive.
    -Loren
  • m1miatam1miata Member Posts: 4,551
    Too bad the Camaro is not lighter & smaller. Just make it more like the original, or smaller and lighter, with the same look. We do not need chin high doors on cars. If the width is the same or more than a large truck or a Crown Vic, who wants to try to drive that car on narrow streets, then try to park it in an ever more narrow parking slot? A Camaro which looks close to the show car, with a lower belt line, and scaled down in size, with a GM 3.6 V6 in it would be great. Yea, I know, give the power hungry, bragging of power guys their Vette engine too. But for the masses, make some well balanced, great handling, V6 models with 32 MPG as the targeted MPG ( which the EPA now calls 29 or 30MPG ). :shades:
  • fezofezo Member Posts: 10,386
    Great wipers, too.
    2015 Mazda 6 Grand Touring, 2014 Mazda 3 Sport Hatchback, 1999 Mazda Miata 2004 Toyota Camry LE, 1999.
  • 210delray210delray Member Posts: 4,721
    Saved his life, my foot! He was completely ejected from the car (not wearing belts I'm sure) and was lucky he landed on the sand and brush, not splattered on the rear end of the tractor trailer he hit!
  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    He was not wearing his seatbelt. But if you look at the last picture the car was in remarkable shape for hitting a semi at over 150 mph. Of course the semi was going at least 60 mph so the delta was really only 90 mph!!!!!
  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    The Dearborn automaker told them it would discuss the fate of Mercury at a dealer meeting that was then planned for April in Las Vegas. Company sources say no such commitment was made.

    Either way, Ford canceled that meeting. The company is now planning a September meeting in Detroit -- a meeting dealers hope will provide a definitive answer to their question.

    If Ford says that Mercury will not be killed, dealers want to see the products to back that up. The problem is that other than a hybrid version of the Milan and a freshening of the conventional model due out late this year, there are none. On the other hand, if Ford admits that Mercury is dead, it would deal another blow to the brand's sales and invite lawsuits from dealers.

    "It's clear that there is no new product for Mercury," said analyst Jim Hossack of AutoPacific in Los Angeles. "The plan is not to kill Mercury. The plan is to let it die."
    The difference is significant, he said.

    In 2000, General Motors Corp. unveiled a plan to phase out its Oldsmobile brand over four years and spent about $1 billion paying off dealers and suppliers as a result. But Chrysler LLC, which simply stopped producing Plymouths after it merged with Germany's Daimler AG, managed to avoid much of that cost, Hossack said.

    When Mark Fields took over as head of Ford's North American operations in 2005, a review of Mercury's viability was at the top of his agenda. At the time, Ford concluded that the cost of eliminating Mercury exceeded the cost of keeping it, given that the rebadged Fords being sold as Mercurys required little in the way of re-engineering.

    Dealers say Ford already is cutting back, particularly when it comes to advertising. And many dispute the idea they can survive as stand-alone Lincoln stores.

    Several, like Dave Knittel, general manager of Charlotte County Lincoln Mercury in Florida, say Mercury sales still account for more than half their overall sales volume. He thinks Ford is trying to force Ford and Lincoln Mercury dealers to consolidate.
    "It's planned obsolescence for us," he said.
  • andre1969andre1969 Member Posts: 26,023
    But if you look at the last picture the car was in remarkable shape for hitting a semi at over 150 mph. Of course the semi was going at least 60 mph so the delta was really only 90 mph!!!!!

    But do you think he was really going 150 mph when he slid sideways into the back of that rig? It's hard to tell from the video, but it looks to me like he whacked it maybe only doing 20-30 mph faster than the truck. Still, that fool's lucky to be alive!
  • obyoneobyone Member Posts: 7,841
    The police cruisers were right behind him. Do you think those cars could do 150?
  • andre1969andre1969 Member Posts: 26,023
    I dunno about 150, but they might be able to do 130-140 nowadays. I had a 1989 Gran Fury ex-police car that could hit 125. And that was with just a 175 hp 318-4bbl, 3-speed automatic, 2.94 gearing, and relatively brick-like aerodynamics.

    I just looked up some tests the Michigan State police did for 2008. Results are as follows:
    2008 Crown Vic 4.6, 3.27 axle: 129 mph
    2008 Crown Vic 4.6, 3.55 axle: 120 mph
    2008 Chevy Impala 3.9 V-6 (dunno what axle ratio): 142 mph
    2008 Dodge Charger 5.7 Hemi: 148 mph
    2008 Dodge Charger 3.5 V-6: 132 mph

    And finally, (this is kinda scary, for something this size)...

    2008 Chevy Tahoe, (engine not specified, but I'm guessing the 5.3 because it can run on E85): 127 mph!

    It was Crown Vics chasing that Corvette, right?
  • xrunner2xrunner2 Member Posts: 3,062
    Check this out. Couldn't find any better proof of the vette's ability to save someone's life.

    That's no proof.

    How would 08 vette handle a head-on with a Lucerne, or a Malibu, or another vette?
    With ordinary car, and metal fenders and front end, there is a crush zone to absorb part of crash. Isn't vette body all fiberglass? Wouldn't that just break up and disintegrate? Would be interesting to see video from IIHS doing an offset head-on with dummies in vette. Unless vette had a cocoon tub like used in IRL Indy cars, driver and passenger perhaps exposed to significant intrusions and injuries.
  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    Unless vette had a cocoon tub like used in IRL Indy cars

    maybe not a tub but they have a full metal rail structure.
  • obyoneobyone Member Posts: 7,841
    The reporter stated that the chase occured at speeds up to 165 mph. If the vette was doing anywhere near that speed you wouldn't see the police cruiser in the same video, same scene as the vette. Perhaps one ridge behind but certainly not 50 feet as shown in the video. I suspect the reporter exaggerated while reporting what inquiring minds wanted to know.
  • gsemikegsemike Member Posts: 2,412
    That's a shame
  • Karen_SKaren_S Member Posts: 5,092
  • 62vetteefp62vetteefp Member Posts: 6,043
    GM is trying to buy the company.

    DETROIT -- General Motors is nearing a deal to buy Cobasys LLC, the troubled supplier that makes batteries for the automaker's mild hybrid vehicles, three sources have told Automotive News.
    Problems at Cobasys, of suburban Detroit, hurt production of Saturn Vue and Aura mild hybrids and led to a recall late last year that affected 9,000 vehicles.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Any company that has UAW contracts in place will have a difficult time doing anything with Chrysler. Not knowing what Cerberus had in mind when they bought them it is hard to say. Maybe they just wanted the lending company. Now that business is in shambles. What does Chrysler have other than a decent diesel PU truck and Jeep to offer? I would say selling Jeep and all the real property when the market turns is the only chance to recoup investment.
  • maxx4memaxx4me Member Posts: 1,340
    GM North America Division needs to re-evaluate their customer support. I am the owner of two GM vehicles, a Pontiac Vibe and Chevy Malibu Maxx. GM provided me with a $4000 loyalty bonus check four years ago to get me into my 2004 Malibu Maxx. In July of 2008, my local Chevy dealer in Alexandria, Virginia informed me that my axle seals were "seeping" and that both front struts were leaking. I found this a bit odd, in that I change my own oil, and religiously check my tires for foreign objects, yet did not notice any symptoms nor fluid discharge. I also had my driver's side strut replaced once before. Nonetheless, as a GMPP holder, I agreed to have the dealer do the repairs, and made an appointment for a few days later. Since I normally do not trust anyone with my car and always follow up with a visual inspection of my car after a repair, I popped open the hood when I got home, only to notice that my battery cover had not been properly replaced and my air filter (which my dealer told me needed replacing) was sitting on top of my engine. Not a big deal..... I simply replaced them. After the struts and axle seals were replaced by the dealer, I did a visual inspection again, only to find that the black plastic apron underneath had not been put back properly and half of the plastic push pins were still sticking out. Knowing that many of these pins would have to be replaced, I drove the car back into the dealer to have it properly put on. The mechanic apologized and took responsibility for not puting it back on properly. Two weeks after the repair, I drove from Alexandria, up to NYC to visit my brother (5 hour drive). After exiting off of the George Washington Bridge onto Riverside Drive, my driver's side axle snapped off, causing me to skid for over 30 yards. I hit no one and did not side swipe any of the cars on Riverside Drive. After calling Chevy Roadside Assistance, they made me wait 3 hours in the hot afternoon sun in the middle of Harlem for a tow. The local people saw and heard my skid and came to my assistance, bringing me water and food, and even helped to divert traffic so my car would not get plowed into while I waited for a tow. After being towed to the local Harlem dealership (who was outstanding) the Service Manager there stated that the Alexandria dealership did not put the axle bolts back properly and did a shoddy repair. Bottom line: if that axle decided to snap off while I was on I-95 or the GW Bridge, I would have been killed. I took the train home to DC and demanded that the dealer go up and get my car (since I am not their crash test dummy). The dealer did go up to NYC and drive my car back to DC. After filing a complaint with Chevy, my case was passed all the way up to the GM Regional Area Manager (RAM). What I asked of GM as a loyal customer was very basic: demand that the Alexandria dealer buy back my Malibu Maxx (in outstanding condition with only 50,000 miles) at a fair market price where they could still make a profit, and GM provide me assistance in getting into a new GM vehicle. Given that I was too afraid to drive the Malibu after an episode like that, I wanted to move on as quickly as possible. Instead, here is what has transpired since the accident:
    1. the local dealer lowballed me on the trade in value ($8,000, when the car is blue booked at $10,000)
    2. after weeks of deliberating, GM offered me only $1,500 as a loyalty bonus, and improperly dated the check so that it was already expired before it arrived. I now have been waiting over 4 weeks for a new check to be sent. I have made over 40 phone calls to the RAM in Detroit, who refuses to keep scheduled teleconferences, nor return my or my dealer's phone calls.
    3. I have already ordered a new Pontiac Vibe from another local dealer. It should arrive next week, yet my loyalty check is no where to be found.

    Is this how GM treats all its customers? While it is not too late to hire a lawyer, I tried my best to give GM the opportunity to do the right thing. A misdated $1,500 check and no support to get the local Chevy dealer to do the right thing does not seem like good business sense to me. GM: my new Pontiac Vibe will be delivered in about 7 days. You still have time to do the right thing! Jim -Alexandria, VA
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    go with another GM vehicle when your last one, and the company that made it, have given you such trouble? Are you locked into the new Vibe purchase, or can you back out of it?

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • sls002sls002 Member Posts: 2,788
    1. the local dealer is not owned by GM, so their treatment of you is their own.
    2. the $1500 check is GM's problem

    The dealer that did the work on your Malibu clearly made some mistakes. I certainly would not want to deal with them again. I assume that the mis-dated check was sent back :confuse: - if sent back, did you send it to the right place :confuse:
  • maxx4memaxx4me Member Posts: 1,340
    After getting the check to me in only 4 days (albeit with the wrong date), they cancelled it over the phone. It has now been over 4 weeks and something as simple as giving my dealer the file number so GM doesn't have to waste money sending snail mail, seems foreign to them. I am not locked into getting the Vibe or any other GM product. Given that I am losing over 6 years of ownership due to my lack of faith in their "repair" job, I am trying to get the best hatchback replacement possible at the best price possible. With GMS running right now, that appears to be the Vibe.
  • sls002sls002 Member Posts: 2,788
    Try to understand that the poor repair job was the dealers fault, not GM's. Your "new" dealer should be able to get the loyalty credit over the phone too if GM really wants to do that.

    Back in late 1990, Buick advertised a rebate on the 1991 Reatta. The problem was that the 91 Reatta was not in production at that point in time. They were waiting to get as many orders as possible (about 2000 in the end) before building any. My dealer had ordered one as a demo, then sold it to someone, who gave up waiting for it, and I said if I could get all of the incentives I would buy when it finally came. My dealer got Buick to agree over the phone, there was nothing in writing. It all worked out.

    Another point: My 2002 Seville had a solenoid fail in the transmission. My Chevy-Cadillac dealer "fixed" it, but as I was driving it home the transmission shifts were clearly not quite right at times. I went back and they checked it out and found that they (the dealer, not GM) had put the wrong gasket in.
  • nwngnwng Member Posts: 663
    ambulance chasers would've gotten you much more than a new vibe, after their cut of course.
  • maxx4memaxx4me Member Posts: 1,340
    no, that is probably very true. Nevertheless, I do not think I was being unreasonable by asking the dealer to buy the car back at fair market value (so they can make a profit) given the fact that the car is in superior shape, low miles, and in their view "fixed" again with a new axle. I think it is shameful that they would treat me the way they have, knowing they have taken away my faith in this car, knowing I will not tempt fate again, and knowing I will never put my family in the car again. If they say it is fixed, buy it and make a profit off of it. And while it is true that GM seems to have no affiliation with their dealers, I find it hard to believe that my loyalty is not worth anything to them, and that they wouldn't even call the dealer to "prod them" to do the right thing. Perhaps this is why people sue: they feel that no one is on their side to represent the little guy. For me, I could not have scripted a bigger nightmare over these two months. Had I known more about axle seals, I would never have agreed to the repair, and I would still own a great Malibu Maxx for many more years to come. I think the fact that my Pontiac dealer has tried over 2 dozen times to reach the Regional Area Manager (RAM) in Detroit illustrates a serious problem with GM's Customer Service. Her inbox is now full and is not taking any more calls. In reality, it doesn't matter whether she is there or not; during this ordeal, she never returned my phone calls. Someone at GM needs to find that RAM a new job. I know GM is hurting financially, but their treatment of me has been totally unprofessional and is causing them much business as people learn of my story.
  • wesleygwesleyg Member Posts: 164
    I followed your story with interest since I have had similar experiences. I have purchased/leased 37 new GM cars and trucks since 1965. In 1983, got a new Caprice wagon for the family (kids etc.), it had 7 miles on it when I hit the street, ran great for 2 miles, the transmission then fell out on the street, not broke, fell out on the street.

    Now that one I went insane on GM, the dealer could not have known or been responsible for this. Next example, got a new 1977 Corvette, at about 4300 miles engine starts smoking. Take to my dealer, they replace the upper engine, I hit the street again and after 26 miles, the entire engine seizes up and locks dead bang. Now GM admittedly didn't make a great engine for the original problem, but the dealer really screwed up in the totally improper repair, so that one I made the dealer make it up me.

    I respectfully submit that your problem seems to lie with a lousy dealer, not GM although your problem with GM Customer Service would send me off the wall with their seemingly total lack of caring in their Customer Service. I hope the situation ends well for you.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    From today's New York Times...

    "DETROIT — General Motors is in preliminary talks about a possible merger with Chrysler, a deal that could drastically remake the landscape of the auto industry..."
  • dtownfbdtownfb Member Posts: 2,918
    I understand GM want to get rid of GMAC and Cerebus has had enough of the car business but what will GM do with Chrysler? I also understand talks have stalled because of the economic crisis...and GM stocks is at its lowest since 1950.
  • jchan2jchan2 Member Posts: 4,956
    the point for GM to marry Chrysler-- if Chrysler had anything worth getting into, Daimler would have stuck around. The combined GM/Chrysler would simply have 3 extra brands, more under-utilized assembly plants, more dealerships, legacy costs, and more unsold cars to dump on rental fleets.

    The only plausible reason for this is that amidst the credit crunch, GM is desperate to get their hands on Chrysler's cash. But is taking on all the headaches worth the cash that is sitting around there? Or does GM really want to get out of vehicle and mortgage financing so desperately they'll take on Chrysler?

    GM has little if not nothing to gain; Chrysler, however, has everything to gain; they get access to GM's alternative fuel technology, GM's platforms, and GM's engineers.

    GM's best interest is to get as far away from Chrysler as they can; they can't be distracted by another 3 distressed brands.

    The only way this would work is if there were massive overhead savings, and Chrysler and Dodge could be closed relatively painlessly and cheaply. Of the 3 brands, the only one probably worth saving is Jeep.
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    Alternately, it's typical GM management desperation. "Damned the expenses, full speed ahead". They get whatever assets C has and their part of the "Bailout" cash.

    Later, they bleed twice as fast!

    My money is it will not happen.

    Regards,
    OW
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    I think Chrysler would be more valuable to a company without a U.S. presence, such as Renault or Peugeot-Citroen, or even Fiat, than to GM, for the reasons stated in previous messages.
  • euphoniumeuphonium Member Posts: 3,425
    Better to MERGE than be bailed by my (tax) MONEY. :mad:
  • jchan2jchan2 Member Posts: 4,956
    But I think any foreign company that does their due diligence will realize that Chrysler needs to be seriously overhauled before it has any hope of profitability. Cerberus probably didn't know the can of worms they were buying when they purchased Chrysler.

    The only reason I could see a foreign automaker buying Chrysler is to get access to US factories and the dealer network, which could still use some trimming down.

    In the event of a buyout, will the UAW contracts transfer to the new owners, or must both parties start a new round of negotiations?
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    From what I'm reading, the merger talks have gained cosiderable traction. I don't think it makes much sense.
  • grbeckgrbeck Member Posts: 2,358
    From what I've read, there are three main motivations.

    One, GM wants that $11 billion cash pile that Chrysler has amassed (primarily from not investing in the business). GM is burning cash at a frightful rate - if it keeps this up, it will be bankrupt within 12-18 months.

    Second, GM can claim that a merged company is "too big to fail," which makes it more likely to gain access to government largesse, especially if Senator Obama wins in November.

    Three, GM doesn't want a competitor (read - the Chinese or the Indians) to gain Chrysler's engineering and styling staff, factories and dealer network, as the U.S. market is already plagued by overcapacity.

    This will probably end up like the Studebaker and Packard merger. Studebaker was essentially bankrupt by early 1954, so it merged with Packard, sucked up what cash it had, eventually closed down its factories and headquarters, and staggered on for another decade in the American market.

    Look for GM to give Chrysler and Dodge rebadged versions of GM cars and trucks, give Chevrolet a rebadged Chrysler minivan, slowly whittle away dealers, and close down as many factories as it can get away with under the Obama Administration. (I wouldn't be surprised if his administration uses our tax dollars to buy out UAW workers or provide for their retirement. Since the UAW supported him, it is more likely to accept strong medicine from his administration. He can sell it as, "GM has to close down these factories and get these workers off its payroll if it wants to survive. At least my administration will do X, Y, and Z to ensure that they aren't thrown completely out on the street. This is the best deal that your union workers are going to get.")

    The big winner? Ford, which will keep working to bring out new designs (Fiesta, redesigned Taurus and Explorer, next-generation Focus, unibody Explorer) that people actually want to buy, instead of focusing on how to merge two sick companies.

    Since there remains a strong contingent of diehard "buy American" types, if they they want a more modern, up-to-date vehicle from an American company, they will increasingly have to turn to Ford. Chrysler is basically dead at this point (remember that Cerberus hasn't been investing in the business), while GM is almost bankrupt and will likely be distracted with the nightmare logistics of this merger.
  • hpmctorquehpmctorque Member Posts: 4,600
    These merger talks are probably bonafide, but for Cerberus I think they also serve to send the message to other potentially interested parties that, "if you're interested in a deal of any sort with Chrysler, you had better make those intentions known before it's too late." In other words, the GM-Chrysler merger talks could serve as a catalyst for increasing Chrysler's value, by prompting other companies to compete with GM for control of Chrysler.
  • jae5jae5 Member Posts: 1,206
    My thoughts, if this crazy merger takes place:

    RWD platforms / vehicles:
    With the 300/Charger/Challenger would there be a need for a G8?
    How does Challenger fare against Camaro and an upcoming Pontiac Coupe?
    How would this regulate the FWD models, would there still be a need for a Buick?
    Corvette - Viper? SRT - SS?

    Minivans:
    Agreed, this would finally give GM a proper minivan, though I did like the Astro

    Trucks:
    Keep the Ram. I think this would help the case, maybe hurt, in that the Ram does offer a full-range right now, from everyday work truck up to fully-loaded luxo-barge. How would this pair with the Chevy and the GMC, Cummins diesel and the Duramax? And if the full-range is kept, which vehicle(s) go, Chevy or GMC and / or which options? Same with the SUVs.
    What about the Sprinter, do they keep this seeing as though GM is pretty much out of the Class 4 and up trucks.
    And with Dakota, GM can finally put the awful Colorado/Canyon to bed.

    Jeep:
    This can slide right into Hummer's spot, with controlled cost and a broader, gas-friendly appeal.

    Saturn:
    Maybe this can take the place of the Sebring & the other mid-sizers from Dodge and Chrysler. So you gain those potential buyers. Or leave these to fleet sales.

    But on the other hand
    Would merging really make a difference in their futures, making for one strong company or accelerating their downfall? Consolidations hardly ever go smoothly - who goes in terms of personnel, locations, manufacturing, product. Then there's the integration of systems, ideals, personnel and the like.

    With a pairing up, what of consumers who wouldn't buy a GM product or a product from anyone tied to GM, and vice versa? A coming together doesn't guarantee increased sales and savings.

    What would this actually be, another supposed "merger of equals" or an actual one buys the other?

    Cerberus just wants GMAC - how does this play into things?

    Maybe Chery would be a better fit?

    Just some thoughts.
  • jae5jae5 Member Posts: 1,206
    Wow, such disdain for Obama. Hope I'm not stirring the pot but what would McCain the Maverick do in this situation - rhetorical but you can answer if you like (sorry host, not trying to turn this into a political discussion in any means)

    I do agree that GM is looking at that short money, considering their $1B/month burn rate. And if this stays pat, they would suck Chrysler dry in less than a year, add in the $5B they hope to raise through financing and your looking at 1.5 years roughly, or 2010. And it is 2010 they believe the skies will clear and everything will be peaches and cream. I'm thinking rotten tomatoes. :sick:

    May I ask how Ford can be a winner when it's barely hanging on by a thread? The Cerberus deal to get Chrysler was about as dumb as Kerkorian buying those millions of shares of Ford using his casino holdings to back the bet. And with Ford seriously thinking of shopping Mazda (which is host to most of Ford's platforms) and Volvo...

    I thought about picking up Ford stock for a short bet but it's not really worth it.
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    Obama or McCain will not rescue the economy. Either will go along for the ride. Do you think any of them really knows the derivatives market and international banking nuances? Let alone the correct procedures to implement health care reform, a cohesive energy plan and business creation.

    Their administrations will be the devil in the details that will represent the decisions going forward, not these guys.

    This GM/C deal will melt away sales and put the merged company at approximately 20% market share if they are lucky. Toyota, et al, will eat them for lunch.

    Take a look.

    Toyota Motor Corp.'s China car sales beat General Motors Corp.'s in the first nine months of the year, as the Japanese company threatens to end GM's 77-year reign as the world's largest automaker.

    GM's loss of market share in China, where it has ranked second among overseas carmakers for a decade, along with slumping U.S. demand may cost it the global sales crown. Last year, it beat Toyota by 3,100 vehicles worldwide.

    Global Leader

    Regards,
    OW
  • duke23duke23 Member Posts: 488
    dtownfb wrote :
    "I understand GM want to get rid of GMAC and Cerebus has had enough of the car business but what will GM do with Chrysler? I also understand talks have stalled because of the economic crisis...and GM stocks is at its lowest since 1950. "

    Just for clarification, post on dtown ! GM does not want to get rid of the 50% of GMAC they own. That is the sticking point as much as the tight credit conditions.Cerebus wants to purchase the 50% they don't own and GM is holding fast. GMAC is pretty much where GM is earning any profit. Otherwise they have been described as a health care benefits company that as a sideline also manufactures automobiles. Latest word is that Cerebus has been in discussions with Nissan . GM wants Cerebus to close all plants and just keep the brand names. Kerkorian has thrown in the towel on Ford and Tracinda has sold all it's shares.
    Tough times in motown indeed.
  • duke23duke23 Member Posts: 488
    cirlew wrote:
    " This GM/C deal will melt away sales and put the merged company at approximately 20% market share if they are lucky. Toyota, et al, will eat them for lunch. "

    You may be ultimately right but from what I've been reading a GM, C merger would give them 36% of US sales and qualification of too big to fail status. This is their last shot and they better get it right. I do not argue the rest of your theory regarding international but if they excel at fuel efficient vehicles they might survive post this recession. But to gain access to the $25 billion, they have to of course survive.
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    So, you think 36% market share is attainable? No brands go away? I highly doubt they keep 20% max.

    regards,
    OW
  • jae5jae5 Member Posts: 1,206
    OW,

    Agreed. Heck, simple arithmetic is too much for these guys and their administrations, as well as the current crop of crooks!! But all like the "too big to fail" scenario this could make.

    Anyway, this GM/C tie-up, deal, merger whatever you want to call it is bad all around. Just from the obvious overlaps in product, dealers, personnel shows this would fail.

    Glad you posted that article. What's funny (sad maybe) is that GM and the media are always touting how they are soooo strong - in China. What they never post is how they are failing everywhere else, and now in China too. They are just too short-sighted and one-minded. They go from one thing to the next, like with when the blinders were put on for the SUV-Truck-Monster Truck (Hummer) phase, then the China is our savior phase.
  • dtownfbdtownfb Member Posts: 2,918
    When I wrote that post I wasn't clear on the whole GMAC thing. Thanks for pointing that out.

    This merger does not make sense for GM. Other than Jeep and the minivans, there are no Chrysler vehicles that are better than what GM already offers. You can argue against the minivans since the market for these vehicles has dropped dramatically over the past decade. Are they that desperate for cash to pull the trigger on this deal? Also Cerebus would have a hard time justifying closing plants since they are sitting on $11 billion dollars. The UAW would crucify them at the buyout bargaining table (and should). I just don't think GM can successfully manage this transition. It will burn up the money they get from the deal. GM management already screwed up the Oldsmobile shut down and ruined Saturn. History is not on their side.

    I read this morning about Renault (Nissan) being interested in a piece of Chrysler. this makes more sense than GM since they already have a partnership and Renault has cash reserves.

    Not sure what to make of Ford. They had been strangely quiet up until Kerkorian sold his shares. Big loss for Ford. Two directors also resigned recently. Now Mazda is on the selling blocks and Ford is getting some nibbles in Japan. If Ford can sell Mazda and Volvo, they may have shot at making it. Their recent products are doing well (Fusion, Focus, Flex, etc.). I was pleasantly surprised with the Focus I rented last week. The only negative was the very small back seat. No one over 5 could have sat behind me whereas the Civic & Elantra a smaller adult could.

    Here's the scary part. Analysts are saying that even with the horrible sales this year, Toyota is now projecting 8.5 million sales worldwide (down from project 8.85 mil) and a profit between $10 - $12 billion dollars (not sure if this is net or gross).

    The US auto industry is in some serious doo doo.
  • grbeckgrbeck Member Posts: 2,358
    I was trying to imagine the scenario if Obama is president and has to deal with a merged GM and Chrysler on the verge of collapse. My view is based on the "only Nixon can go to China" line of thinking. The UAW will be more likely to accept harsh medicine from an Obama Administration as opposed to a McCain administration, as the union has been supporting Obama throughout the campaign.

    Any disdain expressed in that post would be more towards UAW leadership than a President Obama. Perhaps I should have made that clearer.

    UAW leadership would realize that any deal offered by his administration is likely the best one available, so they would grudgingly accept it.

    They may not like it, but they would accept it, whereas they would probably go ballistic if a McCain administration offered the exact same terms. Why? Because the UAW would believe that McCain is out to stick it to the union. Much as conservative anti-communists were willing to trust Nixon and Reagan when they negotiated with the Soviets or Chinese, but were automatically distrustful when whenever the Carter Administration met with them, regardless of the result.

    Ford wins by having an actual plan for recovery (bring over European Focus and Fiesta for small-car buyers; revamp Fusion and Mustang for 2010; completely restyle Taurus to address car's main shortcoming, its deadly dull styling; and replace current Explorer with lighter, more efficient unibody model). The most important of these models are scheduled to appear within 12-18 months. Plus, Ford's cash position is better - it nailed down lines of credit BEFORE the current credit implosion. A big part of GM's problem is that it failed to do this, and now can't get financing.

    Ford has also done a better job of cutting costs, and its relations with the UAW are much better than the union's relations with GM. Ford had competitive operating agreements with most of its UAW locals prior to the most recent contract. GM was way behind in this area.

    And Ford's new leadership is working to change the corporate culture, which is the real problem dragging down these companies. The Detroit mindset is killing them. This is where GM has really failed.

    This doesn't mean that Ford will survive. It just means that Ford actually has the best shot. Think about it - if this merger happens, for the next 1-2 years, GM will be working to absorb Chrysler. Ford meanwhile, will be rolling out the Fiesta, revamped Fusion and Mustang and completely restyled Taurus. Which is more likely to bring buyers into the showroom, even in a depressed auto market?
  • jae5jae5 Member Posts: 1,206
    Understood.

    My worry with Ford is that they may not be around in current form for the 2010 model year. It's almost similar to the GM-mantra of "Just wait until you see what we got coming up next..." Unfortunately anything can happen in the next 12 - 18 months, and with KK pulling out the millions of shares the other day, and verbally saying he would most likely pull the rest, that's not good for Ford. Many backed Ford based on KK having those shares and the "vested" interest. But with this move, Ford strongly thinking of putting its interest in Mazda up (which underpins many of their F/L/M cars / CUVs), many may not want to purchase a FOMOCO product. I don't see how a GM & Chrysler hook up would positive effect Ford staying around as it's not like GM nor Chrysler are going to shut the doors and leave the market to Ford for a few years. Plus there will still be other makes introducing new or updated products in this time frame as well.

    Agreed if GM & Chrysler merge up that their not going to have shared product right away and expect nothing coming of the deal for at least 3 years as they will be dealing with the consolidation and house cleaning. And as I stated earlier, with Ford on the ropes and this GM / Chrysler fiasco, those few that are in the market for a vehicle may be going to the Nissan, Toyota, Honda, Hyundai.

    And GM may not be able to continue to bet on China:
    China Not So Cheap Anymore
  • jchan2jchan2 Member Posts: 4,956
    That Ford has the best shot at surviving; even without Kirk, because they have their Mazda and Volvo assets, which I think they shouldn't sell- Ford is really benefiting from the Mazda small/midsize expertise, the Volvo safety expertise, and if Ford can afford it, I think both should be kept as they allow Ford to attract buyers who may not consider a Ford, Lincoln, or Mercury product.

    Ford can cut some costs by closing Mercury, reducing themselves to 4 divisions: Ford (mass market), Lincoln (premium/fleets), Volvo (premium), and Mazda (sporty/imports). I think Ford could even safely close Lincoln, leaving Ford once again with three brands- Ford, Mazda, Volvo.

    GM and Chrysler are another case altogether; while Ford is almost on track, especially after the sale of Jaguar/Land Rover, the combined company would have too many divisions; I think the resulting GM/Chrysler should be:
    Chevrolet (mass market), Pontiac/Buick/Jeep (sporty/premium/SUV), Cadillac (luxury), Saturn, and Saab. GMC, Dodge, and Chrysler should simply be closed. The only thing worth salvaging would be the Jeep models (excluding the Compass) and the minivans, which could be rebadged as a Chevy (Grand Caravan) and a Buick (Town & Country).

    I would also argue that GM could even spin off Saturn and Saab, selling the combined dealer network and production facilities (GM Spring Hill and Trollhattan) to a new owner. This could raise some cash in the short term, and I've always seen more synergy between Saturn and Saab than between either brand and the rest of GM. Plus, a foreign brand seeking to come back to the US (Renault, Fiat, whomever) might like the smaller, leaner dealer network that Saturn/Saab provide. The only obstacle to a spin-off is that it goes against the current policy of further integrating Saturn and Saab into the rest of GM; GM wants Cadillac-Hummer-Saab dealers right now, making any spin-off of Saturn and Saab far more difficult.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Even though nobody thought Chrysler would survive when Cerberus bought it, it's still a bit stunning just how rapidly it all fell apart, huh?

    I guess we know now why they made such splashy anouncements last week about electric cars "in the pipeline" - they had to have something to make Chrysler look at least slightly attractive to a potential buyer, knowing how quickly they would need it off their hands. This automaker is going to be at the point very soon of being dead in all but name.

    And once that happens, who will sell the rental fleets 75% of all their cars and trucks?! :-P

    There isn't a CHANCE that the purchase of Chrysler will improve GM's long-term outlook, in fact there isn't a chance it won't hurt it.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • jae5jae5 Member Posts: 1,206
    Another way to help shore up some cash?

    GM Job Cuts
  • jchan2jchan2 Member Posts: 4,956
    I am surprised that it all collapsed so quickly; I thought the process would be a bit more drawn out, with perhaps the three brands surviving, albeit not together. (i.e. the entire company would be split up and sold to separate buyers)

    I think the rental car companies are just going to switch to Hyundai, Toyota, and Nissan for their fleet needs. Lately, I've been seeing quite a few more Hyundais, Toyotas, and Nissans available for rent...
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