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I think you hit the nail on the head when you talked about conducting a lab experiment. What I was trying to determine was how you handled all the variables. Some variables like traffic can be short term, some variables like winter/summer blends and weather are seasonal, and some variables change over the long term like the age/condition of the car.
From what I can read on the web about oils, energy conserving oils get 1.5% better than a reference oil and energy conserving II oils get 2.7% better. Mobil One 15W-50 is not energy conserving.
http://www.mobil.com/Canada-English/Lubes/PDS/IOCAENPVLMOMobil_1_15W-50.asp
As others have mentioned, viscosity seems to be a critical factor.
Yes. I have recorded mpg in a spreadsheet(s) for the last 20 years or so. When I graph the numbers I get rising mpg until some point followed by a slow decline. Each car is a bit different but they all follow the same pattern. Seasonal differences are also very noticeable. And of course the city versus highway tanks of gas are very obvious.
Here is another way to look at the data.
Listed below are my mileage numbers over 4 years. The first column shows the mpg rounded to a whole number. The second column lists the number of times the car averaged x number of gallons. For example, the car had one tank where the average was 12 mpg, and 9 tanks at 23 mpg.
MPG Times
12 1
13 0
14 2
15 7
16 8
17 8
18 8
19 6
20 4
21 6
22 5
23 9
24 16
25 14
26 8
27 16
28 7
29 5
30 2
31 2
Lots of variables.
The variables were pretty much the same, 54 mile R/T commute but one 10,000 mile interval with conventional oil and 20,000 miles with synthetic oil. Since the data was taken over 30,000 miles (18 measurements) your mph/time was NOT an unaccounted factor. If you read the post, the synthetic oil used were not 15-50 !? Indeed if it was, the data further would indicate viscosity was not the factor at work. The fact that you posted this indicated you really didn't read what I posted and were probably more interested in posting your agenda; for your theory of the up and down peaks of mpg over miles or whatever you wish to refer to it as being the real causal factor here. It is NOT unaccounted for nor the cause. It is as you say a variable. And there are lots of variables, I would agree.
But I think you are right about the hot air going around. The quick lube industry surveys shows the average OCI at 5,000 miles and the quick lubes do their level best to get that back to every 3,000 miles. So like I have said in this and other threads, we all need to do hundreds of things/thousands of things if the consequences are indeed as dire as the alarms are! However I am sure that if you ask a flaming environmentist advocating less oil use, probably drives a Prius whose oil gets changed every 3/5k!!! Highly, highly, highly disingenuous if you ask me. Especially if you look at the ratio of a barrel of oil it takes to refine and manufacture these so called cheap lubricants!???? Euphemistically 3/5 k oil changes are seen as "CHEAP INSURANCE" My take is that is extraordinarily high operating costs per mile lubricated and consumptive of expotentially higher natural resources than synthetic oil.
A lot of oem's offer the spectre of 10,000 mile OCI's by offering the oil life monitor (OLM). While it sounds very sophisticated, is probably just a $5/10 chip and/or display cost option. This would of course cause the oems that sell sludge monsters to either re engineer or not offer 10,000 mile OCI's.
While I did not chose these vehicles with a (actually any) high priority of doing 10,000 mile OCI's, the warranty periods have come and gone with no issues on Honda Civic 10,000 miles (conventional oil) , VW 10,000 miles VW spec 505.00, Chevrolet 15,000 miles GM 4178 M, Mobil One 5w30 , all run like the proverbial tops.
As far as I can tell your current language is not English.
So why are you afraid of Arabic?
Krzys
The mpg numbers were obtained while the car was using Mobil 1 5w-30 synthetic – except for the first 5K. I switch from conventional to M1 right after. I use it because of the great cold starting benefit. Been using it 27 years or so. It saved my bacon a few times when trying to start a car in sub zero temps.
Here is EPAs comment on Engine Break-In
“New vehicles will not obtain their optimal fuel economy until the engine has broken in. This may take 3-5 thousand miles.”
I had an 84 Accord that reached peak oil, I mean peak mileage, at about 25K.
>If you read the post, the synthetic oil used were not 15-50 !?
I mentioned Mobil 1 15w-50 because it is not energy conserving. It gets beat by conventional oils so the “synthetic part” does not appear to be the difference. Here is a quote that might explain it better
“The test oil’s fuel efficiency is compared to the fuel efficiency of a reference oil in the Sequence VI-B test. To pass, the test oil must improve fuel economy one to two percent, depending on viscosity grade. SAE 5W-20 must produce higher relative fuel efficiency than SAE 5W-30.
It is interesting to note that the reference oil is fully PAO synthetic SAE 5W-30. To qualify for the GF-3 Starburst, ordinary mineral oils had to beat the fuel economy of the full synthetic reference oil. (It seems there is more to fuel economy than a magic base oil.)”
http://www.machinerylubrication.com/article_detail.asp?articleid=518&pagetitle=M- otor%20Oils%20-%20Fuel%20Economy%20vs.%20Wear
> Indeed if it was, the data further would indicate viscosity was not the factor at work.
Viscosity might be a small factor when you switched from conventional to synthetic. Switching from a 5w-30 conventional oil to full synthetic 5w-30 will still change the viscosity. Here are the numbers from Mobil
Mobil 1 5w-30......cSt @ 40C 64.8 cSt @ 100C 11.3
Mobil Clean 5000 ..cSt @ 40C 62.2 cSt @ 100C 10.6 (5w-30)
How did you compensate for tire wear? I may have missed this from one of your earlier posts.
> The fact that you posted this indicated you really didn't read what I posted and were probably more interested in posting your agenda; for your theory of the up and down peaks of mpg over miles or whatever you wish to refer to it as being the real causal factor here.
Not really. I find the information interesting. I may have missed some earlier posts, these forums sometimes whiz by. My agenda, if you want to call it that, is to see how you handle all the variables. I am not disputing that you got the numbers you did. We both have made direct observations. I look at these posting as flushing out the details. Can we prove the hypotheses that synthetic gives you better mpg?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_Method
Then there is the discussion surrounding the mileage at which any given vehicle will obtain its best fuel economy. My two BMWs didn't obtain their best economy figures until well past the 20,000 mile mark. Scientific? No. Compelling? Maybe. Then there is our 3.8 liter 1998 Dodge Grand Caravan. It didn't record its best mileage numbers until last summer when it had over 120,000 miles on it, and that was when running on E10 (fuel with 10% ethanol, which should reduce fuel economy between five and eight percent). On that particular tank, the OBC registered an impressive 423.4 miles at an average speed of 45.77 mph while commuting to and from work, yielding an economy figure of 25.9 mpg. When that van was brand new, similar driving conditions yielded economy between 21 and 22 mpg, and after the 25,000 mile mark, it was able to get upwards of 24 mpg in the summer. Once again, scientific? Nope. Interesting? I think so.
And another thing. The very first economy figures that van yielded were with Chrysler OEM 5W-30 conventional oil. The economy figures from the 25,000 mile range were obtained with 5W-30 Mobil 1 and the economy figures from last summer were with Mobil 1 0W-40. Go figure.
Best Regards,
Shipo
So you are still missing one side of the experiment?
"Here is EPAs comment on Engine Break-In
“New vehicles will not obtain their optimal fuel economy until the engine has broken in. This may take 3-5 thousand miles.” "
Right, this is true and commonly known.
I also have one that does not develop full engine compression till app 45-60k.
In that community again true and commonly known.
"Can we prove the hypotheses that synthetic gives you better mpg? "
I also have been on Mobil One (various viscosities) for over 800,000 miles, so per se, I really have not much to PROVE, one way or the other. Indeed my 10,000 mile OCI on convention oil was because of the Honda owners manual, web site and shop manual recommendation for the oem new fill.
Well, again you didnt deal with the issue of 20,000 mile OCI's with conventional oil. Honda Civic does well with 10,000 mile OCI's with conventional oil.
Indeed I just recently filled up after an alignment at 41500 miles on the Civic. I had been lately getting only 38 mpg or so. On the tank after the alignment I got 39 mpg. So in truth, as you probably well know, it is not all about synthetic oil.
http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/sbs.htm
So using 800,000 miles /OCI's of 3,000/5,000/10,000/15,000/20,000 miles you get OCI's of 267/160/80/54/40, respectively.
Put whatever oil quantity you wish, but say it is 7 qts per oil change and the quarts come out to 1869/1120/560/378/280.
http://www.sanjosegasprices.com/crude_products.aspx
What Does One Barrel of Crude Oil Make?
Lubricants= .46 gal of refine gals per barrel (42 gals) (59 oz of lubricant per BARREL = 1.84 quarts.
It would be interesting to run engines on the same long intervals as synthetic and see what happens. If say (and I have no idea about this) an engine was run on the very best conventional oil available for 200,000 miles at 15,000 OCI and nothing happened to it, then the case for synthetic would narrow even further---by that I mean there would be no fuel efficiency argument of note and no preserving engine life argument of note---leaving only a) benefits for those drivers who operate in extremes of climate or in racing situations, and b) a small yearly cost savings--two cases where benefits of synthetic appear to be easily demonstrable.
But if engine failures on test bed engines went up dramatically vis a vis engines run on synthetic for 15K OCIs, that would be pretty decisive evidence.
Even the lab tests leave something to be desired, because while the tests might show the conventional oil breaking down at 10,000 or whatever, it still doesn't predict if the engine cares about that one way or the other in the greater scheme of things.
What I mean is that all these "elements" or "particles" of this and that found in oil analysis might not be as important as they sound to the layman reading the results.
And no, I'm not going to test MY engine with 15K OCIs on conventional oil, thank you very much. :P But at this point I'm operating on common sense, not real evidence at my fingertips.
Most folks intuitively and factually will NOT take up the very small challenge to run conventional oil 20,000 miles!
This is interesting for folks who (in the worst case) vilify synthetic oil, such as Mobil One!!!!??? While on the other hand claiming conventional oil is so good!!??
On one hand it is very logical, but on the other hand the behavior is disengenuous.
To me, given 800,000 miles on synthetic and 700,000 miles on conventional oil it is not so much that synthetic oil is so good but over the years conventional oil has been so bad ! ?
How the behaviors and attitudes manifest themselves while synthetic is talked down, NOBODY (including me) really wants their own machines to crap out because they ran 20,000 mile OCI's with conventional oil and it coked up and failed.
But, of course they are not going to make a lot of lubricating oil, because less of that is needed by the market. If more lubricating oil were needed, they could (for example) make more of that and less fuel oil.
You do realize that the 1.84 quarts of lubicating oil and the 19 gallons of gasoline and all the other products listed are coming from the same hypothetical average barrel, right? They don't take a barrel of crude, make just the ~2 quarts of motor oil out of it and throw the rest away.
..."Put whatever oil quantity you wish, but say it is 7 qts per oil change and the quarts come out to 1869/1120/560/378/280. "...
Ultimately, if you wish to put it is very basic terms; what is more or less consumptive of resources, a 3,000 mile OCI or a 20,000 mile OCI? @ 7 qts per change,i.e., 47 qts or 7 quarts?
/4= 1.75 gals vs 11.75 GALLONS?
Now multiply x 235.4 M cars in passenger vehicle fleet. Average USA yearly mileage of between 12,000 to 15,000 miles.
I do think 3000 mi OCI is a waste...who does that any more?
I would think the average car goes about 10,000-15,000 miles per year, so I would look at 2-3 oil changes vs. one. My guess is a more typical difference between synthetic and conventional would be maybe 5 quarts vs 10 or 15.
The car doing 20,000 miles is probably using somewhere around 800 to 1000 gallons of gas per year. So your figure of an extra 10 gallons is only about 1% of usage. Note that the 20,000 mile/7 quart driver could reduce oil usage by about 5 gallons just by going to 5000 mi OCI.
Rather than try to convince Americans to change oil less often or to use synthetic, it would be more effective in reducing oil usage to convince them that a 3000 pound vehicle with a 4 cylinder engine is as adequate in the US as it is in the rest of the world, they don't need that over-powered V6. The best way to "teach" them this would be to have gas go up to about $5 per gallon.
Another question is does it take more or less energy to actually produce the synthetic oil compared to conventional. Why is synthetic so much more expensive? I have no idea, but wonder if part of the answer could be that it takes a lot of energy to produce the synthetic product???
I'd like to pay less per gal and STILL get 50 mpg in my 4 banger TDI.
Thanks
https://www.mobiloil.com/USA-English/MotorOil/Oils/Mobil_1_0W-20.aspx
https://www.mobiloil.com/USA-English/MotorOil/Oils/Mobil_1_5W-20.aspx
Some folks have issues with either. (I do not personally) but if you are willing to do more research and or be responsible for the "deviation" the 0w30, 0w40 have been shown (oil analysis) to be also excellent choices.
What I used to do is switch back and forth depending on climate and use. When I was planning summer trips across the desert in my Porsche, I always used synthetic, but in the temperate months in California I used regular oil.
In a case like this, am I better off to use synthetic or regular, considering the amount of time the car just sits, and my 6 month oil change interval?
The Sandman
I wonder if the monitor has the capability to know what kind of oil is in the car and adjust itself accordingly? Could a computer chip really have the ability to know this?
Interesting question.
The Sandman
"The patented engine oil change technology involves computerized monitoring of engine revolutions, operating temperature, and other factors to optimize the change interval selection."
http://www.practicingoilanalysis.com/article_detail.asp?articleid=77&relatedbook- group=Lubrication
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_oil
Related to you question regarding " does it take more or less energy to actually produce the synthetic oil compared to conventional." I would say yes. The synthetic chemical parts first need to be refined then mixed. We probably need a chemical engineer to tell us the exact numbers.
And for the record, I use a synthetic because it is easier to start the car in sub zero temps. I have not seen enough good data suggesting synthetic gets better gas mileage than a conventional oil. Since I am using the synthetic for winter it doesn't make sense to switch in the summer. Don't like the idea of mixing oils. The reported high temperature benefits of Mobil One also is a plus. I change my synthetic based on the CAR manufacturers recommendation (5K). Switching back to conventional would save me $50 a year (2 changes/year).
thanks
Turn this stupid, annoying, obnoxious pop-up feature off, edmunds. :mad:
I have found it will usually go off if your cursor crosses over the name again.
Since I have one oem make and model that specs Mobil One 5w30 and oem recommendation of max of 15,000 miles/1 year, the olm is by defintion/default a 12 tbn variety. The miles per tbn are app 1500 miles. Tbn is one major indicator of useful oil life remaing. It is much more technical than that, but we don't want folks eyes and ears to glaze over.
The reference to tbn is really not not well known and published, even by specific manufacturers and their specific product web sites. Suffix to say it is inherent in the targeted and certified specific oil standards.
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