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The Future Of The Manual Transmission

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Comments

  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    I find it curious that so many seem to be worried about their left foot cramping in traffic with a manual. I've never experienced that myself.

    So I wonder if their right foot cramps while driving an automatic.


    My right foot does, in fact, cramp when I drive an automatic.

    This really only happens in traffic jams that last upwards of 10-15 minutes. Constantly moving from brake to accelerator and back again starts hurting my right calf, and it gets quite painful when I'm stuck in a jam over 30 minutes. I work out regularly and my lower body is far stronger than my lower body. On top of it all, I've never had my left leg hurt the slightest from clutching, even in traffic jams lasting over an hour in cities. Ironic, isn't it? :P
  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    The last time I sold an Accord with a manual.

    It's probably been three or four years.

    They do make them but they don't sell.

    Most stores don't even order any for that reason.

    Civic manuals are a bit more popular but not by much.

    The used to make manuals in CRV's but they quit doing this a couple of years ago and nobody seems to have missed them.


    It must be where you live out west, but I see a ton of manual Accords and Civics in the DC area, both new and old.

    My uncle just bought a brand new I4 Accord sedan with the 5MT. Of course, out of the 15 or so cars they had on the lot, the EX model was the only manual one.

    I drove it and man, Honda's transmissions are a dream! That thing clutched and shifted so smoothly it was ridiculous. Of course, getting used to my GTI's diesel-like torque from 1000rpm up got me caught off guard when I was lugging the Accord at 2000rpm in 2nd gear up a small incline... :shades:
  • rightmoverightmove Member Posts: 9
    Personally, automatic has always seemed saver to me. Less chance for people to go overboard on speed.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Boy that's a stretch.

    Brake with your left foot. Problem solved.
  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    Personally, automatic has always seemed saver to me. Less chance for people to go overboard on speed.

    That's absolutely not true.

    The main reason people dislike manuals isn't the clutch pedal. It isn't a concern. It's that they have to shift. They have no free hand to use their yuppie cellphone, fiddle with the GPS, put on makeup, brush their hair, or cram a burger in their face. At least not easily. Simple as that - they want to be able to do everything else other than drive while driving.

    Plus, they also don't want to be bothered to have to pay attention to their vehicle. They want to zone out and drive in their portable mixing booth.

    As for safety, a manual is far safer.
    1 - You must listen to the engine and drivetrain. This makes you pay attention to your driving more, but also you're able to notice problems earlier.

    2 - Young drivers can't talk and eat and drive and text and so on all at once with a manual. It takes 110% of their concentration at first, and that's a good thing - as it should be. It's not that young drivers are worse drivers in terms of skills so much as that they get distracted much easier from the job at hand. And a lot of driving is about patience and paying attention. But modern cars are like 4 wheeled XBox 360s. It's to the point where you almost need these bigger cars to fit the extra buttons on the dash. My A/V center at home doesn't have as many features as a typical Honda Accord. This is the #1 reason most young girls don't learn, BTW - they want to do everything else other than drive the car.

    * minor pet peeve of mine - cars are too easy to drive and too much like appliances. IMO, if they took a lot more skill to drive like they used to, people would see it a bit differently. And take it more seriously as well, especially when starting out.

    3 - Speed with a manual is actually harder to achieve. Because you always have to know what gear you are in and what rpms you are at by ear(or close to it), this combined with engine compression when letting off of the gas makes it very hard to go fast without purposely doing so. In an automatic, though, it's stupidly easy to just let the thing roll along down a hill to where it's going far too fast without you realizing it. And most accidents involving loss of control are exactly like this - the car got going too fast and they lost control dodging something, trying to go around a curve, or while braking to slow down. In a manual, 3rd gear pretty much tops out at 35-40mph in most cars downhill. And the transmission makes a hell of a lot of noise while holding the car's speed back. Enough that you can hear it over your mp3s, even.

    In fact, I usually drive my manual equipped 4x4(not a SUV) without using my brakes for miles at a time. An automatic, otoh, will gladly drop into overdrive and lose all engine compression the second that it can. It's exactly the feeling that you get when you are going up a hill on a roller coaster. That second or so where the thing releases from the cable and there's nothing holding it back from rolling forward. I find it actually a bit disconcerting.

    I can't tell you how many times I see people here in L.A. rolling along talking on the phone, eating, or lost in their music while letting their cars roll along in overdrive at 75mph+ here in Los Angeles. I try to avoid them as much as I can.
  • cdnpinheadcdnpinhead Member Posts: 5,618
    Now that is a fine post.

    Amen.
    '08 Acura TSX, '17 Subaru Forester
  • isellhondasisellhondas Member Posts: 20,342
    I didn't agree with any of it.

    If a person wants to be distracted or text message someone, a manual transmission isn't going to stop them. It'll just be even more dangerous.
  • circlewcirclew Member Posts: 8,666
    In fact, I usually drive my manual equipped 4x4(not a SUV) without using my brakes for miles at a time. An automatic, otoh, will gladly drop into overdrive and lose all engine compression the second that it can. It's exactly the feeling that you get when you are going up a hill on a roller coaster. That second or so where the thing releases from the cable and there's nothing holding it back from rolling forward. I find it actually a bit disconcerting.

    Not so fast. Even in heavy traffic with the 330xi slush box, I hardly ever hit the brakes. In fact, after 43K miles, the brake pads are at least 50% and the rotors smooth as a baby's b--t.

    If you know how to use engine revs up and down the band, you can control this car just as well as a m/t. I never loose compression!

    I also never hold a cellphone because I am addicted to Bluetooth. Best option ever!

    Regards,
    OW
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    If you know how to use engine revs up and down the band, you can control this car just as well as a m/t.

    But I think what plekto is trying to get at, and if so I heartily agree, is that people trained on automatics DON'T know how to use engine revs up and down the band. In fact, the limit of most automatic drivers' vehicle control skills is "GO", "STOP", and "GO BACKWARDS". They are unaware the car has any more controls than that.

    No manual driver, by the very nature of the manual, could be that ignorant of the car's controls, or methods of using the powertrain to control its movement.

    And I am certainly able to talk on my phone and drive my manual shift car at the same time. Since the advent of the new law banning its use, I do so....less ( :blush:), but it isn't like a juggling act or something. I think people who are unfamiliar with manuals think it's this massive juggling act where you need every finger, every toe, and every brain cell just to keep up with what needs doing, but in reality it's nothing like that. It's second nature after you have been doing it just a little while.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    Sure, after a while, you can do all of those things, but for a new driver, having to focus more on what you are doing is a good thing.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Agreed.

    You really should have to certify on a manual for your driver's license. After that, if you want to go with an automatic, it's your choice.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    So if we can agree that the manual tranny is a great idea for a minority of the American buying public (aka "niche market"), and we agree that it is a non-starter for most others, then can we look at a different focus for the discussion?

    Can we all agree that manuals will be around, and talk a little about where (or if) we see them evolving? For instance, some of us (not me, really) remember when "three on the tree" was the norm, and "four on the floor" was the hot new thing... Somewhere in there came the 1:1 ratio, overdrive, etc... now we are up to the six speed being everywhere.

    I don't claim to be enough of a gearhead to go on about different final drives etc etc, but I sure might enjoy learning something... I know that I'd probably "retro engineer" some trannies - as an example, my primary driver could afford losing 1st and 6th gears - first is really short, and 5th is fine as a top gear.

    Any merit to any of these thoughts? I'm simply looking for ways to make (keep?) this particular conversation interesting.
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Well, I don't think we will ever see more than 6 speeds in a manual, and I think that even in an automatic 7+ is overkill, especially with the very powerful engines that cars sold in America have these days.

    I like having 6 gears as long as 6th is a very tall gear for cruising the highway at 2000 rpm or so. Problem is, in many manuals sold today, it isn't. Indeed, in some cases it is almost as short as 5th, and in the case of some small-engined, 4-cylinder cars, the engine turns at 3000 rpm or more at 65 mph in 6th gear. They should give the car one granny gear for good highway mileage and lower noise at those speeds. There are still five others for acceleration.

    As for your comment
    Can we all agree that manuals will be around
    unfortunately we CANNOT all agree on that, as I'm pretty sure (although I won't speak for him) that boaz and a couple others think the manual is ultimately doomed, although they have not given us a timeline for when its ultimate demise will be.

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    The only possible evolution of the manual transmission that I can foresee would be the integration of launch control and no-lift shifting. Both are a simple matter of programming, especially with modern, direct injected engines.

    Launch control would make launching easy for even unskilled drivers - floor the accelerator, raising revs to a preset number, and dump the clutch for a quick launch.

    My favorite feature, no-lift shifting, would have the engine automatically cut throttle despite flooring the accelerator while you quickly kick the clutch and shift gears, safely cutting shift times by a decent bit. Oh, and the engine can be programmed to hold boost for one second while shifting on turbocharged cars, such as the new Cobalt SS. Fun stuff.
  • vchengvcheng Member Posts: 1,284
    .. would be overkill given the broad torque peak of modern engines, but quite doable with a second shift case (anybody remember the old old Mitsubishi Colt?) Six short gears for the city and loaded/sporty driving, and a taller set of six gears for the open flat highway via a second speed in a transfer case.
  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    Oh please.

    Even outside of stop and go traffic, any situation with frequent braking such as city driving with lots of stop signs and turns can induce the cramp.

    I could go against normal practice and brake with my left foot, but then what's the point of driving an automatic?
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    ....but then what's the point of driving an automatic?

    What indeed?! :-P

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    As for your comment
    Can we all agree that manuals will be around
    unfortunately we CANNOT all agree on that, as I'm pretty sure (although I won't speak for him) that boaz and a couple others think the manual is ultimately doomed, although they have not given us a timeline for when its ultimate demise will be.


    Eh well, if anything manuals will exist for at least a few decades somewhere in the world, I think we can agree on that. If not the US then Europe and many third world countries such as Pakistan and India.

    Of course, if we're talking about ultimate doom, then I agree that a few hundred years from now the manual transmission, or anything from the cars of today, will only be known through history books and stories passed down from generation to generation. :P
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Well, when I say "ultimately", I'm thinking of the next 20-40 years, or within the lifetimes of many of us here, in cars in the U.S.

    While I will be glad if manuals live on somewhere, it won't be much comfort to me if I have no manuals available to buy here in the U.S. :-/

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    If it makes you feel better, Porsche says that the majority of 911 (I think the Turbo/GT3/GT2, specifically) owners will choose the manual over the PDK for a long time to come...

    And can you imagine little sports cars like the Miata whose sole defining purpose is to be fun to drive losing the stick? I think not!

    Besides, if it does, you and I can go raid the museums together. ;)
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    The only possible evolution of the manual transmission that I can foresee would be the integration of launch control and no-lift shifting.

    OK... but why are these the only "possible" evolution? I believe they are both neat things to have, but "only possible?" I mean, I can remember when the 6 speed was a fantasy - never happen, and why would you need all that anyway, and how would they fit that on a shift pattern, and where would "reverse" go... etc
  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    I don't know if we could fit more than 6 speeds on an H pattern without getting overly complicated and making it difficult to shift precisely and quickly, but maybe if we invented a new pattern...
  • myershiftmyershift Member Posts: 7
    Do you think that generalization is true? Could the reverse be true if we said Europeans were too cheap to buy automatics? I think it is simply personal preference. Americans see vehicles as they are, tools, nothing more. Much like using a browser to surf the web we don't type in addresses we click with the mouse. Shoot I don't know many people who know what Hyper text transfer protocall is yet they see it every time the get on the web.

    I do believe this is true. And I don't think that Europeans are too cheap as for choosing a manual over an automatic. They have Opel (Saturn) Astras, Volkswagen Golfs and the like with big car options like leather, laser controlled speed control, park sensors, power folding exterior mirrors, bi-xenon headlamps with washers, heated/cooled leather seating, navigation, and dual zone automatic climate control. Know how much these hatches end up costing?

    Around $40,000 U.S.D.

    I also believe that most Europeans must be smarter drivers than Americans what with more extensive driver's training and the obviously higher speed limits. French autoroutes have speeds in the neighbourhood of 80mph and the unrestricted stretches of German Autobahn. They have fewer accidents, and fewer fatalities.

    Americans just could NEVER handle something like this because of a lack of training, care, lane discipline, and intelligence. The higher level of conservatism here doesn't help either but I blame Europe's Puritan trash for that mantra which includes "work hard and you will succeed" and all that drivel.
  • rightmoverightmove Member Posts: 9
    Whichever one is safer, I vote for.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    OK, let's look at this logically.

    You are concerned about cramps.

    With a clutch, you could cramp both legs.

    With an auto, you may cramp one leg, the right one.

    Even if that is your #1 concern, you have 50% better odds with the automatic, because you can rest one leg.

    Shoot, I'm a manual fan, but some folks in here drink too much clutch-supplier Kool-Aid, I swear. ;)
  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    I'm not that concerned about cramps, but it was asked whether or not autos can give you cramps, and I relayed my experience. I may be in the minority, but I do experience more pain when only using one leg. :shades:

    I've yet to even feel the slightest cramp in my left leg because of the clutch, even when stuck in heavy traffic, both on the highway and in cities, for upwards of 2 hours. I think it has to do with the fact that I'm using a full range of leg motion vs pivoting on the heel of my right leg. And because I don't have to stand on the brakes because of the auto creep, my right leg isn't nearly as busy, except maybe on steep inclines.

    I've been almost exclusively driving a manual car for over a year and a half now, and I've yet to feel the slightest pain in either leg (the exception being when I banged my knees really hard falling and it hurt no matter what I did...). I drove an auto for a few years prior, and I had cramps every once in a while. It can't be psychosomatic or something, since I fully expected a pained left leg when I was learning.

    *shrug* No Kool-Aid here, just honest truth. :D
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    A clutch is harder to operate, takes both legs, and requires A LOT more precision to use. I think we can all agree on that. It takes more skill. This is a big reason we take pride in knowing how, and mastering the skill.

    So think about it...which one is more likely to cause pain over the long haul?

    Let's lay it out. To drive from a stop to 60mph with an auto, here's is what your feet do:

    Right leg: off brake to gas.

    That's it.

    Now, with a 6 speed manual:

    left leg on the clutch
    right arm shift to first
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 2nd
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 3rd
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 4th
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 5th
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 6th
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest

    OK, honestly now, which one is simpler? Which one is less fatiguing? Less likely to cause a cramp?

    I'm not saying you will get a cramp with a manual, just that you are less likely to have any sort of fatigue in the one-step process vs. the 125 step process.

    I believe manuals are better - more efficient, cost less, more control, lots of reasons. Ease of use is not one of those reasons, nor is fatigue or cramping.

    As for the auto creep - you can just slip an auto in to Neutral and that's that.
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    left leg on the clutch
    right arm shift to first
    left leg off the clutch slowly
    right leg on the gas in synch with left leg
    left leg to the dead pedal
    right arm to elbow rest
    left leg to the clutch
    right leg off the gas
    right arm shift to 2nd
    left leg off the clutch slowly

    Etc, etc, etc....

    OR...

    Shift from first to second as above....

    Run second all the way up to 50 mph....

    Shift to sixth....

    Just Kidding ;)
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    OK, so it's not 120 steps, but rather just 30 or so. :D

    Ya got me. ;)
  • tallman1tallman1 Member Posts: 1,874
    The latest version of the cramp posts started as my reaction to all the comments here and elsewhere about how awful a manual is to drive in traffic because you would get leg cramps in your left leg. That argument seems a bit silly to me because no one ever complains about right leg cramps with an automatic.

    Well now we've heard from someone who has experienced those cramps and I'm sure that there is someone who actually got them in their left leg with a stick too.

    However, I was just trying to make a tongue-in-cheek point that a leg cramp was a pretty weak argument to avoid using a manual in traffic. :shades:
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Gotcha.

    With a stick, the problem is more in terms of wear-and-tear to the joints. Knees especially.

    I guess it's the opposite - with an auto your legs don't move, with a manual your legs move constantly.

    My mom had to give up manuals due to her arthritis plus worn cartiledge on her left (clutch) knee.
  • razorasdfrazorasdf Member Posts: 61
    Lol, I didn't actually expect to see all that written out!

    I'm not arguing that a manual is easier to drive, simpler in number of steps, or less fatiguing. Just saying that I'm a freak that cramps with an auto but not with a manual because of how each is driven. Arguing with me doesn't change that, not sure why we're still on this topic. :P

    By the way, shifting to neutral isn't all that useful when you have to move forward every several seconds... With all these workarounds you might as well have three pedals instead of two! :shades:
  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    I shift to manual when I have to come to a complete stop as it's just me pressing on the brake and not holding the clutch in while stopped.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    Shift from first to second as above....

    Run second all the way up to 50 mph....

    Shift to sixth....

    Just Kidding


    Why, there's something wrong with that? When I want to get moving quickly but don't want to exceed the speed limit that's exactly what I do. I very seldom run thru all 6 gears in a row.

    -Frank
  • ny540i6ny540i6 Member Posts: 518
    Nope... nothing wrong with it. I was just poking fun at the absolute literal nature of the previous post.

    I mean, depending on where I am I do a lot of "1-3-5-6" shifting myself.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    This actually points out yet another advantage of driving a manual... the ability to instantly select any gear. Even with a manumatic, you're forced to step thru every gear :P
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    "Well, when I say "ultimately", I'm thinking of the next 20-40 years, or within the lifetimes of many of us here, in cars in the U.S."

    Thanks for not assuming what I might say but I agree pretty much with your estimate. And you know me pretty well by now. Like I said many posts ago I believe MB will be the first in the US to stop offering manuals. . You said you thought Toyota. But if the economy doesn't recover or if fuel goes back towards 5 bucks a gallon the ball game could change. If the US moves hard towards hybrids or something like them then the manual could pass from our shores even sooner. If fuel stays low or under 4 bucks then maybe hybrids will slow down.

    I have also said the manual has a better chance of holding on if we turn clutch control over the the car computer. With a sequencial computer clutched manual then 7 or more speeds would not be anymore of a problem than it is with a automatic.

    The idea you had about having to be certified in a manual is cute. You know there are more new drivers getting a license a year than there are manual drivers in our county? So who would buy the manuals to certify the new drivers on? With our state budget it sure will not be the state. With so few families owning a manual the only other choice would be to rent a manual. But here in southern California they don't even offer drivers ED so who would teach the kids to drive?

    Do I agree that sports cars will be the last niche of the three pedal H pattern manual? Yes, it sounds like they might be.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    You know there are more new drivers getting a license a year than there are manual drivers in our county?

    That's a great sound bite... too bad it isn't true :confuse:
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    That's a great sound bite... too bad it isn't true

    How could it not be true? More than Nine out of every ten families in my county drive automatics. That equates to nine out of ten households that have kids having automatics. If that ratio holds up then nine out of ten families with teenage drivers getting a license would have automatics. More than the number of manuals available. Where would the manuals come from to certify the nine out of ten drivers? Or are you telling us that there are more manual drivers than we believe?

    I didn't look up registered drivers in our county but I am willing to bet there aren't enough manuals in our neighborhoods to train all the teenagers in the City of Riverside alone.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    Fortunately, LA LA land isn't representative of the rest of the country :P
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Tried to find a manual Fit but there aren't any in town. The automatic was gutless.

    We drove a 2.4l Matrix Friday. Nippononly called his Matrix shifter "TOTALLY uninspiring" last month, but we were impressed. The shifter position looked odd since it seems to hang off the dash instead of living on the floor, but it felt very natural.

    Today we drove a 5 speed Scion xD and a 6 speed Nissan Versa. The 6 speed almost felt like overkill.

    Next up would be a 1.8l Matrix or Vibe. The MAZDA3 isn't on the list because of the poor crash test results unless my wife rethinks that.

    I drove a friend's manual ECHO for an hour a year ago, and tooled around in a Miata for 10 minutes one day last summer so shifting drive time has been very limited since we owned a stick ten years ago. It took about a minute to readjust. :shades:
  • isellhondasisellhondas Member Posts: 20,342
    You are the first person I have heard of that thought a Fit AT was "gutless".
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Well, counting my wife, that makes two.people. :-) We were both surprised that the test drive route took us on the interstate.

    The other interesting thing about hitting three dealers this weekend (for literally the first time since 1999), was how good every sales guy we had was. All of them knew their product, none of them was pushy, and only one guy bothered to write down driver's license info. The Honda guy didn't even ask to see our licenses.
  • p0926p0926 Member Posts: 4,423
    The Honda guy didn't even ask to see our licenses.

    Seniors are considered a very low liability risk :shades:
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    I kept my AARP card well hid. :-)

    (American Automotive Racing Party)
  • nippononlynippononly Member Posts: 12,555
    Woo hoo! That's the kind of news I like! Of course, there are a few caveats in there:

    1. Some people still buy them for performance, hence the high take rate on Mustangs and the new Camaro pre-orders.

    2. You HAVE to buy the manual in some models to get the special high-fuel-economy trim. The new Cobalt XFE is that way, and of course the news item itself was spurred by the high level of interest that GM is suddenly seeing in manuals.

    3. This is still fairly discouraging, given that it comes from Hurst:
    Nate Shelton, chairman of Hurst Performance Vehicles, doesn't disagree about stick shift's long-term potential, but says the brand has new life based on fond memories. "I think manual transmissions are probably not long-lived," he says. The shifter's appeal is mostly "buying them because of their nostalgia factor."

    I still say the manual will hang around in many sporty applications for the next 40 years (which is all I care about), especially among small-engined applications. And I bet it has at least 20 years to go in small commute cars. There, I am putting some hard numbers on it! :-)

    2014 Mini Cooper (stick shift of course), 2016 Camry hybrid, 2009 Outback Sport 5-spd (keeping the stick alive)

  • plektoplekto Member Posts: 3,738
    Well I do know that one area will always offer them - 4x4s. Not these AWD yuppie tanks, but off-road machines. Manual gearing is not going to go away, ever here.

    But the rest of the market? Look - the main reason they don't offer it is that any mechanic can change a clutch or crack a case and replace a couple of worn gears. But replacement mega-matics with a dozen computers and so on in it are a golden goose to the manufacturers at $4000+ a pop. Porsche had the same problem for a while, though. They tried to swap it all for their tiptronic and it failed. But some person in a Camry or Accord? Get rid of the option and 99% of the people who fit the demographic to buy one will shrug their shoulders and get over it.
  • boaz47boaz47 Member Posts: 2,747
    They tried to swap it all for their tiptronic and it failed. But some person in a Camry or Accord? Get rid of the option and 99% of the people who fit the demographic to buy one will shrug their shoulders and get over it.

    There I pretty much agree. Add to that the green factor and you see what the manual is up against. Automatics can be programed and people can't. Just about everyone that drives a manual loves to shift late to hear and feel the engine. I am sure there are a few exceptions but not many. So it is a combination of consumer preference, apathy, and government intervention that will make manuals a niche transmission at best. To put numbers to my prediction much like Nippon did his I think manuals will not be standard in any car in 25 years and will be offered as an option only. Sports cars will more than likely use that option more than any other type of car with the exception of real 4X4s.
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