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What Would It Take for YOU to buy a diesel car?

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Comments

  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    edited November 2011
    Let me do some math...

    Q7 YTD is 7,474, so 43% of that is 3,214 TDIs.

    A3 YTD is 5,435 so 55% of that is 2,989 TDIs.

    And Audi is having a great year.

    Meanwhile Toyota sold 14,184 hybrids in a miserable month.

    The Lexus CT beats the 10 months of A3 TDI sales in about 2 months. The A3 sales are closer to HS sales levels, i.e. disaster.

    I didn't see any Prius V sales counted yet, either. The local dealer has 7 of them so next month we'll start seeing those sales start to tally up.

    We need more diesel options, though. The A3 is ancient. The Q7 is way too expensive. Let's see more, newer volume models. The Jetta doesn't do anything for me.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    edited November 2011
    VW will take over number one this year worldwide. They also sold record numbers in China. Toyota will probably drop to number 3 and likely stay there a few years. I just cannot imagine anyone wanting high mileage as well as performance buying a hybrid.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited November 2011
    Yes I think "hybrid" has its biggest market in the USA. When you tally the world numbers they are dwarfed almost exponentially in comparison.

    Let's put it this way, EVEN in the US market where it has a following, the hybrid passenger cars are less than 5% and that is with more than a decade of hard marketing. The passenger diesel markets are 5% with hard vilification, being "banned" and an almost dismal lack of choices.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Well, we all know that the only reason diesels are ubiquitous in Europe is tax breaks.

    Hybrids do well in the USA because diesels don't do well.....that's all....
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited November 2011
    So what you are saying are hybrids and gassers get NO tax breaks either in Europe or the USA ? Come on guy, I don't think even you believe that!!?? ;)

    You might want to rework the meaning of your second paragraph. Again I don't think even you believe that. IF there were as many diesel choices as their are hybrid choices, diesels would do even FAR better.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    I think the highest market share in the US for diesel cars was something like 6-8%. So diesels are still underperforming, historically speaking I mean.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited November 2011
    In the sense that it NEEDS to met a (higher) goal or number yes. But in the real sense that the LOWER numbers were meant to be met (close to NIL as possible), NO. In the over all sense it (diesel percentages) really does not need to be anywhere. It was vilified because it consumed LESS fuel not more like the overwhelming gasser population (like models of course and over all)
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    edited November 2011
    Hybrids do well in the USA because diesels don't do well ==============
    IF there were as many diesel choices as their are hybrid choices, diesels would do even FAR better.

    Those two statements mean the same thing....
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    Perhaps you might think, so but that was not what was meant.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Meant by whom? It was definitely meant by ME.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited November 2011
    For whatever artificial reasons, there are those that would have the hybrid and diesel options adversarial. Personally I have never been in that persuasion. Indeed the banner of" holier than thou" has been been waived by sometimes a fairly large minority.
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    I have to plead guilty - but only before I was educated.

    I came to these forums a Hybrid fan, and a hater of diesel exhaust smell (it makes me sick) and therefore I had a fairly negative attitude toward any diesel car/truck.

    I quickly found a large number of diesel fans were SLAMMING hybrids. So, as the proud owner of and believer in hybrid technology, I of course started firing back at them - in self defense !!! ;)

    Then I started absorbing all the facts about how diesel engines are designed to be more fuel efficient than the average gasoline engine, and the worm started to turn. I became a fan of diesels because of their fuel efficiency; but was (and still am) a bitter opponent of STINKY DIESEL EXHAUST.

    If it's new clean diesel fuel in a new clean diesel engine, then I'm a fan.

    Older, dirty stuff: still hate it. Always will. :shades:
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited November 2011
    I was never a fan of leaded regular/premium products, either. ;) Indeed unleaded regular/premium continues to be sold dirtier and in much higher percentage and volume on the US markets.

    ULSD is sold @ the pumps from 15 to 7 ppm sulfur and RUG/PUG @ 30 ppm and with fee mitigation up to 90 ppm sulfur. Biodiesel which from many points of view is BETTER, can be as little as ZERO ppm sulfur.

    Again, (from an op/ed point of view) in the past (2003/2004) I have serious considered hybrids.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    VW will take over number one this year worldwide

    True, but primarily due to supply disruptions. Toyota has once again cut production in KY, Indy, Texas, and Canada due to the Thai floods.

    Hasn't really been a fair fight.

    I like diesels, and Audi's example shows us that when a diesel is offered, people will bite. I'd just like to see real volumes here. Cruze may do that.

    I just cannot imagine anyone wanting high mileage as well as performance buying a hybrid

    That's true - hybrid buyers look for economy, not performance.

    But....diesels may face a challenge from DI/turbo small displacement gas engines. In that case you do get performance.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    diesel fans were SLAMMING hybrids

    I don't get that, either. You think any fan of fuel efficiency would want both. In fact, why not a diesel-electric hybrid?

    You could even avoid heavy batteries and build one with KERS.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I was interested in a CUV with DI, until I started reading. From the reports I have read about the Ford DI engines, you can have good performance or good Mileage. Not both at the same time. You stick your foot into it on a long upgrade and the mileage goes down fast. Not so with diesel engines. You can have both great economy and performance.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    People myself included slammed hybrids from several perspectives. One high cost and low performance. And the nose in the air attitude of hybrid fan boys posting on the diesel threads here at Edmunds.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    ..."But....diesels may face a challenge from DI/turbo small displacement gas engines. In that case you do get performance."...

    I think that challenge has always been there . A lot of the comparisons comes off as apples to oranges, so I think it is sometimes to always hard to compare on an even playing field so to speak.

    VW as you and most folks know have like model turbo diesels/gassers and normally aspirated. Indeed one can add a V6 to the mix. For my .02cents the turbo diesel is what I prefer.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    You can have both great economy and performance

    I'm sure it depends upon the application.

    C&D just did a B-segment comparo and the DI-equipped Hyundai Accent was both quickest and most fuel efficient.

    The DI Sonata is also a segment leader in FE in Consumer Reports.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    One high cost and low performance

    High initial cost, maybe, but as you've seen you will reach a break-even point eventually, so you can make it up.

    nose in the air attitude of hybrid fan boys posting on the diesel threads

    Smug emissions. ;)

    Though I haven't seen many examples of that on Edmunds.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Found the results spec sheet on that B-segment test:

    http://media.caranddriver.com/files/chevy-sonic-vs-honda-fit-hyundai-accent-kia-- rio5-nissan-versa-toyota-yaris2012-hyundai-accent-se-2012-kia-rio5-sx.pdf

    0-60 in 8 seconds flat, while getting 33mpg.

    Plus, keep in mind diesel fuel costs more than 87 octane gas, which is what the Accent uses.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    It has been several years. Many of the Prius boys got tired and left the board. It got so bad there for a while I had one poster threaten me with physical harm. Sending emails to my company address with filthy language. They eventually banned him from posting. Really a gungho hybrid fan.

    I don't think the Ford 4 cylinder DI engine will provide performance, mileage and towing capacity equal to a 4 cylinder diesel in the same vehicle. We may never know as I don't see any coming here. I would expect the Edge with DI capable of 35 MPG to compete with the offerings from MB and VW/Audi.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I don't think that is close to a VW Golf TDI in real life. Not really a fair comparison considering price. My SIL averages over 35 MPG with his little Yaris that is about 5 years old. I cannot think of any apples to apples comparos right off hand. I am sure the Passat TDI will be compared to the Camry and Accord before long.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    edited November 2011
    We did a little road trip today and saw a couple of interesting things. Eating a late lunch at a roadhouse in a wide spot on the highway were two old guys in grubby clothes, unshaven and they looked like good ol' hook and bullet types or retired loggers.

    Looked a lot like me, in other words. :D

    They left a few minutes before we did, and dang if they didn't pile into a Prius. I would have bet $100 the 4x4 pickup would have been their rig.

    A couple of minutes later their wives left the cafe and piled into the back seat, but still, you'd think the guys would have insisted they take the bigger crew cab. Tried to catch up with them but they zoomed out of the lot before I could finish paying my bill.

    The other item of interest was the service station across the highway, a Mobile. Regular gas was $3.59 but diesel was $4.09 - .50 cents more. The logging trucks are mostly diesel I think, so they are really getting hammered right now.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    hybrids are a much more attractive marketing tool...sexier, (to someone who never had sex I mean) holier, greener (to public perception), hi-techier, geekier, and yes, uglier. (meaning distinctive in styling, for better or worse).
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    edited November 2011
    Sorry to hear about that experience, I see where you're coming from now.

    For what it's worth, a domestic fanboy in the "Toyota on the Mend" threads spouted all sorts of hateful stuff when the tsunami came, saying they deserved it, etc. Also banned. Posts were deleted so you may have missed them (a good thing).

    Thankfully our hosts do not tolerate that crap.

    Back to our regularly scheduled program...

    I don't think the Ford 4 cylinder DI engine will provide performance, mileage and towing capacity

    Performance yes. Perhaps even better, depending upon the displacement. Look at the EcoBoost engine in the Land Rover Evoque:

    Displacement: 122 cu in, 1999 cc
    Power (SAE net): 240 hp @ 5500 rpm
    Torque (SAE net): 251 lb-ft @ 1750 rpm

    Bow-chica-wow-wow!

    Also, Ford F150 EcoBoost 3.5l V6 tows more and has more payload than the 5l V8 does. They don't have a light duty pickup with a diesel to compare.

    I do think it would be hard to get the combination of ALL THREE, i.e. give it the specific output like the Evoque and gas mileage ain't gonna be there. Or tune it for fuel economy and it's not going to have the same torque output. A diesel manages both at the same time.

    Lacks nothing, even torque. And from just 2 liters.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    edited November 2011
    I don't think that is close to a VW Golf TDI in real life. Not really a fair comparison considering price.

    Yeah, price is a big consideration, but we could compare a Polo TDI, which is only a tad slower, but is more efficient. I can't imagine VW could sell it for the $16k an Accent costs. Maybe $20k or so. Par with the CR-Z and Insight.

    Thing is, in the USA the extra cost for diesel offsets some of that advantage, so it's about par - similar performance and fuel cost.

    CAFE standards have forced automakers to make big improvements on gas engines. 40mpg is common now. That squeezes diesel in a narrow niche between DI gas engines and hybrids.

    I agree, though, that diesels will appeal to folks who need the utility (torque) for towing.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    My wife's grand daughter drove up yesterday in a brand new Jetta Sportswagen TDI. I told her I thought she made a good choice. She loves it so far. However she went to most of the dealers in the county and none would come off MSRP. I cannot imagine that in this economy. Hers is loaded with the big sun roof and fancy wheels. She paid $34k and change out the door. I don't think I would pay that much. She got tired of filling her 4Runner with gas. She talked about buying the Sequoia from us. I think the price of gas over the last year convinced her otherwise. She works over 30 miles from her home. She did not trade the 4Runner. Probably sell on Craigslist. She also got 1.9% financing which may be why they did not discount.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I really like those, and they're still based on the old Jetta, i.e. pre-cost cutting.

    You can see the difference in Consumer Reports - the Golf is up to average reliability, even a little better than average, while the new Jetta sedan is troublesome.

    $34k is a bit pricey, though. USA or Canada?

    I sat in one at the car show in January and I think it stickered for $28k or so. The TDI models have really nice interiors, like the GTI. They are a big step up from the base models. I think it's nice that VW does that - TDI are premium models.

    The silver lining is that 4Runners have excellent residual values and are an easy sell on craigslist. It'll be gone in a weekend.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    edited November 2011
    Cars are one bright spot in the economy, at least if you are a manufacturer, employee or dealer. It's tougher getting great deals right now.

    My wife is back on a Prius V kick. I'm pushing to break 200k in the minivan just for the bragging rights, and only have 30k to go.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    I agree, sort of...supply is still constricted due to the Thai floods, and the lack of inventory hangover from the tsunami in Japan.

    So the car market is going OK, but the dealers have a seller's market because supply is still short.

    Having said that, Fitzgerald Toyota (fitzmall.com) has a small number of Prius Vs in stock.

    I'm sure they *wish* they had 120 of them, but at least they have 5.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    edited November 2011
    Three of them say "on order". :D

    I get back that way a couple of times a year visiting my sister so a fly/drive would make it easy to pick one up.

    But no, I'm not mentioning this to my wife. ;)
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    http://www.afdc.energy.gov/afdc/calc/

    I plugged in Prius vs. Golf TDI and the Prius started ahead, and stretched its lead after it was paid off.

    It's closer if you can drive stick.

    I'd still prefer to drive the TDI, but this lets you compare the energy costs.

    Then, for kicks, I compared Volt to TDI, assuming you are eligible for the $7500 tax credit.

    It takes 14 years for the Volt to break-even.

    The problem is ... by then, will the Lithium-ion batteries still be good? And what about their replacement cost? Truth is you'll likely never break even.

    Same concern applies to the Prius, but the NiMH batteries it uses do not concern me nearly as much as the Li-Ion batteries in the Volt, plus the Prius can run even with dead batteries, the Volt can't.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    That means just 2 in stock, pretty pathetic inventory.

    Never mind. Full MSRP pricing, too.

    Then again, fair is fair, given no supply and high demand for a brand new model. Dealers have to make money somewhere.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    edited November 2011
    Ah, there's four more at the other shop; I had just checked the MD store before. Oops, scratch that, they aren't the Vs.

    Anyway, MSRP doesn't bother me; because of those supply & demand factors, I bet most dealers are trying for ADM.

    But we can wait; we've been kicking tires since before Cash for Clunkers.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Yeah, wait, because gas prices are low right now, and should remain low. Once a regular supply is in stock, prices will be discounted.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2010/oct/23/vw-polo-bluemotion-12-review

    That's the fuel-sipper model, the smallest diesel. It makes a Prius look fast, and that Accent that hit 60mph in 8.0 seconds seem like a Lamborghini.

    Price £14,445
    Top speed 107mph
    Acceleration 0-62mph in 13.9 seconds
    Average consumption 80.7mpg

    Look at the mileage, though. :surprise:

    They have a 1.6l diesel, too. I think American consumers would require that engine, at a minimum.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I don't see a shortage of the Lexus CT in San Diego. They show 18 ready to go. All Premium models. Ford Escape Hybrids are order only according to a recent buyer of a regular Escape. Prius will probably continue to sell in limited numbers. Their sales are down 9% over last year. And we have a ton of the 2011 models sitting at the dealers in San Diego.

    Just read that VW TDI sales have increased 37% over last year to date.

    http://www.sacbee.com/2011/11/01/4021872/volkswagen-of-america-sales-increase.ht- ml
  • larsblarsb Member Posts: 8,204
    Gary - part of the big appeal and big sales numbers of the TDI is that they are the only game in town, unless you want to step up in price to Audi or MB.

    Back when 'Yota had the only Hybrid, they were hot chickens, too.

    Now, not to say that they are not GREAT HIGH MILEAGE CARS, because you know I know that they ARE. But VDub didn't hang the moon any more than 'Yota did.....
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Yeah, the CT is selling well, too, 1500+ last month alone. 10k plus for the year and it was introduced mid-year.

    Maybe since it's priced higher it gets a production priority over the Prius V? Seems like it.

    If so we won't see much Prius V volume until next year.

    Didn't CR just name the CT *the* most reliable car in their entire survey?

    Looked it up, they did...that won't hurt demand. You may not care, but CT buyers care about stuff like that. Look for a good November as a result of CR readers.
  • Mr_ShiftrightMr_Shiftright Member Posts: 64,481
    That does sound pricey for that car.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    I think so as well. She was ticked because they would not throw in the $500 window tinting. I have not paid MSRP for over 40 years, so that would have killed the deal for me. I do hope it gives them good service. If I had any interest in a car, it would be on my list. She did not get the model with NAV.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    http://www.autoblog.com/2011/11/09/ex-dot-head-urges-washington-to-treat-diesels- -fairly/

    We should remember that there were actually federal incentives for diesels, I remember when the Jetta TDI came with a $750 federal rebate.

    That's 1/10th as much as EVs are getting, though.
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Saw a station with regular going for $3.36 while diesel was $4.07.

    Makes you wonder why the truckers aren't driving to Washington.
  • gagricegagrice Member Posts: 31,450
    They just pass it on to the consumers. Have you noticed the price of food lately? It is about 60 cents higher here right now. I am sure it is a Communist plot. :shades:
  • steverstever Guest Posts: 52,454
    Sure isn't going to help sell diesel cars.
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    I would agree. It is the major reason why most OEM's do not bring out LIKE for LIKE models: for example Ford Fusion gassers/hybrid/turbo diesel/nat gas, etc. You really have to give VW credit for doing that. I am sure it does K BAL some gasser car sales. Honda is another oem that does that gasser/hybrid/nat gas.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Same thing observed here.

    Gas is dropping fast, $3.45 or so. Diesel is $4.20. :lemon:

    What's going on? Why isn't diesel dropping at the same pace?
  • ruking1ruking1 Member Posts: 19,826
    edited December 2011
    One factor, as per normal is competition from WINTER home heating oil.
  • ateixeiraateixeira Member Posts: 72,587
    Guess so, temps did just take a dip, so it's seeing real demand for the first time around here.
This discussion has been closed.