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Does America Even Need Its Own Automakers?

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  • grbeckgrbeck Member Posts: 2,358
    Mr_Shiftright: Can the Big Three do this? Maybe, even though the scale is so much larger? Sure, why not? They COULD make a better car and get out of the cellar in Consumer Reports listings year after year...or at least get more than one car in the top 10.

    In this case, I think the domestics get hurt by not being considered as separate companies. Their rate of improvement in the Consumer Reports reliability surveys is not the same. Ford is ahead of GM, which is ahead of Chrysler. Even the magazine admitted in the latest Auto Issue that, when it comes to reliability, Ford is pulling away from GM and Chrysler.

    Mr_Shiftright: They could "fire their customers" like Cadillac and Corvette is doing as we speak now, and like Oldsmobile and Thunderbird tried to do and failed to do.

    Surviving requires imagination. There doesn't seem to be a whole lot of it in Big Three boardrooms at the moment. They sit at big oak tables, they wear nice suits, they talk great talk----but comes the accounting day?


    This is extremely difficult to do in the American auto market. Harley was (and is) somewhat of a niche product, so it could fire one set of customers to gain new ones. Same with the Corvette and Cadillac.

    Ford and Chevrolet are not niche brands...they have to appeal to a broad base of customers to stay in business. They can't really "fire" one set of customers and try to appeal to new ones, because they are competing with other mainstream brands - Honda and Toyota and Nissan. Both divisions must appeal to as many people as possible. They need to compete head-on with the best of the Japanese, and they must do this by continuing to improve reliability while bringing forth more products with greater eye-appeal (that aren't pickups or retro-styled ponycars).
  • nwngnwng Member Posts: 663
    this could be done 30 yrs ago. But not today. We are drowning in debt owed to other countries and a portion of our economy is being supported by foreign capital and an even bigger portion are intertwined with other countries.

    It's much more than producing our own cars and grow our own crops.
  • qbrozenqbrozen Member Posts: 33,735
    i never saw that first gen celica till now. had to go look it up to see what you were talking about.
    image

    I won't necessarily argue with your position ... but it looks like alot of '70s cars to me, in addition to the stang, at least from that angle.

    edit: hmmm.. pic doesn't seem to be working.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Celica_ra28.jpg

    '11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S

  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    This is all hypothetical anyway because we aren't going to give up auto manufacturing. But the political solution would be easier than getting America to change to me more like the [non-permissible content removed]. When Brazil defaulted on their loans it hit American banks hard but it didn't hurt Brazil.

    We could also place tariffs on foreign products to increase American jobs. It has been done before. We could increase the price of food exported to help cover our losses. There is nothing we can't do because we have the power to do what we want. There are a lot of things we shouldn't do but that hasn't always stopped the US in the past. How does Japan support their rice industry? They don't import American rice. Is it working for Japan?

    We all know what tools the US has because we all know why Japan move their factories here in the first place. They were afraid of Quotas. If the economy continues to slide or if unemployment hits any all time highs I predict protectionism will rear its head. Not because it is the best thing for he world but because it is the easiest solution short term. Just ask yourself this. How did France protect its Auto industry when the Asian cars were flooding into the US back in the 70s and 80s. Quotas, they could only import one Asian car for every three French cars that were sold. Did it work? Gave the French a breather until being a member of the EU made that practice obsolete.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    apologize for not taking this question seriously. With all of the real problems we are facing now this just seemed too much like a discussion started during any number of parties when I was in College. With more herbal enhancement the solutions we have for solving problems became more clear. Sometimes it took some liquid stimulus as well. Once your BAL got passed .08 you would ask questions like, what if every American only worked 6 hours and went to school for six hours?

    We would also ask if maybe the US stopped using its own oil just to use up the oil in the mid east and save our reserves for when they ran out? It just all seamed so clear back then. ;)

    I just wonder what the First and Second quarter sales of new vehicles will be? If auto manufacturing is hit as hard as housing can anyone imagine how hard hit even the foreign manufacturers will be? The Average house in Orange county took a $100,000.00 hit between last year and this year. That is down about 25%. Can you picture Toyota or Honda taking a 25% hit between a 2007 Accord and a 2008? Is there room for GM to lower the price on a Malibu by 25%? I just don't think anyone will be expanding market share in 2008. What do you think Chosen will do if Nissan takes a 25% dive this year? If car repos are up 14 percent now what happens when they hit 25 percent? Those cars made in India may start looking pretty good by this coming Fall. :cry:
  • explorerx4explorerx4 Member Posts: 20,722
    do you really think the people who could not make the payments were really keeping up on vehicle maintenance?
    2024 Ford F-150 STX, 2023 Ford Explorer ST, 91 Mustang GT vert
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    The auto industry is a very real problem. It's not beer talk at this point I don't think. We have an industry that employs, directly or indirectly perhaps what....one out of eight Americans, something like that? And that industry is bleeding red ink right now.

    So I don't think this discussion is out of the realm of possibility. What we might be having trouble with is thinking of it as a CONSCIOUS decision. But what if it were made for us?

    I don't think the UK planned to wipe out its auto industry in a 10-15 year time frame....but they did.

    And their motorcycle indust, once dominant in the world, evaporated even faster than that. The Honda 750 came out and that was that. Couple more years, down the drain for all the two-wheelers.
  • explorerx4explorerx4 Member Posts: 20,722
    the article posted earlier said the reposession rate was about 3.4%.
    too many people are ready to panic.
    2024 Ford F-150 STX, 2023 Ford Explorer ST, 91 Mustang GT vert
  • nwngnwng Member Posts: 663
    france was/is a socialist country, that's why they can institute that kind of policy. You cannot take one slice of that and bring it to the US. Shifty's example of the UK auto industry is more relevant and a prediction of the big 2 if their management do not institute the necessary changes to survive down the road.

    Ask yourself this: why is it that gm and ford can compete head to head with hon/toy/nissan in the rest of the world but get trump in their own backyard?

    Quotas is one of the reasons transplants are here, the ability to avoid currency fluctuation is just as important. It is also a whole lot easier to implement the just in time manufacturing system where the market is. Why is everybody rushing to build in china & india?
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    If it weren't for overseas operations, the Big 2's numbers would look really grim right now.

    Forgive me if you've heard this analogy:

    "At first I thought the car company I worked for was like a train going down the track. The CEO was in the locomotive's driver's seat, and just behind him, in the first car, the board of directors, who passed down the CEO's recommendations to those of us in the back cars.

    Then I decided, no, it's more like the CEO and the Board are ALL in the locomotive, struggling for the controls.

    Now I've decided that there is NO ONE in the locomotive, that the throttle is tied with a rope, and the CEO and the board are in the first car having drinks"
  • manegimanegi Member Posts: 110
    Allow me to comment on the protection of rice farmers in Japan (I live in Japan).
    You are right, Japanese government did try to protect the Japanese rice farmers with a combination of import tarriffs as well as guaranteed floor prices. The result? Very expensive rice, which (due to restriction on imports) made consumers opt for wheat based food items (bread, noodles etc). Rice consumption in Japan has thus declined, and the farmers are probably even worse off than where they would have been in a more open market. Wheat importers, meanwhile, have enormously benefited from this change in eating habits....

    So protectionism has some unintended consequences, which most of the time cause it to fail in achieving the desired objective.

    Just thought it might be interesting for readers here....
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    If it weren't for overseas operations, the Big 2's numbers would look really grim right now.

    Well, then I guess they must be doing SOMETHING right. I find it AMAZING that one avenue can be successful, and another showing signs of a turnaround, yet YOU think the whole operation is going to hell in a handbasket. GM for one is getting rave reviews for their newest models (Malibu, CTS, G8, Lambda CUV's) won some really good concessions from the UAW, and have more promising products coming up (CTS coupe, Solstice coupe, Volt, and other E-flex variants).
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    Having seen American car companies shoot themselves in the foot so many many times, I am skeptical, yes---but not irrationally so I don't think. I've never been the type to expect miracles. I have this rather drone-like view which stipulates that if one observes the behavior of a person or organization over a substantial period of time, the "momentum" of that behavior is not easy to overcome despite the best intentions and the moments of temporary success.

    All you need is for any of this promising new models to self-destruct in the field with reliability issues and the whole balloon pops, doesn't it?

    So without significant INTERNAL changes in the Big Three, the cars they produce in any given year don't necessarily promise success in the long run, IMO.

    It's not ME that says it's all going to hell in a hand basket. The numbers are right out there on the table. It's not my opinion or prejudice or desire or despair--it's just "what is".

    Can it turn around? Sure! Will it?

    who knows at this point?
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    General Motors Corp. 268,737 308,411 -12.9% 519,663 553,025 -6.0%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107,592 108,858 -1.2% 211,964 212,960 -0.5%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161,145 199,553 -19.2% 307,699 340,065 -9.5%
    memo: Saab. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,734 2,221 -21.9% 3,506 4,583 -23.5%
    Ford Motor Company 196,060 210,014 -6.6% 355,336 375,682 -5.4%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64,333 70,964 -9.3% 114,409 126,814 -9.8%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131,727 139,050 -5.3% 240,927 248,868 -3.2%
    memo: Jaguar. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,063 1,191 -10.7% 1,727 2,581 -33.1%
    memo: Land Rover. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,819 3,106 -9.2% 5,678 6,539 -13.2%
    memo: Volvo. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,505 8,468 -11.4% 15,541 16,287 -4.6%
    Chrysler LLC 150,093 174,506 -14.0% 287,485 330,814 -13.1%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,494 43,631 13.4% 92,661 77,131 20.1%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100,599 130,875 -23.1% 194,824 253,683 -23.2%

    Toyota Motor Sales U.S.A. Inc. 182,169 187,330 -2.8% 354,018 363,180 -2.5%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101,926 106,429 -4.2% 196,512 206,685 -4.9%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80,243 80,901 -0.8% 157,506 156,495 0.6%
    American Honda Motor Co. Inc. 115,397 110,026 4.9% 213,908 210,816 1.5%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62,840 60,505 3.9% 118,185 113,917 3.7%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52,557 49,521 6.1% 95,723 96,899 -1.2%
    Nissan North America Inc. 86,219 85,218 1.2% 162,824 167,862 -3.0%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,335 48,445 1.8% 94,761 97,244 -2.6%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36,884 36,773 0.3% 68,063 70,618 -3.6%
    Volkswagen Group of America Inc. 22,939 23,370 -1.8% 44,135 46,621 -5.3%
    Audi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6,152 6,609 -6.9% 12,570 13,008 -3.4%
    Volkswagen. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16,556 16,367 1.2% 30,967 32,977 -6.1%
    Bentley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 231 394 -41.4% 598 636 -6.0%
    Mitsubishi Motors N. A., Inc. 9,105 9,726 -6.4% 16,331 19,109 -14.5%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,356 6,178 19.1% 13,098 12,281 6.7%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,749 3,548 -50.7% 3,233 6,828 -52.7%
    Mazda Motor of America Inc. 23,548 22,067 6.7% 44,760 41,332 8.3%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14,663 15,826 -7.3% 28,495 29,957 -4.9%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,885 6,241 42.4% 16,265 11,375 43.0%
    Hyundai Motor America 31,090 34,500 -9.9% 52,542 62,221 -15.6%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20,903 23,336 -10.4% 35,792 41,872 -14.5%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,187 11,164 -8.8% 16,750 20,349 -17.7%
    BMW of North America Inc. 24,248 24,677 -1.7% 41,241 46,511 -11.3%
    BMW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20,775 22,274 -6.7% 35,250 42,035 -16.1%
    Mini . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,415 2,368 44.2% 5,875 4,418 33.0%
    Rolls Royce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58 35 65.7% 116 58 100.0%
    Mercedes-Benz USA 18,589 17,334 7.2% 36,877 34,433 7.1%
    Mercedes-Benz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18,574 17,319 7.2% 36,855 34,403 7.1%
    Maybach [est]. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 15 0.0% 22 30 -26.7%
    Subaru of America Inc. 12,907 12,875 0.2% 24,196 24,949 -3.0%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8,897 8,723 2.0% 16,874 16,665 1.3%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,010 4,152 -3.4% 7,322 8,284 -11.6%
    Kia Motors America Inc. 21,988 23,512 -6.5% 43,343 46,036 -5.8%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,998 10,318 6.6% 22,750 18,983 19.8%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,990 13,194 -16.7% 20,593 27,053 -23.9%
    Isuzu Motors America Inc. 790 559 41.3% 1,223 1,059 15.5%
    American Suzuki Motor Corp. 8,796 8,585 2.5% 15,916 16,764 -5.1%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,236 3,285 -62.4% 2,493 6,792 -63.3%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7,560 5,300 42.6% 13,423 9,972 34.6%
    Porsche Cars N.A. Inc. 1,715 1,967 -12.8% 4,310 4,951 -12.9%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 960 1,607 -40.3% 2,547 3,187 -20.1%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 755 360 109.7% 1,763 1,764 -0.1%
    Smart USA 1,500 0 NA 1,500 0 NA
    Ferrari of N.A. Inc. 135 116 16.4% 240 251 -4.4%
    Maserati of N.A. Inc. 211 136 55.1% 335 309 8.4%


    PASSENGER CARS 555,299 560,722 -1.0% 1,050,660 1,067,663 -1.6%
    LIGHT TRUCKS 620,937 694,207 -10.6% 1,169,523 1,278,262 -8.5
    General Motors Corp. 268,737 308,411 -12.9% 519,663 553,025 -6.0%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107,592 108,858 -1.2% 211,964 212,960 -0.5%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161,145 199,553 -19.2% 307,699 340,065 -9.5%
    memo: Saab. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,734 2,221 -21.9% 3,506 4,583 -23.5%
    Ford Motor Company 196,060 210,014 -6.6% 355,336 375,682 -5.4%
    Total Cars . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64,333 70,964 -9.3% 114,409 126,814 -9.8%
    Total Light Trucks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131,727 139,050 -5.3% 240,927 248,868 -3.2%
    memo: Jaguar. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . %
    TOTAL LIGHT VEHICLE SALES 1,176,236 1,254,929 -6.3% 2,220,183 2,345,925 -5.4%

    As you can see (I hope) if you take Saab out of the equation, GM's CAR sales are flat. Take the PAG out of the equation, and Ford's down about 8%, yet Chrysler is up 20%!!! ALL JAPANESE and KOREAN MFR.'s except Honda, Kia, Subaru, and Mitsu. are DOWN, DOWN, DOWN. (CAR sales only).

    Light truck sales are what is dragging everybody else down.

    P.S., this is calendar yr 2008 (Jan+Feb??) only.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    That's interesting, thanks for posting it.

    But you know, that is only a "moment in time". If you graph it all out from 1975, the picture is pretty clear as to what is happening.

    The USA is a very mature market, so trends happen slowly. You need to look at a large body of time to plot anything meaningful, either negative or positive.
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    True enough, but I think that it parallels the television industry in this repect:

    In 1975, we had ABC,NBC,CBS, and a bunch of ind. stations. Now, we add Fox and the CW, plus all the cable TV stations, and the ratings bogie from 1975 gets thrown out the window, just as the market share bogie can be thrown out the window now. Case and point:

    Many may argue that Seinfeld was a more popular show than MASH, yet the final episode of MASH is the most watched show EVER!!! I'll bet the final episode of Seinfeld, ...Raymond, and Friends aren't in the top 10. Cable TV can be blamed for that.

    In spite of the fact that the Big 3 had quality issues, the [non-permissible content removed] Big 3 were minor players in 1975. It is safe to assume that they would've made intriguing cars that would've sold over the years. People's tastes change. Who'd have thought that a Suburban would be a vehicle people trip all over themselves to buy in 1975??? I don't think you'd see more than a 4-6 point difference in market share if the Big 3 did a better job 30 years ago.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I guess the deflated dollar will help our auto industry in the USA. If the Enclave is as popular in China as it is here it should be good for GM.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    That's a good question. I think by 1975 the Japanese had already begun to shake up the US auto industry. They got very lucky for one thing, having the brilliant, and I do mean BRILLIANT Honda CVCC ready to go at the exact moment of the first "gas crisis". And the first Accord came out soon after. So in terms of reading trends, by 1975 the Japanese were already showing signs of innovation and good product mix.

    True, they weren't competing in trucks or big sedans, but as it turns out, the big sedans were the dinosaurs of their age anyway, and they were prevented from competing on big trucks by embargo.

    Also the Japanese were making great strides in emissions technology. When GM complained that they couldn't get their V-8 engines to pass the new smog regulations, the Japanese took a Chevy V-8 and did it for them. GM was really PO'd at that, too.

    I would have bet every chip in my stack on the Japanese in 1975.

    The motto I remember reading in car magazines back then was "When the EPA issues new regulations, the Big Three call their lawyers and the Japanese call their engineers"

    The chickens have come home to roost I guess.
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    Toyota people aren't as smart as we think (from the files of Autoblog):

    In trying to establish a Japanese-market foothold for Lexus, Toyota has seemingly fallen prey to the same tactic that made the Cadillac Cimmaron such a maroon. When trying to launch a brand, especially an upscale brand, it's not advisable to rebadge existing models and crank up the price. It doesn't seem to matter how good the car is, or how swanky the new $10-million-a-pop showroom is, once an Altezza, always an Altezza, and paying 20 percent more for the same car with a different logo is rightfully galling.

    (Speaking about the Lexus branded "Altezza")
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    All true but the Cimarron was also a lousy car, which the Altezza isn't---just overpriced.

    Overpriced is still smarter than overpriced and lousy :P
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    Neverthless, having a customer say "You want me to pay HOW MUCH for WHAT????" is never a good thing.
  • cooterbfdcooterbfd Member Posts: 2,770
    I think by 1975 the Japanese had already begun to shake up the US auto industry. They got very lucky for one thing, having the brilliant, and I do mean BRILLIANT Honda CVCC ready to go at the exact moment of the first "gas crisis".

    I would agree, except Honda didn't get lucky. That was plain old excellent ingenuity, and Honda didn't even have to be ready until 1980, as I was told all foreign mfr's didn't have to meet our safety and emission requirements until 1980. I do believe that the Big 3 spent far too long crying about them instead of engineering results. If you look at ALL cars built between 1975-1984, both foreign and domestic, they were slow and didn't have the "panache" of their predecessors from the '50's and '60's. By the late '80's early '90's things had begun to change for the better (somewhat) as far as performance and styling, but people began buying SUV's for their utility (and panache). Seeing all the $$$$$ the Big 3 could make, and cheaply, they went for it I'd say THIS is when the chickens came home, but the Big 3 were too busy making money.

    SUV sales have only been tanking for 3,4 years. Now that the Big 3 have been hit where it counts (the pocketbook), they are starting to turn it around. It's only been about 18 months, but I've seen some good things.
  • jeffyscottjeffyscott Member Posts: 3,855
    The motto I remember reading in car magazines back then was "When the EPA issues new regulations, the Big Three call their lawyers and the Japanese call their engineers"

    I wonder how much of that is because they really had no other option. As foreign companies would they be able to gain anything by "calling their lawyers"? If the Japanese version of EPA (or any other regulatory agency) issues regulations, do the Japanese companies then call the lawyers or the engineers? What do American companies do when regulations are issued in foreign markkets?
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    I believe that America needs to have a strong manufacturing sector, specifically of high volume, high quality goods. Whether or not that HAS to be automobiles I don't know. The big reason for the auto industry to exist as "American" is really around employment - as has been mention here before, the auto industry touches an incredible number of wage earners as part of the manufacturing cycle, both directly and indirectly.

    I'm not an economist, so the discussion of whether an American built "foreign" car -Toyota built in Ohio - is worse than a foreign built "American" car - Mexican built Ford - does not hinge on where the corporate profits go. For me, if I'm the guy in Ohio with three kids to feed, I love Toyota; If I'm the guy that got the letter saying my plant is closing and my job going to Mexico, I never buy another Ford product as long as I live.

    As a consumer, I spent the late 70's buying American cars - If you remember, back then we bought cars by the pound and by the inch, and I could not justify buying a tiny Honda for the same money as my Olds... besides, there were all the stories of how long you would have to wait for a part if you needed to fix the Japanese car... then there was the issue of "having" to accept what was on the dealer's lot - there were more choices among the big three.... and of course, the "new car smell' was different. LOL.

    In the 80's I became a confirmed Olds buyer - I used to kid my dealer that I wasn't buying cars, I was buying them. Olds got better, and I bought my Intrigue.... the best American sedan from my point of view. Then they killed Olds. My dealer went to Chevy, and I was not impressed by anything Chevy sold... The IMPALA??? I think not.

    Now I drive a foreign car, (really foreign) and in the household are two built in America Toyotas and a Dodge Neon. Unfortunately, none of these decisions was made from a nationalistic POV; On the high end, I drove everything that appealed - no American car had a manual tranny available. The Toyotas? Bought the first because of reliability and dealer proximity... was a tossup between that and an Accord. The second was a no brainer, since the first worked out. The Neon? Needed something cheap that I could get to the train station, leave there all day, and not be stressed out at the beating it would take. It is not an enjoyable driving experience.

    The point (finally) is that I see industry as necessary, heavy industry as critical, but those companies have to produce - and it is no accident that the American consumer has voted with the checkbook - No conspiracy, just better products, even with a price difference. Quality speaks loudest.

    Why prop up "Found On Road Dead?" If they cut production cost by moving to Mexico, but the finished product is still outsold 2 or 3 to one by the Japanese or the Koreans, then the market has spoken. If GM "thinks" that I'm kidding when I say that I really, really want a high performing, comfortable, fuel efficient, and stylish vehicle, then don't be surprised when I go buy a Mini, or a Subie. They all made a bet - We can move more Escalades, at bigger profits, for EVER.... well, no.
  • dave8697dave8697 Member Posts: 1,498
    We as a country are making poor choices on behalf of each other. It has come home to bite us.

    From today on money.cnn:
    The 30-year old Carter, who earns $7 an hour making car parts for a Hyundai factory near Montgomery, Ala., spends $65 a week on gas, double what it cost just a few years ago.

    Paying $30 more for gas out of a $240 paycheck makes a big difference.

    "Going out to eat, going to the movies, you can't do stuff like that," says Carter, filling up his Firebird at a BP station in Camden, a quiet southern town 80 miles southwest of Montgomery. "You're working for gas now."

    Carter, and other residents that live around Camden, are having a particularly hard time - they devote more of their budget for gas than anyone else in the United States.

    So, like Americans everywhere, people here are cutting back on spending, and that's threatening to send - or may have already sent - a shaky economy into recession.

    For people like Carrie Frye, 33, a mother who commutes 70 miles each day, the choice is about much more than simply cutting back on entertainment.

    Frye works at a factory in Selma, Ala., making lawn chair cushions. If she makes her production quota, she might bring in $329 a week. If not, it's $220. Either way, she says the $60 a week she now spends in gas comes out of money for food, the doctor, and buying clothes for her kids.

    "I just hope they don't grow that fast," she says, filling her tank of her Jeep Cherokee at the Camden BP.

    My Nickel: Just returning from a round trip from Indiana to W. Palm Beach in My 4X4 Chevy. I noticed almost nobody along the coasts buys American cars. Look at this country and then keep sending all your money to Japan and S. Korea while their also imported subsuppliers set up shop here and pay Americans $7 an hour to make the components for their cars. What a wonderful world we have now.

    Did anyone hear the guest commentator on Meet the Press on Easter Morning say that the devalued dollar is helping America's exports. Then he/she followed by saying that 'see how Honda and Toyota are building factories here'. Is anybody dumb enough to believe that a Honda factory in America is America exporting cars? It is the colonization of America. Honda uses our imported energy, our people, raw materials, sewer system, landfill, and land, in a property tax free factory, to build cars to sell here in avoidance of paying tariffs to instead ship them into America. We get only the lowest tiers of jobs from the Japanese owners. 85% of the value of the car ends up back in Japan or S. Korea. Now they get their money while polluting our air with their factories.
  • scwmcanscwmcan Member Posts: 399
    While I feel sorry for these people, I can't say that their car choices are good for the length of their commutes, no wonder they are using so much gas (and yes I realise that the choice was made in the cheap gas stage, and they probably can't afford to replace the cars either) I guess for a long commute to a low paying job (which I am going to assume is the norm around these areas othewise why take it) I would never have chosen a firebird or a jeep cherokee, neither one is exactly fiel efficient. Unfortunately these are the wages that are being offered for unskilled labour nowdays, (even people in fields requiring much more education are being paid less nowdays). I just think that any choices you make have to be more long term based than short term based, otherwise you are going to end up like these people spending most of your money on gas instead of more important things.
    Scott
  • lemkolemko Member Posts: 15,261
    Yeah, but you also say more educated people are now being paid less. Where is the motivation for these assembly line workers to better themselves? "Well, Elroy, you once had a $7 an hour factory job. You were motivated and got an undergraduate degree. Now you make $10 an hour and have a $40,000 student loan debt! Congratulations!"
  • jeffyscottjeffyscott Member Posts: 3,855
    Even if their vehicle choice was made when gas was cheap, they still might come out ahead by making a change.

    They are spending $3000+ per year on gas, if they were to get cars with 50% better hwy mileage they'd save $1000 per year. If the cost to trade was $2000 that would mean a 2 year payback...neglecting interest.

    There also may be an option to move closer to the job...and then maybe spend the 2 hours per day formerly spent commuting working at a second job...even at minimum wage they would net another $2500+ per year from that. That would mean $5500 per year total between the gas savings and the extra income...a pretty significant swing for someone earning $14,000 per year.
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    They are spending $3000+ per year on gas, if they were to get cars with 50% better hwy mileage they'd save $1000 per year. If the cost to trade was $2000 that would mean a 2 year payback...neglecting interest.

    There also may be an option to move closer to the job...and then maybe spend the 2 hours per day formerly spent commuting working at a second job...even at minimum wage they would net another $2500+ per year from that. That would mean $5500 per year total between the gas savings and the extra income...a pretty significant swing for someone earning $14,000 per year.


    Are you kidding???

    When I was a college student way back when, I drove a '70 Chevy Nova, followed by a '68 Dodge Dart. I had a job that barely paid anything, and I held my cars together on duct tape, and prayer... why? Because I could not "afford" to upgrade. So, over time, I spent a ton of cash on buying cases of oil at $10 because I could never raise the $300 to get the oil leak fixed. I bought used tires at $25 a pair, a couple times a year because I could not afford a set of new rollers... so if you think that folks making no money could "move closer to work," then you have no idea about coming up with the security deposit for the new place, the cost of getting utilities turned on etc.
  • scwmcanscwmcan Member Posts: 399
    I was not criticizing them for being factory workers or expecting them to go to get an undergraduate degree (how is a single mother supposed to go back to school after all) Also college and university aren't for everyone, and like you said getting a degree and winding up only getting a small increase in pay and having that large debt isn't a good thing eiethe. I honestly don't know what the solution is, but I was just sugesting that they should be doing some long term thinking to firgure out how to improve their situations, the price of gas is probably not going to go down too much, and their wages aren't likely to go up enough to cover their gas, (or at least not very quickly) so they need to figure out what they can do to improve their lot, it may be that they can work for a walmart store close by and get the same wage (not that I am advocating walmart as an employer, not for me, and I would wish it on anyone, but if it can pay the bills better than a farther away factory job, it may be a better option), I am also not familair with the employment situation i their area, maybe this is the nbest they can do, in wich case it doesn't look good for the future when they can't afford to go to work.

    One other thiong I would say is, they should be at least trying to carpool (I know it isn't a solution for everyone, but when gas takes that big of a bite out of your paycheck you have to do something).
    Anyway I hope you didn't think I was criticizing these people for their jobs, I was only saying that they were fooled by low gas prices and bought a car that may not be affordable to run in the long term (and I also know that they may have been what they could afford, it is sad really and I do feel for them).
    Scott
  • scwmcanscwmcan Member Posts: 399
    The only problem is that they are basically barely making end meet as it is, so I have a feeling it might be hard to come up with that $2000 to make the trade. I know that theiur situation is hard, and I am not sure what I would do, except look for ways to decrease my commute if that is all the money I can make, by either getting a job closer to home, or moving closer to work. I would also be seeing how many people I could get to carpool with me, as that could help with the fuel costs more than switching cars even.
    Scott
  • qbrozenqbrozen Member Posts: 33,735
    85% of the value of the car ends up back in Japan or S. Korea.

    Please provide references for your research.

    We get only the lowest tiers of jobs from the Japanese owners.

    Jim Press could buy and sell you and me ... so if he is on the lowest tier, where does that put us?

    '11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S

  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    Jim Press could buy and sell you and me

    Notice Jim bailed on Toyota to make the big bucks. I don't think Toyota pays management comparable to other US companies. I have to agree that the bulk of the money ends up in Japanese pockets or bank accounts. Not reinvested in the USA. Which is the free market way of doing things. Hopefully the falling dollar will revive our exports.
  • bpizzutibpizzuti Member Posts: 2,743
    " I don't think Toyota pays management comparable to other US companies."

    Maybe THAT'S why they're managing to turn a profit....American corporate culture these days tends to overpay middle-management and up these days. Those drones certainly don't deserve it, either.
  • nwngnwng Member Posts: 663
    just don't ask the people who worked at dealerships that yota pays crap. You sounded like jim press was forced to work for a huge discount at toyota, I hope you are not serious. As for the money staying in their bank ???: the koreans and japanese put back a big chunk of profits they made off us into buying t bonds, which in turn enable us to to have cheap rates and fight two wars simultaneously. It's a poisonous pill, but nobody put a gun in our head to take it.
  • dave8697dave8697 Member Posts: 1,498
    I was lucky enough to find a $560 car that let me put the second 100k miles on it and still had something left. I drove the 16 mpg lead sled from a $3 an hour job thru an undergrad degree that took over 6 1/2 yrs part time to get, and eventually took me to the driveway of a nice house that I built. I carpooled with the old car. I worked an extra $4 an hour Saturday job that paid most of my week's gas bill when gas was $1.31 a gallon in 1981. The beast's 25 gallon tank was about a $32 fill up. Work was 18 miles away and College was a 2-3 day a week, 90 mile commute, but I knew if I kept at it, it would pan out. I was living in a new 2850 sf custom house before I sold the $560 car, and in less than 1 year after getting the UG degree.
    What the car didn't save me in gas, it saved me in other ways. Cheap insurance, hardly ever a repair, almost no oil use, never any body work needed, and never any payments for 11 years, plus it doubled as a truck as I put my 275 lb, 6HP, 5000 watt generator in the front passenger seat each nite for the 6 months that I was building my new house as my second job, after my day job.
    The question today is, even if people are willing to work hard, will they be willing to drive an old car and take care of it too if that's what it takes to get ahead? Is gas so high that an old 15 mpg truck or 20 mpg van that costs $750 isn't a plan anymore?
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    From what I see of young people today, what you did does not even occur to them. They expect mom and dad to give them a new car when the graduate from HS. They live at home and many have a gas card that dad has to pay. Most of us yourself included worked hard for what we now own. The same cannot be said of most young people today. There are exceptions to the rule, and I know a few of the exceptions. When mom and dad's money runs out there will be a rude awakening for a lot of people. What is the old saying "rags to riches to rags, in 3 generations"?
  • 1stpik1stpik Member Posts: 495
    America may need its automakers, but Ford apparently doesn't need Jaguar or Land Rover. The company just sold the two divisions to -- get this -- Tata motors! That's right, the company from India that makes the Nano, a $2,500 economy car.

    What effect that has on the two luxury brands remains to be seen. However, more interesting will be the effect on Ford's stock price. It has been languishing at $6 per share for a while.

    It should go up because of the sale. However, Ford bought Jaguar and Land Rover for a combined $5.25 billion. The sale to Tata was for $2.3 billion for both companies.

    That's certainly no recipe for success.
    .
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    From what I see of young people today, what you did does not even occur to them. They expect mom and dad to give them a new car when the graduate from HS. They live at home and many have a gas card that dad has to pay. Most of us yourself included worked hard for what we now own. The same cannot be said of most young people today. There are exceptions to the rule, and I know a few of the exceptions. When mom and dad's money runs out there will be a rude awakening for a lot of people. What is the old saying "rags to riches to rags, in 3 generations"?

    Well I join in the wandering off topic for a moment - You talk about young people's expectations.... they expect what we give them. One of my pet peeves is that there are so many parents who talk about how the children are greedy and selfish, while going out to get in debt buying the kid a new car for graduating high school - my folks told me that graduating high school was an expectation; I'd simply done my job. The diploma was what I'd done it for.

    You mention the kid (young adult?) with the gas card that dad HAS to pay for.... No, dad does not have to... dad chooses to. Many look at parenting from a place that is ironic. On the one hand, we say that our struggles made us stronger, better people; on the other we say that we don't want our children to go through the same things we did. The parents I admire the most are the ones who can afford more, but choose not to do more, to encourage the kid to learn self sufficiency.

    And (my feeble attempt to be topic relevant) many of those kids would benefit from an apprenticeship at some heavy manufacturing job, like the auto industry. ;)
  • lemkolemko Member Posts: 15,261
    Well, as bad a blunder as it seems, it can't match the collossal blunder Daimler-Benz made with Chrysler. Didn't they buy it for something like $36 billion and sell it for $2 billion to Cerberus?
  • jeffyscottjeffyscott Member Posts: 3,855
    The parents I admire the most are the ones who can afford more, but choose not to do more, to encourage the kid to learn self sufficiency.

    Thanks :D . While we provide more than our parents did, we do choose to do far, far less than we could afford to. For example regarding the car at HS graduation, my daughter got an (american :) ) car, when she graduated HS. It was 7.5 years old with 100,000 miles and body damage. We gave it to her, in part, because she was going to college near her grandma and far from us and the car would allow her to visit grandma (they became very close as a result and this was, I think, a great pleasure to my mom).

    My sons got similar low value cars, because they are living at home and commuting to the local tech school.
  • qbrozenqbrozen Member Posts: 33,735
    Didn't they buy it for something like $36 billion and sell it for $2 billion to Cerberus?

    Actually, if I'm not mistaken, the end result was them actually PAYING OUT money to get rid of it.

    '11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S

  • hudsonthedoghudsonthedog Member Posts: 552
    Can you back up any of these claims? I can refute each one.
    We get only the lowest tiers of jobs from the Japanese owners.
    These companies spend plenty of money reinvesting in the US and adding engineers and designers and executives (Jim Press, an American, was the first non-Asian on the Toyota board). Toyota, Hyundai, Honda, Nissan, and many more car companies have design and engineering facilities in the US (primarily California and Michigan).
    85% of the value of the car ends up back in Japan or S. Korea.
    More than half of the value of most vehicles built and sold in the US stays in the US. Most "transplants" are produced with more than 50% US/Canadian content and many have upwards of 70% North American parts. These parts are produced in US (and Canada) factories employing US (and Canadian) workers using locally sourced Tier 2 and Tier 3 suppliers in many cases. In many of these cases, I've got to say that somewhere above 70% "of the value of the car" stays in North America...and none of them have 85% of the value being returned to either Japan or South Korea. Especially since about 10% of the "value of the car" is in transportation, distribution, and sales.
    Now they get their money while polluting our air with their factories.
    Subaru has one of the cleanest factories in North America.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    BMW lost a bundle on Rover, hundreds of millions of dollars.
  • qbrozenqbrozen Member Posts: 33,735
    I'm sure Benz would kill for such a small loss. LOL!

    '11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S

  • dave8697dave8697 Member Posts: 1,498
    Sales in North America rose 8.6 percent, to 456,000 vehicles, the company said. Honda said in the six months to June, it increased its market share in the United States to 8.9 percent, from 8.1 percent in the period last year. The United States is the Tokyo-based automaker’s single largest market, contributing about 70 percent of its profit, according to analyst estimates.

    TOKYO (AP) - Honda, Japan's second-biggest automaker, reported a 38.1 percent jump in profit for the October-December quarter on Wednesday, thanks to booming sales in the U.S., Europe and Asia outside Japan.

    Honda, which sells nearly half of its vehicles in North America, revised upward its annual profit forecast, appearing to shrug off the looming worries about a U.S. recession and a stronger yen, which erodes exporters' profits.

    Like other Japanese automakers with their reputation for smaller fuel-efficient models, Honda Motor Co. _maker of the Civic and Accord sedans and Odyssey minivan _ is getting extra consumer interest because of a recent surge in gas prices.

    Honda's quarterly profit rose to 200 billion yen ($1.87 billion) from 144.8 billion yen the same period the previous year, marking a record for the fiscal third quarter.

    Quarterly sales climbed 10 percent to 3.045 trillion yen ($28.52 billion) from 2.769 trillion yen a year ago, the Tokyo-based manufacturer said.

    Cost-cutting also helped boost its bottom line.

    With global demand growing for its products, Honda raises its profit forecast 16.5 percent to 690 billion yen ($6.46 billion) profit for the fiscal year ending March 31. In October, it had projected a 640 billion yen profit.

    But it trimmed its fiscal year sales forecast to 12.150 trillion yen ($113.82 billion) from an earlier 12.300 trillion yen ($115.22 billion). The revised sales number still marks a 9.6 percent rise from the previous year.

    Honda's operating profit rose 35 percent on year to 276.24 billion yen ($2.59 billion), beating analysts' forecasts.

    In the latest quarter, Honda sold 991,000 vehicles globally. About half of those _ or 481,000 vehicles _ were sold in North America, up 2.1 percent from the previous year.

    Why do they report Honda's profits in Yen???????????????????????????

    So over half of the 112 billion dollars in Honda's annual revenue comes from North american sales. And you can name the FIRST American executive. Impressive!!!!!!
  • dave8697dave8697 Member Posts: 1,498
    So, if Honda gets 70% of it's $1.87 Billion per quarter from NA sales and that comes from selling 481,000 cars in NA. Lets do some math: .7*1.87B*4/481000 gives $10885 PER CAR of homespun profit in Japan from selling America cars. I'd wager there's more profit than average, if the car is made in America, and tarriffs are not involved. Then there are the buddies brought over to set up shop and be the tier 1's and 2's. Mostly [non-permissible content removed] owned again. Send their profits to Japan also. Then consider from 28 Billion in sales there is 1.87 Billion in profit????? So, there is $26 Billion of costs to take against the sales and how much of that is spent on development in Tokyo? An awful lot. Where to begin to list the technicians, engineers and management cashing in on the 112 Billion a year in sales in NA? A few tiny tech centers? I Still stand on my 85% number.
  • tlongtlong Member Posts: 5,194
    ...filling up his Firebird...
    ...filling her tank of her Jeep Cherokee...

    "Frye works at a factory in Selma, Ala., making lawn chair cushions."


    So this lady has kids, makes around $15k/year, has a 70 mile commute, and drives a Jeep Cherokee. She makes lawn chair cushions yet drives an SUV?!!

    Gas hogs. Am I supposed to cry when people decide to make these decisions? Is it wise that people make choices that put them on the financial edge? Why didn't they spend below their means so that they had some backup? I'm sure they have DVD players, buy plenty of beer and cigarettes, and make other stupid decisions as well.

    Next thing you know people will scream that the rich should pay their fair share so that the people who can't make sensible decisions can be bailed out. Kind of like subprime borrowers.

    And for those saying why get an education if those jobs are paying less, too -- wouldn't you rather get less starting from a high base salary than a menial work salary? I mean, really. I'm 52 years old and even in the 1960's we knew that getting an education would lead to a much better standard of living.
  • hudsonthedoghudsonthedog Member Posts: 552
    So, if Honda gets 70% of it's $1.87 Billion per quarter from NA sales and that comes from selling 481,000 cars in NA. Lets do some math: .7*1.87B*4/481000 gives $10885 PER CAR...

    While 70% of Honda's profits came from the US, it also says that over 50% of their global SALES are also in the US.

    But yes, let's do that math. We'll start with your figure of $1.87 billion and multiply that by 70%, which is $1.31 billion. And divide that by the 358,022 (not the 120k you used) vehicles sold by Honda in the US in the fourth quarter of 2007 (third quarter of Honda's fiscal year), which gives us $3,656 per vehicle. This includes profit from sales of vehicles and financing from five or six years worth of vehicles as well, since Honda has a captive finance company.

    Your 85% number is STILL wide of the mark. It's a global company so not all of that $28 billion passes through hands in Japan, most of the HALF that comes from US sales needs to get routed through North America since 77%(!) of the vehicles Honda sells in the US are built in North America. And of those 77%, they contain more than 60% North American content (my guess is that the number is north of 70%, but I'm being conservative). Just from those figures, it's IMPOSSIBLE for 85% of the value of US-market Hondas to go back to Japan.
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