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The Future Of The Manual Transmission

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Comments

  • lilengineerboylilengineerboy Member Posts: 4,116
    The whole paddleshifting option is really taking off.

    Not really. It gets in the way, makes it hard to design the steering wheel and makes it hard to see all the other controls (like wipers and such) for a feature someone is going to use twice, once on the test drive and once showing off to their buddies about how its as good as a real manual.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    a feature someone is going to use twice, once on the test drive and once showing off to their buddies about how its as good as a real manual.

    I agree. The one time I drove a manumatic (a Mitsu Eclipse rental), I shifted manually a couple of times but then quit. I mean really, what's the point?
  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    In a really high end vehicle where matching revs is critical, the paddle shifters are a useful tool. But outside of a track, I can think of only one vehicle that actually benefits from them in actual daily driving. The RX8. And that's only because it has a tiny rotary engine that revs as quickly as a sport bike. The rest of the engines out there take far too long to rev up to require them. F1 race cars of course have them for the same reason. Tiny little engines that rev almost instantly to red line.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    yum! Just one of many models that are made perfectly DISMAL by the substitution of an automatic for the stick. It also has less power with the auto, right? Just like the new WRX - manual-only to get the full (270ish?) hp, or you can go auto and get 227 hp. I'm glad there are still a few manufacturers that understand what enthuisasts really want.

    Was interested to note that the IS250 convertible will launch with the 6-speed manual available - Toyota usually releases convertibles as automatics only, even if the car they are based on has an available manual. A good sign, perhaps.... :-)

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    I've driven both and it's as close as it gets to being a replacement for a manual. You can more precisely match revs with the paddles in the RX8, so the power and speed is roughly identical in real driving.

    Of course, there's still none of the feedback or other advantages of the manual. Porsche also found this out the hard way. Despite being just as good as the manual, it's not nearly as fun and costs more. IIRC, Porsche sells less than 20% of their 911s with automatics.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    Just saw my first Commercial for the Toyota Venza? What transmission options will they offer with that?
  • shiposhipo Member Posts: 9,148
    Just saw my first Commercial for the Toyota Venza? What transmission options will they offer with that?

    Yup, I've seen it too and I rather like the car. Then I checked the Toyota web site and saw the following snippet describing the only transmission available for the Venza:

    6-speed electronically controlled automatic overdrive transmission with intelligence (ECT-i) and sequential shift mode.

    Well, needless to say, they completely lost me with that. No manual, no sale. Period, full stop, the end. :P

    Best regards,
    Shipo
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Are you kidding? A crossover built by Toyota? There's no chance it would have an available manual. The automatic with intelligence sounds kinda scary though - let's hope it doesn't have more intelligence than the driver! "Sorry Dave, I don't feel like going to that gear right now, it's not the optimal gear for fuel economy..." :sick:

    I will take a different model and the manual trans please.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • mcdawggmcdawgg Member Posts: 1,722
    "Was interested to note that the IS250 convertible will launch with the 6-speed manual available - Toyota usually releases convertibles as automatics only, even if the car they are based on has an available manual. A good sign, perhaps.... "

    Well, you cannot blame Toyota for not putting a manual with the Venza - no way they would sell enough to make it worthwhile. Now, the IS250 convertible - that's very unusual, but Toyota's smart, they must have good reasons ($$$) for having a manual available.

    I have a Camry with a 5 speed manual, and am looking forward to the Camry with the 6 speed manual! Good to hear Toyota is still offering new manuals.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    While it would be my personal choice if I were in the market for a Camry, I am under the impression the manual transmission 5/6 speed is a very HARD Camry option to get, albeit still cheaper than an automatic. I have read also in passing the manual has slightly less resale value than an automatic.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    "Are you kidding? A crossover built by Toyota? There's no chance it would have an available manual."

    Well that pretty much sums up the direction things are going doesn't it? But I am glad you said it rather than me.
  • mcdawggmcdawgg Member Posts: 1,722
    It is not common, but not HARD to get a manual Camry, from my experience. If you want one, you can get one. There may not be any on the lot at your local dealer, but you can order one, do a dealer trade, or drive to the dealer that has one.

    Yes, the resale value is less, but that's just like most manual cars now. However, it saves about $900 on the purchase price.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Toyota will most likely be the first of the Big 6 to totally nix the manual transmissions from its lineup, but I bet the LAST will not do so inside a 30-year window. Which is all the time I need them to remain available. ;-)

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    "Which is all the time I need them to remain available."

    I think we have only ever really disagreed about the time line and I still believe Nissan will beat them to it.

    But then if the government gets to take control of the auto industry things could go even faster. I would consider converting to Propane somewhere down the line if it ever gets that bad.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    shift into neutral when the car is decelerating to boost fuel economy

    It's better to remain in gear but cutoff fuel entirely. In order to idle you need some fuel to prevent stalling. But you can coast on deceleration and use no gas whatsoever!

    This is how my Sienna manages such good mileage.
  • qbrozenqbrozen Member Posts: 33,736
    I've read the fuel cutoff thing before, but I'm not so sure.

    I've tried both in my wife's XC90. In both cases, the instant MPG gauge reads "99.9 mpg." Now, of course there is a limitation there. Could be its getting infinite mpg in gear and coasting while "only" getting 150mpg in neutral. However, and this is the reason I've experimented, I can coast much further in neutral than in gear. The difference isn't enough to warrant such a practice in the XC90 in question, but the difference in HUGE in my G35X. It does not like to coast much at all while in gear.

    '11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S

  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    For the New volvo with the automatic braking? It was on TV last night and they reported that the car will apply the brakes before the driver accidently runs into anything. The news people thought this was the best thing since sliced bread. So if I see this right we will have mandated anto skid installed by 2012? We already have ABS for those that never learned to pump their brakes. Now we are getting vehicles that will stop for drivers not paying attention. I think manual transmissions my be the least of the connected drivers worries.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    My Sienna will coast just about forever. By the time you slow down the idle keeps pushing it along, so it never stops.

    I'm not sure why there isn't more engine braking since it is in gear, albeit a very tall gear.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Well for sure it is in the technicals and they can be radically different. I do not coast on longer down grades for a host of reasons; one HUGE reason being safety. Another is a technical reason and that is the TDI lists ZERO fuel draw on.... long down grades in gear.
  • xwesxxwesx Member Posts: 17,681
    My Caravan is the same way. Perhaps it is a "minivan thing?" It took a while to get used to the lack of engine braking, being used to Subaru vehicles.
    2018 Subaru Crosstrek, 2014 Audi Q7 TDI, 2013 Subaru Forester, 2013 Ford F250 Lariat D, 1976 Ford F250, 1969 Chevrolet C20, 1969 Ford Econoline 100
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    The following is an extract from an Msn Auto review of the Subaru Legacy:

    Automatic 2.5GTs include paddle shifting, a feature that has become the rage of manufacturers trying to play the “sporty” card. While we appreciate having the choice to determine gear changes, the system’s slow-motion shifts and lack of a rev-matching downshift feature relegate it to marketing mumbo-jumbo. The bottom line is that the automatic shifts firmly enough. If you want more real-world control, opt for the 5-speed manual. (emphasis added)

    The above could have been written about any number of today's vehicles. Well except for the fact that many aren't even offered with a manual tranny :cry:

    -Frank
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    from Autoweek's review of the new Boxster:

    Experience tells us that the six speed manual is the obvious transmission choice.......(in the ZF-engineered PDK unit) the automatic operation of the clutch can be a little overaggressive as you tip in the power at low speeds, causing some unnecessary driveline shunt in stop-and-go traffic.

    So if I want I can spend thousands of dollars extra to buy a super-advanced dual-clutch automatic with which I can't modulate the clutch takeup, resulting in engagements at low speeds that make me look like I just learned to drive.

    Interesting note in C&D's review this month of the Murcielago LP640:
    "Top Gear MPH, 30-50 (Done in 4th gear because the e-gear transmission would not accept 6th gear at 30 mph).

    So the supposedly better and much more expensive single-clutch automated manual prohibits the driver from doing a simple thing that any driver in the last 100 years with a dogleg stick would have been able to do any time he/she wished. Not to mention the e-gear "makes some troubling clunks and groans" while driving.

    And that one is a $440K car! I am sure if I were dropping half a mil I wouldn't settle for crap like that....

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    for those drivers who: never learned how to drive a manual; have a physical handicap; or who consider a vehicle as merely an efficient means of getting from point A to point B.

    -Frank
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I think that history will show that the first gen of those boxes will be remembered very, very harshly.

    The new dual-clutch boxes are so much better people will soon forget the v1.0 of those.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Indeed the manual transmission is far simplier and more importantly CHEAPER to replace !!!!

    I can get a new clutch, throw out bearing, flywheel done is an afternoon for less than $800.

    The min an automatic transmission will set you back is 1,500 with 2,200 being average !!!! It will take one to several days also !!
  • shiposhipo Member Posts: 9,148
    Yikes! You can get a slushbox replaced for $2,200? Where? What kind of car? A 1990 Ford Escort or something like that? ;)

    I had the tranny replaced on one of our cars a couple of years back and it was more like $3,000, and that was for a domestic, the tranny for our neighbor's Odyssey was a tad over $5,000. Ish!

    Best regards,
    Shipo
  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    I inquired about a replacement for a Camry when I was in getting an oil change and inspection on my 4Runner. $3500.

    The 4Runner, which is manual, of course, is a whopping $200 for a clutch kit and about 2 hours labor to install.(drop, swap, reinstall, adjust) If the actual gears and insides are toast, a new transmission is $1200(not remanufactured but brand new)

    Note - the first transmission lasted 19 years and 320K miles of abuse from the first two owners. Have 360K on it and runs great.

    I guarantee that in 360K miles, I'd have had to replace the transmission on a Camry twice. That's $7000+$1000(cost of the automatic initially) versus $1200, clutches aside(figure 5, so another $2000?) $3200 vs $8000.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Actually the less than $700. is LQQKing better ALL the time !!!
  • eliaselias Member Posts: 2,209
    drive a stickshift, save the planet, help pay for the Fiscal Simulation Package !
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    save the planet,do they make stick shift EVs? can you save the planet burning oil and Gas? I think not. But that saving the planet thing was just a pun wasn't it? ;) You meant drive a Hybrid and save the planet or a EV or ride a bike? :shades: Oh wait. That is too far in the future?
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    At 240k that Camry would be a total loss. Not worth investing $3500 in a car with that many miles.
  • eliaselias Member Posts: 2,209
    every little bit helps.
    less resources to produce a Good Ole Manual Transmission, less resources as it's used, all good and very fitting in the trickle-up-poverty USA.
    (compared to any kind of automagic transmission, eh?)
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I'm am not sure what post I am answering, but if the Camry for example had a stick shift and one NEEDED (say costs 600-800 for) a new clutch, flywheel, throw out bearing, it makes all the sense in the world to do it: vs $3,500 for an automatic which might make you sharpen pencils !!!

    In any case, if the thing still is safe and runs, the real metric is what will be the NEW monthly payment for whatever NEW you get!!?? So is $400.00 per mo reasonable?. To break it down, here are the "monthly costs amortized over a year: $ 800/12=67 mo , $3,500/as= 291 mo.

    So even in the BEST of times, an auto purchase has been a serious matter. It is probably even MORE serious, given current economic conditions.

    As reference, a recent GOOD yearly sales was 16.5 M units. The latest estimate is app 10 M. This is a SERIOUS decline. Even a 600-800 dollar repair (for a clutch kit) is now an issue. $3,500 can seem to be an economic mt everest !!
  • bumpybumpy Member Posts: 4,425
    Most electric motors have a broad enough torque and power curve that they don't need a multi-speed transmission; just a straight reduction gear. Sports cars and such could use a 2-speed to permit a taller high gear for top speeds and a low gear for better 0-60 times.
  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    At 240k that Camry would be a total loss. Not worth investing $3500 in a car with that many miles.

    True, but even then we're talking $4500 plus another $2000 or so in lost resale value(who would possibly buy an automatic with 100K+ on the transmission and NOT deduct accordingly?)

    Manuals save a lot of money. Mine, btw, is about 20 minutes to unbolt as well. Drain, unbolt, and fix. Almost any mechanic can swap a clutch as well in a coupe of hours. If it's just the clutch, we're talking about $450-$500, typically, which as has been stated above, is usually worth dumping into the vehicle to keep it running another 50K+ miles.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    And don't you think the future of the automobile in the US is in Hybrids and EVs or other alternative fuels? If people were interested in saving the planet aren't Hybrids the poster children for that as we type? If we are indeed planning on getting off of foreign oil will we not as a nation be investing in EVs and other forms of alternative motivation?

    My contention all along is that 90+ percent of the buying public sees the manual transmission as less desirable. If that same number holds in the future then the ones most effected by what we will have produced will be manual drivers. While hybrids don't have to me some form of automatic in real life they tend to be. And EVs don't need a third pedal to change from low to high range.

    If however we don't care about getting off of foreign oil then the ICE will continue on as it has for all these years. The 90+ percent will not likely change.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    The clutch pedal on my Miata sunk to the floor and I thought "Oh, no".

    Did some research on-line and people told me to rebuild the slave cylinder. Not even replace it, just rebuild.

    Got a rebuild kit and fixed the problem for $10.44, tax included.

    To be fair I also used about $0.50 worth of brake fluid.
  • andys120andys120 Member Posts: 23,670
    I went thru the same thing w my TR-4A back in the 60s and had to replace the slave cylinder twice. It happened to my Saab 9000Turbo in the early 90s as well and after replacing too slave cylinders and having it start to go a third time I dumped the car at a loss (45K miles). :(

    2001 BMW 330ci/E46, 2008 BMW 335i conv/E93

  • cdnpinheadcdnpinhead Member Posts: 5,618
    is when the slave cylinder is inside the bell housing.

    I had no idea such a thing was possible, having rebuilt MG & Datsun slave cylinders for $5.00 and an hour of time back up until about '88, as has been described.

    It seems that many things that used to be (and still are, with the right cars) simple are no longer so.

    It cost me many hundred of dollars to do the "simple" slave cylinder rebuild and, while the transmission was out of the car, it made sense to replace the still perfectly-serviceable clutch bits. That said, it was about half the price of an automatic rebuild/replacement.
    '08 Acura TSX, '17 Subaru Forester
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Gee, I wonder how many disabling conditions in an automatic transmission could be diagnosed by the average shade-tree mechanic and then repaired for $10.94......WHICH one is the better transmission type again??!! :surprise:

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • stickguystickguy Member Posts: 53,345
    Car and Driver came the other day. They have a "sporty" family sedan comparison test between Fusion, Accord and Mazda 6.

    ALl 4 cyls, but most important, all stick shifts!

    SO they may be rare, but they are still out there.

    Oh, and even with the 4, they did 0-60 in 7.6 (accord) and 8.0 for the other 2. And averaged 25 mpg for the test (hard miles there).

    All this in what I consider to be overly large "full size" cars!

    2020 Acura RDX tech SH-AWD, 2023 Maverick hybrid Lariat luxury package.

  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    today that referred to Porsche's PDK by saying that it is a technological marvel......and of course there was no question that he (the writer) would choose the 6-speed manual were it his car, if for no other reason than being involved in the drive. Not to to mention it is a really great manual and the PDK is, well, an automatic....

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    Didn't C&D list the 2009 Jaguar XF as one of their ten best and one of the first Jags to make the grade? I thought they said it was a true improvement over any car like it in the past. What transmission did they list for that? :confuse:

    Just teasing, I know you have to keep hope alive.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I saw that, too.

    Pretty impressive balance of power and efficiency from all 3 of those sedans.

    Hopefully that article plus the one from Consumer Reports a few months back get people to start asking for manuals again.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    My suspicion is they will be lucky if they can get people to ask for a new car at all in the first two quarters. Stick or no stick. And the ones that car and driver tested are by no means mainstream.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    So why is it that during our first drive of the new car, all we could think of was Prius? Maybe it was the continuously variable transmission, a choice that is never fun and just screams, "We love you, EPA!"

    That's from a review of the latest hybrid Lexus, which needless to say has no manual transmission option. :lemon:

    http://www.autoweek.com/article/20090526/CARREVIEWS/905269997

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Based on the Avensis sedan, eh?

    Isn't the Scion tC basically an Avensis coupe?

    If so then they basically put a Camry Hybrid powertrain in a Scion tC with 4 doors.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    We have all read the new CAFE regulations and listened to the plan to change the US driving habits. Now what is the easy way to accomplish those goals? Will Toyota and Honda redesign all their cars to be lighter and try to get Americans to buy small sub compacts with manuals or will they simply flood the market with hybrids?

    I am not talking what we would like to see or hope they will do but what we expect they will do. I expect to see hybrids replace almost every model of car Honda and Toyota make and none of those cars will come with a manual. That is just my opinion however because it is the easiest way for them to do it and do it quickly.

    Now some could be right and introducing a fleet of small diesels could save the manual from extinction in the US. The only problem I have with that idea is it will take more work than what I just described and with less than 10 percent of the buying public showing interest in manuals in the first place who will the manufacturers cater to? If you are a bean counter what direction would you recommend to Toyota?

    Now look at the direction Toyota has been moving in anyway and give your honest opinion on the future of manuals.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    I think all the Japanese will go hybrid in their luxury lines to meet the new CAFE, yes. I hold out hope that Honda will go the diesel route with Acura, but even then I see the last manuals leaving the Acura brand in the very near future.

    I think all the German manufacturers will go diesel instead of hybrid, leaving open the hope for more manual availability. But then, Mercedes has as good as killed the manual in its lineup, so they may be beyond redemption. BMW and Porsche/Audi will I think keep the manual very much alive, especially for sport models.

    It's unclear what the Americans will do if any are left standing, but it's clear they don't like manuals, and neither does Hyundai, the next emerging carmaker to give us quasi-luxury-class automobiles.

    But as long as ALL of these companies keep sport models in their non-premium lineups, the manual won't die. WRXs and Mustangs sell more than 50% in manual shift, don't they? As do GTIs and Miatas.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • shiposhipo Member Posts: 9,148
    Mazda publicly stated a few months ago that they believe hybrids are not a good investment and that they are developing diesel engines for the U.S. market. Personally I agree that this is the correct course. :shades:

    Best regards,
    Shipo
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