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Comments
Where you been man? There are exceptions to everything.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
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2015 Subaru Outback 3.6R / 2024 Kia Sportage Hybrid SX Prestige
Don’t make it so complex. Just buy one ticket, OK, maybe 2 and resign yourself to the fact that you contributed to the pot for the winner. That person will be forever grateful.
FWIW, if I ever had the second place ticket, I’d jump off a low bridge.
jmonroe
Well I work with numbers so I like to play around with them. Anyways I don't need your stinking lottery. I just got a call from my lawyer and the insurance company is going to settle so I'm going to be a thousandaire. so there.
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
You don’t. You’ll just have to trust me.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
Man, you’re going to wind up in the next county when that rubber band snaps.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
Don’t make it so complex. Just buy one ticket, OK, maybe 2 and resign yourself to the fact that you contributed to the pot for the winner. That person will be forever grateful.
FWIW, if I ever had the second place ticket, I’d jump off a low bridge.
jmonroe
Good luck, we are hoping you get a second place ticket.
We'd enjoy watching that!
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
People who can be trusted never tell you to trust them.
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
'21 Dark Blue/Black Audi A7 PHEV (mine); '22 White/Beige BMW X3 (hers); '20 Estoril Blue/Oyster BMW M240xi 'Vert (Ours, read: hers in 'vert weather; mine during Nor'easters...)
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
Again, there are exceptions to everything, trust me.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
One ticket is a chance in 302 million
Two tickets is 2 chances in 302 million, a fraction of a fraction of better odds, less than a millionth better odds.
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
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The were going to Toronto for a day trip....50 miles away.
The car said the range was 150 miles (it was a cold day, about 35F).
They got to the mall in Toronto and when they came out they had 60 miles to get home (50 mile trip)
They looked at the charging stations at the mall, 20 of them, only one worked and it was being used.
The called Cadillac and the closest dealer was too far to go to.
They went to a Ford dealer figuring the two would use the same chargers.
The Ford chargers were being fixed, they weren't working.
The service guy said take an Uber to the mall, call at 4 p.m. if I can charge it I will, or you can take an Uber home (50 miles) and come back tomorrow.
It was charged at 4 p.m. but only to 110 mile range.
The service manager said you can drive it home but don't use the heater, it uses 40% more charge in the cold weather.
They drove home freezing, but they made it.
The Lyriqs are beautiful, I saw one today. Not my thing though.
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
Everybody who isn’t a math wizard knows that. But maybe because of the overwhelming negative odds he’s going to tell us that 2 times 0 is 0. Maybe?
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
even one number drawn on any of the 10 rows?
I remember when the lottery in OHIO was from 1 to 40. Now the max number
is 70 or so for the 5 numbers and 1 up to 25 on the Gold Ball. Dramatically reduces your odds of winning.
2014 Malibu 2LT, 2015 Cruze 2LT,
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
I haven't checked it, but I am sure there are people who would try that!
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
That’s not hard to believe. And probably the ones who thought of it have a lot of time to think about things like that because they’re not in the work force. Folks who work 8 hours a day are thinking of other things. Like how to feed their families and buy cars.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
His license plate said: ‘SUPRA V’. Now I’m really confused.
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible
No, it isn't an "M" car
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2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
Anything is possible but when you cheat on your taxes you get the feeling you’re rubbing elbows with muckety-mucks.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
Exactly. 2 in 302M doesn’t reduce to 1 in 151M. They don’t divide, they subtract. So if the first number is wrong, the 2nd, assuming it is a different combination, has a 1 in 301,999,999 chance. Buying 2 tickets doesn’t magically erase half the possible combinations.
'11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S
Exactly. 2 in 302M doesn’t reduce to 1 in 151M. They don’t divide, they subtract. So if the first number is wrong, the 2nd, assuming it is a different combination, has a 1 in 301,999,999 chance. Buying 2 tickets doesn’t magically erase half the possible combinations.
If you have 2 numbers out of 300 million, your chances of winning are 1 in 150 million.
If you have 10 numbers, then 1 in 30 million.
If you have 150 million numbers out of 300 million, your chances are 1 in 2. 50/50.
That’s exactly the way it works.
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M Sport is usually just a trim package, although some come with a standard M Sport suspension.
M Performance cars have the most powerful non M motor in the range- M240, M340, M550, etc. they also get added suspension tweaks, bigger brakes and usually a true locking diff.
M Cars get an exclusive engine, body panels, and usually M compound brakes.
M Performance models are often called M Lites as they are one rung down on the pecking order (much like AMG cars without hand built engines).
On the BMW M website BMW touts the M Performance cars, but if you try to join the M Owners group with the VIN of an M Performance model you are rejected.
When I owned my M235i I never referred to it as an M car because it simply wasn't one.
In contrast, even though I don't own a "real" AMG I was admitted into the AMG Private Lounge's owners forum- but again, it isnt a true AMG model.
Mine: 1995 318ti Club Sport-2020 C43-1996 Speed Triple Challenge Cup Replica
Wife's: 2021 Sahara 4xe
Son's: 2018 330i xDrive
Mine: 1995 318ti Club Sport-2020 C43-1996 Speed Triple Challenge Cup Replica
Wife's: 2021 Sahara 4xe
Son's: 2018 330i xDrive
2019 Kia Soul+, 2015 Mustang GT, 2013 Ford F-150, 2000 Chrysler Sebring convertible
'21 Dark Blue/Black Audi A7 PHEV (mine); '22 White/Beige BMW X3 (hers); '20 Estoril Blue/Oyster BMW M240xi 'Vert (Ours, read: hers in 'vert weather; mine during Nor'easters...)
Resurrection Walk and The Waiting by Michael Connelly- After almost 35 years of working in the criminal justice system I still enjoy reading about it.
The Dublin Murder Squad Series, The Searcher, and The Hunter by Tana French- I love British and Irish detective novels.
The Secret Hours by Mick Herron- Herron’s sly black humor infuses his novels. The Slough House series and its tv adaptation (Slow Horses) are must read/watch for me.
Inside Mercedes F1: Life in the Fast Lane by Matt Whyman- It satisfies my inner car geek.
Fast Fords by Jeremy Walton- I read Jeremy Walton’s books for decades and we ended up becoming friends when I started writing for Roundel magazine. He lives across the pond so we rarely meet in person.
In the queue:
The King of Late Night by Greg Gutfeld- my wife and several of my friends think Gutfeld and I were separated at birth; I consider that to be a high honor.
Sports Car and Competition Driving by Paul Frere- a mandatory re-read; Retirement 2.0 begins on January 5th, and I plan to get back into instructing track driving in a few months.
Mine: 1995 318ti Club Sport-2020 C43-1996 Speed Triple Challenge Cup Replica
Wife's: 2021 Sahara 4xe
Son's: 2018 330i xDrive
Each lottery ticket has the same odds of winning no matter how many you buy. Each one has independent probability not altered by the frequency of play or how many other tickets you bought for the same drawing.
I take that as each ticket has a 1 in 302 million chance of winning.
It isn't like heads and tales....every ticket has variable numbers. Every ticket, is independent of the other tickets.
2017 MB E400 , 2015 MB GLK350, 2014 MB C250
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I’ve never been a big book reader (or a little book reader either for that matter) but now you’ve got me interested. Which one of those books has the most pictures?
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
It’s not as much fun when your poster buddies have you figured out.
jmonroe
'18 Legacy Limited with 3.6R (Mrs. j's)
No, it really isn’t. Each of those tix does not have a 1:150M chance. Let’s try a smaller example. Let’s say you have a carton of 12 eggs. 11 white and 1 blue. Blindfolded, you have to pick the blue. On your first chance, you have a 1 in 12 shot. On your 2nd chance, what do you think your odds are? I promise you it isn’t 1 in 6.
'11 GMC Sierra 1500; '98 Alfa 156 2.0TS; '08 Maser QP; '67 Coronet R/T; '13 Fiat 500c; '20 S90 T6; '22 MB Sprinter 2500 4x4 diesel; '97 Suzuki R Wagon; '96 Opel Astra; '11 Mini Cooper S
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D
Also someone please tell those idiots at Ford that this is a Maverick.
2011 Hyundai Sonata, 2014 BMW 428i convertible, 2015 Honda CTX700D