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Comments
If it is very similar to the current Odyssey, there is no way it would look like a Quest. Honda engineers are too smart to radically change a winning design (unlike Ford when the Oval Taurus appeared).
If they shared their secrets with us, then they just wouldn't be secrets anymore, now would they?!? ;-)
Also it seems that when Honda does a re-design, you can normally tell the difference from the new model and the old model. My guess is you willnot have to wait 8 months. I think (hope) they will release the 2005 Odyssey by July at the latest. Toyota is catching up in sales and Chrysler is releasing the 2005 T&C in a couple of months.
power sliding passenger windows
AWD option
split rear seat 60/40
auto head lights
outside temp. gauge
loose the radio antena for something less cheesy
improve the audio speakers
Laser Cruise Control
Bluetooth
Sunroof
Power Folding 3rd Row Seat
Power Hatch
17" Aluminum Alloy Wheels
Wood Trim
Outside Temperature Monitor
Hight-Intensity Discharge (HID) Headlights
Curtain Side Airbags
Tri-Zone Climate Control
60/40 Split 3rd Row Seat
Fog Lights
A 240+ hp V-6 Engine
AWD Option
ABS
EBD
TRAC
VSC
How many people want AWD or 8 passenger seating? How many people want roll down windows in sliding doors? How many people want concert hall quality sound when the vehicle is parked?
Agree that 60/40 split 3rd row seating would be nice for most people. Some of the other items would be nice but Honda is smart to limit the options and keep the price low on the Odyssey.
i'd have to say of player4 and aspesisteve's lists (minus the things it already has like TRAC and ABS and EBD), i'd hope to the LX trim they'd only add:
an outside air temp monitor and compass
curtain side airbags
some additional fuel efficiency
perhaps some additional soundproofing
quieter tires
I was thinking, the Ody here in the US will look like the Ody in Japan and Europe, whatever it ends up looking like.
To me, all this talk about features and prices will be pointless if the new Ody looks exactly like that ASM concept because I think it is way too ugly to park in my garage:-)
It will be interesting if Toyota would improve the looks on the Sienna for 2005, like chrome grill, better dash and woodtrim, etc. I doubt it, but just a thought.
Personally, I wouldn't want all those features on the Sienna to keep costs down. The only things I really need are all the airbags and the NAV:-)
Laser cruise?
Parking assist?
HID?
Moonroof?
10 Speakers?
etc.
If Honda adds all these features, it will end up costing like the Sienna.
But again, the key thing is looks. If it looks better than the Sienna on the exterior and interior, even at the same price, it will win my money.
When you see Odyssey adding those same features it will further confirm the point.
The power plant in the Sienna, with 10 less horse power is no big deal - I'd gladly give up 10 ponys (4% less power) for 2 additional mpg (10% increase)
I don't think you will be able to say one is clearly better than the other in terms of features.
So, the only thing I'm waiting to see is the appearance of the new Ody vs. the Sienna.
If the new Ody looks like the new Japanese Ody, but with longer body and dual sliding doors, with the same interior as the pics, then it's no contest; the new Ody will be the clear choice.
But if the new Ody looks like the ASM Concept, then the new Sienna will be the clear choice.
To me, the Quest will still be the ugliest.
But that ASM Concept Ody is the second ugliest, even if it has an 8 inch NAV.
For me, if the 2005 Odyssey drove the best and had at least comparable features to the others.....it'd be the one I bought.
I would say it's wise to be that way.
But to me, since I don't think they differ all that much in terms of features, price, or driving experience, the looks is the most important factor of them all.
I guess you can say this minivan handles a little better, this van stops better, and this minivan drive more car-like, etc. There are differences.
But I think they are more alike than they differ.
As far as looks go, I have to say that my wife and I still sit up and take notice whenever we see a white Odyssey EX cruising the road. They are simply stunning in a field of nondescript (and now tending toward outright grotesque -- the Sienna is just this side of that extreme, IMHO).
but i don't find the Sienna's front-end, nor the side view particularly pleasing...no comparison to the lines of the ODY.
do you think the wheel / fender contour of the Toyota look slightly mis-matched w.r.t. size? i think so, and overall not in keeping with the more attractive ODY-like back end
so i am admitedly one of those who would hope the new ODY wouldn't look that much different than the current model...
i think it is more asthetically pleasing than the other mini-vans out there.
others will say - the ODY design looks old and needs an update. hopefully it won't be the ASM look though. it looks mean and sort of like a cube.
funny how different people perceive things differently. must drive car designers nuts.
User777: "so i am admitedly one of those who would hope the new ODY wouldn't look that much different than the current model.."
I'd also agree......the ODY does stand out from the crowd even 5 years later. But so does the Quest, yet in a more negative way -- seems like something the Spirit Rover would run into on Mars :-)
Honda should make "upgrades" in both the appearance and amenities department, but not so many that people don't know it's a Honda. "Hey look, that must be the new Odyssey" is what people should say even before they get a good look at it.
That's it. I like the shape of my Ody just fine. But the Quest is really good looking IMHO.
kimo9: You've hit on what Honda has nailed many times before (but not always; witness the Element! Yuck!!!): a design that creates a new "classic" and holds up well through years and waves of changes in the competition.
I prefer the "luxury" feel of the Sienna and the way most Toyota feels on the road, but I prefer the looks of the Odyssey, so I bought the Odyssey.
Back before the new Sienna was released, I was sure I would buy the Sienna. But then I saw the official pictures and that turned me off. By far, the Ody is the best looking minivan.
I would be so upset if the new Ody looks like that ASM Conept!
The former 2nd best selling Ford Windstar is now in 4th place behind Dodge, Honda, and Chrysler.
The Astro/Safari were not the most sleek, sexy, futuristic design but guess what? They have sold for MANY years with very little change while the above named minivans are no longer produced.
DaimlerChrysler kept the names Caravan, Grand Caravan, and Town & Country but they are in 4th re-design (#2 was not much change from 1st and 4th is not much change from 3rd).
The current Odyssey design is practical, very attractive to most people, and has great similarity to 1st Odyssey. The 2004 Quest and 2004 Sienna are a little too far out. The Sienna front end looks like a modified Pontiac Aztek while the Quest taillights look like they were lifted from a Chevy TrailBlazer (which in turn came from a Tonka Toy).
The Ford minivans change names when customers become disgusted with dismal reliability and Ford hopes customers won't associate one flop with another.
Honda: DON'T ruin a winning design with a drastic change. Remember the disastrous effect the radical "oval" look had on the Ford Taurus sales.
Sorry, but you have to go back (and it is still Ford!) to the Edsel to find a mistake comparable to the "oval Taurus" styling change -- and the Taurus was undoubtedly worse in terms of actual economic loss to Ford. It's natural that it has become the "next Vietnam" of the car industry.
Honda has sold more that 68K Elements in 2003. Not too shabby for such an "ugly" car huh!!??
I'll admit that Elements have their place (though I'm hoping that place is away from me!). I'm guessing that it appeals to the rebellious side of youth looking for any way to irritate their parents. Regrettably (for Pontiac) the Aztek just didn't spark that flame....
The VW Beetle (original versions) had the in-your-face ugly appeal of being cheap and fun sort of transport. Are you sure they've sold 68,000 of these? Where? I've seen as many new Siennas as I've seen Elements in my part of DFW. I don't know if they've sold 68,000 new Siennas yet...?
I actually haven't paid to close of attention to what kind of person has been driving those Elements. OTOH, the Azteks make me stare to see just who would buy such thing....
http://www.hondacars.com/info/news/article.asp?ArticleID=20040105- 53817&Category=currenthonda
I guess the appeal is easy in easy out, nicely equipped, attractively priced, easy to clean, Honda reliability. My Dad says he should have waited to get the Element instead of the CRV.
"I've seen as many new Siennas as I've seen Elements in my part of DFW..." I've seen more Cayennes then Siennas here in Boston.
However, back to the new Odyssey design (and the topic!), I would still be really surprised if Honda did anything like the radical change that an ASM-like exterior would be for the Odyssey. We are, afterall, still talking about minivans and the demographic is not exactly "cutting-edge, radical styling."
But then, as in the Element (and the Cayenne and Murano and what is that new Infiniti?, for that matter), I am sometimes totally mystified and completely wrong about buyer appeal! Oh well, I guess that means I should stay out of advertising... ;-)
The radical Quest, Aztek, and first GM FWD minivan offerings don't appeal to the majority of buyers.
Considering that Honda was a distant 4th in minivan sales just a few short years ago, that Chrysler's monstrous lead has diminished, how the Daimler management might well have lost touch with American desires, and that Toyota is now also coming on strong with its own truly-competitive offering; I can see the passenger car scenario happening once again -- this time with minivans (and maybe later, with SUVs and/or trucks?). We might not be too many years away from a Honda/Toyota rivalry for top-selling-minivan status.
DaimlerChrysler had THE best selling brand and THE 3rd best selling. Combined Dodge + Chrysler sold 373,494 which is MORE than double the sales of the Odyssey.
Most of the people who got burned by bad transmissions in DC in the late 80's and early 90's have already defected to the Odyssey or Sienna.
There are just too many current satisfied DC minivan owners who will buy DC again for any other brand to overtake Dodge alone...not counting the clones sold with Chrysler label.
People believe the Acura MDX is much better than the Honda Pilot which puts more money into Honda's bank account.
The Odyssey comes in only 2 trim levels with a few additions to the EX. The Odyssey is so nice that Honda does not need to build an Acura version.
GM and DaimlerChrysler are NOT as smart. Very few people felt the Oldsmobile Silhouette was an improvement over the Chevrolet Venture. Very few people think a low end Chrysler Town and Country is better than the Dodge Grand Caravan clone or the Chrysler Sebring is better than the Dodge Stratus.
You are right though, I highly doubt honda or Toyota willever hold the #1 slot. Neither has the manufacturing capability to do it and it is not worth the investment since the minivan sales has remained flat over the past 3-4 years. The only manufacturer capable of doing this is Ford and they won't do it with the Freestar.
DC goal for the coming year has to be to sell the same number of minivans as last year without the rebates. Then they can conccentrate on regaining market share.
In addition, consider the combined erosive effect on the DC lead from all the increasingly-competitive offerings available. It might be true that neither Honda nor Toyota will ever sell 375,000 minivans in a year. However, DC sold over half a million a year just a couple years back. They are already sliding. So, maybe many more manufacturers will take respectively bigger slices of the pie and Honda (or Toyota) will become top seller with less than 300,000 minivans sold in one year?
Hey, I was preaching the demise of the dot-com bubble in these very forums a full year before it happened. So, I've gotten kind of cocky about my foresight. Now, if only I could find someone willing to let me use their money to find out if I'm correct!.... ;-)
I never felt the Silhouette was an improvement over the Venture, nor do I feel the Mercury Monterey Premier is an improvement over a Ford Freestar SEL, which stickers for thousands less.
I was never attracted to any of the clone pairs you mention, so never examined their relative worths. But I will happily take your word for it.